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Tuesday Open Thread

8.7 out of 10 based on 9 ratings

70% of Australians don’t even want to spend $1 a week on “Net Zero”

The most devastating thing about this survey is not what it says about energy policy but what it says about our democracy.

70% of Australians think energy policy should be about reliable cheap supply, not about stopping storms, and 70% don’t want to even spend $1 a week saving the world from climate change.  Despite this, neither major party stands for that 70%.

Imagine what our election campaign would look like if both parties were trying to win over voters?

The Institute of Public Affairs (IPA) asked 1,007 Australians  “How much would you personally be willing to pay each year for Australia to reduce its emissions to zero by 2050?” And 42% said “Nothing at all”. Nine out of ten Australians don’t want to spend much at all. Yet somehow both major political parties agree to spend billions every year on a transition we don’t have to have.

We don’t have to have wind or solar power, big batteries, big interconnectors, big Snowy 2.0 and we don’t have to buy international carbon credits.

Bear in mind Australians are not paying $50 or $100 a year on climate bills, they’re paying $1,300 a year.*

So state and federal governments are spending wildly more than the voters want. Who do they serve?

It’s like all major parties are working to keep 3% of the population happy.

How much would you personally be willing to pay each year for Australia to reduce its emissions to zero by 2050? Graph. IPA survey.

 

And 70% of Australians think energy policy should primarily be about getting cheap and affordable energy, not about changing the weather.

Survey, What should be the main focus of Australian energy policy, IPA, Graph, 2022

The scary thing is that a bit over 1 in 4 voters (28%) do think that energy policy should try to cool the world.

Daniel Wild points out this was much higher a year ago:

…What is significant about this finding is how far attitudes toward cutting emissions have shifted over the past year. A similar survey undertaken by the Lowy Institute in April 2021, before Scott Morrison committed Australia to Net Zero, found 55 per cent of Australians believed reducing carbon emissions should be a priority of the federal government, while 44 per cent believed reducing household bills (affordability) and reducing the risk of blackouts (reliability) should be a priority (and 1 per cent weren’t sure).

More Australians would be concerned about national security if they knew this:

Australia’s entire strategic oil reserve is only enough for 1.5 days of domestic consumption, and we lack the capacity to bulk store fuel resources locally. At the turn of the century, Australia had eight operational oil refineries, enough to almost meet our domestic consumption of fuel, however only two remain today.

As it is, Australians want national defence more than “Net Zero”:

The same survey undertaken by the IPA found that 61 per cent of Australians agree the federal government should be more focused on national defence rather than meeting Australia’s Net Zero emissions by 2050 target, while only 39 per cent disagree.

Thanks To Rafe Champion

REFERENCES

IPA Survey

*Moran, Alan (2020) Australians pay $1300 in hidden climate bills each year.

10 out of 10 based on 78 ratings

Victorian windfarm loses court case on noise, must turn off turbines at night!

In the Victorian Supreme Court a judge has just ordered that the Bald Hills Wind farm must turn off at night time. After seven years of pain and suffering, two households living nearby will finally get night time relief and some payments of $92,000 and $168,000.

“The wind farm noise has been a common law nuisance at both properties.”

Bald hills, Wind Farm, Victoria, Australia. Photo

Bald hills, Wind Farm, Victoria, Australia. Image: John Englart Flikr  CC BY-SA 2.0

This could change everything. These industrial plants close to homes just became even less profitable because they can’t operate at night. They also need to pay damages to people affected by the noise, and do more maintenance to reduce noise — like repairing gear boxes more often, and they may have to pay to make changes at homes nearby to ameliorate the nuisance, or pay compensation. Many properties near the towers have abandoned plans to build new houses there.

What stands out in this ruling is how entirely inadequate were any of the attempts by the government that approved the wind plants, or the companies that profited from them, to measure and assess the noise, and to respond to complaints. Despite tens of thousands of windfarms being built, the science of acoustic disturbance from them is practically a vacuum. If the companies that built these machines were at all considerate environmental players they would have many measurements, plus publicly available data. They’d know the effect of different wind speeds and directions, plus temperatures and humidity. For their own sake, they would identify the worst conditions, and shut particular turbines off preemptively so to avoid cases exactly like this (and just to show they were good global citizens).

Witness statements include intermittent effects so bad that people take painkillers, install double glazing, and even sleep in their cars elsewhere in desperation. Even during the day sometimes watching TV or talking becomes so difficult that one witness sends text messages to have a conversation.

No one even mentions here — if this noise is sometimes so appalling for the humans around these towers, what’s it like for the animals?

Landmark Decision Vindicates Victims: Supreme Court Orders Total Wind Farm Shutdown

by Stopthesethings

In a world-first, neighbours tormented by wind turbine noise have won a landmark victory, forcing the operator to shut down all of its turbines at night-time.

Yesterday, Justice Melinda Richards of the Victorian Supreme Court slapped an injunction on a wind farm because the noise it generates has been driving neighbours nuts for seven years, and the operator has done absolutely nothing about their suffering.

Her Honour also ordered damages, including aggravated damages for the high-handed way in which the operator has treated its victims. Since March 2015, the community surrounding the Bald Hills wind farm have been tortured by low-frequency noise and infrasound generated by 52, 2 Megawatt Senvion MM92s.

After a bruising piece of litigation (where the operator withheld critical evidence from the plaintiffs and its acoustic consultant was caught out ‘filtering’ – ie destroying – rafts of noise data) and a hard-fought trial, these thoroughly courageous gentlemen have established what has been known, all along: everyone has a legally enforceable right to sleep soundly at night in their very own homes; and the wind industry has been destroying that right with impunity, for far too long.

What Noel Uren and John Zakula have achieved is not just notable and noble, it reflects the adage about evil prevailing when good men do nothing.

Refusing to be [cowed] by the operator’s threats, bullying and intimidation, these men did something and, accordingly, every wind industry victim owes them a debt of eternal gratitude for what they have achieved and placed on the public record. At last. At long last. Vindication. Sweet vindication.

Compensation payable

(23) What is the proper measure of each plaintiff’s loss and damage, having regard to the answers to questions 15 to 22 above?

Mr Uren will be awarded damages in the amount of $92,000, comprising $46,000 for past loss of amenity, and $46,000 for aggravated damages. Mr Zakula will be awarded damages of $168,000, comprising $84,000 for past loss of amenity, and $84,000 for aggravated damages.

I find that noise from the turbines on the wind farm has woken Mr Zakula or kept him awake on hundreds of occasions since June 2015. There were nights when he was unable to sleep at all. There were others when he left home and slept in his car at Walkerville beach to escape the noise. On any view, this amounts to a substantial interference with Mr Zakula’s enjoyment of his property at night — specifically, his ability to sleep undisturbed in his own bed in his own house on his own rural property. The interference is intermittent, but ongoing. While Mr Zakula is annoyed by the sound of the turbines during the day, it does not substantially interfere with his enjoyment of his property.

[following consideration of the evidence given by Noel Uren, her Honour held]:

I find that wind turbine noise disturbed Mr Uren’s sleep, waking him or keeping him awake, or both, on around 100 occasions between May 2015 and December 2018.

UPDATE: The final injunction is that Bald Hill Operators have just 90 days to figure out how to abate the noise that keeps the plantiffs awake. Perhaps there will be some combination of certain weather events and particular turbines that allow the wind farm to partially operate at night.  But the judge admits “no one knows” what that is, which is really quite the crime. If the management can’t find a partial conditional way to operate they will just have to shut the turbines at night. They’ve had years to figure something out, and clearly have done nothing, so it will be a scramble now.

It’s dodgy science from beginning to end

The wind farm operator claimed that they measured the background noise before and after construction of the wind farm. However they found the noise levels were improbably lower after the wind turbines were operating.

“It is possible that the sound levels recorded were affected by construction activities, including heavy vehicles on Buffalo-Waratah Road.” 

[The more likely cause is that MDA did what it always does: it placed its noise loggers close to large trees and/or under bushes during pre-construction noise data gathering (thereby raising the average noise levels at all wind speeds) and, when it returned to gather operational noise data, it placed its noise loggers well away from trees, bushes and other solid objects (thereby lowering average noise levels at all wind speeds, even with the contribution from wind turbines, if, indeed, any of them were, in fact, operating at the time). It’s the oldest trick in the book and it’s been used by MDA and others for years, all over Australia. The other clever trick played by the operator, in this case, was withholding the raw data from the plaintiffs’ acoustic experts, Dr Bob Thorne and Les Huson. Whereas, they were happy to provide the raw data to their own boy, Chris Turnbull, the plaintiffs’ acoustic experts were deliberately deprived of the opportunity to assess and review that data. Her Honour was scathing about that conduct]

The MDA wouldn’t provide the data (even under discovery of documents) and wouldn’t explain the “filtering” they used on the data. The plantiffs were “stunned” to find that the data they had requested did exist and was now being used against them:

 Dr Thorne and Mr Huson both said that they did not know how MDA had filtered its background data, because they had never seen MDA’s datasets. Mr Turnbull volunteered that he had asked for and analysed the raw background data for locations 19, 61 and 66, and had satisfied himself that they had applied the same filtering to both pre-construction and operational data. Dr Thorne was ‘stunned’ to learn that this raw data had been given to Mr Turnbull, when he had asked for the same information 18 months previously and it had never been provided. The raw background data was apparently not discovered by Bald Hills, or produced by MDA in answer to a subpoena served on it in May 2020.

The judge described this as “unsatisfactory” and would not accept Mr Turnbulls opinion, given that the plantiffs had not has access to the data.

Many witnesses describe the effects of wind turbine noise:

Keep reading  →

9.7 out of 10 based on 90 ratings

Not only were there US Bioweapons lab, but the Presidents son put half a million dollars in them

Looks like, smells like a Biotech war —  and the CCP are not the only players

It’s like a Robert Ludlum novel, but weirder. Not only were there biolabs in Ukraine near the border with Russia, which held something the US Government was afraid the Russians might capture, but the US Presidents son helped provide the money to build them in 2014.

Commenter at The DailyMail: (thanks Richard C)

JeffSwanson:  If his [Hunter Biden’s] last name were Trump this would be 24/7 news on every station.

Joe Biden, Hunter Biden. Laptop from Hell.

A photo from that laptop.

Two weeks ago the GatewayPundit reported that Hunter Biden’s firm Rosemont Seneca provided money for Metabiota, one of the firms behind the creation of Biolabs in Ukraine. Before that, Infowars was wondering why the Pentagon needed laboratories in Ukraine.  Apparently the US Department of Defense invested in the creation of Biolabs in Ukraine with the help of a firm called Black & Veatch. They in turn funneled money to Metabiota which “ specializes in detecting, tracking, and analyzing potential disease outbreaks.

Meanwhile Hunter Biden, son of the then VP of the US was appointed to the board of a big gas company in Ukraine, for no good reason that anyone can explain.  That big gas company, called Burisma was owned by a Ukrainian Oligarch who set it up in 2002 and had the, ahem, good fortune to be the Ukrainian Minister of Ecology and Natural Resources from 2010 to 2012.  Handy eh? That billionaire, Mykola Zlochevsky, has also been investigated at various times for alleged money laundering, tax evasion and corruption. Imagine that?

The US Government now says the bio-labs were not making weapons but were funded through the “Defense Threat Reduction Agency”. Presumably the US government was just worried the Russians might steal their antidotes?

Wait ’til you see who else is connected. It seems Metabiota worked with the infamous Wuhan Institute of Virology and the well known EcoHealth Alliance and together they all published a study on diseases from bats in China in 2014.

Maybe we’ll get some answers if the US House Republicans win and subpoena Hunter Biden. Like who was “the big guy” he paid a cut to, maybe?

Metabiota logo

The Laptop from Hell continues to deliver.

Hunter Biden DID help secure millions in funding for US contractor in Ukraine specializing in deadly pathogen research

The DailyMail:

Emails and defense contract data reviewed by DailyMail.com suggest that Hunter had a prominent role in making sure Metabiota was able to conduct its pathogen research just a few hundred miles from the border with Russia.

The project turned into a national security liability for Ukraine when Russian forces invaded the country last month.

Metabiota has worked in Ukraine for Black & Veatch, a US defense contractor with deep ties to military intelligence agencies, which built secure labs in Ukraine that analyzed killer diseases and bioweapons.

The president’s son and his colleagues invested $500,000 in Metabiota through their firm Rosemont Seneca Technology Partners.

Hunter Biden was involved in lots of companies but he was very enthusiastic about this one, and had the oddest emails about it:

Hunter was also particularly involved in Metabiota’s operations in Ukraine. Hunter’s pitches to investors claimed that they not only organized funding for the firm, they also helped it ‘get new customers’ including ‘government agencies in case of Metabiota’.

The vice President of Metabiota mysteriously wrote to Hunter in 2014 about how they could help with … strategic geopolitical goals?

… how we can potentially leverage our team, networks, and concepts to assert Ukraine’s cultural and economic independence from Russia and continued integration into Western society.’

Was this biolab a medical lab, or a military one? Even more strangely, Hunter was apparently selling the idea to the Ukrainian billionare oligarch who owned Burisma and he too was excited.

[Former senior CIA officer] Sam Faddis told DailyMail.com that the attempt to get Metabiota to form a partnership with Burisma was a perplexing and worrying revelation.

‘His father was the Vice President of the United States and in charge of relations with Ukraine. So why was Hunter not only on the board of a suspect Ukrainian gas firm, but also hooked them up with a company working on bioweapons research?’ Faddis said.

How tangled was this web: some other guy and partner of Hunter Biden, the NationalPulse reports — apparently bragged he could get a friend to “reach out to the DoD” to get information  to “to prove the company’s bona fides to top prospective investors Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley”.

So possibly people who knew Hunter Biden were also getting inside information on Metabiota to help the largest banks in the world make even more money?  Or perhaps they were all just really concerned about Ukraine…

 

h/t OldOzzie, Richard C (NZ)

9.6 out of 10 based on 79 ratings

America is finding out the President’s son cheated, the media buried it, the FBI hid it

If this isn’t a moment of reckoning for Project America — what is?

Ponder what kind of acid is slowly spreading through the facade of the major institutions of the US civilization.

Last week, The New York Times quietly admitted the Hunter Biden Laptop-from-Hell was real.  The laptop was announced to the world three critical weeks before the US 2020 election. It should have been one of the hottest election scandals in history — bigger than Watergate. Instead, with one voice, and no questions asked, nearly every media outlet immediately knew it was a “Russian fake”.

Now a week later the polls are showing that most of the voters believe the President is implicated, that it’s a very important story, and half of America thinks Trump would have won if the media had told the full story of the Hunter Biden Laptop and the evidence on it.

Two-thirds of Americans say Hunter Biden laptop ‘important’ story: poll

— Emily Crane, New York Post

Of 1,000 US voters polled by Rasmussen Reports, 66% believe the laptop story is important and 48% percent say it is “very important,” according to the survey published Thursday.

The poll found 65% of voters believe it is “likely” President Biden was consulted about — and potentially even profited from — his son’s foreign deals. By contrast, 28% say it’s unlikely Biden was involved in Hunter’s business dealings at all.

Most shockingly, the Rasmussen survey revealed that almost half of Americans (48%) believe Trump would have won a second term if the media had fully reported on the laptop’s revelations rather than ignoring and attempting to suppress them.

The FBI had the lap top for at least ten  months and said nothing while the Democrats picked the oldest, corruptest candidate they could find.

Everything is broken

Not only was the son of the Vice President selling US policy for family favours, but America’s supposed historic Masthead of Record had covered up for the crooks, deceived the public, and withheld the full story, and so had most of the other newspapers and chat shows, and worse, so had the FBI. National security was for sale, domestic security was a bomb crater, the media and the FBI were effectively rigging the election outcome for their own agendas, and currently half of the nation thinks the wrong guy is President.

These are the moments in history when soldiers wonder what they are risking their lives for. If there is no reckoning — the US, the whole West, risks a phase change from “high trust” to low trust — when everyone knows everyone else is on the take — a whole cohort of honest people flip in the middle — and bribes for business become the norm, not the exception.

It doesn’t have to be this way. But justice must be done.

NY Times, NY Post, Censored, Hunter Biden.

The Laptop from Hell will end up exposing corruption — not just in the highest offices of government but the media and intelligence agencies too.

The White House can’t just wash away the stink of Hunter Biden’s laptop

Miranda Devine, The New York Post 

…the dam is about to burst, as more Americans learn about the scandal and draw negative conclusions about Biden’s integrity.

An exclusive Rasmussen poll obtained by The Post shows a staggering 65% of voters believe it is “likely” that Joe Biden was involved in — and may have profited from — his son Hunter’s overseas business deals; 48% say it is “very likely.”

…as a grand jury in Delaware moves closer to potentially indicting Hunter, 52, over alleged tax evasion, money laundering and violations of the Foreign Agents Registration Act, pressure is mounting on the president finally to explain his role in the international influence-peddling scheme run by his son and his brother Jim Biden while he was vice president.

The laptop, along with evidence provided by Hunter’s former business partner Tony Bobulinski, and Treasury documents provided to a Senate inquiry, reveal millions of dollars flowing to the Biden family and associates from dubious foreign sources, including three flashpoint countries vital to US national security: Russia, Ukraine and China.

One of the few to report it accurately was The Post, which was promptly blocked from Twitter during the last two crucial election weeks.  But hey, Jack Dorsey admitted it was “wrong” and reversed it —  after most of the postal votes were sent in.

The last question, is the NY Times admitting this now because the court is about to indict Hunter, and they didn’t want to look silly, or are they paving the way for his replacement?

h/t Fuel Filter,  Honk R Smith, Old Ozzie,  PeterS, another Ian.

9.8 out of 10 based on 99 ratings

Weekend Unthreaded

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9.3 out of 10 based on 12 ratings

Trudeau roasted as a dictator in the EU: “We watched you trample women with horses”

Those who know what tyranny is, call out the Canadian Prime Minister

Three members of the European Parliament from Germany, Romania and Croatia give crushing opinions on Justin Trudeau.

Christina Anderson is an MdEP from Germany

MEP Cristian Terhes from Romania refused to attend Trudeau’s EU Speech:

“I refused to validate by my presence the facade of the Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who gave a speech before the Plenary of the European Parliament on 23.03.2022, it was the reason for which I was not in the room when he spoke.”

“You can’t come and teach democracy lessons to Putin from the European Parliament when you trample with horse hooves your own citizens who are demanding that their fundamental rights be respected.”

“When you, a politician from the “west”, implement in your home methods of repression and the trampling of the rights of your own citizens, who demand their rights be respected, as Putin does at home, you are no better than him.”
“On the contrary, through the tyranny that you’re implementing you add deceit and hypocrisy, destroying liberty and “western” values.”
“These imposter leaders of today’s west have brought the world into the chaos we find ourselves in today, precisely because they have strayed from the values that made the “west” a free and prosperous world.”
“The departure of western leaders from these values (individual liberty, respect for rights and freedoms, etc.) not only made them lose their moral ascendancy, but allowed the rise of tyrants like Putin.”
“Between the Russian imperialist tyranny, promoted by Putin, and the neo-Marxist tyranny pretending to be progressivism promoted by the likes of Trudeau, in which people are deprived of their rights and freedoms, becoming objects of the state, I do not choose any.”
As some of you might recall Terheș was a vocal critic of Trudeau’s in Brussels when the Canadian prime minister invoked the Emergencies Act to quash the protests in Ottawa.

Mislav Kolakusic MEP from Croatia


Gives us hope. Trudeau will have hated having to sit there and listen

If only the leaders of the UK, USA and Australia had the balls to say what people who lived under or near the Iron Curtain have to say.

Keean Bexte @TheRealKeean

Trudeau is going to come home from Europe VERY angry. He was just forced to sit and listen while he was labelled a “dictator,” in front of the entire European Union, one who “trampled women with horses,” and “blocks the bank accounts of single parents.”

Trudeau’s speech itself,  is full of blame on vague “populists” who “play on people’s fears”.  It’s projection, projection all the way down…  He sees his own dark flaws and “easy solutions” in everyone else and his main form of reasoning is mere assertion with namecalling.

Thanks to SmallDeadAnimals and Another Ian.

9.8 out of 10 based on 110 ratings

Thursday Open Thread

8.1 out of 10 based on 10 ratings

Cancelling Cancel Culture: when being Anti-Woke IS not a secret but a Selling Point

Jeremy's Razors

Cancel Culture only works if people let it

Harry’s Razors capitulated a year ago and pulled advertising from the DailyWire, and then attacked them and their audience. But Jeremy Boreing, CEO of DailyWire, didn’t apologize, and didn’t change his views; instead he set up his own razor company and is launching it now with 100%-testosterone advertising. Make sure you watch this video.

On so many scientific topics we need no-nonsense, take-no-prisoners punchy messages:


When CEOs cave in to the bullies, there must be a cost. 

It’s Time To Win — Introducing: Jeremy’s Razors

Corporate America wants it both ways — they want conservatives to buy their goods and services — but they also want to virtue signal to the woke mob and their 23-year-old employees by publicly repudiating those same conservative customers.

Make no mistake, they know our politics before they advertise with us. That’s why they advertise with us! We reach a large audience that they want to sell to.

…at the first sign of trouble from the mob — in the case of Harry’s Razors, it was a Twitter account with two — yes, two — followers attacking them — they not only pull their sponsorships, but publicly attack us and that very audience they paid to reach.

Well, I’m tired of losing. I want to win. I want to create culture. And I want to have a freaking good time doing it, because losing… Losing sucks.

That’s why, today, The Daily Wire is launching Jeremy’s Razors, a direct competitor to Harry’s where people with inexcusable values like mine can get a great razor without giving their money to people who clearly hate them.

The Left is happy to bifurcate the culture, ripping it in two. They’re convinced there will be no economic consequences for this because, as I said, you need their products.

So, to win, we have to rip the economy in two. We have to give conservatives their own companies and their own products to buy. We have to build market alternatives that, in success, will force the Left to take real losses if they don’t compete directly for our business.

The Daily Wire is doing just that. Jeremy’s Razors is doing just that.

And may the strongest culture win.

Cancel culture is dominant in science today, extinguishing debate, ideas and entire careers. It’s time to get organised.

9.8 out of 10 based on 96 ratings

RCT study shows parachutes make no difference when jumping from aircraft

Sometimes Randomized Controlled Trials are not the golden trophies of science that some say they are. (Like yesterday’s Ivermectin study). While some say that nothing less than an RCT will do, actually, sometimes it’s just silly to do one. And all RCT’s will wallow on the rocks of confirmation bias if they try to study something people already know the answer to.

For a long time there were no RCT studies showing benefits from parachutes — yet people continued to use them.  It wasn’t until 2018 that a paper was finally published, surprisingly showing that there was no statistical difference in jumping with or without one from an average altitude of 4,000m.

This satirical paper makes real points about the flaws of the hallowed RCT’s:

  1. It’s easy to design an RCT to show the opposite of the truth.
  2. Reading the abstract of a paper is rarely enough. Reading a news headline, even less so. Details are everything.
  3. RCT’s are not random if the test subjects have opinions and can self-select themselves out of the experiment.

These authors are black-belt professionals at medico-lingo. Those that appreciate the wit will want to read the whole thing rather than just the snippets below (I really can’t do it justice):

Parachute use to prevent death and major trauma when jumping from aircraft: randomized controlled trial

Robert Yeh et al, 2018, British Medical Journal

Parachutes are routinely used to prevent death or major traumatic injury among individuals jumping from aircraft. However, evidence supporting the efficacy of parachutes is weak and guideline recommendations for their use are principally based on biological plausibility and expert opinion. Despite this widely held yet unsubstantiated belief of efficacy, many studies of parachutes have suggested injuries related to their use in both military and recreational settings, and parachutist injuries are formally recognized in the World Health Organization’s ICD-10 (international classification of diseases, 10th revision). This could raise concerns for supporters of evidence-based medicine, because numerous medical interventions believed to be useful have ultimately failed to show efficacy when subjected to properly executed randomized clinical trials.

The researchers were diligent at collecting data which was essentially useless:

Participants were randomized to wear either a parachute (National 360, National Parachute industries …) or an empty backpack (The North Face, Inc, Alameda, CA…). The interventions were not blinded to either participants or study investigators.

We collected data on basic demographic characteristics during screening by using paper forms or the survey app. Characteristics included age, sex, ethnic group, height, and weight. We also collected information on participants’ medical history including a history of broken bones, acrophobia (fear of heights), previous parachute use, family history of parachute use, and frequent flier status.

At the time of each jump, researchers recorded the altitude and velocity of the aircraft, and conducted a follow-up interview with each participant to ascertain vital status and to record any injuries sustained from the free fall within five minutes of impact with the ground, and again at 30 days after impact.

Details are everything:

Results: Parachute use did not significantly reduce death or major injury (0% for parachute v 0% for control; P>0.9). This finding was consistent across multiple subgroups. Compared with individuals screened but not enrolled, participants included in the study were on aircraft at significantly lower altitude (mean of 0.6 m for participants v mean of 9146 m for non-participants; P<0.001) and lower velocity (mean of 0 km/h v mean of 800 km/h; P<0.001).

So the control group with parachutes jumped from 9,000m at 800 km per hour, and participants were more likely to have jumped with backpacks from 0.6m and 0 kilometers per hour.

UPDATE: Before anyone criticizes the trial design, know that the researchers boarded a commercial passenger jet and tried to recruit people for the trial for the 9000m jump with and without a parachute, but were unable to get any participants to sign on to that randomized intervention. However they were able to recruit participants for 0.6m jump with and without said intervention.

Obviously the design of the experiment was entirely fair and even handed, it was just that the participants held strong preconceived and prejudicial conclusions, without evidence, and selected themselves out of the experiment.

The primary efficacy analysis tested the hypothesis that parachute use is superior to the control in preventing death and major traumatic injury. Based on an assumption of an average jump altitude of 4000 meters (typical of skydiving) and the anticipated effect of impact with the Earth at terminal velocity on human tissue, we projected that 99% of the control arm would experience the primary outcome at ground impact with a relative risk reduction of 95% in the intervention arm. A sample size of 14 (7 in each arm) would yield 99% power to detect this difference at a two sided α of 0.05

 

RCT on Parachutes

No deaths were recorded from people jumping from planes with backpacks.

Conclusions Parachute use did not reduce death or major traumatic injury when jumping from aircraft in the first randomized evaluation of this intervention. However, the trial was only able to enroll participants on small stationary aircraft on the ground, suggesting cautious extrapolation to high altitude jumps. When beliefs regarding the effectiveness of an intervention exist in the community, randomized trials might selectively enroll individuals with a lower perceived likelihood of benefit, thus diminishing the applicability of the results to clinical practice.

The study also has several limitations. First and most importantly, our findings might not be generalizable to the use of parachutes in aircraft traveling at a higher altitude or velocity.

Should our results be reproduced in future studies, the end of routine parachute use during jumps from aircraft could save the global economy billions of dollars spent annually to prevent injuries related to gravitational challenge.

Confirmation bias (and ethics) means both patients and doctors are likely to opt not to take part in an RCT when they believe the intervention is particularly useful. This means many RCT trials are filled with people at low risk who may not benefit or miss out much either way. True RCT’s may be very useful but they are inherently cruel.

 

10 out of 10 based on 87 ratings

Tuesday Open Thread

9.4 out of 10 based on 8 ratings

How to design a study to fail, and create bad PR for Ivermectin: Plus a lesson in white lies from the Wall Street Journal

Ivermectin

Late last week a large prospective “study” showed that ivermectin was useless so it got headline reporting at the Wall Street Journal, unlike the other 80 controlled studies the newspaper ignored. This study is not even a peer reviewed paper, nor is it even news — The TOGETHER Trial announced results way back in August  last year, but haven’t officially published the paper yet.

It’s a case of PR now, details later.

Thanks to the FLCCC we know some of the reasons the trial was never likely to succeed. And given that several groups involved in the trial were also big clients of Pfizer, it was a very convenient failure. Bear in mind, “fail” is relative — despite all the handicaps below, the Relative Risk of dying of Covid with low dose ivermectin was still 0.82 (0.44-1.52). Meaning they found a 20% lower mortality rate, but it wasn’t statistically significant when done with a low, late dose in the wrong way, with the wrong type of trial, with the wrong type of participants.

How to design a study to fail:

Early Treatment of COVID-19 with Repurposed Therapies: The TOGETHER Adaptive Platform Trial

Click to enlarge.

      1. Give the control group a head start.  It helps to begin collecting data on the control group weeks earlier when there is a less deadly variant around. That way more of the control group “do well” which makes the test group less likely to outdo them.
      2. Give people ivermectin on an empty stomach so it is not absorbed well. It works against worms, but lowers the effective antiviral dose to about one fifth of the current clinical treatment protocol.
      3. Limit the trial to three days, just in case all the other handicaps weren’t enough.
      4. Start the treatment late — maybe as late as 8 days after symptoms start. It’s not clear exactly how late the treatments ended up being on average. We just have to wait for the paper, eh?
      5. Use a randomized control trial in a community that already knows how useful ivermectin is.  That way the really sick people will rule themselves out of the trial, because they won’t want the useless placebo. By comparing groups that are already low risk, ivermectin is less likely to shine. RCT trials work best in communities where the drug is not normally known or used.
      6. Ivermectin was so widely known in Minas Gerais, Brazil that some of the control group may have been using ivermectin before they started the trial. No one asked. Nevermind if they were the lucky ones who actually got the right dose at the right time, we can call them “controls”.
      7. Use vague primary outcomes like “events” that are subject to bias and exaggeration.
      8. Rule out sick people (if they haven’t already ruled themselves out first) by only including patients with an “expected stay of less than 5 days. “
      9. Tweak the protocol in the middle of the experiment:  “we hypothesize that younger patients will benefit more than older patients.” Perhaps the results weren’t going well enough?

The illustrious Wall Street Journal swallowed the junk study whole and didn’t interview any of the experts who could have explained why the trial was a waste of time.  (Unless the purpose was not to discover if Ivermectin was useful but to get rich selling more expensive and risky drugs, in which case the TOGETHER trial was just what Pfizer needed.)

Wall Street Journal Logo

Ivermectin Didn’t Reduce Covid-19 Hospitalizations in Largest Trial to Date

Patients who got the antiparasitic drug didn’t fare better than those who received a placebo

Sarah Toy, Wall Street Journal

“There was no indication that ivermectin is clinically useful,” said Edward Mills, one of the study’s lead researchers and a professor of health sciences at Canada’s McMaster University in Hamilton, Ontario.

It’s all in how you phrase things:

“This is the first large, prospective study that should really help put to rest ivermectin and not give any credibility to the use of it for Covid-19,” said Peter Hotez, dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine…

It’s not the first trial of Ivermectin, not the largest trial, it’s the first large trial that should put people off ivermectin. 

Even liars leave clues:

But *most* studies showing positive effects had significant limitations such as small sample sizes or poorly defined outcomes, according to the NIH.

“Most” indeed, meaning 51% or more. Not all studies had significant limitations but we don’t need to mention the ones that were bigger and better, right? Like the trial in Itajaí, Brazil with 159,000 people that showed a bizarrely low infrequent dose of Ivermectin could halve hospitalization rates and reduce deaths by 70% if it was used preventatively.

Would you like a conflict of interest with that?

The TOGETHER Trial is supported by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation [INV-019641]. Gates is a well known investor in medical treatments and vaccines. Imagine how much money they might not make if a cheap safe alternative was found. The lead investigator Edward Mills, got funding from FastGrants, which includes money from facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg among others. Zuckerberg has invested $100 million in “Coronavirus cures”.  And on other days, some of the groups associated with the trial, with names like MMS Holdings and Cytel Inc, earn their money by doing work that helps Pfizer get drugs approved.

Comments under The Wall Street Journal are hotly polarized between people who quote other studies and dosages of ivermectin, and people who make smug remarks about  “the Horse Pill loving, anti-science, Joe Rogan listening clientele often found in these comments”.

Where is decent research going to come from?

The FLCCC calls for better trials:

Trials of generic medicines that are funded and influenced by profit-driven pharmaceutical companies will always fail. We need to create an independent, well-funded government body dedicated to conducting well-designed trials and transparent research studies of repurposed generic treatments – not only for COVID-19, but for all diseases that may have safe and affordable remedies. The use of independent research is our only hope of understanding how these medicines can best be used to help patients.

Sadly, as we well know, there is no such thing as an Independent government funded research body. They are all dependent on Big Government funding. They might start out fine but they all end up captured. 

More than anything we just need free speech. If doctors could say what they thought, Health Ministers, Prime Ministers, Presidents and Science Advisors could be shamed into the oblivion they so rightly deserved for the unnecessary deaths, suffering and pain they have caused.

Let the people choose their doctors, and let the doctors choose the medicines, and a real free market on a level playing field will solve the rest.

 

___________________________________________________________

UPDATED: The wonder drug that disappeared

My repeat Go-To summary of Ivermectin

If you only email friends one link — make it this story. It’s the biggest medical scandal since 1850— Why is a cheap safe drug being actively surpressed– because it threatens the Emergency Use Authorisations for all experimental vaccines, an industry worth around $100 billion. The Australian TGA admitted it banned the safe drug because people might not get vaxxed. Pfizer and other companies would be crazy, nutso, bonkers, and doing their shareholders a disservice if they did not lobby, cajole, scare, smear and call in all their favours to make sure there would never be a cheap safe alternative.

In desperation, some Americans are going to court to get rulings to order doctors to use Ivermectin on their loved ones. One family hired a helicopter to take their mother away from intensive care in a hospital that refused to give Ivermectin and saved her.

Ivermectin is so safe doctors fed it to primary school children to treat lice in Canberra. It has been used to virtually eliminate Covid in Japan, Uttar Pradesh, and in Indonesia where it cut Covid by 98% at the same time cases in Australia grew 500% with Lock-n-Vax. There are also success stories from Peru, Brazil, and Mexico.

For peer reviewed studies read: The BIG Ivermectin Review: It may prevent 86% of Covid cases. In vitro, Ivermectin reduces viral loads 5000 fold in 48 hours. There are no less than 73 studies involving 56,000 people that show improvements in over 80% when used prophylactically, 67% when used early and even as many as 40% with late-started treatment. There are 20 known mechanisms of action: IVM binds to ACE2, the spike, and TMPSSR2, it is a zinc ionophore, it binds to a protease the virus needs, prevents key viral proteins getting into the cell nucleus which would normally allow the virus to shut down interferon signalling to warn neighboring cells. It’s anti-inflammatory, it blocks the NF-κB pathway, which will reduce Akt/mTOR signalling, which inhibits PAK1 which reduces STAT3 and IL-6. STAT3 induces C-reactive protein (or CRP). It’s impossible for Covid to mutate around all these mechanisms at once. No leaky vaccine should be given without an anti-viral because it risks the mutation of a nastier virus that escapes our immunity. Read the horror of Marek’s disease in chickens. 50 years of leaky vaccines created a disease worse than Ebola.  It’s 100% fatal in ten days for unvaccinated chickens.

The FDA and others will say there is little evidence of success so far, but that’s a scandal in itself. Why are there no large trials? And why are other drugs like Remdesivir approved with only one trial and iffy results? Ivermectin is so safe some 3.7 billion doses have already been used around the world. The inventors won a Nobel Prize for its discovery in 2015. By July last year there were already signs Ivermectin could save as many as 50%Why were large trials not started then? The UK trial was designed to fail from the start.

Why are all the vaccine contracts secret? Say hello Serf to your new Head of State, Mr Pfizer?

Image of Ivermectin tablets from TDT

9.8 out of 10 based on 93 ratings

Monday Open Thread

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Climate-vandals are coming to let down your SUV tyres — if only they had evidence to persuade you instead

Tyre Extinguishers are vandals who skulk around at night and poke lentils in tyre valves to flatten tyres of evil SUV’s. It’s a new fashion in “climate activism” and it makes sense in a narcissistic pagan-religion kind of way. Those who do it are convinced they are smarter than everyone else, and their latest “plan” is to show you what nice, caring people they are by wasting your time and generally being thoughtless badgering bullies.

Naturally the cowards are anonymous, though they have a twitter account @T_Extinguishers.

Imagine the stress on the disabled, the sick, the missed medical appointments, children late for critical final year exams, and doctors who can’t get to work. Then there’s the damaged tyres that need replacing.

 

‘We will make it impossible to own an SUV in the world’s urban areas’

Eco-nuts used lentils to let down the tyres of Chelsea tractors because ‘air pollution is RACIST’

Tom Rawstorne for the DailyMail

And so it was that on Monday night a new front on the eco-war opened as a group calling themselves the Tyre Extinguishers launched a co-ordinated effort to deflate the tyres of as many SUVs as they could.

Seemingly unconcerned that their actions might stop a doctor or nurse getting to work or the danger that an unnoticed flat tyre might pose to the driver and other road users, the activists warn that this is just the start of it.

‘We are prepared to risk our life and liberty to protect people from climate change, air pollution and unnecessary death on our roads,’ a spokesperson told the Daily Mail. ‘We will make it impossible to own an SUV in the world’s urban areas.’

Precisely who is behind the new shadowy group, which claims to be leaderless, remains unclear.

But their decision to take direct action that affects the lives of ordinary members of the public mimics the tactics of Extinction Rebellion (XR) and Insulate Britain, whose protests have gridlocked cities and roads in recent years.

The Useful Idiots are helping Big Bankers and the WEF — make sure you tell them “Klaus Schwab thanks you”.

Climate activists have already let down the tyres of a Hybrid Petrol-Electric SUV. I bet that green driver was understanding. And that’s the funny thing about this protest, if they target the most expensive flashy SUV’s in wealthy suburbs, they’ll be harrassing a lot of Green voters.

Smug. The note they put on targeted cars:

Tyre Extinguishers flatten tyres

 

Don’t forget to buy some anti-theft valve locks now before they sell out.  It will slow them down.

h.t To Tom Nelson and Willie Soon.

9.9 out of 10 based on 85 ratings

Election Day in SA

South Australia, SA, MapThis is a thread for voters in South Australia to talk about today’s state election.  After the Labor Party wrecked the electricity grid in South Australia, the Liberals appear to be set to lose after only one term. Please, locals or anyone with insight, tell us what is going on. I’ve only listened to 20 minutes of ABC radio in the last 3 months, but even 2000km away, I was informed of the Ambulance Ramping deaths, which now turn out to be exaggerated to the point of being misleading:

South Australian Labor will go to the polls having profited from an ambulance attack advertisement that was ruled inaccurate by the state’s Electoral Commissioner. (ECSA)

The fact that Labor kept running its ramping advertisements on Friday despite the ECSA ruling prompted one of the strongest outbursts from Treasurer Rob Lucas in a 40-year career which ends with his retirement on Saturday, labelling them “despicable lies”. “Labor’s campaign slogan should really be ‘Lie like your life depends on it’,” Mr Lucas said in the final statement of his career. — The Australian

No one seems to be asking the obvious question about Ambulance Ramping (which apparently is a problem in every state?). How much is it due to banning nurses, doctors and paramedics from working if they refuse to get injected? How much is it due to injuries from the new major health program of 2021 that has no long term data yet, and only suppressed data that Big Pharma fights to keep secret?

9.6 out of 10 based on 60 ratings

IEA wants Energy Lockdowns: drive slower, ban cars on Sunday, ride share, and blame Putin

The new (old) recipe for goodliness, and to save Ukraine now, is just like the climate change rules.

Thanks to The Putin Excuse, the IEA suggests we cut oil use, so we need to drive 10km per hour slower, go “car free” on Sundays, catch the bus, work from home, avoid business travel and share our car with strangers.

We’ll start right after you — Dr Fatih Birol — Executive Director of the IEA. We’re keen to hear how the 7th Annual Global Conference on Energy Efficiency in Denmark will become a Zoom call instead.  Do send pics of your bus trips and ride-shares!

The IEA have already whipped out a handy Report called A 10 Point Plan to Cut Oil Use also known as, Let Them Eat Cake.

The report goes so far as to suggest that car driving be rationed so only odd or even number plates could drive each day.

As Marc Morano says:Let’s simplify this: The proposed ‘solutions’ to climate change, COVID, and now the Russian war are all exactly the same — hammer the poor and middle class with more restrictions on travel, less freedom, and even more surrendering of power to unelected government regulators. ” — Climate Depot

 

Vladimir Putin and President Xi would be a lot more afraid of The West if we just drilled for more oil and more gas.

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Weekend Unthreaded

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Australian doctors get immediately suspended for Wrongthink, must publicly renounce unpermitted Association

Death by committee has a whole new meaning.

Australia's health practitioners

The Australian Health Practitioner Regulation Agency

Australians believe that their doctors are independent, because we have public and private medical systems and lots of “competition” between medical groups that appear to be run like businesses. What they don’t realize is that the bureaucrats entirely own the profession and it’s a monopoly from end to end. There is the illusion of freedom, but AHPRA suspends anyone who “holds the wrong views”. Once suspended a doctor is not permitted to practice, to write scripts, sometimes they are not even allowed to contact their patients.

AHPRA is not sacking doctors for bad patient outcomes, patient complaints, fraud or high risk medicine. For all the world it appears that the worst thing a doctor can do is suggest cheap solutions that get in the way of Medical Profits.

The government forcibly takes the money to fund Medicare from Australians but doesn’t let them have any choice about using those funds to talk to the doctor they prefer — only approved clone doctors. It’s communist medicine.

If there was a free market, Australians could opt out of Medicare and fund their own doctors.

The AHPRA Inquisition Against Australian Health Professionals

Caldron Pool

Who, or what, is AHPRA? Dr Jereth Kok was interviewed this week on the Caldron Pool show, and he explained that it is a “monstrous bureaucracy” in Canberra that rules over all Australian health professionals: doctors, dentists, nurses, physiotherapists, paramedics, osteopaths, pharmacists.

…AHPRA has become a Stasi-like enforcement arm of the Australian Government. It has devoted itself to purging every health practitioner in the country who dares to take a stance that is at odds with the decrees of the Covid bureaucracy.

Some examples are well known. Much adored Melbourne GP, Dr Mark Hobart, was purged by AHPRA in late 2021 for issuing exemptions to patients who were experiencing mental distress as a result of Victoria’s tyrannical mandatory vaccination regime. A few weeks later he was joined in forced exile by Dr Denes Borsos, who having lived through Eastern European Communism, has now been given a taste of Australian Communism.

The Covid Medical Network (CMN) are a group of senior doctors in Australia. They are having such an impact that even membership of the group is enough for immediate dismissal.

The most chilling part of the reasons given to Dr Brennan is this paragraph.

“It is not our role to evaluate the scientific validity of the letter. Our concern is that the letter strongly argued a highly polarised position, contrary to the public health order.”

In other words, the position argued by Dr Brennan and the CMN might be scientifically correct, and the position of the Australian Government scientifically incorrect. But as far as AHPRA is concerned, the crime lies in contradicting the Government’s position. The science is irrelevant.

Dr Paul Oosterhuis is one of the doctors suspended in Australia and he writes that the “bureaucrats are demanding” public renouncements of the forbidden groups “to the satisfaction” of the medical board — see the one below.  Doctors must not disagree with them in public. Read and weep. They have no freedom of association for doctors in Australia and no free speech.

 

Ahpra tell doctors what to think

It is understood that the Western Australian doctor in question was threatened with suspension, and allowed to retain her licence subject to the conditions listed on the AHPRA website. Not only is she gagged from speaking publicly about any medical topic and forced to toe the “party line” on Covid; she is expected to demonstrate her loyalty to the regime by formally denouncing the heretical organisation CMN. With wording that is to the “satisfaction” of AHPRA.

Hands up who thinks your GP will tell you what they really think?

h/t David E

9.9 out of 10 based on 113 ratings

Thursday Open Thread

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A Kalibr Missile just hit Net Zero: Germany wakes old coal plants, UK talks of backflip on gas, oil, fracking too

It’s was the last chance to save The Planet, but nevermind?

Get ready for the Great Reenergize-ment, we’ve reached a tipping point. Even the elite believers know a real threat when they see one. The ruling class, sitting on cushy taxpayer salaries, weren’t threatened by higher fuel prices and carbon taxes, but Russian missiles are another thing.  Only a few months ago we had only “ten years til the next mass extinction”. Now, everything coal is good again, and years of pompous energy policies are on fire.

In normal times these would be monster headline backflips with mass protests in the streets from fifteen-year-old school-skippers.

Hat tip to NetZeroWatch

Germany to fire up mothballed coal power stations

German FlagOne of Europe’s biggest energy companies is preparing to bring a string of German coal power stations out of retirement as part of efforts to wean the country off Russian gas.

These include plants that have been decommissioned, those that are scheduled to go off-grid this year and others that are currently kept on standby.

Robert Habeck, Scholz’s economy minister, has insisted there will be “no taboos”, throwing into doubt plans for the country to ditch coal by 2030.

Nothing bar anything is cheaper way of making electricity than waking up a dead coal plant. Shame Dan Andrews blew up Hazelwood.

Meanwhile the UK rethinks everything, and considers a last minute stay of execution for fracking wells

The only two viable fracking wells in the UK sit on 50 years of gas, but were due to be concreted to oblivion, starting any day now. These were the wells closed for fear of seismic activity so small people can’t even feel it.

UK Flag

Net zero rules for the North Sea are to be watered down under proposals aimed at freeing the West from its reliance on Russian fossil fuel in the wake of the invasion of Ukraine.

Officials are examining a plan that would allow new oil and gas drilling to go ahead on national security grounds, even if it violates a ban on schemes that could damage Britain’s bid to go carbon neutral by 2050.

Anyone remember Glasgow?

The move – which would be a major policy reversal just months after Boris Johnson pledged to lead the fight against climate change at the Cop-26 conference – comes as the Prime Minister pushes for more energy imports from Saudi Arabia and weighs up ending a ban on fracking.

The rumours from the UK have been released to soften up the news when it comes.  Sadly, if Boris just carves out national security excuses, the UK will still have a mess of carbon rules the plebians won’t be able to carve themselves out of.

Politico on those rumours:

SCOOP — NET ZERO CARVE-OUT: Johnson’s hotly anticipated energy strategy is not expected this week, raising questions over what exactly is holding it up. Playbook is told much of the work that has taken place on the strategy so far has centered on the government’s legal net zero climate change commitments. In order to accelerate licensing for new North Sea oil and gas fields, a key expectation of the PM, government lawyers are having to redraw the so-called climate checkpoints imposed by ministers, which block new licenses if they don’t align with Britain’s net zero pledges. Ministers are looking at adding a “national security” or “geopolitical consideration” clause that would allow them to bypass net zero red tape and quickly drill for more oil in emergency circumstances. A Whitehall source told Playbook that this was one of the main areas of focus in terms of North Sea oil and gas, with much of the rest of the package centered around accelerating renewable energy such as onshore wind and solar. There is also talk the PM could unveil the strategy in a major speech later this month.

Nothing sharpens the mind like a cruise missile.

Tactical exercise with the withdrawal of the Topol mobile ground-based missile system in the Serpukhov branch of the Strategic Missile Forces Military Academy

It’s not a Kalibr Missile, but it probably wrecks Green policies too. Photo by mil.ru

Vladimir Putin’s cruise missiles ‘could reach UK in an hour’ if Nato enters Ukraine war against Russia

Putin’s warships and submarines are capable of launching Kalibr cruise missiles at UK cities and vital infrastructure from more than 1,000 miles from the east coast of Scotland.

Dr Sidharth Kaushal, a research fellow for sea power and missile defence at the Royal United Services Institute, said: “Do the Russians have missiles capable of reaching the UK? Yes, absolutely.”

Vladimir’s intention might not have been to unite and awaken the loopy West. Though the West has dug itself a big hole it didn’t need to jump into, and still needs to get out of.

9.9 out of 10 based on 105 ratings