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Thursday

Really don’t know where Wednesday went.

8.4 out of 10 based on 19 ratings

Voodoo-science strikes again: Climate change is awakening volcanoes

Image by Yol Gezer from Pixabay

By Jo Nova

Don’t panic, but the unleashed fossil spirits from The Ford 150 are about to plague us with volcanoes

If only you bought your oranges locally, instead of flying them in from California, the lava would have behaved.

If ever you have doubts that we are merely 3 genes away* from being mammoth hunting tribes of prophets and bone pointing shamen, look no further than modern captive science. These nice geochemists haven’t even published a paper yet, but five minutes after giving a speech at a conference, it’s already click-bait headlines and advertising for The Blob. Not that the captive researchers seem to mind (more’s the pity).

We are about to enter the doom loop where climate change melts glaciers which trigger volcanoes, which melts more glaciers. The press release even says “explosive time bombs”.

Except, of course, this is really about the Great Ice Sheets melting from the last ice age, not about humans raising global temperatures by a thousandth of a degree. And we’ve known about this since 1992 when Sivaldason et al reported that a kilometer thick block of ice slowed down volcanic eruptions in Iceland during the depths of the ice cold climate. The new team have just shown this happened in Chile too.

Melting glaciers are awakening Earth's most dangerous volcanoes

Melting glaciers are awakening Earth’s most dangerous volcanoes

European Association of Geochemistry

Scientists have discovered that melting glaciers could unleash powerful volcanic eruptions by removing the weight that keeps magma trapped deep underground. Antarctica may hold hundreds of these explosive time bombs. Melting glaciers may be silently setting the stage for more explosive and frequent volcanic eruptions in the future, according to research on six volcanoes in the Chilean Andes.

 

The Guardian goes full Absurdium: “A barrage of explosions”

After the Patagonian ice sheets melted 12,000 years ago, volcanoes increased two to six fold they say…. as if increasing atmospheric CO2 by 0.01% somehow compares to removing a block of ice that was 1.5 to 2 km thick and weighed 540 trillion metric tons:

Melting glaciers and ice caps could unleash wave of volcanic eruptions, study says

The melting of glaciers and ice caps by the climate crisis could unleash a barrage of explosive volcanic eruptions, a study suggests.

“Previous research has shown volcanic activity increased globally by two to six times after the last ice age…”

“A recent review by scientists found there had been relatively little study on how the climate crisis had been affecting volcanic activity. They said more research was “critically important” in order to be better prepared for the damage caused by volcanic eruptions to people and their livelihoods and for possible climate-volcano feedback loops that could amplify the climate crisis. For example, more extreme rainfall is also expected to increase violent explosive eruptions.”

Should we toss darts at Voodoo dolls?

The witchdoctors of modern science are one-variable thinkers, and every answer is “climate change”.

We don’t even know how many volcanoes there are on Earth. Most volcanoes are underwater and a couple of years ago we found another 19,000 of them that the experts didn’t know about. Sometimes we only find new seamounts when we run into them in a nuclear sub, like the USS San Francisco did in 2005.

We also don’t even know when underwater volcanoes erupt today, let alone whether they were more or less active in 21,000BC. It’s hard to believe, but we can see a volcano explode on Io, easier than we can see one in a deep sea trench. Eruptions under two  kilometers of water can be somewhat muted.

The feedback doom loops suggested here are vicarious guesses. Who knows — when the great ice sheets squashed down volcanoes on land, the magma might just have been squeezed out of undersea trenches instead. And underwater eruptions rewrite all the rules. Sudden heating of water might divert ocean currents, it might unleash nutrients that feed vast phytoplankton blooms which in turn emit benzene and toluene aerosols that rise up and increase cloud cover, cooling the world.

*No disrespect intended. There probably weren’t many dumb mammoth hunters in the northern Tundra in an ice age.

 

9.9 out of 10 based on 100 ratings

Tuesday

9 out of 10 based on 9 ratings

$4b billion VNI Interconnector delayed 2 years, facing mass farmer protests

By Jo Nova

Foiled — Coal plants are closing (in theory) in Australia, but all the cheap, free, wind and solar power needs hideously expensive high voltage towers, which aren’t going to be built in time, or maybe ever. Last week the AEMO officially announced there would be a two year delay, throwing a spanner in the transition timeline. Coal plants like Yallourn, are supposed to be closing in 2028, but the Victoria-NSW-Interconnector (VNI) won’t be ready until 2030 now.

It doesn’t matter how much wind or sun falls on outback plains if there is no cable to connect them. The renewables-unreliable industry is worthless without these large pieces of infrastructure, which the farmers detest, and the industry can’t possibly afford to pay for itself.

The organization of the farmers in Victoria is just inspirational — all the paddocks marked in red are the areas farmers have refused access to the VNI project. Give these people a medal.

The Australian Newspaper

‘We’ll fight them at the gate’: Vic farmers vow to step up fight against VNI West transmission project.

By Christine Middap, The Australian

And now, as the Victorian ­government presses ahead with legislation to force access onto ­private property and penalise ­defiant farmers, the stakes have been raised even higher.

“We’re united on this and we’ll fight them at the farm gate, if that’s what it comes to,’’ said merino breeder Ben Duxson, a sixth-generation farmer from Marnoo in the Wimmera region.

“We’re prepared and we’re organised and, to be honest, there are people out here quite prepared to go to jail for this. They will not be getting access to our land.’’

The Australian has the whole story, and things are starting to get desperate and dark. The farmers on these lands describe the area as intergenerational farms on the best farmland in Australia, and say they can not be bought off. Though rumors are that a desperate Victorian government may offer as much as $460,000 per kilometer for a 100m wide easement. And if that doesn’t work, landholders barring entry may face fines of $12,000 each.

Developers are so desperate they are also offering “near neighbors” up to $40,000 just to smooth things over. Wind turbines are so unpopular, even people next door need some compensation too. No wonder costs are blowing out.

The Victorian government works like the Magic Faraway Tree (but it’s not as much fun). The latest fantasy land has seven “renewable” zones with as many as 5.2 million solar panels, and 1000 wind towers. It would cover as much as 7% of the whole state, though, VicGrid says that’s not so bad because cows and sheep can wander among the towers, or something like that. Presumably they can eat the grass between the solar panels, and sleep under the thump-thump-thump of the blades, not that anyone knows if that affects meat-quality, fertility, or is inherently cruel. It’s just another pointless experiment in a pagan quest to prevent droughts and bad storms in 80 years time.

The proposed transmission lines are totally superfluous. We could use the money to build new coal, gas or nuclear plants near the current transmission lines instead.

Ultimately it’s our money the government and subsidized-renewables-industry is throwing away. We all stand to lose. These farmers are saving Australians vast sums of money and deserve help, beer and postcards. If anyone knows key players, or social media links, please share in the comments.

Farmers protest at Transmission lines

Western Victorian Farmer

 

 

9.9 out of 10 based on 121 ratings

Monday

8.5 out of 10 based on 12 ratings

Extraordinary footage of flash flooding in Texas

By Jo Nova

A thread for Texas…

Scrib Nibit stood on the Centre Bridge in Texas [downstream from Kerrville]. In a condensed footage of a 35 minute period, the first surge arrives. Minutes later the river is a torrent, carrying trees, logs, and finally rising to the bridge level, a house (apparently with a cat). Somehow cars are still crossing as the logs pile up against the railings. They don’t say what happens to the cat. The area is known as Flash Flood alley.

Despite claims the staffing was cut, extra staff were on duty and warnings were issued. The real problem according to a local in SE Texas, is that they get flashflood warnings every day for weeks on end at times. Nobody pays attention to them.

Even on the far side of the world the Australian ABC news used the deaths of little children in Texas to try to score political points.

 

 

9.5 out of 10 based on 68 ratings

Sunday

7.5 out of 10 based on 15 ratings

A Blobocrat Court rules that perfect weather is a “human right”

Octopus, Big Government.

By Jo Nova

The Blob makes another move to expand their empire

A group of unelected officials in something called the Inter-American Court of Human Rights (IACHR) has decided that humans have the “right” to a stable climate and thus, you have the right to pay for it.  The court that nobody has heard of says “states have legal obligations to protect people alive today and future generations from the impacts of climate breakdown.”

This includes the obligation to cut emissions, and to guard against the threat of climate disinformation. (Yes, they know they are lying.)

Personally I’d prefer to have the right to free speech, real science, and laws written in simple English:

Countries must protect human right to a stable climate, court rules

Isabella Kaminski, The Guardian

There is a human right to a stable climate and states have a duty to protect it, a top court has ruled.

“Top court”, my foot.

Like pagan sorcery, the government is expected to stop storms, floods and droughts. Even though this is an impossible fantasy the mere attempt at managing the illusion of it will employ tens of thousands of lawyers, accountants, technicians, diplomats and representatives who will all get travel allowance and hardship funding for flights to Tahiti. And that’s the whole point isn’t it?  

Announcing the publication of a crucial advisory opinion on climate change on Thursday, Nancy Hernández López, president of the inter-American court of human rights (IACHR), said climate change carries “extraordinary risks” that are felt particularly keenly by people who are already vulnerable.

This is a form of meta-lawfare — to get around the problem of a “science debate” they can’t win, some random court makes a ruling that simply assumes that governments can control the weather, and that speaking against it is going to harm “the vulnerable” (which really means it will hurt lifelong career grifters.) This toothless unaccountable court is a legal theatre that generates headlines, pressure, and ammunition for lawyers in more important courts to try to glue this kind of parasite into proper court rulings. They will cite this absurd legalese fantasy to baffle anyone who gets in their way, and to wind up teenage girls and journalists in The Guardian:

In the strongly worded and wide-ranging 300-page document setting out its perspective on the climate emergency and human rights, the court says states have legal obligations to protect people alive today and future generations from the impacts of climate breakdown. That includes taking “urgent and effective” actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions based on the best available science, to adapt, to cooperate internationally, and to guard against the threat of climate disinformation.

The IACHR’s founding purpose is to interpret and apply the American convention on human rights, a treaty ratified by members of the Organization of American States (OAS). But its newly published opinion takes into account a broad range of national, regional and international laws and principles. And it affirms that the findings not just apply only to signatories of the convention but to all 35 members of the OAS, which includes the US and Canada.

So who funds these unaccountable Judges?

This human rights court is a part of the Organization of American States or OAS — it’s a kind of American continent mini-UN. There are 35 states signed up to it, whatever that means, but traditionally the US pays 60% of the regular funds (stop me if you’ve heard this before). Lately, other extra funding is volunteered from a Who’s Who of Globalist Blob entities like the UN, EU, World Bank and George Soros’s Open Society. Every part of the Blob loves every other part…

Presumably Donald Trump is busy with other things, but he has called for a review of the $60 odd million in funding the US government sends towards this rusted on Blobocracy which was created in 1948. This is $60 million in “free” fundraising money for the One World Government Blob. Let’s just say “No”.

If the climate really faces a crisis, more than anything else, we have the right to real science with real debate; not petty namecalling like “climate denier”, or censorious laws about “climate disinformation”.

Citizens have a right to be protected from The Blob.

Image by Michael Seibt from Pixabay

 

9.8 out of 10 based on 108 ratings

Saturday

8.9 out of 10 based on 8 ratings

Blessed be global warming: There were more Big Cyclones in Fiji when it was cold 200 years ago

Cyclone Yasa, Fiji

Cyclone Yasa, Fiji | Photo from Copernicus Sentinel-3 imagery

By Jo Nova

The worst 53 cyclones that hit Fiji in the last 2,000 years were more common in the coldest times, not the warmest ones.

We are told cyclones and extreme storms will be more intense in a warmer world, will have stronger wind speeds, may retain their strength longer and do more damage, our homes will be uninsurable, and this is the new normal. But the evidence continues to grow that warm times are wonderful, and the last thing we want is a colder climate.

There aren’t many long records of cyclones in the South Pacific, which hasn’t stopped climate experts blaming cars and burgers for horrible storms. But even though life on Earth depends upon understanding our climate, it’s only now, after 40 years of panic, that finally that researchers have studied things like pebble layers, shell fragments, and coral rubble in Fiji to find out what has happened there in the past. Yanan Li and others drilled cores to find debris pushed 120m into the mangroves by the worst of the worst tropical cyclones.  Handily, they also had two bad storms recorded in the last century to calibrate what they found.

Awkwardly, the big storms were more common in the Little Ice Age. Basically, if we want fewer  storms we should pay people to burn oil and gas, or at least give them a taxable discount for saving the world.*

All those layers of rocks and shells and whatnot have been sitting there in the mud flats the whole time that the UN has been trying to save the world from “climate change”:

Intense tropical cyclone activity over the past 2000 years at Bay of Islands, Fiji

Fig 3: The course anomaly (%) means the percentage of coarse particles in that layer that are > 63 micrometer. The sediment core they dug is in protected mudflats in mangroves that are 120m above the current high tide line. Storms surges rarely go that far.  “Events” means only major Cat 4-5 strength cyclones/hurricanes per century. Obviously only the biggest storms (and presumably near direct hits) would leave sediments there. Some of the particles they found were > 1cm.  Fiji gets a few named cyclones every year. But these won’t have the energy to overtop the reef, break through mangroves, and carry sand and shells 120m inland.

These results also match what researchers in Australian found (Haig, Nott and Reichart). Likewise other researchers, looking at the Indian Ocean found cyclones have been decreasing as the world warmed in the last 70 years, which is also true in Australia since 1970.

Instead of cyclones being driven by one kindergarten variable like sea-surface temperatures (or more stupidly, global temperatures), it turns out that wind shear, humidity, local weather patterns, and things like La Nina conditions are probably a lot more important. If climate modelers had even the faintest clue of what drives the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, we could pretend to reduce storms by reducing La Nina conditions.

Until then, any journalist claiming that extreme storms are the new-normal should be roasted for promoting misinformation, or just being a gormless mouthpiece for bankers, bureaucrats and The Blob.

 

Intense tropical cyclone activity over the past 2000 years at Bay of Islands, Fiji

Yanan Li et al…

In this paper, we present a sedimentary record from a coastal karst basin in Bay of Islands, Vanua Balavu, Fiji to provide insight into the regional intense TC activity over the past two millennia. A total of 53 intense storm events captured by this site are identified using coarse fraction (>63 μm) anomalies in sediment core retrieved from the basin, yielding an overall average event frequency of 2.6 events/century. Multiple centennial-scale quiescent periods (from 200 to 300 CE and 1000 to 1150 CE) and active periods (namely from 350 to 750 CE, 900 to 1000 CE, 1150 to 1250 CE, 1400 to 1500 CE, and 1650 to 2017 CE) are found in the reconstruction, and the most active interval spans from 1650 to 1800 CE at 4.5 events/century.
Big storms appear to be less frequent in the medieval warm period too.  
A comparison between existing paleostorm records and climate forcing indices suggests that the southward displacement of the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) during the Little Ice Age with more La Niña events is responsible for the basin-wide increasing of tropical cyclone activity in the South Pacific. Decline of TC occurrence in the western SP during the Medieval Climate Anomaly is attributed to the northward movement of SPCZ.

*Obviously, we wouldn’t pay people much to emit CO2 because it wouldn’t save us from the next Little Ice Age anyhow, but it will make plants grow, and that’s worth something.

REFERENCES

Yanan Li et al (2025) Intense tropical cyclone activity over the past 2000 years at Bay of Islands, Fiji, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, Volume 675, 1 October 2025, 113090, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2025.113090

Haig, J., Nott, J. and Reichart, G. (2014)   Australian tropical cyclone activity lower than at any time over the past 550–1,500 years, Nature 505, 667–671 doi:10.1038/nature12882 [Abstract]

Roose, S., Ajayamohan, R.S., Ray, P. et al. Pacific decadal oscillation causes fewer near-equatorial cyclones in the North Indian Ocean. Nat Commun 14, 5099 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40642-x

10 out of 10 based on 71 ratings

Friday

9.7 out of 10 based on 9 ratings

Suddenly 1.5 million square km of sea ice is missing near Antarctica and all the climate models were wrong

Antarctic-peninsula. ice.

Image by AlKalenski from Pixabay

By Jo Nova

Something huge is happening around Antarctica and the experts didn’t see it coming

More than a million square kilometers of ice has gone:

Since 2015, the continent has shed sea ice equivalent to the area of Greenland. Researchers call it the largest environmental shift detected anywhere on Earth in recent decades.

– Earth.com

Everything about Antarctica has defied the experts. For years Antarctic sea ice expanded when it wasn’t supposed to. Then, suddenly in 2016 the sea ice around Antarctica dramatically started to shrink, and that wasn’t supposed to happen either. Scientists wondered at the time if it was just a temporary blip, but then it got even smaller. Holes in the sea ice “as big as Switzerland” have started to appear for the first time since the mid 1970s.

To explain this mystery (that was rarely mentioned) a new paper suggests  the salinity of surface waters has changed. We’re not just talking about a small piece of ocean, this is everything south of 50°.  For decades, the surface of the polar Southern Ocean was getting less salty — an “expected response to a warming climate” they said that started in about 1980, “however, this trend reversed abruptly after 2015”.

So as news seeps out this week that there is a “dangerous feedback loop” where shrinking ice is warming the ocean, bear in mind that the experts also admit this is “completely unexpected” which is their way of saying “the models were wrong”. Carbon dioxide was not supposed to do this.

Most likely some large natural cycle has shifted gears. Steadily rising CO2 didn’t cause the rise in sea level before 2015, and didn’t cause the decline after that either. There are bigger forces at work, and we don’t know what they are…

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent 2025.

Graph adapted from Climate4You

When the die-hard believers point out that Antarctica is “just catching up” and that they always said Antarctic sea ice would shrink, remind them that Turner et al said in 2013“The increase in Antarctic sea ice remains one of the great unsolved puzzles of climate science.”. Now they have a new theory, “the salinity changed” — but what caused that? They don’t know. They might as well be tea leaf readers when it comes to predicting the climate.

For years Antarctica was going to warm twice as fast as the rest of the world (remember polar amplification?) But the whole idea that warming would be double-bad at the poles depended on feedbacks. In the disaster scenario, as the reflective white ice queen melted — the dark hungry ocean would absorb more heat, which would melt even more ice.

Unfortunately the modelers still can’t explain ocean currents, clouds, or rain. The bad news is that we live on the Water Planet and their models can’t predict water.

Blame the salt?

Ten years after the mysterious shift began, the new post hoc explanation is salt. They were sure that as Antarctica catastrophically melted and poured freshwater into the oceans the water nearby would become less saline. This, they assumed would form a neat surface layer, keeping the deeper, saltier, and denser water from rising up and mixing. Instead, after 2015, the surface water got more salty, the neat layers that were supposed to stratify started to churn, and the warm water from below started to melt the ice from underneath.

That’s a pretty huge shift there, that Earth system modelers had no idea was coming….

Antarctic salinity shift in 2015

Climate modelers must be feeling pretty spooked by now. It’s been ten years since Antarctic Sea Ice started behaving in a way they couldn’t explain, and it obviously isn’t because of our rising emissions.

What they are not honest enough to say is that for forty years they have completely oversold their models and their certainty, while the world suffered, and bet trillions on their guesses. They have no idea how to predict the catastrophic feedback loops, which may not even exist, and that it all may have nothing to do with CO2.

And now some try to paint the shift they didn’t see coming as more proof  “it’s worse than we thought”.

Antarctica’s ocean flip: Satellites catch sudden salt surge melting ice from below

ScienceDaily

A massive and surprising change is unfolding around Antarctica. Scientists have discovered that the Southern Ocean is getting saltier, and sea ice is melting at record speed, enough to match the size of Greenland. This change has reversed a decades-long trend and is letting hidden heat rise to the surface, melting the ice from below. One of the most dramatic signs is the return of a giant hole in the ice that hadn’t been seen in 50 years. The consequences are global: stronger storms, warmer oceans, and serious trouble for penguins and other polar wildlife.

Since 2015, Antarctica has lost sea ice equal to the size of Greenland — the largest environmental shift seen anywhere on Earth in the last decades. The Southern Ocean is also getting saltier, and this unexpected change is making the problem worse.

For decades, the ocean’s surface freshened (becoming less salty), helping sea ice grow. Now, scientists say that trend has sharply reversed.

Using European satellite data, research led by the University of Southampton has discovered a sudden rise in surface salinity south of 50° latitude.

This has coincided with a dramatic loss of sea ice around Antarctica and the re-emergence of the Maud Rise polynya in the Weddell Sea – a huge hole in the sea ice nearly four times the size of Wales, which hadn’t occurred since the 1970s.

Keep reading  →

9.7 out of 10 based on 84 ratings

Thursday

8.1 out of 10 based on 12 ratings

Wednesday

8 out of 10 based on 16 ratings

China caught funding eco-lawfare suits in the USA to sabotage American energy dominance

Green paint for Chairman Mao

By Jo Nova

It didn’t start that way, but it’s almost like Climate Change is just a Chinese trick…

The West’s ridiculously bloated legal system sits there like a radioactive duck. For a pittance, the Chinese Communist Party can sponsor climate lawsuits that cost US companies big money, tie them up in court, slow them down, and sometimes bankrupt them, and that’s for cases they don’t win.

For the other cases, left wing non-profits are running training programs for judges to indoctrinate them with climate ideology. (If we think some judges are crazy, perhaps they had help to get there?)

Senate Hearing Exposes China’s Role In Backing Climate Lawsuits Against U.S. Energy

By Olivia Rondeau, ClimateChangeDispatch

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is financially backing left-wing climate lawfare in the United States, and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), Kansas Attorney General Kris Kobach, and dark money expert Scott Walter revealed the shady details while testifying before a Senate subcommittee on Wednesday.

According to Cruz, this campaign is a “three-pronged” approach.

“First, foreign money from entities tied to the Chinese Communist Party flows into the United States to bankroll climate advocacy groups who litigate against American energy,” the senator said in his opening remarks.

“Second, activist lawyers flood our courts with lawsuits designed not to win policy debates, but to bankrupt energy producers and to dismantle energy infrastructure through sheer attrition.”

“And third, the judiciary itself is being quietly captured and brainwashed as left-wing nonprofits host closed-door trainings that indoctrinate judges to adopt the ideological goals of the climate welfare machine,” he explained.

“The CCP plainly has a strategy of driving the United States away from domestic energy sources and increasing U.S. dependence on sources that rely on a Chinese supply of solar panels, electric vehicle batteries, and other technologies.”

If the CCP do this in the US, why wouldn’t they do it in Australia? (Perhaps they don’t need to, they could hardly hope to sabotage the mining industry in Australia better than Tanya Plibersek has.) But if they did, who would investigate? The ABC?

Of course, the Chinese Communist Party is just worried about carbon emissions

It’s what a good global citizen does — help everyone else cut emissions, especially stupid nations:

OWID

It’s a bit like the way the CCP is suddenly so worried Australia might waste money on military expenses. Xiao Qian, China’s Ambassador to Australia, doesn’t mind us spending billions on Chinese made solar panels and wind-mills, but he’s concerned about our heavy fiscal burden for defense and our livelihoods. It’s all so touching…

Don’t fall for NATO’s hyped-up rhetoric on defence spending

By Xiao Qian, in The Australian

By playing up international and regional tensions and slandering China’s normal military build-up, these countries are merely seeking nothing but excuses to drastically grow their military spending…

Dramatically increasing military spending places a heavy fiscal burden on the countries involved, undermining their efforts to boost economies and improve livelihoods, and further straining a global economy already struggling with weak recovery.

On a blog we might call this a concern troll.

If the CCP were so worried about us wasting money on defense they didn’t have to conduct live firing exercises off Sydney…

Image: Green paint for Chairman Mao. …by Daderot 

 

 

10 out of 10 based on 107 ratings

Tuesday

7.9 out of 10 based on 13 ratings

Monday

8.7 out of 10 based on 20 ratings

Sunday

8.9 out of 10 based on 23 ratings

In publicity stunt, Australia offers “climate visas” to islanders of Tuvalu, which is not sinking

ABC HEadline: Nearly one-third of Tuvalu residents apply for Australian climate change visa program

By Jo Nova

Everything about the Tuvalu “climate visas” reeks of a marketing ploy

Satellites clearly show that if “climate change” has any effect on Tuvalu, it’s to make it bigger. Not only are beaches expanding, obviously in photographs, but we’ve known about this for years. And lest anyone wonders if Tuvalu is some freakish exception to the rule, the same thing is happening to 700 other Pacific Islands. Not one habitable island got smaller. Not one. 

After fifty years of man-made climate change the only things sinking in the Pacific are bulk carriers loaded with EVs.  Even the Blob Scientists have pushed back the “Tuvalu sinking” date until after they’ve safely retired and probably died, some 80 years from now.

So faced with a big nothing, the Australian government decides to offer 280 “Climate Visas” to be raffled off each year to the 10,000 people of Tuvalu, in case it sinks in 2100AD.  Naturally 3,000 people applied for the lottery, inspiring mass headlines that implied a third of the nation are so terrified of the seas rising that they want to leave.

For the price of 280 visas the government, the UN, The Blob, gets the kind of advertising that money can’t buy.

This has the added benefit that the merchants of panic can do this every year, and on other islands, at least until the word gets out that Tuvalu is not sinking and they all know it. It’s a pathetic marketing scam to drum up news headlines.

If the Australian ABC bothered to so some research and google search their own site, they’d know that even they had to admit Tuvalu wasn’t sinking, and Craig Kelly was right back in 2018. Imagine what the ABC could do if they had 3 million dollars a day to spend and a whole ABC Science Unit to make sure they weren’t pouring out misinformation?  I jest. (Don’t look now, but today’s top science story is “How deadly are sheep?”)

Your mission, should you choose to accept it, is to tell as many people as possible how dishonest and cynical everyone involved in this is. The Minister, the Scientists, the ABC, the Universities, they’re all pathetic.  Where are the Australian “sea level” experts to correct the ABC’s propaganda, and expose the Ministers absurd policy?

h/t Sambar and David Maddison.

Tuvalu Islands, sea level change.

Examples of island change and dynamics in Tuvalu from 1971 to 2014. a/ Nanumaga reef platform island (301 ha) increased in area 4.7 ha (1.6%) and remained stable on its reef platform. b/ Fangaia island (22.4 ha), Nukulaelae atoll, increased in area 3.1 ha (13.7%) and remained stable on reef rim. c/ Fenualango island (14.1 ha), Nukulaelae atoll rim, increased in area 2.3 ha (16%). Note smaller island on left Teafuafatu (0.29 ha), which reduced in area 0.15 ha (49%) and had significant lagoonward movement. d/ Two smaller reef islands on Nukulaelae reef rim. Tapuaelani island, (0.19 ha) top left, increased in area 0.21 ha (113%) and migrated lagoonward. Kalilaia island, (0.52 ha) bottom right, reduced in area 0.45 ha (85%) migrating substantially lagoonward. e/ Teafuone island (1.37 ha) Nukufetau atoll, increased in area 0.04 ha (3%). Note lateral migration of island along reef platform. Yellow lines represent the 1971 shoreline, blue lines represent the 1984 shoreline, green lines represent the 2006 shoreline and red lines represent the 2014 shoreline. Images ©2017 DigitalGlobe Inc

 

REFERENCES

Duvat, V. K. E. (2018). A global assessment of atoll island planform changes over the past decades. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, e557. doi:10.1002/wcc.557

Kench et al (2018) Patterns of island change and persistence offer alternate adaptation pathways for atoll nations, Nature Communications (2018). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-02954-1

Kench, P.S., Liang, C., Ford, M.R. et al. (2023) Reef islands have continually adjusted to environmental change over the past two millennia. Nat Commun 14, 508  doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36171-2

 

 

10 out of 10 based on 102 ratings

Saturday

8 out of 10 based on 13 ratings