JoNova
A science presenter, writer, speaker & former TV host; author of The Skeptic's Handbook (over 200,000 copies distributed & available in 15 languages).
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Statistics
I have been fortunate to have visited the Met office in Exeter a number of times. I mostly scoured the excellent archives-general records back to the 13th century on vellum- plus a good library. I also had meetings with several of their scientists. Someone from this site helped translate a 700 year old document of manorial records which highlights the conditions of each season.
Coincidentally I used to live near their previous offices in Bracknell and saw an early version of the model that predicts climate. Britain has difficult weather to predict, sitting where it does but a business with tens of millions of pounds worth of state of the art computers and hundreds of top staff should really do better with their forecasts than they do. I certainly wouldn’t trust a forecast more than 3 days ahead and even those are often wrong.
So my question is why does what is essentially a meteorology organisation concerned with weather, think it is able to predict the climate up to 100 years ahead and be taken seriously?
In that of course many other similar organisations around the world also hold great credibility with their respective governments. Why?
442
“So my question is why does what is essentially a meteorology organisation concerned with weather, think it is able to predict the climate up to 100 years ahead and be taken seriously?”
They don’t.
They know perfectly well they can’t.
They are not dumb.
They think the public is dumb.
They know your are not dumb. They know your are intellectually honest.
But you are not their target and that there is little honesty and curiosity about true history amongst large numbers your social peers.
So your honesty and expectation of honesty amongst your social peers makes them comfortable with you.
It’s us lessers that don’t mind making fools of.
Which they’ve done likely to the tune of $16 trillion stolen via their deficit spending time machine, from the future productivity of the yet to be born yeoman tax base.
Which will likely collapse the system before the destruction they benefit from reaches them in their luxury keeps.
When I first started to educate myself about climate, I too naively thought it was a ‘science’ debate.
Never was.
Power political manipulation from inception.
Worked like magic in a private jet bound for a Swiss bank account and a catered conference about saving the planet from carbon, phobias, racism, mean words, misinformation, disinformation, malinformation, Trump and Reform.
Pandemic proved science was hijacked as a political tool, no different than the sincere faith of peasants and lower nobles in the 13th century.
This is just my answer.
Please understand I recognize the paltryness of my standing in discussions on this subject and probably most others.
I do respect the standing of both you and Matthew Paris.
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” I too naively thought it was a ‘science’ debate. Never was.”
It was derailed by the British Navy when they thought the latest science of the barometer would solve all problems in predicting the weather for the next day or two, or a week, a month, next year’s seasons.. It was sciency enough to make the men in charge decry proven weather & climate prediction as ‘old wives tales’, which is exactly where that came from.
Without it we would still be using the planets to find out what was coming up.
60
Why, why, why?
Why does the Met Office think it’s nonsense ideas should be taken seriously?
1. They believe it themselves. Or at least a few influential individuals believe it.
2. They are taken seriously.
But why are they taken seriously? That is more difficult. If we properly understood the answer to that question we would be more successful in correcting all the nonsense and harm that is being done.
120
Last day of the Cornwall Show was cancelled that morning due to weather.
00
Dartmoor is an upland area close to me, famous for its wild photogenic ponies that have been there for 3500 years.
The title says it all and can be usefully tied in with the news that the eco nuts at Sainsburys-one of our top supermarkets-intend to phase out brown eggs in favour of white omnes, so they can help reach their net zero targets
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/eco-nuts-will-kill-off-dartmoors-ponies/
191
We have an equally murderous swine in charge of the environment in NSW. Her name is Penny Sharp; her specialty is shooting brumbies from helicopters. The brumbies are wild horses that have been either let loose or escaped over the last few hundred years and that have made their home in the high country of our Snowy Mountains. Sharpe claims, driven by some of the dodgiest data ever assembled, that they are in plague numbers and are destroying the natural habitat. Cattlemen used to move herds into this same country during summer and the result of both was to reduce the danger of bush fires and their intensity as undergrowth was removed. The eco warriors would prefer that the undergrowth remain and that fires destroy vast swathes each summer. These city bound ecologists are the bane of our existence. Once again conservative governments have let us down by not fighting back when the left introduce their anti-freedom policies. The left despise the freedom that farmers and mountain men once enjoyed.
240
I am old enough to have known a couple of blokes from the Omeo district who, back in the day, used to “run the brumbies” once a year. Just like the famous scene in the Man from Snowy River movie. They kept the best of the bunch for breaking and using them on their own properties, the balance sold off as stock horses and the old ones to the works.
This of course when people could do stuff. Now of course this would be far too dangerous. Better to control numbers by government intervention, after all they know best.
While all helicopter crews are supposed to be “expert shots” and no wounded animals escape, all the stories from the people on the ground suggest this may not be as neat as what is published. The greatest crime of course is that these animals die completely needlessly, no meat or hides are recovered, the carcasses just left to feed the vermin like the supposed native dog, foxes and other carrion eaters. The only plus side that I have personally noticed is the wedge tail eagles are benefited as well.
40
Brown eggs are out at Sainsburys?
Tommy has had a win?
10
Tonyb:
Surely the nutters will be at war between those think that getting rid of brown eggs “will save the environment” and those. who think Brown EGGs are being discriminated against?
90
I notice nobody’s complaining about the potential harmful weather effects of our brightly coloured Easter eggs.
Are they somehow exempt because they’re ‘eggs of colour’?
100
Britain’s drive for Net Zero GHG emissions
measures success by only showing half the data.
https://cliscep.com/2026/06/06/more-than-half-the-uks-ghg-emissions-are-imported/
20
This article about Mad Miliband can be usefully put with the news that Airlines are becoming increasingly concerned about lithium batteries used by passengers on planes, especially battery charging packs and especially when they are put in the hold. The number of incidents is small but the dangers of a lithium battery experiencing a runaway fire at 30000 feet does not bear thinking about. Or in a train tunnel, or on a ferry, or in a multi storey car park….
https://dailysceptic.org/2026/06/06/milibands-new-net-zero-ev-targets-are-not-credible-warn-carmakers/
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As far as I know, most airlines, and all the ones I have travelled on recently, require you to carry battery operated devices and batteries of any kind in the cabin. And there is also a capacity limit for individual batteries and the collection of batteries.
So still potentially hazardous but less so than in the hold.
A problem further exacerbated by most people no longer having common sense, as that attribute used to be called back in the day before it became uncommon.
200
I don’t mean to be stupid, but why is it safer in the cabin? You can’t open a window to toss a burning bag out, and the smoke would be toxic.
41
Not a stupid question, GAJ. I have been out of airline flying for some years now, however I can say that a battery fire in the cabin is at least immediately identifiable. Special kits are provided for the cabin crew that include chemicals to possibly douse and at least cool the burning device, which is then bagged in fire resistant material and monitored.
A battery fire in an underfloor cargo compartment could be catastrophic, as it is unlikely that the special nature of the fire would be identifiable from the generic ‘smoke’ warning and increasing temperature indication. These compartments are not accessible in flight, and the extinguishing system would probably not cope.
100
A flight from Egypt to I think London was diverted to another airport en route when a passenger confessed to cabin crew that they had put a device on charge in their hold luggage. So it is obviously taken very seriously although with the number of personal devices in the air at any one time combined with passengers who didn’t know the rules or disregarded them, the scenarios are pretty scary
60
I always go up the back of the cabin in the back – can’t afford further forward, but find solace in that I have never heard of a plane backing into a mountain. 17cm is the price to pay I guess
10
Tony. You have mad Milliband and we have Blackout Bowen, two equally inept, illogical and quite mad ecowarriors in charge of the most fundamental aspect of our modern economy, energy. These two should never be allowed near anything more dangerous than a pencil sharpener and yet they are controlling our lives. Their bosses know that they are hated by the populace and that their policies are undermining their governments and yet they are kept on. Why? We think Bowen must have compromising photos of Albo but what is Milliband’s claim to power?
150
Lawrie,
It’s not the photos that he doesn’t have.
It’s the numbers that he does have.
The Marxist extremists protected him when he was Opposition Treasury spokesman – “if you don’t like our policies don’t vote for us”. Remember?
Just as they protect him now as Minister for the environment and energy.
Bring down the Capitalist system. Tax the Capitalists into oblivion.
Tax anybody who is even thinking like a Capitalist, into penury.
The Communist Albanese is his #1 protector. The Faceless Men??? are pulling his strings.
40
I have claimed for many years that modern Labor is a communist party. We used to joke somewhat that they would make us like Venezuela. Little did I realise that they were intent on doing that. The people of Australia need to know that we are being destroyed so that these ignorant and arrogant fools can reach their goal. Venezuela collapsed and we are well on that road. Their latest foray into the destruction of capital, their tax changes, are already reducing house prices and causing business closures. Who would want to open a business in these circumstances? Chalmers is crowing about reducing property values. Recent buyers would now have negative equity in their homes. How is that cause for celebration? This clown is truly more stupid than his ex-boss Wayne Swan who always confused savings and tax.
50
Video.
Analysis by Dr Todd Grande of the Henry Nowak murder case in the UK and Britain’s racist two tier policing policies whereby First Nations Britons are treated especially harshly and automatically disbelieved.
https://youtu.be/krPs1iyvoIY
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First Nations Britons is an interesting term. I would have thought that skin tone is a more obvious marker when plod is deciding who to believe. Something to that effect is in their training manuals.
70
Yes, the original inhabitants of Britain do tend to be the ones defined by skin colour which happens to be “white” and they are the ones who suffer racist discrimination by police. In this case the victim was of Polish parentage but essentislly indistinguishable by appearance from an original inhabitant of Britain.
Britain should establish colour blind policing and treat all inhabitants equally and in accordance with the law.
190
How would the Black Knight fare? Or Ethelred?
30
This Black Knight?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3e0mrddCjaQ
10
The name “Ethelred” has nothing at all to do with the colour red. “Ethel” or “Æthel” was Old English or Anglo-Saxon for “noble” and “red” meant counsel or advice. The English King known as “Ethelred the Unready” was called that because “Unready” or “Unræd” as it was in Anglo-Saxon times, meant “without advice” or “clueless.” In other words the epithet was a pun on his name and he deserved it because of his policy of trying to buy off the Danish Vikings by paying them to go away.
They would take the money and leave, and then the next summer, if they felt like getting more easy money, they would sail back to England and indulge in a bit of rape and pillage until Ethelred paid them to go away again. If Ethelred the Unready was around today he would probably be in charge of Britain’s immigration policies.
50
The left love Danegeld.
Obama sent pallets of it to Iran in the hope they’d stand by their committements.
Taqquiya is a word that Obama and many other lefties were never taught the meaning of.
51
Obama, was the son of a Kenyan Arab (not African) islamist and the adopted son of an Indonesian islamist; primary schooled at a madrassa and knew full well the meaning of taqqiya and abrogation, two of the three vital keys to unlock the true meaning of the islamic ideology! His professed Christian beliefs are the evidence, since they did not result in a fatwa on his apostasy.
The other lefties, not so much!
20
Senator Pauline Hanson says what many Australians are thinking but are too afraid to say because their speech will be considered illegal under Australia’s censorship laws.
https://youtu.be/DWl_Pb0k7mQ
140
Video.
Of concern to conservatives and other rational thinkers, why many young women are turning to the hard Left.
https://youtu.be/AlHubfspTks
40
Video.
Debunking the Leftist myth that before pre-European settlement American Indians lived a utopian, peaceful lifestyle.
It was anything but, it was extremely brutal and cruel, as indeed it was for most primitive peoples before European settlement, including pre-European Australians.
https://youtu.be/mxapaXrHr1Y
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Apart from the Pax Romana, life in most of the world was short and brutal. No antibiotics and no dentists and no real doctors. As in Australia in the 1800s.
You can see this in every country. Every city surrounded by giant walls. Every rich home a fortress. Ireland alone had 3,000 tall homes or personal castles. Italy and the Balkans specialised in tower homes too.
The Boulevards (to turn around) were giant walls in Paris and there were three rings of them. Isle De Cite was the original fortress in the Seine. Even without the Mongol mass murder, armies swept through every few years and mass murder was standard fare. The NAZIs were on a war of extermination, a throwback to how business was done. NAZI means National Socialist, extreme left. And the murderous hatred was foundational as we see today.
The British perfected and taught democracy everywhere. This started with the Scots and the Declaration of Abaroath in 1317 which challenged the absolute rule of kings. The French version never did, which is perhaps why most of the wars of the last 200 years were French wars, with the exception of the Korean war.
“the independence of Scotland was the prerogative of the Scottish people”. This was the start of the idea that a country belonged to the people and the King’s first duty was to the people. And while it took another 500 years for the walls to come down, no city in Australia was walled. And there was no slavery, endemic since the start of human history.
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“Nasty, brutish, and short” is a quote from the 1651 political treatise Leviathan by Thomas Hobbes. It was used to describe the outcome of his thought experiment, the “state of nature”, thinking about what life would be like for humanity without laws, government or societal structure to maintain order.
He did make a reference to American Indians:
Of course, the modern woke myth of the “noble savage” disagrees with this, most notably popularised by Jean-Jacques Rousseau in “Discourse on the Origin and Basis of Inequality Among Men (Discours sur l’origine et les fondements de l’inégalité parmi les hommes)” (1755) although he never used thst exact term.
He wrote:
The Left still believe in the same BS today.
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The exact quote referring to American Indians is.
81
‘ … have no government at all …’
Before the arrival of the brutal European invaders the whole western hemisphere ‘was highly populated with autonomous (self-governing) Native nations that engaged in trade and diplomacy and made agreements with one another.’
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And were mostly involved in continual, brutal, cruel warfare with each other that in the extent of its cruelty went far beyond anything the Europeans typically practiced.
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Man’s inhumanity to man apparently knows no bounds, but the cruelty of the European invaders deserves special mention. Giving the natives smallpox blankets to hasten eradication is inhumane, precisely because its indiscriminate, a weapon of mass destruction.
There are similarities with the English coming to Australia, a clash of cultures brought an end to a way of life going back 60,000 years. No reason to suspect they were inhumane or barbaric.
014
I believed that story about smallpox infected blankets, but it was made up. Zero evidence. You get a lot of that in progressive histories. People did not understood bacteria or viruses. Cholera ended because of sewage, but this was only in the 1880s and by accident. Everyone thought the smell was the cause, not bacteria in the water.
Real violence was however common, especially in forced conversions. But it was common in Europe too. The Albigensians were wiped on in Carcassone because they refused to submit to the power of the Pope. A crusade in fact. Massacres were common as in the war on the Protestant Hugenots. And in the UK between Catholics and Churcy of England.
However the lack of immunity of the American natives to a whole range of common respiratory illnesses was common. The same with Australian aborigines. European immunity came from waves of plagues, often killing half the population. And every 25 years. At the same time the Americans seemed to have passed killer syphilis to Europe. So it was a trade and unlike the Chinese army Wuhan flu, likely blameless.
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Historians have discounted possible sources, like the French in Botany Bay, leaving one conclusion.
‘A more likely source of the disease was the ‘variolas matter’ Surgeon John White brought with him on the First Fleet.’ (NMA)
06
The Oz “official” smallpox / infected blankets yarn is bogus.
There is NO WAY that the first fleet carried smallpox. The “passengers” (convicts, crew, other passengers), were corralled in Britain for weeks before boarding. They sailed south-west for WEEKS to South America to deliver the mail and take on water and food. So far, no Smallpox outbreaks.
Then they sailed on for a couple more weeks; to Capetown; re-provisioned and headed south into the “Roaring Forties” to get a serious tail-wind that would take them well south of “New Holland” / “New South Wales”. The charts showed Van Dieman’s Land (Taswegia) being a solid extension of the “mainland”.
The First Fleet staggered into Botany Bay and dropped anchor. NO sign of Smallpox.
That came later after regular contact with the “locals”, some of whom showed signs of past Smallpox.
MANY of these “locals” had contact with other indigenous groups, particularly to the north and west. When more maritime expeditions started exploring and mapping northern Australia, things became clearer.
The Yolngu people showed some signs of past Smallpox. They in turn were serious traders with the Macassans islands to the north, who also showed the “pocks” (marks) left by a non-lethal dose of Smallpox.
Smallpox was “rampant” across a LOT of the planet at that time and there was also a serious amount of trade by land and sea. If you survived smallpox and / or any of the abounding “nasty bugs”, you might look a bit shabby, but you were alive.
BTW: Because of their dealings with the Macassans, the Yolgnu were serious users of METAL cooking pots etc. The Macassans were in search of “Sea cucumbers”, which they dried and then traded to places like China as a great additive for rice of noodles. Likewise, the Yolngu were quick to appreciate the convenience of metal cook-ware. It is not known just how far the trading and use of such items stretched into the deserts to the south. But Smallpox seems to have laid waste to a lot of the inland population BECAUSE of the slow-moving, overlapping, circulating social encounters which also seemed to be the same general trails along which the “swapping’ of “genetic material” took place.
Jenner was on the track of Smallpox and was experimenting with a technique called “variolation”; using “matter” taken from a lesion on a patient with “mild” symptoms. Promising, but erratic results. This method also appeared in China and India.
The better known “triumph” involving the dairy-maid and “Cow-pox” came later, in 1796, a bit late for the First fleet
So, forget about “baddies” (or “well-meaning” government officials) cheerfully handing out killer blankets; that is just cheap “cultural appropriation”.
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‘Following exposure to the smallpox virus, it takes one to two weeks for symptoms to appear. Our theory is the epidemic had been spreading for several weeks before the British became aware of it, and it may have originated from the gifts handed out when Arabanoo was kidnapped about 12–13 weeks earlier.
‘This theory is supported by Aboriginal oral history from the Manly area.’ (The Conversation)
16
Since when was “The Conversation” anything but a debunked place of lefty predudice?
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… and murdered [snip] each other for fun and profit.
… and tortured and enslaved each other in territorial disputes.
… and in some cases, built villages on cliff-sides to gain some small degree of safety from their indigenous neighbors preying upon them.
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Seems like only yesterday.
14
It sounds like our Aborigines and their sympathisers adopted more than the idea of First Nations from the North American Indians. They also liked the idea of rewriting their history, also blaming white fellas for their current place in society. Missionaries and explorers documented infanticide and cannibalism among Aborigines when first they encountered one another. This history written from first hand accounts has been swept under the academic carpet and the grievance industry has written a sanitised version.
200
‘ … documented infanticide and cannibalism …’
This is hotly debated, but I think its a lie.
013
William Finlayson, an early settler in Adelaide (1836) wrote an interesting memoir. It included the fact that his wife rescued a baby indigenous female from certain death. The mother still was breast feeding a 2 year old male. The new-born female was left on the ground as the mother was unable to sustain two infants. Isn’t that infanticide?
80
The book River Of Gold [the Palmer] tells of cannibalism, particularly of the Chinese diggers, saying they would hang them up by the pigtails. I don’t believe it. Both mine and Mrs H’s parents were close to blacks early last century. I never heard it mentioned.
Infanticide is far more believable but probably not widespread. Mrs H had a black “uncle”. The mob on a station were going walkabout and asked the Mrs to look after the baby ’til they came back. They never did. The boy was raised as part of the family.
40
Thanks Hanrahan, excellent reporting.
10
Long pig.
20
I would rate indigenous infanticide levels as a current concern rather than something historic. Coyly labelled avoidable deaths in infant mortality figures they run at double the national rate , as does overall infant mortality.
70
Barbara Thompson, a shipwreck survivor that was held captive by Torres Strait natives reported that she had seen a new born baby buried alive in the sands of a beach. The suggestion was that any woman could have sex outside of “marriage” but any offspring were killed. This was not the case once a woman was “married”.
I think this falls under infanticide.
40
I have found one example, it happened during the Last Glacial Maximum.
https://dro.deakin.edu.au/articles/journal_contribution/The_survival_of_Aboriginal_Australians_through_the_harshest_time_in_human_history_community_strength/20686114
13
Youtube now includes adds from Labor members (here in SA so I expect others in different States) about various things from Labor.
Paid for by the Federal Government?
Your taxes at work?
101
I mentioned this on Thursday.
The Government no longer cares whether what they do is illegal, immoral, or against the expressed will of “we, the people”, they are quite blatant about it.
https://www.joannenova.com.au/2026/06/thursday-161/#comment-2915746
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Worst Federal government I have experienced and conservatives regardless of their party preferences must work together to get rid of the Labor menace to our society
30
Also so my post at:
https://www.joannenova.com.au/2026/06/saturday-164/#comment-2916107
The Victoriastan Government has banned large donations to all political parties EXCEPT they made an exception for themselves allowing donations from the hugely wealthy feral unions who have already stolen $15 billion from the Victorian taxpayer in relationship to the “Big Build” project (and who knows what else beyond that?). A small amount of that money returned to the political arm of the feral unions, the Labor Party, for use in 24/7 propaganda will likely see them re-elected.
130
Many are hopeful for a turnaround in California and there’s much publicity about Republicans making a comeback there.
Here’s a discussion with a grizzled old school CA journalist who lays out how CA ‘elections’ really work.
Turns out they are as close to elections as Public Health is to public health.
And the only mitigation is how openly obvious the Democrats are willing to be with the theft.
‘They Are Getting Ready to FORTIFY The California Primaries from Pratt and Hilton! w/ Mark Groubert!’
Viva Frei
https://rumble.com/v7atvzo-they-are-getting-ready-to-fortify-the-california-primaries-from-pratt-and-h.html?e9s=src_v1_sa%2Csrc_v3_sa_o%2Csrc_v1_upp_a
49:17
Here’s the thing.
CA has always be corrupt as Chinatown.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinatown_(1974_film)
What happened to us is the myth of progress we absorbed in the late 20th century.
Education and the ‘inclusion’ of those formerly excluded was supposed to purge the system of evil.
Didn’t.
Turns out some people are just as wanton as other people.
With the exception of me of course.
Were I to gain power and wealth, my integrity and magnanimousness would be stellar.
As I would hire a skilled publicist to see to it.
110
Why do you persist with mail in ballots when you know the Democrats just keep counting until they win? In Australia we have the Australian Electoral Commission that conducts every election and we know it is safe, ID would make it even better, and we have a result usually by 9 PM. France can do it also. The land of the free is a basket case.
70
So your government is doing what the Australian people have asked for.
Your progressive nightmare is totally attributable to yourselves.
I suppose we can at least imagine that there is poltergeist in the night.
I also suppose that Australian sympathy for the demise of George Floyd was a completely natural expression of the democratic values of the Australian government and people.
Also your great, and near singular in your region, efforts to reduce the planet’s warming by a tenth of a degree or two in the coming century.
No really, that we are the same basket case we have always been was my point
It is possible that basket cases are the more free and successful types of baskets.
30
Welp, here’s the reason for the recent surge in cancer cases, and ‘vaccine’ doesn’t get mentioned once!
“Doctors are treating thousands of patients whose cancer diagnoses were delayed by the pandemic, and some cases that would have been treatable with early detection are now incurable. Oncologists are also warning of waves of recurrent cancers due to these later-stage diagnoses…more than 55,000 expected cancer cases were not diagnosed during the first nine months of the pandemic in 2020 in seven countries – Australia, Canada, Denmark, Ireland, New Zealand, Norway and Britain.”
So, people couldn’t see medics during Covid lockdowns or didn’t want to burden an overworked medical system where nurses never had time to dance. It makes sense, but its too smooth a deflection away from the growing evidence of vaccine harm.
““In a parallel universe they would have been diagnosed in 2020 or 2021 with a localised cancer that could have benefited from curative treatment like surgery or radiation,” he said. “Instead, they have turned up in 2023 or 2024 with a locally advanced or metastatic cancer … cure is either not possible or much less likely. They might still have surgery or radiation, but their recurrence rates are going to be much higher.””
https://www.smh.com.au/healthcare/thousands-missed-cancer-signs-during-the-pandemic-the-consequences-can-be-deadly-20260605-p6046o.html
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None of their explanations address why younger people have been getting cancer. They talk about the usual factors such as poor diet or lifestyle and exposure to pollutants, but they will not consider the common denominator- novel therapeutics administered to 95% of the Australian population 5 years ago.
No better way to maintain the status of “safe and effective” for a product than to ignore the red flags and stick to the narrative.
40
Opposition Leader Angus Taylor Address –
https://www.liberal.org.au/2026/04/14/leader-of-the-oppositions-address-to-the-menzies-research-centre
11
Angus Taylor Opposition Leader speech
https://www.cis.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Angus-Taylor-speech-to-CIS-Feb-16.pdf
11
IRGC winning???
USD/IRR is 1,374,955
Tousi is showing open protests against the IRGC across a number of Iranian cities right now. The internet has been partially restored and people are videoing messages written in English requesting arms.
Many women at the protests not wearing hair covering now.
This is not Tousi but covers the earlier and current demonstrations in the light of current status within Iran:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z-pe33IduoA
God bless POTUS Trump for challenging the murdering cleric occupation.
Think of what Iran would be now if the oil income of the past 40 years had been spent on improving living standards across the country rather than buying armaments and promoting religious hatred around the world. IRGC has not had the global destructive influence of the UN but not far behind.
250
Can the IRGC be defeated?
It will probably need an overthrow by people within the country. Which is difficult when the IRGC hold all the weapons and are organised, whereas the opposition is not.
The West could probably do more to help.
130
The West could probably do more to help.
They gave the Kurds the weapons to pass on. They kept them themselves and didn’t say “thank you”.
50
The Kurds, a completely different language and culture and country, want their own freedom. Eliminated on the map by the French and English, 1/3 of Kurdistan is in Turkey, 1/3 in Iraq and 1/3 in Iran. The refusal of the real inhabitants of the area to cultural differences is at the root 100 years of chaos.
And given the oil resources at Kirkuk, unlikely to be resolved. “Saddam Hussein’s regime targeted Kirkuk with brutal “Arabization” policies aimed at securing control of the region’s massive oil reserves. To cement demographic and cultural dominance, his government forcibly expelled thousands of Kurds, Turkmens, and Assyrians from the city, flattened historic neighborhoods, and incentivized Arabs from southern Iraq to relocate there”.
This Arabization is at work across the Middle East. Most people are not Arab, but Islam is an Arab religion which is part of the conflict. Underneath the veneer, Iranians are still Zoroastrians. Many would abandon Islam tomorrow, but it’s all tied up in goverment and those people have guns. It used to be swords controlling the religion and the region. Islam is a religion of conflict and military conquest. And to change religion is a death sentence.
81
“Eliminated on the map”.
Churchill had a hand in that, I think.
He was some kind of High Commissioner in the region during the early 1920s.
Being habitually sozzled, he might have held the map upside down when he drew borders on it before handing off to a flunkey.
13
Giving weapons to the Kurds to pass on was not the right way to do it.
10
I agree. How would you do it? Sounds easy the way you say it..
20
Well yes, it is easy to say. More difficult to do.
What else is the CIA for? Also Britain has had nearly 100 years of interfering in the ME!
20
The British and the French brought down the Ottoman Empire and took over. They have tried the same with the Russians since 1815. The Germans succeeded in 1917 and split off Ukraine, Byelorussia, Poland the the Baltic states. Then Russia fought four wars, one internal. The war which stopped the Russian advance into Europe was with the Poles in 1922 or Lenin would have marched into Austria and Germany. The scheming never stops at the top level. In most countries the ordinary people want peace. They are largely ignored by the politicians and elites.
40
Iran is shifting from a survival posture to a controlling one. ie a regional political and economic hegemony.
Iran, and the world, now know the USA is a shadow of its former self and in major decline.
You see it yourself as the short war is now 3 months. Trump lies and backflips routinely.
The SPR is approaching depletion levels and flamboyant distribution to the needy will end, the 100 year Helium reserve was sold off just as global supplies are going dark and Trump wants major chip manufacturing in the USA. Mega-duh!
But at least the new pool looks nice.
Nope, as I said and has now happened, the Iran situation isn’t going away soon but will escalate, a situation that is going to be very interesting by next month.
The Oz fuel excise relief ends July 1 too.
Will Albo extend it?
55
!!, what a dark, gloomy place you inhabit. Get a grip. Here in the real world, I see lights turning on all over the place.
Talk to your children like I did today, and thank Christ they are awake and be glad that we will leave the world in good hands and a much better place than all the doomsayers predict. You just need to make the effort our ancestors did, and cherish the human spirit. Deep, I know.
I will leave the world happy in the knowledge that my children, grandchildren and soon great-grandchildren are as resilient as I am because I learnt the hard way from my predecessors, as I’m sure others here did.
40
Your children, grandchildren etc are most certainly NOT learning any form of resilience from you if you think seeing imaginary lights is a positive.
Trump *always* TACO’s.
In the meantime he and his buddies make bank in the markets as it bounces on his every verbal reversal.
If you think that is leading to a better world for your offspring, well, you are *exactly* the sort of useful idiot that feeds that bank.
10
Teaching kids doom and gloom is not building resilience. Giving kids a positive outlook is also not counter productive to building resilience. Making kids aware of the dangers or problems that may eventuate, while also giving them hope, does build resilience. Sounds like Gary is doing ok.
This TACO notion is just stupid because we, you included, all know it is not true. Yes, he doesnt always carry through on a threat or demand. But that is very different to TACO.
You don’t need to add “Trump always” to TACO’s. Otherwise you’re effectively writing Trump always Trump always chickens out.
10
“New pool looks nice”
And you could lay America’s tallest buildings down in it!
Trump seemed impressed by that.
13
What would it take for One Nation to become government?
https://theconversation.com/what-would-it-take-for-pauline-hanson-to-become-prime-minister-284293
The reason for my concern is that we must get rid of Labor governments and by creating division among conservative side parties the informed opinions are that Labor right now based on polling results is likely to be returned to government in Victoria this year and Federal in 2028 if that election date is not called earlier by PM Albanese.
51
That would be all well and good if Liberals were a committed, non-woke conservative party but apart from a few conservative Liberals they are not, which is why people are moving to One Nation.
The Liberals aren’t even prepared to drop the Paris Agreement, which is a major infication of their lack of commitment to restoring Australian energy policy to how it was before Howard started dismantling Australia’s traditional electricity grid – one of the many things that will lead future non-woke historians to interpret his legacy very poorly.
190
The chance that One Nation will rise from zero House of Representatives MP elected 2025, gaining one that was elected again as a National candidate who changed sides and a second at a by election that was held only one year from the 2025 election and a lot a trouble surrounding the elected MP thereafter casuing discontent among voters who had traditionally voted National followed by Liberal. is unlikely to happen.
And a major issue and campaign focus was on water, Murray-Darling etc., however the primary responsibility is State governments. Will the new MP retain the seat if the next election is in 2028 or will the second place Teal Independent or the well liked National candidate from the by election?
Maybe the next State election in Victoria will be an indicator, One Nation came third behind a Teal Independent at the recent by election and the Liberal candidate won.
And a reminded, Paris is unenforceable and Glasgow if it had been signed would also be unenforceable, I have posted sources explaining why. Angus Taylor and Matt Canavan have decided to get on with the job of changing direction from renewable energy transition away from fossil fuels and other climate politics agendas. And noting that from Morrison Government 2018, from 2019 to 2022 that is what was taking place actioned by Prime Minister Morrison and Minister for Energy Taylor at that time, earlier in the same portfolio Matt Canavan was trying to and changing the agendas.
16
One Nation most popular with women voters
https://www.skynews.com.au/opinion/sharri-markson/one-nation-booming-amongst-young-female-voters/video/8c2355058165829f5ffe2c9e17258dee
While the headline says young women voters the article does not break down the women supporters by age group.
But the result is significant and shows that the surge in One Nation support has not peaked. Indeed the Overton window is shifting in favour of One Nation.
121
I am still of the belief that Albo won’t last this year out, before resigning.
I certainly expected that after the 2025 election that Labor would make demands for higher taxation, but they are thinking that the current furore will die down.
It won’t, so that will encore Jimbo the non-finance minister, and possibly others, to try and get the chance at their name on the list of PMs.
70
But like Albo, Carney of Canada and Starmer of UK are also hated by most people and they all refuse to resign. They don’t care what the people want.
Albo and Labor want to stay in power forever hence them dramatically expanding the public “service”, performing useless public works programs like SH2 or in Victoriastan train tunnels, importing at record rates some of the world’s most violent and uneducated people as future Labor voters and catering to grifters via “renewables”. All in support of Labor as all those involved will pledge their support for the regime.
110
Like the rumours that Victorias premier may be rolled over the next couple of weeks, the people that create the chaos and unrest somehow manage to avoid the voice of the people.
Resign with multiple reasons other than “the populace ” doesn’t want me, get “rolled” because the party is failing, someone else to blame for a party loss etc. but never ever acknowledge that people disagree with you, just leave on a huge pension and then take up rolls on government boards or representing foreign interests as an insider in parliament.
60
Do you remember the was secret Kirribilli (House) Agreement signed between Prime Minister Hawke and then Treasurer Keating that Hawke would resign and Keating takeover as PM?
Not even a Liberal-National style party room members vote and secret ballot democratic process, Keating had the Union and Labor nods of approval.
10
Do you remember the leadership challenge when Tony Abbott was ousted in favour of the “Labor-Green” Malcolm Turnbull.
A “conservative” party voted for Turnbull!!! To be their leader!!!
Wow! Turnbull never ever resembled a conservative.
These are all supposedly educated people, with degrees up the wazoo!
Unbelievable idiocy!
I have proudly worn the lable of DELCON ever since.
110
I most certainly do remember, and the comments Abbott made to journalists immediately after the Liberal MP’s had voted in Turnbull …
“Malcolm Turnbull won the leadership of the Liberal Party and became Prime Minister by a margin of 10 votes, defeating Tony Abbott 54 to 44 in the leadership ballot on September 14, 2015.”
Abbott told journalists not to accept cabinet leaks from anonymous sources and to only publish what the sources alleged if the source is willing to be named and is named.
Three years later Dutton challenged Turnbull and the secret ballot between Liberal MPs resulted in Morrison taking over as Prime Minister and soon afterwards Turnbull resigned and left the Parliament and his electorate seat.
10
Inequality
“what to do about inequality?”
If there is a question, it is opportunity not inequality.
Don’t kill the golden goose
It’s easy to reduce income inequality:
Imprison the millionaires, billionaires.
Burn the evil capitalist businesses that generate their wealth and seduce us with wonders—iPhones, software, electric cars, Amazon, Supermarkets, miracle drugs, and so on.
There, feel better?
Our millionaires, billionaires kept a fraction of the benefit they generated for us by starting these innovative businesses.
Their great wealth remains reinvested in those companies to serve us even better in the future.
Just what is the problem?
It is right to worry about people of lesser means.
But how does a kid who works at a Supermarket in Sydney, even know how many billionaires there are, or what their net worth is?
Australia should worry about opportunity.
Teachers’ unions destroyed Australia’s schools.
Construction restrictions make moving to good jobs impossible.
Business regulations, taxes, minimum wages and occupational licenses limit his opportunities.
To provide opportunity, start by getting out of the way.
Many people who worry about inequality hope to improve their child’s life by taxing the innovators to send him a few more government checks—so long as he stays poor.
But there aren’t enough millionaires, billionaires to make a dent in the government’s ravenous appetite.
And what a horrible vision by Labor/Greens/TEALs for Australia:
entrenched misery and idleness, in a stagnant society devoid of innovators, made only a bit better by a dwindling government check and dysfunctional social-service programs.
Others who decry inequality want taxes to reduce the political power of the wealthy.
But that hands even more power to the government.
Fairly won inequality does not threaten democracy.
Confiscatory taxation does.
Don’t kill the golden goose.
190
““what to do about inequality?” ”
Don’t waste money on it! We have been trying long enough to show that pouring money into the bottom end does nothing to eliminate them. A far better way would be to take all the money poured into underachieving kids and put it into pushing the over-achievers harder.
THEY are the ones who will increase our productivity, invent new machines and new ways of doing things, not the underachievers that we may manage to push up to average.
As usual, Govt response is ass-backwards, and guarantees the worst possible outcome for both groups, underachievers generally stay that way and overachievers don’t get to fulfill their potential.
90
Giving money and power to government is like giving whiskey and car keys to teenage boys. – P. J. O’Rourke.
A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves. – Edward Murrow.
Government is not reason; it is not eloquence; it is force. Like fire, it is a dangerous servant and a fearful master. – George Washington
A government, which robs Peter to pay Paul, can always count on the support of Paul. – George Bernard Shaw.
When the government’s boot is on your throat, whether it is a left boot or a right boot is of no consequence. – Gary LLoyd.
Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron’s cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good, will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience. – C. S. Lewis.
The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out for himself, without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane, and intolerable … – H. L. Mencken
“A government entirely dependent on {public} opinion looks for some security on what that opinion should be, strives for the control of the forces that shape it, and is fearful of suffering the people to be educated in sentiments hostile to its institutions.” – Lord Acton
And, finally:
“Governments don’t want a population capable of critical thinking, they want obedient workers, people just smart enough to run the machines and just dumb enough to passively accept their situation”. – George Carlin.
60
Everything the State says is a lie, and everything it has, it has stolen – Nietzsche
A Parliament elected by the universal suffrage of voters grouped according to geographical areas is about as truly representative as a bottle of Bovril is a true representative of an Ox – Elanor Rathbone
10
KP that’s what universities used to be for. Free advanced education for the gifted 5% or so. The country benefited.
20
Our Dear Leaders have been meeting on holiday at Noosa..
“New Zealand’s Prime Minister, Christopher Luxon, has described the prospect of introducing a capital gains tax as a “wrecking ball” for his country’s economy, firmly ruling out the move….His comments followed a pitch last month from New Zealand Finance Minister Nicola Willis, who urged Australians considering starting or growing a business to look across the Tasman, citing New Zealand’s lack of a capital gains tax and its “very pro-growth, anti-red tape” settings.”
NZ house value to income, mean averages, was 6.1 times. Mortgage repayment as proportion of income 35%. Both dropping since 2022
https://regions.infometrics.co.nz/new-zealand/income-and-housing/housing-affordability
Australia-the ratio of the median dwelling price to household income increased to 8.0. Around 50 per cent of median household income was needed to meet repayments for new mortgages.
https://nhsac.gov.au/sites/nhsac.gov.au/files/2025-05/ar-state-housing-system-2025.pdf
So its cheaper to live without a capital gains tax, another Labor Govt screw-up here!
100
Our head clown tried to laugh off the suggestion by Chris Loxon that a kiwi CGT like ours would be a wrecking ball to the economy, yeah, we’re not laughing.
70
FWIW
“Aussie Renewable Turning Point or Imminent Economic Contraction?”
“Aussie greens are celebrating a reduction in Aussie emissions as a green energy turning point. But other numbers tell a different story.”
More at
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2026/06/06/aussie-renewable-turning-point-or-imminent-economic-contraction/
60
FWIW
“A Quiet Rewrite That Could Shape a Thousand Climate Cases”
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2026/06/06/a-quiet-rewrite-that-could-shape-a-thousand-climate-cases/
50
The Sainsbury’s white egg fiasco – part 2
https://youtu.be/6pEH4TAD-Oc?si=1qdXFMbWKCpIhAe9
The bs exposed so even a child can understand.
00
What is the chance of One Nation forming government?
Likelihood of Forming Government
Majority Requirement: To form a government, a party or coalition must achieve a majority of at least 76 seats in the House of Representatives.
Current Position: One Nation generally does not win enough seats to form a government independently. Its chances of forming government on its own are low.
05
Do you really think the coalition can win 76 seats?
Quoting a man in a hilarious movie…”tell him he’s dreaming”
51
OK, but ON sure as ‘ell ain’t either.
You guys hate the libs more’n you hate the Red Menace.
42
I agree with you re One Nation not getting the numbers at the next election.
However you’re wrong about us hating Libs more than Labor.
We’re sick of voting for the lesser of 2 evils.
That is a pathetic reason to be voting for the Libs.
One Nation is already forcing change in Liberal policy for the better.
This is a good thing.
Rejoice!
160
You are sick of voting for the libs, but if I say this indicates you rank labor above lib you get upset. What am I supposed to believe?
Why do you care? You have given up on them.
22
Wow.
Explain how I am upset. How did you come to that conclusion?
Why do I care about the Libs? I don’t. It’s that simple.
However their policies I do care about.
You have put your own interpretation on what I wrote.
Maybe your the one that’s upset?
50
Your reply proves my point. I rest my case.
Note that I have never dumped on Pauline. I vote for her.
20
Please first consider One Nation has two MPs now, but did not get even one elected in 2025;
Factors Influencing Coalition’s Chances
Current Seat Count: With only 43 seats, the Coalition is significantly short of the 76 seats required for a majority.
Need for Support: To form a government, the Coalition must either gain additional seats in future elections or negotiate support from independent members or minor parties.
Political Landscape: The Coalition’s ability to form a government will also depend on the political dynamics and voter sentiment leading up to the next election.
15
Yes I think we all know they need to win more seats, and it really depends what happens at the next election. None of that is new news. Are you getting paid by the word?
100
Apparently my words of wisdom and facts are annoying fans of One Nation?
No I am not paid, and I repeat that I am not a member of any political party, and I am not in a Liberal held electorate, I am in a National Party held electorate.
And I respect the opinions of others.
14
Apparently my words of wisdom and facts are annoying fans of One Nation?
No I am not paid, and I repeat that I am not a member of any political party, and I am not in a Liberal held electorate, I am in a National Party held electorate.
And I respect the opinions of others.
10
A lot has changed since then.
40
You refer to opinion polls, with two more years before the next election a lot more can change of course.
And one that comes to mind is the almost inevitable recession (per capita recession underway for some time and offical recession just on a knifes edge with economic stimulus from immigration all time record high intake spending. And then see public opinion and minds moving to the Coalition record of past recession recovery management Whitlam, Hawke-Keating and not a recession but economic downturn Rudd.
At this time only the Coalition has a Shadow Cabinet matching every Prime Minister and Cabinet positions in Parliament as Opposition, plus spares. One Nation has a Senate based leader and main source of party leadership and two since 2025 election joined One Nation House of Representatives members.
12
Yes,
ON has only 2 members in the Federal House of Reps and two senators so there is no way they can be an effective opposition on their own.
Lib/Nats have that responsibility and they are starting to wake up to the changing mood of the voters.
If they adopt some policies from ON, especially on immigration and Energy/Environment that had to be a good thing.
The problem is that the Libs still have a lot of wets in their ranks and they won’t go quietly.
20
We’re in a new world. The old rules about marginal seats and voter loyalty no longer apply.
The Libs are fools if they don’t see that coming. It’s already happened to the Conservatives in the UK.
The “2 seat” reasoning is irrelevant.
70
Jo, it will be at lest two election cycles before ON could
24
Hanrahan, lots of people would have said that about Farrer, held by the Liberal opposition leader no less. And they were all wrong.
Old thinking in politics means nothing. The two cycles myth is gone. Farage went from 5 parliamentary seats to 1400 seats* (council elections) in one cycle.
I’m not waiting for two elections. We don’t have time to risk the Liberals screwing it up again.
They need to prove they are worth the risk of yet another disappointment to earn my first preference. I’ll still put them ahead of the ALP and the Greens. But when we have preferential voting, it costs me nothing to choose the true conservatives.
Someone needs to explain to me how a ragtag unprofessional group of One Nation candidates could possibly be worse than the party that gave us Net Zero, Under 16 Digital ID, mandatory vaccines, No Jab No play, and the Emissions Trading Scheme.
Sure, the Libs are better than Labor, but if they win, I want a big slice of right wing seats that hold the balance of power.
110
>The problem is that the Libs still have a lot of wets in their ranks and they won’t go quietly.
I would have liked to have seen Tony Abbott join One Nation rather than try to revive a hopeless dithering bunch of recalcitrant wets in the Liberal party.
60
‘Its chances of forming government on its own are low.’
Agreed, but as part of a broader Coalition they could get seats on the front bench. Its the European model of democracy, more unstable but reflective of popular aspirations and beliefs.
Three parties of equal weight and holding similar values should romp home.
32
But constant party of six, only two are House of Representatives, trying to undermine the many more Coalition House of Representatives side is unproductive if One Nation is determined to end the rule of Labor governments.
As many qualified political analysts are pointing out, as it stands right now Labor are likely to retain government after preferences are distributed, again!
13
Its complex, if One Nation gets all Coalition preferences then they have a good chance of changing government.
https://insidestory.org.au/one-nations-sticky-surge/
21
If the pompom girls here are typical of ON voters that would never happen and you cannot demand preferences of a party you despise.
12
A lot can happen before the next federal election.
‘Australians have gradually become detached from the two major political parties. Partisanship for Labor reached a record low in 2022, slightly recovering in 2025, with 31% of Australians identifying as Labor partisans.
‘Liberal partisanship reached a record low in 2025, with just 24% of Australians identifying as Liberal partisans. The proportion of Australians who do not identify with any political party has been steadily growing over time. For the first time on record, in 2025 the proportion of non-partisans (25%) exceeds the proportion of Liberal partisans (24%).’ (The Conversation)
01
Have just spent a few hours looking at which Australian documents are impacted by the removal of RCP 8.5 and SSP3-7.0. It does appear that many of the climate advisory documents put out by CSIRO and govt agencies should be withdrawn and revised.
120
FWIW
“Climate Scam Is Acknowledged. Americans Were Fed Lies, Deserve to Be Compensated.”
https://hotair.com/headlines/2026/06/06/climate-scam-is-acknowledged-americans-were-fed-lies-deserve-to-be-compensated-n3815642
Denizens of Oz?
20
FWIW
“UK Government Plots Digital ID Lockdown On Every Phone In Lockstep With Big Tech”
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/uk-government-plots-digital-id-lockdown-every-phone-lockstep-big-tech
10
“UK’s Online Safety Act requirements for age checks on content involving self-harm, eating disorders, bullying and pornography.”
So, do we pretend those things don’t exist in society? That storks bring babies and hide them under cabbages? That fat people don’t eat too much? That other kids don’t say rude things? Talk about infantile!
That is just rubbish! It will be as effective as banning alcohol in the 1930s, and every drug since then! The answer is to make sure your children understand the difference between the internet and real life, that ‘sticks and stones may break my bones but words can never harm me.’
Still, the Govts are determined to track our every thought from the cradle to the grave, and being democracies of the free and the just, it must be what we voted for! I’m looking forward to the millenials living in the Matrix!
50
‘ … millennials living in the Matrix …’
According to AI there is a 70% chance we are already there and it may have something to do with quantum mechanics.
03
FWIW
More around that Antares small modular start-up
“Oh, and in this Ars Technica article, we get some distortion of history. They are talking up a modular reactor going critical in a first test. Along the way, they state that ‘
Antares is one of a number of companies that is basing its design on a new fuel system called TRISO that takes some of the complexity and safety out of the reactor design and places them in the fuel design.
https://arstechnica.com/science/2026/06/first-us-test-of-modular-reactor-reaches-criticality/
Except there is nothing new about TRISO. It’s been around since about 1965…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TRISO_fuel ”
“Coated-particle ceramic fuels were initially developed in the United Kingdom as part of the Dragon reactor project.[1][2] During the development of the Dragon reactor, its designers became concerned by the need to purge gaseous fission products from the reactor core and their potential migration to other parts of the reactor. This concern led to the choice of coated-particle fuel, where the fuel would be formed from small particles of uranium then coated with pyrolytic carbon. The inclusion of silicon carbide as a diffusion barrier was first suggested by D. T. Livey in 1961, in order to better retain fission products.”
More at
https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2026/05/17/w-o-o-d-17-may-2026-hormuz-still-stuck-ukraine-flailing-gas-groceries-getting-more-risky/#respond
10
His conclusion –
“Those who forget their history are doomed to repeat it…
I think it better to learn from it and improve upon it.”
20
Odd reaction by the crowd after a kid gets kicked in the stomach by a flailing robot.
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/viral-humanoid-robot-kicks-chinese-kid-stomach-during-public-demonstration
Just sit him down a row back and keep watching the show.
10
Mentioned earlier but another look –
“Sainsbury’s ditches brown eggs in net zero drive”
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2026/06/06/sainsburys-ditches-brown-eggs-in-net-zero-drive/
And now they have to dig themselves out from under another round of “White privilege”
Egg size doesn’t seem to be mentioned – but, if a smaller hen produces the same sized egg, isn’t that an indicator os “white superiority”?
00