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Thursday

9 out of 10 based on 19 ratings

Opposition drops Net Zero and suddenly Labor are not so keen on hosting a $2b Climate Conference?

By Jo Nova

Just after the Coalition announced they would put cheaper energy ahead of global weather control, Anthony Albanese has been struck with cold feet about hosting the Climate COP31 giant junket in Adelaide.

After campaigning for this for three years like it was the Olympics, Anthony Albanese is now suddenly worried about Germany.  If Australia and Turkey don’t sort this out between them, the climate circus will default to the poor Germans who will have to host COP31 — something they’ve said they don’t want to do.

Albanese puts COP31 truce on the table after blast from Turkey

By Ben Packham, The Australian

Anthony Albanese has signalled his government is prepared to cede the hosting of next year’s UN climate conference to Turkey but says he wants to salvage some benefits for Pacific Island countries.

The Prime Minister was yet to withdraw Australia’s bid but said on Tuesday that if Turkey was preferred by delegates at this year’s COP (Conference of the Parties) then Australia would not challenge the decision.

He said there was “considerable concern” in the international community that the impasse between Canberra and Ankara would see the 2026 COP default to the German city of Bonn, as required by UN rules.

Amazing how fast political certainty can flip, isn’t it? One moment Anthony Albanese was hoping to stand beside Antonio Guterres on the glorious world stage and brag about how many solar panels Australia has, but now he probably wants a quiet exit.

It doesn’t help that the current COP30 is a flop where Russia, China, India and the US didn’t turn up and most countries didn’t update their plan. If the Australian opposition find their feet and wage a climate war, COP31 in Adelaide will be a sitting duck, radiating upper-class green out-of-touch vibes while voters struggle to pay their electricity bills. It would be a gift to political opponents. Two thousand million dollars is a lot to burn on a lame UN event.

The Opposition may have just saved Australia $2 billion dollars. Or maybe COP30 did.

 

 

9.9 out of 10 based on 120 ratings

Wednesday

The internet broke for the last couple of hours as Cloudflare crashed, taking X, ChatGPT, Spotify, Facebook, Telegram, this site, and even (the irony) DownDetector. Lots of people on X are asking why the internet is so big, yet so hopelessly concentrated.  (e.g. AWS, Cloudflare, Google Cloud). This augurs well for Digital ID…
Below, an explanation from a guy that might work at Cloudflare:
I won’t mince words: earlier today we failed our customers and the broader Internet when a problem in @Cloudflare network impacted large amounts of traffic that rely on us. The sites, businesses, and organizations that rely on Cloudflare depend on us being available and I apologize for the impact that we caused. Transparency about what happened matters, and we plan to share a breakdown with more details in a few hours. In short, a latent bug in a service underpinning our bot mitigation capability started to crash after a routine configuration change we made. That cascaded into a broad degradation to our network and other services. This was not an attack. That issue, impact it caused, and time to resolution is unacceptable. Work is already underway to make sure it does not happen again, but I know it caused real pain today. The trust our customers place in us is what we value the most and we are going to do what it takes to earn that back.

@chaeynz_ tweeted: “in retrospect of the cloudflare outage, let us celebrate this meme once more

9.8 out of 10 based on 51 ratings

UN makes “landmark” deal on information integrity to shut up annoying denialists

By Jo Nova

Look out. Climate Denialism is a “security threat” now

As the Net Zero fantasy crumbles and the political tide shifts, the Blob has up’d the ante and pressed the red hot “security threat” button. Climate deniers are now such a mortal threat (to the sinecures of the Blobcrats) they must be contained.

As David Archibald says “When they have lost the argument, they change the rules.”

Countries seal landmark declaration at COP30—marking first time information integrity is prioritized at UN Climate Conference

Drafted in collaboration with civil society members of the Global Initiative Advisory Group, the Declaration has been endorsed by ten countries so far – Brazil, Canada, Chile, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Spain, Sweden and Uruguay. 

“Climate change is no longer a threat of the future; it is a tragedy of the present,” said President of Brazil Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Belém. “We live in an era in which obscurantists reject scientific evidence and attack institutions. It is time to deliver yet another defeat to denialism.”

Oh, the horrible obscurantists! Humanity will be saved, but only if governments can rule without having to answer difficult questions.

The UN must be feeling fragile because the term “denialism” is decidedly unscientific — it is the language of political and religious struggle, not of atmospheric physics.

Perhaps they’re afraid the world might recognize that the UN is a superfluous, bloodsucking freeloader?  To make themselves useful, the UN are providing an excuse for sympathetic (socialist) governments to launch information integrity commissions, or to fund “research” into misinformation online.

The new key phrase is “Information Integrity”

The Greens are the Bankers and the Bureaucrats best friend.

They couldn’t call it the Ministry of Truth again, so the new catchword of censorship is “information integrity”. The question the UN hopes you won’t ask is  “who defines integrity?” for they be the Kings.

Strangely the Australian Greens were already speaking this lingo five months ago. The new Global Initiative for Information Integrity sounds spookily similar to The Select Committee on Information Integrity that the Australian Greens set up in August.  It’s almost like the UN phoned up the Greens in July and told them what to do?

Google Trends shows that there was a sudden mysterious global interest in “information integrity” from July this year.

Keep reading  →

9.7 out of 10 based on 120 ratings

Tuesday

8 out of 10 based on 9 ratings

Monday

8.5 out of 10 based on 23 ratings

Sunday

8.1 out of 10 based on 21 ratings

UN tells Australia (but not China) that digging up our own gas might be a breach of “international law”

By Jo Nova

What looks smells and acts like One World Government?

The UN, which we fund for some reason, is telling us we can’t drill for gas on our land and are being very naughty. They’ve sent a Special Rapporteur, Astrid Puentes Riano, to join three cases in Federal Courts in an amicus curiae role. She is here to cast a spell and see if she gets lucky and scores some shake-down-money in reparations.

It was only a few months ago the International Court of Climate Justice (ICJ) declared that nice weather was a “human right”, thus supposedly allowing the whole world to sue everyone else, ad infinitum for bad weather.

The case was originally launched by Australian Conservation Foundation and another group called Friends of Australian Rock Art in the Federal Court challenging the Ministers decision to extend the Woodside gas project out to 2070. So the UN is sending a performance artist to tell us we are “in breach of international laws.” If she succeeds, it’s a foot in the door, a precedent for more.

UN rapporteur intervenes in Federal Court case over Woodside’s gas project

By Paul Garvey, The Australian

Her shock intervention comes just months after the UN’s International Court of Justice found that countries that did not take appropriate action to protect the climate could be breaching international law.

Amicus curiae allows a person or group to offer information or expertise on a case without becoming a formal party to the matter.

Elaine Johnson, the lawyer representing Friends of Australian Rock Art in the proceedings, revealed that the group had previously warned Senator Watt that approving the North West Shelf could put Australia at risk of breaching international laws.

“The night before this project was approved, our office wrote to the minister advising him that his proposed actions could constitute a breach of Australia’s international law obligations, after Vanuatu warned that approval of the project would represent an internationally wrongful act,” Ms Johnson said.

It’s surprising that the Australian government appears to have taken no steps at all to respond to the recent International Court of Justice Advisory Opinion, which confirmed that continued fossil fuel production could expose countries like Australia to liability for transboundary climate harms. Business as usual is no longer an option that comes without serious national economic and social risks.”

And if we stop selling gas will other countries sue us because their people are hungry or cold?

As I said when the ICJ made it’s ‘historic ruling’ in July — it’s a toothless tiger that serious counties (including Australia) have ignored many times. But make no mistake, the Blob is knocking at our door in a game of bluff, and sooner or later it will get in — unless we shut it down first.

The country that has generated the most carbon dioxide, bar none, is the US, and it withdrew from compulsory jurisdiction from the International Court of Justice 40 years ago, and the ICJ can’t hear a case against the US unless the US consents. (That was Nicaragua v. United States of 1986). In 2005, the US just ignored the ICJ ruling that the US violated the Vienna Convention. (Even Australia withdrew from ICJ jurisdiction over maritime boundary disputes  in 2002 — just before East Timor was about to sue it over the Timor Gap oil field.)

The number two country on the global emitters list, — that has historically burned the most coal on Earth — is China, but good luck getting them to pay. They will, however, offer a Belt and Road climate loan, paid back in harbors, airports and railway lines or just pro-China votes in the UN.

So who is this legislative theatre aimed at? The only suckers left —  Europe, the UK, Australia, Canada and New Zealand.

It’s time to defund the UN

Nothing about what they do serves Australians, except for the few who score a job “after politics”.

There should be law about that…

 

Related posts on Lawfare:

 

 

10 out of 10 based on 119 ratings

Saturday

8.3 out of 10 based on 16 ratings

Australian opposition finally abandons Net Zero Targets. The Government calls them names…

Liberal Party jumps from Net Zero.

By Jo Nova

The unwashed masses drag the Liberals back closer to reality

After spending six months wallowing in the pain of indecision, the Liberal Party has done the obvious and only thing they could do and stepped back from Global Weather Control. Party members in nearly every state had been pleading for this. The polls show it has been a buried goldmine for votes in Australian politics for more than a decade (Tony Abbott won a 90 seat landslide in 2013). Minor right wing parties were stealing the conservative base out from under their feet. The Nationals, their partner party, had leapt off the Net Zero Zeppelin while tied with a military-grade kevlar-lead to the Liberals. Shadow Ministers had resigned in protest, and competitors were circling the leaders position.

Could Sussan Ley have left it even another day?

We are scraping the bottom of the barrel of Australian democracy. When asked who would be better to manage the cost-of-living-crisis, last week more than half of Australia voters aged 35 to 49 didn’t say Liberal or Labor. They said “neither“. In August, eighty three percent of Australians didn’t want the higher emissions targets the Labor Party forced on the country in September. But who could 83% of the voters vote for?

So this is democracy working (very slowly), via handicapped carrier pigeons, limping through mud in the darkness.

The Liberals will axe the carbon tax, lift the moratorium on nuclear power and drop the emissions program back to whatever most like-minded countries are doing. They might even consider building new coal plants, and are talking of keeping the old plants running for longer. Hallelujah.

Liberals capitulate to Nationals and reignite climate wars

By Phillip Coorey, Australian Financial Review

The Liberal Party has reignited the climate wars by releasing a carbon copy of the Nationals’ energy policy which claims to be able to reduce emissions and energy prices while abandoning all current targets, including net zero emissions, and extending reliance on coal and gas-fired power.

Under the new policy, the Liberals have copied every measure announced by the Nationals. These include abandoning any pursuit of net zero emissions by 2050 or any other date, and pledging to tear up Labor’s 2030 and 2035 emissions reduction targets and replacing them with much lower targets aligned with the average reductions of “like-minded countries”. The Nationals will pin their targets to the OECD average.

The Liberal policy also adopts the Nationals’ plan to abolish all emissions reduction policies, such as the Safeguard Mechanism that applies to the nation’s top industrial emitter, and the New Vehicle Efficiency Scheme designed to force down transport emissions.
The Liberals will also lift the moratorium on nuclear power and expand Labor’s Capacity Investment Scheme, a subsidy scheme for renewables, to include coal, gas and nuclear.

Some great news — Axing a carbon tax, and a free market for cars

This policy change by the Liberals was ten years too late, and cost the nation untold billions. The good news is that the new National-Liberal policy gets the big things right. Finally the Coalition says it will abolish all emissions reduction policies, such as the “Safeguard Mechanism” which is a de facto carbon tax on our largest companies effectively ratcheting up by more than 5% a year. They will also abolish the New Vehicle Efficiency Scheme — a way to force farmers, families and tradies to subsidize inner city EVs. Car manufacturers would have to raise the prices of popular fossil fuel cars and use the proceeds to subsidize uncompetitive EVs.  If manufacturers don’t sell EV’s they just end up subsidizing Chinese ones.

The new Coalition policy still panders to climate sorcery, but mostly in symbolic ways. They will stick with the Paris Agreement which means turning up to the annual UN COP party and speaking in tongues but not actually doing anything. This is what most of the world does. Staying in Paris costs very little — the penalties are imaginary, the compliance is voluntary, and half the signatories aren’t meeting any of their targets anyway.

It is a great shame the Liberals don’t have the courage or intellectual wherewithal to lead Australia out of the Net Zero crony-religion. That would be real leadership. They hope by pandering on the Paris Agreement, that they won’t be called anti-science, or climate deniers, but it won’t make any difference. They might as well free themselves of the socialist shackles and make jokes about how the Labor Party think they can stop storms and hold back the tide with bug burgers and bicycles. That act of bravery and rebellion would win them the youth vote. 

The Liberals need to start translating the true meaning of the cheating word games the carbon fans use:

Translating Teal-speak:

The teal independents, who won a swag of Liberal seats at the 2022 election due largely to climate politics, piled on.
“The country needs certainty on energy, but the Libs haven’t just abandoned net zero, they’ve abandoned evidence-based policy thinking,” said Allegra Spender.

“Certainty on energy” really means “certainty on subsidies”. This is what parasites do — demand a free meal. Teals talk about ‘certainty’, but in practice they mean locking in subsidies so their billionaire backers don’t lose money.

And “evidence-based policy thinking” apparently means doing whatever the UN bureaucrats and foreign bankers tell them to do. The Teals can’t name evidence that shows carbon dioxide causes a catastrophe, they can only name climate simulations. But they don’t realize that they don’t know what evidence-based policy thinking even is.

All the Prime Minister has is namecalling

The only thing Anthony Albanese can say is to call the opposition deniers and unbelievers. (It’s all so religious, isn’t it?).

The federal Coalition was walking away from climate action, Albanese said, “because they fundamentally do not believe in the science.” 

[Sky News] However, Mr Albanese claimed at a press conference on Thursday that the Liberal Party were climate denialists and were lurching to the right.

“The lesson that the Liberals have learnt from their (election) defeat… is that they need to be more right-wing, more sceptical, more in denial about climate change,” he said.

“Australia needs to move on” said Anthony Albanese, resorting to vacuous cliches as a substitute for any actual scientific or economic point.

In other psychological tricks, Net Zero is just “two words”

To make the Liberal revolt over Net Zero sound less important, the ABC and others refer to it as “two words” — as if the Liberals are just getting hung up over a couple of syllables rather than a reassessment of a policy that affects national productivity.

We are in an information war and petty word games are the ammunition the cheating team uses to cover their tracks and distract us from the real issue.

Every time the cheating team is exposed avoiding debate, using namecalling, petty insults and mindless cliches they look like manipulative pettifoggers. The trick is to make sure the public notice the mind games.

ht/ Bally, RickWill, TdeF.

 

 

9.9 out of 10 based on 107 ratings

Friday

10 out of 10 based on 14 ratings

Thursday

8.8 out of 10 based on 25 ratings

“Catastrophic” double failure of Waratah Battery transformers cruelly delays Net Zero miracle yet again

By Jo Nova

It’s the worst kind of surprise for the Renewable fantasy

The billion-dollar “shock absorber” for NSW’s renewables grid has effectively short-circuited before it even ramped up to full power.*

One of the world’s most powerful battery storage projects has suffered a crippling failure just a couple of months before it was supposed to be ready for full operation. The problem with one, and possibly two of its three transformers is so bad, it’s the kind of glitch that affects the whole national transition. This battery was supposed to provide stability for the grid as coal power stations were forced out by the renewable subsidies. But suddenly generators all over NSW are recalculating maintenance schedules and closure dates.

The company is saying it will be six months to a year-long delay, but, given the waiting times for transformers in the US have blown out to an astounding 120 weeks, and up to 210 weeks or 2 to 4 years, it seems wildly optimistic to hope this can be back in action next year. Currently the AEMO officially describes this fault as continuing until May 3rd, 2026.

This highlights the fragility of the whole transition which is dependent on new technologies that are being invented just-in-time (or not). This giant battery was supposed to arrive in time for Eraring Coal to shut last August.

And the grid, once again, is rescued by an old coal plant that keeps running.

The big battery project is part of a $500 million BlackRock consortium which include NGS Super and $100m from the Australian government “Clean Energy Finance Corporation” — just to make sure the foreign bankers make some money.

Two transformers fail on hook up

The one-billion-dollar Waratah Super Battery is rated at 850 MW (1680 MWh) — in other words, it can deliver 850 megawatts of power for about two hours before it’s a flat battery.

The team had one transformer running on October 18th, and was testing the other two to add them in, when it suffered what the CEO of Akaysha Energy describes as a “catastrophic failure”.

Nick Carter’s internal message to staff: — As seen in The Australian Financial Review

Dear Akayasha Team, I wanted to let you know of an incident that occurred at Waratah over the weekend that is serious and has implications for Akayash in a number of ways. On Saturday, High Voltage Transformer (HVT) #3 had a catastrophic failure. This results in damage to the transformer and it is beyond repair.

… As a precaution, HVT#2 has been de-energised and put into a safe state pending further inspection. Of course, everyone is bitterly disappointed as we were only a few hours of testing away for passing Hold Point #5 and a week or so away from final SIPS testing, which the final step in completing the project.

Each of these custom-built transformers was a feat of engineering in itself. The three at Waratah were made in Victoria at Wilson Transformer Company, and according to Tristan Rayner at PV Magazine, it took nine days to transport the last 477 ton unit 950 kilometers from Glen Waverley to its new home, about 100 kilometers north of Sydney.  For the engineers reading, the unit is described as 350MVA 330/33/33kV. It converts the grid’s 330 kV transmission voltage down to 33 kV for the battery inverters. The three transformers arrived in May last year, so they’ve been waiting 18 months to feed them into action.

SIPS stands for System Integrity Protection Scheme (it’s a thing we didn’t need a name for twenty years ago because spinning coal turbines provide it for free).

But exact details of the fault or the state of the third transformer are hard to come by. According to Colin Packham today in The Australian  “industry figures said they had never seen two transformers suffer crippling issues simultaneously.”

NSW’s $1bn Waratah Super Battery faces a year-long delay after major fault

By Colin Packham, The Australian

“Transformers can be a difficult asset to quickly replace in the energy market. The Waratah Battery is located within the 330kV network so getting a like-for-like replacement might be difficult as it is not a common network voltage across the planet,” he said.

“The Waratah transformers were delivered in May 2024 more than 18 months ago.”

The delay underscores the growing pains facing Australia’s transition to renewable energy. Large-scale batteries, considered vital to smoothing the intermittency of solar and wind-powered generation, rely on complex electronics systems and high-voltage equipment but industry figures said they had never seen two transformers suffer crippling issues simultaneously.

It’s not clear if both transformers need to be rebuilt from scratch, or whether one can be refitted, or whether the problem was with the control unit, testing process, or system harmonics. The fact that the third unit was locked out of action suggests they suspect it would have catastrophically failed on contact too.

Transformers are the new bottleneck

In the US the demand for transformers is so high that waiting lists are measured in years, not months. Though the US only makes 20% of its own transformers. Demand for transformers is surging with new data-centres for AI work. Because transformers need to be made to custom specifications they are not mass produced factory items sitting in a warehouse waiting to be put on a truck. Plus, in this case, the need for a 330 kV transformer is not very common. Even with the full force of a desperate government behind them, it may be difficult to commandeer a half finished transformer and rejig it to speed things up.

The left are baffled, it’s such bad luck

The left wing Grattan Institute is mystified. The director of energy there says that we thought transforming our energy  was going to be easy and cheap but it’s not turning out that way. Like, it could happen to anyone, you know…

It’s almost like redesigning major infrastructure with new technology that was crafted with a century of engineering —  was nothing at all.

Waratah’s $1 billion super battery failure throws coal-to-renewables transition into disarray, experts warn

Oscar Godsell, Sky News

Tony Wood, senior fellow and director of energy and climate change at the Grattan Institute, said the energy transition has turned out to be increasingly difficult.

“When we began this transition, I think there was some optimism that almost it was going to be easy and pretty cheap, and it’s turning out not to be easy or cheap,” he said.

“I think our governments didn’t realise how challenging getting it all lined up was going to be.”

The arts graduates running the country have no clue how engineering works — which would be fine if they just listened to the engineers.

*UPDATE: I’ve rephrased that first line. Technically it has started, just not reached full power. To clarify — the Waratah Super Battery is currently working at about half pace at 350MW and 700MWh, so it is still “useful” (but only for a grid crippled with unreliable generators and if you don’t mind wasting a billion dollars). But until we know exactly what went wrong, questions remain about how much we can rely on it. It’s lost a key redundancy, and it could be that there is a lot we don’t know about operating giant batteries that could come back to bite us so easily.

The video of the nine day trip of the last transformer:

h/t  Neville, Bally, Penguinite.

 

10 out of 10 based on 111 ratings

Wednesday

***Auroras being seen all over NSW Victoria Tasmania and NZ  tonight.***

See Glendale app!

AURORA WATCH   —  This week has been one of the most active of this whole solar cycle. A major X5.1 Class Flare went off at 8pm AEST time yesterday from Sunspot AR4274. The strongest flare for a year. It appears to be full halo — which means is is probably aimed at Earth. There may be auroras on Nov 13th, especially since there were two smaller X class flares in the last couple of days. Sometimes a stacked set of strong solar flares can give a bigger show.

See Glendale App.             SpaceWeatherLive.         Or X (Twitter)     BoM space Weather.

 

 

9.7 out of 10 based on 39 ratings

The unwashed masses know it’s a scam, but will the Liberals finally escape Net Zero?

By Jo Nova

The unwashed masses know Net Zero is bad science

Plumbers, taxi drivers, boiler makers, tradies — they don’t believe the Professors of Climate Science (just ask them).

Climate change has been pushed too hard for so long, that nobody needs a PhD in atmospheric physics to know it’s a scam. Climate change causes everything that’s bad and nothing that’s good. It’s just like long form infomercial for a weather pill. 100% guaranteed to make your Wedding Day sunny in 2096 or your money back. *Terms and conditions apply.

CO2 will cause the sixth mass extinction — but the people who say they worry about that, don’t worry so much they want to use nuclear power. If you thought the oceans were going to boil, and you could stop that with a nuclear plant, wouldn’t you? It’s a fifty year old technology with a great record. If we’d started building the plants 15 years ago, we’d be done now. Instead, they were so worried, they insisted we use a totally new technology and invent the answers, and the batteries for it, on the way. Sure, in an emergency, break glass, discover stuff!

No one needs an Earth Science degree to notice that the same people who say they are panicking about carbon emissions still fly private jets, and buy houses on the beachfront.  There is no missing that *Doom* has been coming for thirty years, but the world still looks the same. Fifty million climate refugees never came, the beaches didn’t shrink, the oceans didn’t boil, and global crops hit record highs.

The real world is beating the Liberals over the head — but yet they still might not get there.

Faced with oblivion — at the last minute, the Liberal Party are finally thinking about dumping Net Zero this week.

They are meeting in Canberra on Wednesday.

Donald Trump did all the hard work for them, took all the risks, and proved voters want this twice. Nigel Farage shows it translates to  other countries, and polls show 69% of Australians want more coal and gas power if they get cheaper electricity. And yet the “moderates” pretend that elections are unwinnable if any party annoys the 7% of voters who think carbon emissions are more important than cheap electricity.

Everything has flipped

As a topic Climate Change is more likely to push voters away.

This week AGL Energy is selling its stake in Tilt Renewables. Tellingly, the team at the Australian Financial Review say this is a trend:

The divestment comes as gentailers across the world move away from holding and funding capital-intensive renewables projects on their balance sheets.”

Across the country the members of the Liberal Party in state branches are voting against Net Zero.

The grassroots membership is trying   Queensland | WA | SA | Victoria | and the Northern Territory.

Map, Australian States.Members in the  South Australian branch are so fed up there has been a mass exodus. More than 200 members quit the party in the last month. According to The Australian longstanding members were leaving and saying it was because of Sussan Ley’s weak leadership, and the Net Zero policy. Branches in Sydney are also demanding Sussan Ley drop Net Zero.

The only people in the world still scared of being called a Climate Denier are in the Australian Liberal Party.

In just one year, the UK Tories went from being a 200 year old ruling party in government to being a minor party. Kemi Badenoch finally vowed to repeal the UK Climate Change Act, but it was too late. The UK conservatives had failed to represent half the country, thus leaving the door wide open for a real alternative. That space was filled by Nigel Farage and Reform, and now Farage looks brave and the old conservative party looks like they are just copying him.

Real leaders make decisions when they are hard to make. They don’t wait until every man and his dog has figured it out and is barking at them.

In Australia 93% of Australians don’t want to spend any more than $2 a week to get to Net Zero. (And yet they are).

How is that not an election winning majority just begging for a party to vote for?

 

 

10 out of 10 based on 118 ratings

Tuesday

8.9 out of 10 based on 15 ratings

Monday

8.2 out of 10 based on 20 ratings

Sunday

8.2 out of 10 based on 19 ratings

Prepare the escape pod — Keir Starmer says: “The consensus is gone”

By Jo Nova

The stench of failure is written all over Cop30 in Brazil

The USA, China and India are not attending. The UN has said the 1.5 degrees target is no longer possible. And the OECD admits “policy commitments have fallen from 10% annual growth to just 1%.

The Consensus is not only dead, but no one can hide the body under the rug any longer. Things are decomposing so fast, even Keir Starmer has flown all the way to the COP conference in Brazil to say “the consensus is gone”.

Keir Starmer didn’t even want to go to COP30 lest he look like he’s in the palm of the globalist Blob which would feed his nemesis – Nigel Farage. So he’s put in a last minute appearance and gone out of his way to avoid the usual fire and brimstone devotion by uttering a blasphemy. The consensus, after all, was the holy grail. It was the reason “to believe” and a reason to act even if we didn’t believe. The Blob always said: “We don’t want to fall behind” like moving with the herd was a benefit in and of itself.

For a bunch of Groupthinkers, this is big admission:

[The Guardian]  The UK prime minister told world leaders on Thursday at the Cop30 climate summit in Brazil that the “consensus is gone” on fighting climate change around the world, a decade after the landmark Paris agreement in 2015.

“Ten years ago, the world came together in Paris … united in our determination to tackle the climate crisis,” Starmer said. “The only question was how fast we could go. Today, however, sadly that consensus is gone.”

For Starmer, this might be the best escape route from the Net Zero bomb. As long as the fuse is lit and the carbon-clock is running, the globalist Blob parties face a wipe-out at the next election. But if “the consensus” is over, maybe he can pack the climate-talk away in a box for a few years and curb the fury over electricity prices. It’s what Mark Carney did to win in Canada. He scrapped the carbon tax on his first day in office and de-fanged the opposition. It may even placate the Groupthinking Greens, if he can convince them that no one else is acting and to wait for a better day.

Further to that, Starmer shocked everyone by pulling out of Brazil’s flagship policy. The Tropical Forests Forever Facility (TFFF) was supposed to raise $25b which has been downgraded to $10 billion this year to pay people to preserve forests, and the UK was expected to be one of the first contributors. Without $1b from the UK, it’s hard to see it succeeding at all.

Chris Bowen, the Australian Minister for Weather Control even agrees with Keir Starmer

But in renewable-crazy-land that just means that Australia has to do even more. The Guardian asked him about Keir Starmer’s words and he replied:

“I think that’s fair comment. Yes, it’s a contested space, but that makes supporting action in keeping with the science more important, not less important.

“It makes continued action by governments and industry who get it – that this is a scientific and environmental imperative, but also excellent economics – even more important. And that’s certainly our approach in Australia.”

Unlike the Reform Party in the UK, the opposition in Australia is a Lump of Jello, and doesn’t have a climate policy. So Chris Bowen is free to keep sprouting crazy witchery. He’s not afraid of the opposition because, effectively, there isn’t one.

Indeed, Bowen has to keep waving the flag, because the Australian government wants to host the next loser COP event this time next year. Thankfully, the opposition and the Nationals have both said “Let Turkey have it”. We want our billion dollars.

Even the OECD admits policy commitments have stalled. Globally, they only increased by 1% last year, when previously they would grow by 10% each year.

Global climate action losing momentum: OECD

By Ryann Cropp, The Australian Financial Review

The pace of global efforts to address climate change has ground to a halt, according to a report by the OECD that is likely to turbocharge Coalition wrangling over its commitment to emissions reduction.

The expansion of international climate policy commitments increased by just 1 per cent in 2024, with only 17.7 per cent of global emissions now covered by legally binding net zero pledges, according the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s annual Climate Action Monitor.

According to the OECD, the slowdown in climate commitments since 2021 contrasts significantly with the prior decade, when average emissions reduction policies expanded by about 10 per cent each year.

They have run out of excuses:

“This slowdown can no longer be explained by the COVID-19 pandemic or economic shocks: it reflects a loss of momentum in implementing effective policies,” the report said.

Even the UN agrees that we will fail to hit their 1.5 degrees magical target

It is, of course, our fault and we are moral failures:

The failure to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius is an emergency and nations must now “lead or be led to ruin”, UN secretary-general António Guterres has said as the COP30 climate conference got underway in Brazil’s rainforest city Belém.

He added: “Every fraction of a degree means more hunger, displacement and loss — especially for those least responsible. This is moral failure — and deadly negligence.”

Mr Guterres, being a Blob man and the total socialist, paints this as capitalist greed:

“Too many corporations are making record profits from climate devastation, with billions spent on lobbying, deceiving the public and obstructing progress,” he said. “Too many leaders remain captive to these entrenched interests.”

After all, it’s not like the consensus died because millions of people in the largest economy on Earth were not convinced and voluntarily voted (twice!) for a man who called Climate Change a con and a hoax. Oh no…

UPDATE: Just to clarify, the consensus Keir Starmer refers to is not “The Science consensus” (which is still sacred to socialists everywhere). He’s talking about the consensus for climate action, meaning political or economic moves. As long as “The Science” is still standing, this is just a pause in climate grifting.  It’s never enough to win the economic arguments, we still have to beat down the bad-science monster.

 

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