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If there was a sign of a major problem with energy policy it might look just like this: In the EU for most of the last ten years gas prices were €20. Last week they spiked to €180. Prices have come down in the last few days as a flotilla of 15 US tankers crosses the Atlantic to rescue the EU and some Russian troops departed from the border near Ukraine. ![]() Who needs gas? Everyone apparently… | Source: Trading Economics It’s heartwarming to see the US tankers on the way: ![]() US Tankers headed for EU No sign the EU governments get the message:What will it take? The Netherlands announced that they will limit coal stations and pay them not to produce electricity most of the time in the hope of stopping floods and droughts: Dutch Government will limit coal-fired power stations to just 35% capacity from January 1. Dutch coal-fired power stations may not operate at more than 35% of their maximum capacity in the coming years. “In the short term, this will lead to a significant reduction in CO2 emissions at coal-fired power stations of approximately 6-7 megatons,” the Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate (EZK) reported on Wednesday. The owners of the coal-fired power stations are financially compensated by the government for the lost income from the reduced electricity production up to and including 2024. In Germany, the sabotage continues: 11 nuclear reactors have been shut, three are about to. The last three will go next year: Germany’s Energy SurrenderWall Street Journal Rarely has a country worked so hard to make itself vulnerable. Ten years ago 17 nuclear reactors produced about a quarter of Germany’s electricity, but the 2011 Fukushima accident prompted former Chancellor Angela Merkel to phase out nuclear. Six reactors remain: Three will close this month, with the remaining three ceasing operations next year. It’s hard to think of a more self-defeating policy on economic, climate and geopolitical grounds. German one-year forward electricity prices have hit €300 per megawatt hour. For comparison, the 2010 to 2020 average was under €50 per megawatt hour. Coal was Germany’s top energy source in the first half of 2021. How big is this crisis? Even in France, where nuclear power is running, the energy price spikes are causing major industries to shut down: With energy costs spiking to fresh records day after day, financial strain is mounting for industries including metals and fertilizers. Aluminium Dunkerque Industries France, Europe’s top smelter of the metal, curbed output in the past two weeks. Trafigura’s Nyrstar will pause zinc production in France in early January and Romanian fertilizer maker Azomures temporarily halted activity. “We’re seeing an existential crisis of the European aluminum industry and other metals-smelting industries that are power intensive,” Mark Hansen, head of metals trader Concord Resources, said. “It’s not always so easy to get these businesses back in operation” — From Javier Blas about a Bloomberg story that seems to have disappeared. Meanwhile, spare a thought for the people in Kosovo who were suffering through 2 hour rolling blackouts in the lead up to Christmas. Lest we forget who is responsible: Javier Blas: Dec 24 As Kosovo homes go dark with rolling blackouts from today, just before Christmas, let’s remember that in 2018 the World Bank pulled the plug on a project to build a new coal-fired power plant in the country. The same coal Germany and the US burns today. It takes a really Big Government to do Really Stupid Things. Absolutely no one who writes for newspapers has any idea of why Covid may have almost completely disappeared from Japan since the sudden Delta wave in August. The trajectory collapsed on August 25th and vaccines don’t explain it. “While Omicron explodes around the world, COVID cases in Japan plummet and no one knows why” Sydney Morning Herald, Dec 23 Call it the hunt for a potential “X factor,” such as genetics, that may explain the trend and inform how Japan could deal with the next wave. While the new highly transmissible Omicron variant has appeared in the country and experts suspect there is already some community spread, the overall transmission rate of the virus and coronavirus-related deaths in Japan have remained low. “ ” “Honestly, we do not know the exact reason behind the sudden drop in COVID deaths in Japan,” said Taro Yamamoto, professor of global health at Nagasaki University’s Institute of Tropical Medicine. “ There is no mention of the-drug-that-shall-not-be-named — Voldermectin. But on August 13th as the third major wave was running out of control, a high ranking doctor in Tokyo recommended doctors use ivermectin. Dr. Haruo Ozaki, the Chairman of the Tokyo Medical Association said it was time for doctors to give patients information on ivermectin “and get permission to use it”. Around the same time, possibly on August 10, another doctor, Dr. Kazuhiro Nagao was seen on a Japanese television show calling ivermectin “a silver bullet” and describing how he’d treated 500 patients with ivermectin and they “all felt better the next day”. (See below). The peak of daily cases in Japan was two weeks later on August 25th, 2021. In Japan, the third major peak was more than four times larger than previous peaks. Things were looking pretty bleak in August during the post Olympic spike of cases for a while there were more than 20,000 new cases every day. Then, “a miracle” occurred, and now in a population of 126 million the current daily cases across the whole of Japan amount to a very small, 200 per day. ![]() Japanese cases of Covid plummet as people search for ivermectin. So the extraordinary turning point in cases starts 2 weeks after two Japanese doctors recommended ivermectin and searches for the word “ivermectin” in Japan became more popular than ever. The peak search week for “ivermectin” in Japan was the following week. ![]() Searches for the word “ivermectin” peaked in Japan on August 29th – September 4th. | Source But also watch the Japanese Doctor Kazuhiro Nagao director of the Nagao clinic on TV in August talking about how we “give Ivermectin to everyone who wants it”, on the “same day” they test positive. “They feel better the next day”. Watch the expression on the interviewer in the last second where he asks Dr Nagao how many of his 500 patients got worse afterwards, and Dr Nagao says “None.” (If you can’t see the video below try another browser!)
That interview possibly occurred on August 10th, and was written up here. Google translate is struggling. But the good doctor said with “the silver bullet” ivermectin Covid should be reclassified to just a seasonal flu. Dr. Nagao recommends that corona, which is currently classified as Class 2, be treated as Class 5, which is the same as seasonal influenza. By lowering the price, “early diagnosis and immediate treatment by a practitioner is possible = prevention of aggravation” “Practitioners directly request for those who need immediate hospitalization = no time lag” “Health observation of close contacts, no need to allocate hospitalization destinations” “= Eliminate the collapse of the health center” and three merits are mentioned. That’s important. ” He also said, “There is a silver bullet called ivermectin that anyone can use. It is a drug that is usually used for the treatment of scabies. It will be distributed to all people.” He also proposed a “suganomectin” system that is comparable to “abenomask.” On top of that, Dr. Nagao said, “If I make a mistake, I will take responsibility and quit the doctor.” It only looks like it’s waiting for it to change. If you treat it early, it’s over. No one I’m seeing is dead. All of these quotes are extremely hard to find now, so thanks to readers who sent in these links (see the hat tips at the end). I keep all those emails. Explaining miracles with magical thinkingA search for “Ivermectin in Japan” now though will turn up 50 news stories categorically saying that “No, Ivermectin Did Not Help Japan Bring Down Covid-19 Coronavirus Delta Surge”. Apparently the fall is a complete mystery, but was absolutely, definitely not due to ivermectin. It might be because Japanese people wear masks, though they did that through all the other peaks too and it didn’t stop the rise, nor cause a sharp fall. It might be because Japanese people have a rare gene called APOBEC3A, though they probably had that gene in waves 1 and 2 as well and there were no miracles then. It might be because the Delta virus in Japan mutated itself out of existence. That creative theory centres on the A394V mutation, which occurs on nsp14 – a viral gene that checks for errors. The idea is that if nsp14 is faulty the virus might just make such bad baby viruses that they stop infecting people. It doesn’t really sit well with natural selection. Somehow the virus was incredibly fertile til August 25th, then the superspreading dominant Delta variant was somehow outcompeted by a baby that couldn’t make good copies of itself. Which sort of begs the question of why one of the other offspring-of-delta didn’t just take over and outcompete the dud baby. And as John Campbell points out, that same gene occurred in the virus in 24 other countries. It can be found in strains AY.1 AY.3 AY.4 AY.5 AY.6 AY.7 and AY.12 strains. No miracles. Vaccinations don’t explain itAt the point when the caseload peaked and suddenly flipped, only 44% of Japanese people were fully vaccinated. It’s hard to believe that reaching the number 45% the next day somehow triggered the miracle. Not to mention that many other countries vaccinated a similar number of people but they didn’t crush Covid. ![]() All four nations followed similarish vaccination trends but had very different outcomes. source: OWID One eighth of the death rate?The third big peak in Japan was really quite remarkable. Despite having four times the caseload of all previous peaks, the deaths per day were half as high as the first and second peaks, even though the biggest peak was almost solely due to the deadlier Delta variant. The second peak was 90% Alpha variant (the UK variant). Mortality in the UK, Scotland and Canada was worse for Delta. So some of the reduction in death rates is due to the vaccination program, but when half the nation wasn’t vaccinated, it doesn’t make sense that the death rates would fall by a factor of eight. ![]() Despite the third major peak being the highest case load in Japan, and due to the Delta variant Covid deaths per day in Japan were half the previous peak. And if vaccinations produced miracles it would work in other nations too. However, Australia has one fifth the population but six times the deaths. The UK has half the population of Japan but on a daily basis, this week, 100 times the deaths. According to OWID, currently 71% in Australia are fully vaccinated, 69% of the UK, and 78% of Japan. Clearly the vaccination rate doesn’t explain the massive discrepancies in death rates. ![]() The UK has half the population of Japan but 100 times the deaths. | Source: OWID … Apparently, Ivermectin is still being used in Japan and people are not happyIvermectin for COVID? Unproven treatment stokes concern in JapanBY OSAMU TSUKIMORI , Dec 21, 2021, Japan Times “I just received the package and, to prevent (coronavirus) infection, I’m going to take it from today,” a 52-year-old man wrote in a message posted in September. There are agents in Japan that order in ivermectin? So the bottom line is that officially in Japan, the vaccines are being rolled out and boosted, like everywhere else in the modern world. But unofficially, doctors in Japan are speaking out publicly saying that ivermectin works, and people are ordering it in from India. The government of Japan doesn’t need to mandate or approve ivermectin use. Word of mouth will do it, especially when lives are on the line. h/t Richard Kleenman, David B, Panda, David Archibald, Scott of the Pacific. David E. What makes this map so apt, especially today, is because these are the countries that don’t celebrate Christmas (in brown). It’s a testament to how far the spirit of Christmas has spread. Lighter brown countries (China, Turkey, Saudi Arabia) don’t have a public holiday but are described as “giving observance”. It’s a day a lot of the world shares. Albeit “some jurisdictions of the Eastern Orthodox Church, including those of Russia, Georgia, Ukraine, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia, and Jerusalem, mark feasts using the older Julian calendar”. Those nations celebrate on January 7th. Wishing you warm smiles. Map by Nanib , Skriplerio, Moyogo Did someone say there’s a hospitalization crisis?![]() … There is a crisis. People are getting stuck for days extra in hospitals and even dying because of nutrient deficiencies that we could easily solve. A new study from Istanbul shows that even if we negligently fail to correct Vitamin D deficiencies before people get sick, we can still save half of the ones who might die with a cheap vitamin, pumped in hospital for about 1/5000th of the daily cost of an ICU bed. The mortality rate in the unsupplemented group from 2020 was 11%, but in the supplemented group in 2021 it was 5.5%. Imagine what the mortality rate might be if these people weren’t deficient in the first place? The study shows us that there is a causal connection between low Vitamin D and more severe Covid. It also shows what a train wreck our medical systems are. For the price of a few dollars we can free up a lot of hospital beds and stop a lot of deaths, and we’ve known this might be the case since the beginning, and we’re still not doing it? The incentives are so screwed in our healthcare systems that we’re waiting for doctors in Turkey to do the trials we should have done in February 2020? Don’t wait til you catch Covid to get your D3 levels tested. Sort it out now, and supplement if you need it. And aim for the higher end of the normal spectrum. (And take Vitamin K2 as well, though NOT without doc approval if you are on anticoagulants like warfarin, see comments below). This new study enrolled 163 people admitted to hospital with Covid who had low to moderate Vitamin D levels (less than 30 ng/ml.) About two thirds of them were then given some whopper combinations of Vitamin D which started with 100,000 IU on Day One, and then continued for up to 7 days with lower doses that ranged from 2,000IU a day up to 100,000IU. So all these patients were given supersized cumulative Vitamin D doses over the next week of between 224,000IU up to 500,000IU. Staff did blood tests on Day 7 and 14 to make sure they weren’t overdoing it. They compared the new supplemented patients with the survival rates of 867 people admitted to the hospital a year before, whose Vitamin D status was known and who didn’t have comorbidities. It’s not ideal that the earlier group probably were sick with a different variant — the original WuFlu. But random controlled trials seem so cruel when we already have a pretty good idea of what works. Medico’s will find the study interesting because it assesses a lot of blood markers. Vitamin D levels were a better predictor of hospitalization than things like diabetes and high blood pressure. We hear all about the “co-morbidity risks” in the media, but Vitamin D appears to be more important. People who had no comorbidities, who should have been better off, were twice as likely to need a long hospital stay as people with comorbidities who also got Vitamin D treatment in hospital. That applies to people who had Vitamin D in the moderate category — lower than 30 ng/mL. Keep reading → UPDATE: This is a sticky post. New posts are appearing below. Send supplies through Paypal, or through direct deposit, or by snail-mail. As always, due to legal froufrou, donors can buy however many “units of emergency chocolate” they can spare in AUD, CAD, EUR, GBP, NZD or USD.
Keep reading → Say it ain’t so. The Australian government appears to putting roadblocks in the way of an Australian vaccine. Does Scott Morrison and the TGA serve Australians or Pfizer? ” COVAX-19 is the first recombinant protein COVID-19 vaccine to be authorised anywhere in the world, beating Novavax to this key milestone. * “ Sign this Australian petition to support Covax-19 The TGA should be abolished if it serves foreign corporate interests. That’s Scott Morrison’s call. Even if you don’t want a vaccine at all, it’s in all our interests to develop local medical suppliers, real competition, and to give free citizens a free choice. Keep reading → ![]() … So imagine you live in a house with six people and you elect one of them to do a deal with the chemist to supply the whole house drugs. When you get back from Hardware Mart, he’s done the deal, but you can’t see the contract, or the trial data, you don’t know what it costs, or how long it lasts, but the money will be auto-drawn in unmarked tranches until such time as it is not. Then you find out you have to take the drug, or you won’t be allowed in the kitchen. It’s a crime in the house, but ok for a nation? There have been several allegedly leaked contracts with Pfizer, one from Albania, and others from Brazil and South America. They all make extraordinary claims, they can’t be backed up. They might all be fakes but here’s the thing, we don’t know they’re fake because we can’t see the real thing. Is Pfizer the bully that asked Argentina to accept all liability on its behalf and put its bank reserves, military bases and embassies at stake as collateral? “That the rules of the land don’t apply”. That the government may not discuss anything to do with the contract or Pfizer without asking permission from Pfizer. Who can tell? “It’s a private company muzzling a government” Why the secrecy?Try to imagine what possible benefit accrues to the whole house from signing deals on their behalf that most inhabitants can’t see? Perhaps the We don’t know if the PM or President signed away Fort Knox, or London Bridge, or their own right to discuss problems with the vaccines or if they paid twice the price, agreed to nobble competitors, or let Pfizer steal intellectual property. Apparently, in terror, all our democratically elected leaders signed away the ranch, our ranch, perhaps dreading headlines like “Thousands Dead because PM used home made Vax.” Public Citizen has the full details (as far as anyone can tell)1. Pfizer Reserves the Right to Silence Governments…neither Pfizer nor the U.S. government can make “any public announcement concerning the existence, subject matter or terms of this Agreement, the transactions contemplated by it, or the relationship between the Pfizer and the Government hereunder, without the prior written consent of the other.”[28]e Governments. 4. Private Arbitrators, not Public Courts, Decide Disputes inWhat happens if the United Kingdom cannot resolve a contractual dispute with Pfizer? A secret panel of three private arbitrators—not a U.K court—is empowered under the contract to make the final decision.[41] The arbitration is conducted under the Rules of Arbitration of the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC). Both parties are required to keep everything secret 5. Pfizer Can Go After State Assets.Pfizer required Brazil, Chile, Colombia, the Dominican Republic, and Peru to waive sovereign immunity.[50] In the case of Brazil, Chile and Colombia, for example, the government “expressly and irrevocably waives any right of immunity which either it or its assets may have or acquire in the future” to enforce any arbitration award (emphasis added).[51] For Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and the Dominican Republic, this includes “immunity against precautionary seizure of any of its assets.”[52] Everything about what it means to be a democracy, and what Rule of Law means, and the whole Magna Carta deal has apparently ended? Big Protests coming up on Saturday in Perth, Brisbane, Broadbeach. Please add details in comments for other locations. I was very impressed someone put a handout with information about risks of vaccinating children in my letter box yesterday. Organised. Great to see. UPDATE: Melbourne Perth is at 3pm at Elizabeth Quay and also Supreme Court Gardens. See ReigniteDemocracyAustralia and AustraliaFreedomRally WA FREEDOM MOVEMENT – FREEDOM MARCHElizabeth Quay, Perth WA, 18th December 12 – 4pmJoin us as we march for the freedom of all Australians. Vaccinated and unvaccinated – we are all Australians.
A week ago The Information reported on the secret $275 b deal with the CCP in 2016. Apple Gives $275 Billion to ChinaAnders Corr, The Epoch Times Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook inked a $275 billion giveaway in 2016 that explains the tech company’s success in China, according to secret documents reportedly seen by To sweeten the negotiations, Cook apparently agreed to a $1 billion investment in Didi Global, Uber’s Chinese competitor, at a critical time in the fight between the two companies for ride-hailing market shares in China. A few days later, Apple agreed to spend $275 billion in China over five years, including on what should be considered forced technology development and transfer. According to The Information’s Wayne Ma, the deal “committed Apple to aiding roughly a dozen causes favored by China,” including “a pledge to help Chinese manufacturers develop ‘the most advanced manufacturing technologies’ and ‘support the training of high-quality Chinese talents.’” The pattern repeats China took Manufacturing, then Tech and the West gave them away. Now it’s come for biotech… ![]() Image by AngMoKio China siphons off Western intellectual property, often with the help of the West. First China hauled (and we gave) the factories, then it was the hi tech industry, now it’s biomedical ingenuity. The pattern repeats. China offered cheap labor for manufacturers and the tech industry with few annoying environmental burdens. Now China offers money and freedom from ethical quandaries for researchers who want to clone, create bioweapons, or hybrid human-animal cells. As ZMan said about the biotech theft: Most important, what we are seeing is what happens when a society decides that the value of everything is what someone will pay for it. In America, everything has a price, so nothing has value. The elites are happy to trade technology to China, because the only thing that matters is short term profit. From the Chinese perspective, the American empire is not a competitor. It is just a big candy store that she can systematically pick clean until it finally collapses. This is the war China knows it can win. What would stop it?If companies like Apple worried (before they sold out) that their entire brand-name would evaporate in all their current markets. If patriotism meant that all the hipster Gen Z’ers and lost corporate Millennials reacted in horror and abandoned their iphones, or the soft greens recoiled from the thought of owning a item made by a company that helped to hide Uygher slave camps? Yet where is the media? Where are the righteous, indignant fashionistas? Is Greenpeace protesting? Apple, Nike and Coke are all lobbying to prevent the US congress from making laws that would make it harder to get goods from Xinjiang unless companies can prove they did not use forced labor. So Apple may think it bought a market in China, but really it paid to become a wing of the Communist Government. According to a 2020 report from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), Apple is a beneficiary of Xinjiang’s forced labor transfer programs through Apple suppliers O-Film Technology and Foxconn. We need a real media. But since we don’t have one, spread the word about Apple And tell people about The Epoch Times. It’s almost like some at the ABC are sympathetic to the anti-wind-farm movement? The awakening begins. There is an opening here for the two opposite ends of the political debate to come together, and to figure out who the real enemy is — something that would transform the political landscape. Before anyone gets the urge to rub their noses in it (no matter how deserved it is) ponder how useful this is as a way to open a conversation. There are still good green tinted people out there who have no idea they are being used, or that there is a cheaper energy source that feeds plants, doesn’t chop up birds and bats, and doesn’t consume 13,000 hectares of wilderness either. The wind farms angering renewable energy fansSteve Nowakowski was a fan of green energy, and hired as a photographer: Now, as he looked down, he was shocked at what he saw. “I thought, ‘Geez, there’s a lot of destruction here. They’ve transformed what was a really great, pristine area … into a really industrial area’.” Biologists don’t like it either: According to James Cook University adjunct professor and evolutionary biologist, Dr Tim Nevard, Far North Queensland is one of Australia’s most biodiverse regions and many of the sites chosen for wind farms are “wholly inappropriate”. “Biodiversity is the buffer at the end of the tracks that stops the runaway train of climate change from bursting through,” Dr Nevard says. “Destroying biodiversity in order to have greater amounts of wind energy is a complete oxymoron. It’s ridiculous. So we shouldn’t be doing it.” After Steve Nowakowski saw more wind farm applications — his opposition to them hardened. He gave a speech to locals, with photos. He thought they might throw eggs at him. Instead, none of them wanted the industrial complexes in the local wilderness either. (Imagine that?) The Aboriginal activists were also annoyed and dismayed. The new projects in Queensland are going to be even bigger and more invasive. Some 13,000 hectares of vegetation will be removed if all the planned subsidy farms go ahead, and 90% of that land is in Queensland. The ABC article is a long gushing feature. It ends, like a cult fanclub, with the belief that wind farms are still useful. They just need to be built somewhere better they say, as if there is plenty of land which has high wind, large transmission lines and no native fauna or farmers. But people don’t build billion dollar interconnectors to nowhere, so it’s a fantasy combination. This is an opening in the wall to reach the soft greens. Join with them in lamenting the environmental damage, then walk them through the Valley of Vested Interests, pointing out who is really getting rich. Then gently lead them to realize that almost all the Environmental popular movements are not even trying to help the environment. h/t Greg and Dennis
A scandal of epic proportions The data in the UK is some of the best in the world, but if a person has a vaccine and dies in the next two weeks, it’s classed as an “unvaccinated death”. People are not counted as fully vaccinated until 14 days after their second dose, which makes sense if we’re only looking at Covid deaths. But it doesn’t make sense when looking at other deaths. This delayed categorization leads to enigmatic effects, to say the least. Strangely, the unvaccinated are increasingly likely to die from the week after other people in their age group get the vaccine… The graph below of the 70-something age group in the UK, charts the non-Covid deaths — all the heart attacks, strokes, cancer and accidents. But notice how the first dose of Covid vaccines peaked in Week 5 (the grey dashed line), but the mortality of the unvaccinated (the blue line) peaks 2 weeks later? These are the non-covid deaths, so heart attacks, strokes, all kinds of things are killing the unvaccinated two weeks after the peak in vaccination for other people in their age-group. Most 70-somethings who did get vaccinated, got their second dose around Week 15 (orange dashed line). Just as those jabs were going in, oddly people who had only had one dose began dying at an unusually high rate (orange line), and their odd heart attacks and strokes or any cause continued for weeks through summer, a time when usually mortality rates are lower. ![]() Strangely, the unvaccinated are more likely to die a couple of weeks after their cohort gets their first dose of the vaccine? Norman Fenton and others at Queen Mary University of London, did these graphs, and have published a paper with many more. They think it’s very likely (what an understatement) that the mortality peaks are being misapplied to the unvaccinated and the single dose categories, when they are adverse effects from the vaccines, naturally skewing all the data on the cost-benefits and risk analysis. It was the same in the 60 somethings: And in the older age group too: Different weeks, but same distinctive pattern: There are other mysterious anomalies. We’d expect the vaccinated to be more likely to be the higher risk, older and sicker people who are slightly more likely to die of all causes than the unvaccinated, yet the vaccinated don’t just die less often (according to the official stats) they die less often than their annuities tables suggest — less than people their age would normally die. Consider what we are witnessing here. We have a vaccine whose recipients are suffering fewer deaths by causes other than covid and hence are benefitting from improved mortality. It appears very unlikely that this can be from the vaccine since the very best we can hope for is that the vaccine is causing no adverse reactions leading to additional non-Covid deaths. Instead, we have the unvaccinated who are suffering increased non-Covid mortality, especially in the near term close to the vaccine rollout for each age group. This is enigmatic. Does the vaccine have short-term benefits beyond reducing Covid deaths? Is undetected Covid increasing mortality in the unvaccinated in a way that presents itself as other causes of death? If so, why would it be staggered by vaccine rollout periods across age groups? None of these possible reasons make any sense so we need to look elsewhere for a more plausible explanation. Can vaccines make people younger? Can vaccines make people who didn’t take them older?Normally, in any given year, the things that increase deaths in 70 year olds also increase deaths in all the older ages at the same time. Instead, in every older age cohort the deaths of the unvaccinated are associated with the vaccination roll outs. Notice that the deaths per 100,000 are much lower in the 80+ vaccinated group, than in the unvaccinated group. These are not Covid deaths. It’s like the vaccines protect vaccinees from heart attacks, but put the unvaccinated at higher risk… ![]() Fenton, Table 2. Mortality of unvaccinated and vaccinated compared to lifetime death rates. Naturally, they wondered, like I did, whether these were deaths due to Covid but in untested people. We know Covid can cause heart attacks and strokes, and we know the UK missed a lot of cases. But most of those missed deaths would have been in the first weeks of the year, and not during summer. ![]() UK Covid deaths peaked in January, which would likely also be when undiagnosed Covid deaths peaked too. | Source: OWID
It’s worth bearing in mind, despite these rather shocking graphs that there is no overall excess deaths from vaccines in the UK compared to other years. Excess deaths always has a wide margin of normal variation, so less deaths from influenza leaves room for more deaths in other areas, so to speak: The scale of the mortality adjustment suggests that approximately 14% of all deaths are being miscategorised across all three age groups. In line with the fact that the data does not reveal excess mortality compared to previous years, we see no direct evidence of overall excess mortality caused by vaccine side effects in the data. The spikes in mortality that appear to occur soon after vaccination may be caused by the infirm, moribund, and severely ill receiving vaccination in priority order and thus simply appearing to hasten deaths that might otherwise have occurred later in the year What I like about this paper is that it’s so professionally written, and that, Fenton et al, work hard to find other reasons to explain these strange patterns. They consider all the ideas offered by the ONS (Office of National Statistics) and others, and rule out that the unvaccinated were significantly more likely to be ethnic groups who have higher mortality, or terminally ill people who couldn’t be bothered getting vaccinated on deaths door, or that a more virulent strain appeared, or that the deaths in the “single dose” group were the people who were too sick for some other reason to get their second dose. Why was this data not available before?Incredibly, despite this being a national emergency, data was not split into separate age groups until recently “Week 44”, whereby these very odd patterns show up. Since age is the single most important variable in any Covid data, and the highest risk factor for death, this lack of data seems inexcusable. It’s baffling that those aged 10 – 59 are still bundled together, a worthless blurred conglomerate of people of both high and low risk. Where are those separate age cohorts? We need to see them… The adverse effects: Fenton et al suspect some of the adverse effects of the vaccine may be occurring in people who catch Covid either just before, or just after getting vaccinated. If that’s the case, we ought not have that in Australia, at least in some states where vaccination programs have gone out with no Covid present at all. Given the rush to push boosters now, surely understanding the risks would be priority number one, so we could reduce them? But few in the Ministry of Health seem too concerned about our actual health. The bottom line: Covid vaccines don’t seem to prevent deaths overall. That surely changes the risk-benefit equation. If there is an advantage in getting vaccinated against Covid, it is seemingly offset by the side effects of taking Covid vaccines. Thanks to Custer van Cleef. Prophet of Boom. Paul Cottingham. David E. OriginalSteve REFERENCENeil, and Fenton et al (2021) Latest statistics on England mortality data suggest systematic mis-categorisation of vaccine status and uncertain effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccination [3] UKHSA. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report, Week 44. https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/10 |
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