Te US election continues to surprise. It breaks all the rules. Who stands up for the workers now, for the disaffected middle class — Donald Trump, and that’s according to Michael Moore, dedicated progressive. He gave a speech that is going viral with conservatives and has even been used to make an advert for Trump. Moore is telling the world that Trump will win (which he fears). Perhaps Moore was trying to get complacent Clinton fans worried and and get them out to vote. It may have the opposite effect. Even Moore sounds like he admires Trump. Perhaps he is hoping the left will pick up the same memes — even as he calls Trump voters “legal terrorists”.
Donald Trump came to the Detroit Economic Club and stood there in front of the Ford Motor executives and said: if you close these factories, as you are planning to do in Detroit, and rebuild them in Mexico, I am going to put a 35% tariff on those cars when you send them back and nobody’s going to buy them.
It was an amazing thing to see.
No politician — Republican or Democrat — had ever said anything like that to these executives. It was music to the ears of people in Michigan and Ohio and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The Brexit states. You live here in Ohio. You know what I am talking about.
He is the human molotov cocktail that they have been waiting for. The human hand grenade that they can legally throw into the system that stole their lives from them. And on November 8th — election day — although they have lost their jobs. Although they’ve been foreclosed on by the bank. Next came the divorce and now the wife and kids are gone. The car’s been repossessed. They haven’t had a real vacation in years. They’re stuck with the shitty Obamacare bronze plan. They can’t even get a fucking percocet.
(Yells) They have essentially lost everything they had…except one thing. The one thing that doesn’t cost them a cent and is guaranteed to them by the American Constitution: the right to vote.
Trump’s election is going to be the biggest FUCK YOU ever recorded in human history.
At a recent promotional event for his new film “Michael Moore in TrumpLand,” Moore told audience members that he thinks the loudmouthed GOP nominee is going to win, largely because American elites are so cut off from regular people that they don’t realize just how much the middle class has been harmed in recent years.
“I know a lot of people in Michigan that are planning to vote for Trump, and they don’t necessarily agree with him,” the left-leaning documentarian said.
Did Moore imagine he would be featured in an advert for Trump?
A new party is forming in WA in time for the state election next March. It’s skeptical, and very cheeky, and as The Spectator says “a chance to shame the Nats”. Where the Nats offer Royalties for Regions, but the new party wickedly offers Royalties for Voters.
Real democracy starts with the freedom to vote with our wallets
What if voters could choose to keep the funds themselves instead of giving bureaucrats a blank cheque to spend it on their behalf? Our pollies casually toss around billions of our dollars and Royalties for Voters will expose just how big those sums are. Hands up who wants $38,000?
West Australians pay their 10% GST (Goods and services tax) like the rest of the nation, but they get only a third of it back from the Federal Gobblerment at the moment — which leaves Sandgropers feeling pretty miffed over here. No other state has ever got less than about 80% back. The mining boom meant the population grew a massive 40% from 2000 to 2015. Infrastructure, roads, rail, public transport has failed to keep up. Plus somehow the supposedly conservative local state government managed to run up a huge debt during the boom — yes, it’s that bad. The Nationals leader, Brendon Grylls, wants to do something about the GST imbalance but is proposing to get the money back by adding a bigger tax onto BHP and Rio. Go figure.
This is a monster money-grab risking WA’s reputation as a good place to invest. It’s got sovereign risk written all over it. Brendon Grylls wants to use his Royalties for Regions plan – which put mining royalties back into the regional areas where the royalties were mostly earned. Though vast sums of money ended up being fed into things like community centres, sculptures and touring performers.
The new party is against the levy increase. If it is to be imposed, they say the best thing to do with the money is pay it direct to the voters of rural WA. To give you some idea of just how much money is at stake, if this new tax came in, hypothetically, each rural voter could get an extraordinary $38,000 each to spend or invest over the next four years.
Yes, it’s naked vote buying — a cynical protest, taking what all the other parties do to its logical conclusion. If ever there was a party with a name on the ticket that would get people talking, this surely would be it.
How many voters would rather have $38,000 to spend themselves and donate to local causes they believe in? Hmm. Real democracy starts with the freedom to vote with our wallets — every spending choice is a vote on the kind of lifestyle and priorities a voter prefers.
So this is a very anti-establishment, small government themed party. Check them out on Facebook Royalties for Voters $38,000 cash.
The fledgling party needs 500 bonafide members to get off the ground, and it needs those names by this Sunday Monday Oct 31. The form can be done online, or printed and posted (but given the timeframe, if you post it, make sure you tell the party via email or phone). All details are secure and protected by law. There are no costs to join, and in the tradition of the oldest democracies, any member can tick a box to get the chance to be selected to be a candidate. (Salary for the Legislative Council in WA is $156,000 if the urge strikes you to run. )
So if you can vote in WA, and want to poke a stick at Big Government, click the link, put your name down.
The Alfred E. Smith Memorial Foundation Dinner was a few days ago. The traditional charity event is the last time both candidates will probably speak at the same place before the election. They were roasting each other. The jokes get sharpened to bleeding point. I love the idea of this charity bash as a quasi fourth debate. The two candidates are jousting with satirical jabs, able to say things that they may not have been allowed to say in any other context. It is a high and difficult art.
I’d like to see it in Australia (though I fear the laughs would be few and far between). Both US candidates are high caliber performers, both can deliver a line with the right timing. Both were composed. Both probably had good speech writers.
Some would say that Trump crossed the “line” with his pointed barbs, where the jab is a little too sharp, and too thinly disguised. (There’s a certain ratio of joke to message that carries the meme to the most people.) I would say satire is meant to make to make a point, otherwise it’s just stand up comedy.
In terms of the psychology of speeches, for this 15 minutes, Trump is the alpha-male commanding the room.
UPDATE: Definition of alpha male: a billionaire at the most expensive gig in the world, on a first name basis with half the audience, scores laughs by tossing insults at the most powerful media heads and political players in the US.
Watch Clinton’s roast of Trump. She is a master politician. Smooth, with good delivery. Clinton took most of the roasting with admirable grace. It would not have been fun.
Lo and Behold — climate change “may” help feed the starving Ethiopians and turn the nation into a “food exporting country”.
( That sounds pretty serious. Pay billions – Stop That Now!)
With so many climate models, sooner or later one was going to turn up something good — in much the same way that Lotto somehow “finds” the winner. Incredibly the happy possibility even made it into a press release.
Perhaps it is safe to admit that climate change may help people in a country where the UN is not wanting to scare the voters into buying carbon credits?
Where are the headlines “Burn Oil and help feed Ethiopia?”
Where are the Green NGOs who see an opportunity here to get Ethiopia on its feet? Don’t they believe the climate models – Or is it that they don’t really give a toss about hungry black kids?
A team of researchers from Virginia Tech have predicted that water availability in the Blue Nile Basin of Ethiopia may increase in coming decades due to global climate change. It could also lead to increased crop production, spur massive hydroelectric power projects, and foster irrigation development in the region.
“For all the catastrophic impacts of climate change, there are some silver linings,” said Zach Easton, associate professor of biological systems engineering. “The sad irony is that climate change may be the catalyst Ethiopia needs to become a food-exporting country.”
What if a climate model found that a wealthy developed nation (aka “a UN cash cow”) would be better off …
Moges B. Wagena, Andrew Sommerlot, Anteneh Z. Abiy, Amy S. Collick, Simon Langan, Daniel R. Fuka, Zachary M. Easton. Climate change in the Blue Nile Basin Ethiopia: implications for water resources and sediment transport.Climatic Change, 2016; DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1785-z
Restrictions needed on overseas charities funding legal battles
The US money was designed to bankroll a strategy developed five years ago by green activists to “stop Australia’s coal export boom”.
The focus of these efforts was to “run legal challenges that delay, limit or stop all of the major infrastructure projects (mines, rail and ports)”.
A particular priority was to stop the Adani coalmine in central Queensland that would employ up to 10,000 Australians and provide high energy, low impurity coal to India, where 300 million people still do not have access to electricity.
And Hillary wants us to believe that Trump is “risky” and “unpredictable” for foreign relations? This kind of industrial sabotage is a good way to hobble the competition — though playing mean and deceitful with your dedicated allies usually works better if done from secure computers, eh? For Hillary it’s such cosmic bad luck that she keeps employing people who brag about deplorable, dishonorable and even criminal actions in emails and on video. A pack of cheats. Naturally she’ll sack the lot of them, and make it clear to US donors that this sort of thing is never to happen again: “Think of the children in India”.
The emails show that the funders included the Sandler Foundation, the Sea Change Foundation, the Tilia Fund, the Growald Family Fund and the Flora Family Foundation.
In other words, the legal challenges have not come from Mackay, Bowen or Townsville or from local landholders.
Instead they have come from Boston, Boulder and Berkeley from vanity pose foundations uninterested in the double digit unemployment rates in northern Queensland towns or energy access in India.
Green activists keep looking more and more like useful idiots for big money, and in this case, for foreign interests. These are true international grade suckers who help to keep people unemployed in Australia, and keep millions of children in poverty in India while they try to stop the sea rising with windmills.
Brendan Pearson notes:
A legitimate question is this: Did Podesta actively support, co-ordinate, condone or encourage this effort while in the White House?
We give him the benefit of the doubt.
The Adani mine is hoping to be a 40 year project. If Australia doesn’t dig up this coal, India will have to buy lower quality coal from elsewhere, or dig up their own, and that will produce up to 30% more CO2 (as well as increasing real pollution).
The Australian Editorial: Australia’s reputation as a reliable source for investment is on the line. For that reason, but also in the interests of our balance of trade, federal and state budgets and 200 million poor people in remote Indian villages in urgent need of power, Australian governments must not allow their authority to be abrogated by green activists across the Pacific, in inner-urban areas of Australia or elsewhere. As Tony Abbott said before he lost the prime ministership, the rules covering environmental groups delaying major mining projects through the courts should be tightened. The Turnbull government needs to act sooner rather than later to prevent vexatious litigation holding up vital projects.
In their quasi-religious zeal to rid the world of fossil fuels, green activists have elevated themselves, in their own narrow minds and those of their followers, to infallibility status (egged on, ironically, by Pope Francis’s flawed climate change encyclical, Laudato Si). But their arguments against the Adani project are morally and economically bankrupt and would confine millions of people to poverty and filth.
A highly orchestrated, secretly foreign-funded group of Australian environmental activists opposing the $16 billion Adani coalmine in Queensland has “dampened” Indian investment interest in Australia and received heated criticism from the federal Coalition and Queensland Labor governments.
Indian Power Minister Piyush Goyal told The Australian yesterday the years of legal challenges to the vast Carmichael coal project, now revealed to have been funded by multi-million-dollar foundations in the US, “will certainly dampen future investments” from India.
The Australian has several articles (probably paywalled).
Poll after poll shows that the public are happy to say they “believe in climate change”, and don’t mind if “the government” wants to give their grandchildren nice weather. But don’t ask them personally to pay: when their money is on the table, the awful truth is they don’t believe the experts, and they don’t want to spend their own money. The poll results are devastating:
So bring it on, say we skeptics, get that climate talk out into the election campaign, put it front and centre and watch the voters run away from anyone who wants to force them to pay to slow the storms.
Carbon schemes have to be hidden to get past the voters
Rarely have voters had a real choice on the climate policies — but they did in Australia in 2013, and they voted for the skeptic in a landslide. Since then, the smarter climate lobbyists know that they can only get “carbon trading” legislation if the public don’t know its coming. The dead dog that is climate action must be hidden under some other meaningless title like the “Safeguard” mechanism. That’s how it happened in Australia. Australians voted for “no carbon tax” two times in a row, then the party threw out the PM, and the carbon tax was quietly snuck in as a subclause, a spare mechanism, that could be sold as “nothing much” if anyone discovered it, but had the potential to be amped up as needed after the legislation was passed by a House and Senate that probably didn’t even know what they were signing.
[T]he media’s entire campaign against Trump is to prevent him from talking about policy. They would rather talk about fat-shaming than trade, immigration and jobs.
Sometimes, it seems like Trump is cheating by taking the vastly more popular side of every issue. The official GOP used to send its candidates out with ankle weights, a 75-pound backpack and blinders. But Trump didn’t agree to take any staggeringly unpopular positions, however much the Business Roundtable loved them.
He’s against amnesty, for building a wall, against the Trans-Pacific Partnership, for Social Security, against the Iraq War and for extreme vetting of Muslim immigrants.
That’s why the media have to change the subject to something flashy that will capture the attention of the most down-market, easily fooled voters. Trump is a groper!
Trump has been a rich celebrity for 40 years, employing thousands of women, but this is the first time he has been seriously accused of any sexual impropriety. You will recall that, just this May, The New York Times conducted a major investigation into Trump’s treatment of women — and came up empty-handed. …
Add climate scares to the list of topics the Dems would rather weren’t an election topic.
Other ways to stop people talking about the issues: block, censor, ban
Candians Ezra Levant and Rebel Media have been banned by the U.N. Media Censor from attending the U.N. Marrakech Climate Change Conference as accredited journalists.
The three banned journalists are full-time professionals: Sheila Gunn Reid, the Rebel’s Alberta bureau chief and bestselling author; Meaghan MacSween, a producer, formerly with Global News and Sun News Network; and Alex Jones, a cameraman and editor, also formerly of Sun News Network.
The one-line excuse offered by the UN is that we are “advocacy journalists”…
Most voters still disagree with the FBI’s decision not to seek a criminal indictment of Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton over her mishandling of classified information when she was secretary of State, and even more rate the issue as important to their vote.
Trump would have been crazy to sign a blank cheque on election results when high ranking Democrat operatives admit on video that they cheat the system as much as they can. Scott Foval bragged they have been busing people in to key seats ” to deal with you fuckin assholes for fifty years, and we’re not going to stop now”. Who plays nice in the face of that rank hostility?
It is hard to think of an innocent reason why Democrats spend so much time, energy and money, scarce resources all, resisting attempts to purge the voter rolls, that is to remove people who are dead or otherwise have left the jurisdiction. It’s hard to think of an innocent reason why they fight so tremendously against Voter I.D. laws. They say, well that burdens the exercise of a fundamental right. The Supreme Court has said that travel is a fundamental right and no one thinks that showing an I.D. at the airport burdens that fundamental right.
It’s not Donald who has contempt for Democracy, it’s the Democrats.
If it can be done, why wouldn’t a means-to-an-ends team do it?
If you want a reason to be worried, ask yourself why the mainstream media is so keen on framing the election as “not rigged.” The message I’m getting from them, collectively, is that they think it will be. (Because it will be.) We just don’t know how much the rigging will matter.
Why do I say it will be rigged?
Because whenever humans have motive, opportunity, a high upside gain, and low odds of detection, shenanigans happen 100% of the time. Our vote-counting systems have plenty of weak spots. Rigging (to some degree) is a near guarantee.
So there will be rigging. There already has been rigging (see the paper below). But is it enough to change the outcome? The political researchers think so. In a 2014 study Richman et al found that vote rigging was already happening, and it “likely” did matter.
Non-citizens can vote themselves healthcare (which is a pretty sensible scam if a nation will let you get away with it)
“We find that some non-citizens participate in U.S. elections, and that this participation has been large enough to change meaningful election outcomes including Electoral College votes, and Congressional elections. Non-citizen votes likely gave Senate Democrats the pivotal 60th vote needed to overcome filibusters in order to pass health care reform and other Obama administration priorities in the 111th Congress.”
Amazing, Pat found this in the Washington Post: Trump won the third debate. OK, just one among many in the same paper that said the opposite.
See the Clinton Cash movie if there is any one out there who still thinks Ms Hillary has US best interests at heart.
Do non-citizens vote in U.S. elections?
a b s t r a c t
In spite of substantial public controversy, very little reliable data exists concerning the
frequency with which non-citizen immigrants participate in United States elections.
Although such participation is a violation of election laws in most parts of the United
States, enforcement depends principally on disclosure of citizenship status at the time of
voter registration. This study examines participation rates by non-citizens using a nationally
representative sample that includes non-citizen immigrants. We find that some
non-citizens participate in U.S. elections, and that this participation has been large enough
to change meaningful election outcomes including Electoral College votes, and Congressional
elections. Non-citizen votes likely gave Senate Democrats the pivotal 60th vote
needed to overcome filibusters in order to pass health care reform and other Obama
administration priorities in the 111th Congress.
h/t to a friend in the EU
Richman (2014) Do non-citizens vote in U.S. elections?, Electoral Studies 36, 149 — 157