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The people of Indonesia look like they found a way to manage things without the government, the WHO or the UN. File it under: Big-Government kills Indonesia has 270 million people and very little Covid — or at least, it didn’t. It turns out a philanthropist was dishing out ivermectin in one of the “largest ivermectin markets worldwide”. Then the government took it over, insisted on clinical trials, and slowed it down, as governments do. Cases rose from 7,000 cases a day on June 12th to 50,000 cases a day by July 18th. Looking at the success of Covid in India, Mexico and Peru as well, how many days of lockdown could have been avoided if Australia used cheap antivirals? Not only could the latest NSW outbreak be crushed sooner, but if one limo driver had used ivermectin — it might never have started. How much does Big-Bureaucracy hate cheap out-of-patent drugs?  Indonesian cases of Covid. Graph. OWID Two weeks after the clinical trials began, Ivermectin and a whole rash of antiviral drugs was suddenly given emergency approval. Perhaps there was panic? July 15th; BPOM Approves Ivermectin as Covid-19 Therapeutic Drug But the Bureaucrats must be under a lot of pressure as the world turns its eye on them. Just hours ago they added a convoluted qualifier saying that this was all temporary for an emergency’s sake, and ivermectin still needed trials, and only their officials could hand it out. We’ll never know, but if a Big Pharma representative was getting worried that the world might witness another ivermectin success, we could imagine them pulling strings for safety (and profit’s) sake. This is the sort of foggy statement that would make life easier for Big Pharma trolls. BPOM hasn’t approved it. Ivermectin still needs trials… Does Power & Vaccine Politics Lead to State Usurpation of Ivermectin License?TrialSiteNews, July 13 As it turns out, Indonesia during the pandemic has been home to one of the largest, most dynamic, yet borderline illegal ivermectin markets worldwide, targeting the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. That’s because an enterprising, well-known entrepreneur in his 70s capitalized on growing demand in the world’s fourth-most populated nation with the onset of the pandemic over a year ago. In what seems like an inadvertent, almost haphazard move by the central government to exploit positive sales growth of the drug actually appears to be far more about usurping control from the marketplace—and the people—restricting access to the drug and importantly, appeasing global influencers, such as the World Health Organization (WHO) and various governments that may be positioning vaccines, for example. How else can such a rollercoaster of a story unfold, one where what appears to be a healthy supply of ivermectin to treat COVID-19 people coupled with a surprisingly stable management of the COVID-19 pandemic to a case where the supply became absolutely constrained directly in parallel with the most massive spike of the pandemic starting in June of 2021. Instead of a medal, The Indonesian government gave the donor a very hard time: Rebecca Weisser, Spectator …in Indonesia where an enterprising philanthropist, Haryoseno, leapt into action and made ivermectin available to the masses for free or at low cost. As a result, Indonesia has had an extremely low Covid mortality rate. That is until the Ministry of Health decided, in line with the WHO’s recommendation, that ivermectin would only be used in a clinical trial. Haryoseno has been threatened with a fine and a ten-year jail sentence and the supply of ivermectin has dried up. Result? Deaths per million have increased five-fold since withdrawal of ivermectin on 12 June. It is legal for Australian doctors to prescribe ivermectin “off label” (meaning for non-standard uses). Even the Minister for Health said so: Hunt goes off script with ivermectinHealth minister endorses doctors’ right to treat Covid Rebecca Weisser, Spectator In Australia, one of the few doctors brave enough to use the drug to treat patients and save lives, Dr Mark Hobart, was reported to the Australian Health Practitioner Regulation Agency (AHPRA). Thankfully, AHPRA advised that there had been no infringement. Indeed, federal Health Minister Greg Hunt wrote to one of the doctors in Australia who prescribes ivermectin confirming that he was aware that some physicians are prescribing ivermectin off-label for Covid and that they were quite within their rights as the practice of prescribing registered medicines outside of their approved indications is not regulated or controlled by the Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA), it is at the discretion of the prescribing physician. Yet the silence persists. Ivermectin is the drug that dare not speak its name. Some doctors prescribing ivermectin are members of the Covid Medical Network. They can be contacted via their website and provide prescriptions for prophylaxis and treatment anywhere in the country (covidmedicalnetwork.com) Share this message with your GP to give them confidence that they are legally prescribe ivermectin “off label” in Australia. Get ready to defend them, Mark Holden and any other Doctor, and Thomas Borody, or even Greg Hunt. There is so much money at stake. Every doctor that offers an antiviral treatment or preventative spreads the risk and make general acceptance so much more likely. We have a window of opportunity here. Give us the choice. Give our doctors the choice. Did things just improve thanks to anti-virals?If antivirals were approved on July 15th we might see a downturn. It may be nothing….
No medication should be mandatory, especially not an experimental one.
The wonder drug that disappearedMy summary of Ivermectin Keep reading → July 22nd, 2021 | Tags: Coronavirus, Indonesia, Ivermectin | Category: Big-Government |  Print This Post | | Life bounces backThe Great Barrier Reef has had a good year. 2020 might have been the hottest or the second hottest year on record, but it was a bonanza year for reef recovery. The reef covers 344,400 square kilometres, survived the Holocene Optimum, the Minoan warming, the Roman warming and the Medieval Warming, and is already recovering from a streak of few nasty El Ninos and a cyclone or two. But the bottom line is that coral deaths are not easily relateable or predicted by hot weather or high CO2. If sea level changes or temperature volatility are the real culprits, the ocean currents or cloud cover may be the driver, and not the number of cars or solar panels in Australia. As Peter Ridd has said for years: The Great Barrier Reef has about the same amount of coral as it did in 1985 Coral Cover, Northern Great Barrier Reef.
What a difference a few years makes. Where, here, is there any sign that either CO2 or high temperatures is a problem?  Coral Cover, Central Great Barrier Reef.
The trend appeared to be “all down” in 2011, but neither heat nor El Ninos is driving the changes.
Coral Cover, Southern Great Barrier Reef. Some hot years are worse than others: Great Barrier Reef gets ‘a breather but it’s not out of climate danger yet’Michael McKenna, The Australian Australian scientists say the resurgence in coral across the Great Barrier Reef occurred after it was given a “breather” from extreme weather events and not because it is out of danger from climate change. … last year’s coral bleaching had not killed off coral to the same extent as similar events in 2016 and 2017. This data is based on underwater manta tow surveys of coral reefs, mainly on the mid- and outer shelf. Unlike some other studies which are based on aerial surveys. A total of 127 reefs were surveyed from August 2020 to April 2021 (reported as ‘2021’). Detailed reports on the state and trends of reefs by latitudinal sectors and of individual reefs, including their disturbance history, and are available shortly after the completion of each survey trip. Data summaries are available for download.  Great Barrier Reef, Australian Institute of Marine Science 2021 Report. What comes quickly may go quickly, and not all changes are good. “The AIMS data are promising but it is important to note the recovery of hard coral cover in the surveys has largely been driven by fast-growing branching and table corals, which tend to be the most susceptible species to bleaching events in warmer waters as well as being easily broken in cyclones and the preferred food for crown of thorns starfish. If we don’t understand what drives bleaching we can hardly control it. Though we can apparently sucker the taxpayer into forking out money to feed bureucrats. As if 340,000 kilometers of reef does not already have genes and tools to survive millions of years of volcanoes, asteroids, and techtonic shifts.
REFERENCEThe Australian Institute of Marine Science’s (AIMS) Long-Term Monitoring Program – Annual Summary Report on Coral Reef Condition for 2020/21 Latest Great Barrier Reef Condition Report July 20th, 2021 | Tags: Corals, Great Barrier Reef, Ocean Acidification, Reefs | Category: Global Warming, Marine | Print This Post | | * * * With great sympathy for all our European friends. It’s like European history doesn’t exist. In 1717 on Christmas Eve a flood started that killed 14,000 people and spread across the Netherlands, Denmark and Germany. It was followed by savage frosts, and more floods in February of 1718. So much for the theory that solar panels, windmills, or global cooling will save us from floods. In the Little Ice Age, the floods were vast, common, and very, very cold. How one of the most devastating storms in European history killed 13,700 people in 1717Daily Mail, Dec 2017 On a chilly Christmas Eve three centuries ago, one of the most devastating storms in the history of Europe smashed into the coastlines around the North Sea, killing over 13,000 people, annihilating thousands of houses and wrecking countless farms. The apocalyptic weather caused enormous floods to submerge coastal areas in the Netherlands, Northern Germany and Denmark by Christmas Day. As the surviving population struggled with the wind and the waves, Arctic gales spread across the continent and caused a crippling frost to descend on the suffering victims.  1717 Christmas Flood, Germany, Netherlands. These floods sparked a great dyke building project. The severity of the storms and floods were matched in 1953, when “only” 2,551 people died then. … the crushing disaster of 1717 is now seen in the context of Dutch decline. The country had experienced its golden age in the 17th century but, with this storm combining with other setbacks (including pressure from the growing British Empire), its time as a dominant European power was brought to an end.  1717 Christmas Flood, Germany, Netherlands. The two worst floods of Passau, Bavaria, as far as we know, were in 1501 and 1595. This is the future we expect if we spend trillions to reduce CO2 to “safe levels”? If we all drive electric vehicles will we be able to create a world as safe as 1501?
Wiki-world has a category called Floods in Germany that includes so many previous floods, they are grouped according to decade: And again in 1784 when the Ice Floods hit EuropeThe bridges of Bamberg were destroyed by ice floods and logs in 1784, but also even earlier in 1342.  Destruction of the lake bridge in Bamberg during ice floods in 1784 / Kolping family Bamberg … the immense floods of 1784 which followed the unusually harsh winter of 1783/84 throughout Germany when sudden warm weather and torrents of rain filled the still ice-packed rivers. The winter of 1783/84 is known to have been severe and long-lasting in a number of European countries. Two very cold spells occurred: at the end of December 1783 and in January 1784. Furthermore, it snowed heavily in the months of December 1783, January and February 1784. On 21 February 1784, a warm southerly wind led to a thaw which resulted in fast breaking-up of the ice on the frozen rivers and to catastrophic floods. This large-scale and long-lasting event took place in the present-day Belgium, The Netherlands, Luxemburg, northern France, Germany, Austria, and the Czech and Slovak Republics. 1784 in Wurzburg  High water in Würzburg in 1784 And again in 1882
And again in 1888  Darchau Hochwasser 1888.jpg And in 1908 Any midwitted journalist should be able to search for historic floods in Germany and Holland. Sympathies again for all the suffering and loss in the current floods. Thousands were asleep at the wheel, occupied with busywork, and an endless trail of minor crises. Each little step was worse than the one before, inexorably, but only a little worse. Like a field of corn that we never see growing — but one day it is over our head. There is no time when everyone realizes together and lifts in mass protest. Instead, little moments tip the balance, one person at a time. And once awake, good people don’t want to be troublemakers. They are afraid to stand out. Its all so human while it becomes something so horribly inhumane. The form of the nation stays the same but the spirit changes to become something people would never have accepted even five years earlier. Like perhaps the idea that people who committed, at most, a minor misdemeanor, a trespass, could be kept without charges in solitary confinement for months on end. We are a gregarious species. It is hardwired. Our great strength is also our greatest vulnerability… So many wait for someone else to speak up.
Excerpt from pages 166-73 of They Thought They Were Free: The Germans, 1933-45. They interviewed 10 Germans who talked about what it was like during the transition from normal to crazy Nazi nightmare. How it happened and how so many people went along with it. UPDATE: The youtube contains a few MAGA type snippets at the end in a cheap attempt to conflate Nazism with Trump. They’re short, but a naked attempt to fog the meme. If anyone can find a better edit, I’ll replace it. hat tip Another Ian and to Small Dead Animals PS: If someone can find this on not-youtube, I’ll change the video. July 18th, 2021 | Tags: Free Speech, Freedom, Germany, USA, YouTube | Category: Big-Government, Free Speech, Human Rights, Ideology, Property Rights, USA | Print This Post | | …
Despite Biden winning he’s had the most dreadful luck — the voting software was old and easily breached, and all the access logs showing the Democrat’s complete innocence were somehow completely wiped in March — just like that, poof? Then there were the ballots that were printed on different paper that bled, even though all votes were meant to be on bleedproof Votesecure paper? And some people wonder why doubts about the Biden Government don’t go away… Final results are coming soon: Arizona Audit Finds Massive Irregularities, Including More Than 74,000 Mail-In Ballots Counted Than Mailed OutBy Debra Heine, American Greatness More than 74,000 mail-in ballots were received in Maricopa County, Arizona than appear to have been mailed out, a forensic audit has determined. According to the auditors, 74,243 mail-in ballots were counted with “no clear record of them being sent.” 18,000 voters disappeared, 11,326 voters appeared — after the election Logan went on to say they found around 18,000 voters who participated in the election, but were removed from the rolls soon after. “They were on the voter rolls, they showed as voted, and then they were removed,” he said. “There could be a good logical explanation for that, but it seems like a large number to me.” Another 11,326 voters in Maricopa County were not on voter rolls on Nov. 7 but mysteriously appeared on voter rolls on Dec. 4 and were marked as having voted in the Nov. 3 election, Logan said. Strange poor quality paper The auditors also found that large numbers of ballots bled through to the other side, potentially impacting votes. Maricopa County, Logan explained, announced before the election that it would be using special “VoteSecure” paper that that did not allow ink to bleed through to the other side of the ballot, yet they found thousands of ballots that were not on VoteSecure paper. Trump says: The irregularities revealed at the hearing today amount to hundreds of thousands of votes or, many times what is necessary for us to have won. Despite these massive numbers, this is the State that Fox News called early for a Biden victory. There was no victory here, or in any other of the Swing States either. The highly respected State Senator Wendy Rogers said in a tweet the hearing today means we must decertify the election. Tucker Carlson on Georgia: “how is that not flat out criminal ballots?”So its been a long time coming, but Carlson is now asking excellent questions about elections. Kyle Becker reports that Dominion Voting System’s Website has now gone offline right after Tucker’s Report & the Arizona Audit Findings. It follows Tucker Carlson’s bombshell report on Fulton County, Georgia that shows the voter integrity group VoterGA revealing thousands of votes appeared to have been erroneously marked in ballot tallies for Joe Biden. “At least 36 batches of mail-in ballots from the November election were double-counted in Fulton County, that is a total of at least 4,000 votes,” he said. Trump lost Georgia by 12,284 votes.
ht RossP, V, Wokebuster PS: I just got out of hospital today. Feeling OK but very tired. I’m the all new metallic woman with a plate screwed into her bones (like so many other people). Thanks for all the shared stories and information. I feel lucky to have straight bones today when so many didn’t get that chance. July 17th, 2021 | Tags: Election (corruption), Elections, Electronic Voting, US Politics | Category: Big-Government, Corruption, Election security, Politics, USA | Print This Post | | …
From this far down, there is no bounce. Only a full about-face with mea culpa and an Augean cleanout would even start to unwind this toxic position. And the Media puppets are not even close to that razing day. The propaganda is falling on deaf ears and at this point, the harder they push, the worse it gets. Trust is a precious and fragile thing 58% Of Voters Agree: Media Are ‘Enemy of the People’ Rassmussen Reports Voters overwhelmingly believe “fake news” is a problem, and a majority agree with former President Donald Trump that the media have become “the enemy of the people.” A new national telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports finds that 58% of Likely U.S. Voters at least somewhat agree that the media are “truly the enemy of the people,” including 34% who Strongly Agree. Thirty-six percent (36%) don’t agree, including 23% who Strongly Disagree. (To see survey question wording, click here.) So most voting adults don’t want to listen to smug intellectual-babies, or toffee fashionistas tell them how unworthy they are. Civilization is straining at the edges, but the pendulum is swinging back. Resistance is building. Trump called it Fake News in 2016, and the Media lived up to it. Years ago I remember writing about a survey that seemed astonishing at the time where something like 15% of the USA would describe the UN as “the enemy”. By late November 2020, fully 80% of Republicans described the media as “the enemy”, but now after 8 more months of plastic news, things are even worse. The 40% is nearly 60%. Hope. July 15th, 2021 | Tags: Media bias, Polls | Category: Corruption, FakeNews, Global Warming, Media-matters, Politics, polls | Print This Post | | Forty years of global warming have made East Antarctic summers even shorter and more miserably colder than they already were. (Save the wilderness — burn coal now?)  Surface Air temperature over East Antarctica (presumably in summer) from Hsu et al 2021. East Antarctica is the vast mass of the Antarctic plateau which was, in theory, going to melt. If that three kilometer thick block of ice isn’t going to melt in summer, when exactly will it? Remember when the poles were meant to amplify man-made global warming?
 Not much of Antarctica is warming in summer. These graphs come from a paper that Kenneth Richard at NoTricksZone found. The authors Hsu et al think the cooling trend has a natural explanation (but if it had been warming, of course, no one would have asked that question). Hsu at al estimate that 20-40% of the trend is due to the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO). And maybe it is, but they use climate models we know are broken. Curiously they predict the East Antarctic will keep cooling — which may be a first (for the models). For what it’s worth the MJO is a massive convective atmospheric blob that rains its way from west to east across the Indian and then into the Pacific travelling east at 20 kilometers per hour or so. Over a couple of months it does a lap of the earth. Apparently it has a profound influence on both sides of the world — driving cold winter spells as far away as Canada and the US, and possibly, who knows, in Antarctica too. But as it happens, the parts of Antarctica that were warming are mostly in West Antarctica and are sitting on top of a chain of volcanoes. The media never seem to mention that.  Could it be CO2, or is it volcanoes? REFERENCEHsu et al (2021) East Antarctic cooling induced by decadal changes in Madden-Julian oscillation during austral summer, Vol. 7, no. 26, eabf9903 …  Sudden tragic release of stored chemical energy in Beirut It turns out storing Megawatts of high density energy in a confined space is “like a bomb”. Who could have seen that coming, apart from everyone who understands what a megawatt is? Clean, green, noisy and explosive. And they are “unregulated” in the UK. UK’s giant battery ‘farms’ spark fears of explosions that can reach temperatures of 660CAmy Oliver Mail on Sunday …according to a troubling new report from leading physicists, these vast batteries amount to electrical bombs with the force of many hundreds of tons of TNT. With the potential for huge explosions, fires and clouds of toxic gas, they could devastate towns and villages nearby, says Wade Allison, emeritus professor of physics at Oxford University and co-author of the report. The batteries, designed as reservoirs of spare electricity for when the wind doesn’t blow or the sun fails to shine, are spreading around the British countryside. And this, says Prof Allison and his fellow scientists, could spell catastrophe. It’s like a potential bomb,’ he says. ‘When batteries catch fire, you can’t just squirt water on them and put out the flames. It’s evident from our research that nothing has been done to tackle this problem.’ Given the size of the proposed plants, Prof Allison says this could, in theory, lead to an explosion several times bigger than the one that destroyed the harbour in Beirut last year. The threat of fire is not merely theoretical. South Korea saw 23 battery farm fires in just two years. A recent battery fire in Illinois burned for three days and thousands of residents were evacuated. Such blazes release highly toxic gases. One – hydrogen fluoride – is lethal if inhaled, and causes irreversible health effects after an hour of exposure, according to Public Health England. Meanwhile 3 – 4,000 people were evacuated in Morris Illinois the week before last, as 100 tons of batteries burned. The fire burned for days. They could not use water or foam, and in the end, the burning batteries were smothered with 28 tons of cement. These were run of the mill cell-phone and car batteries.
July 13th, 2021 | Tags: Battery | Category: Energy, Global Warming, Storage, UK | Print This Post | | … Is this the start of a cooler shift?Cap Allon of Electroverse notes that we may be in for another La Nina:The La Niña climate pattern is forecast to make a return this fall and last through the winter of 2021-22, according to an official “alert” issued Thursday, July 8 by the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), which suggests further global cooling as we enter the new year. La Niña –-a natural cycle marked by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central Pacific Ocean-– is one of the main drivers of global weather — it is usually associated with colder global temperatures, droughts in the southern U.S., and increased precipitation in Australia. Entering a La Niña event when global temperatures are already around baseline is significant. If the climate pattern has the expected affect then we should brace for global temps to continue their overall downward trend –which began in 2016 (see link below)– to levels well below the norm. We could conceivably be looking at UAH readings some 0.4C below the 30-year average by the spring of 2022.
Read it all: https://electroverse.net/noaa-declares-la-nina-watch-for-the-fall-the-global-cooling-accelerator/ July 10th, 2021 | Tags: ENSO, Global Temperatures, La Nina | Category: Global Warming | Print This Post | | How much does the Medical Swamp hate antivirals?
Will NSW get desperate enough to try cheap drugs with low risks, mass production and promising results? It’s winter and the Delta variant is spreading. Contact tracing is rapidly being outpaced. The number of close contacts doubled overnight to 14,000. What have they got to lose?NSW reported 44 new locally acquired COVID-19 cases, 29 of those were in the community while infectious and the number of close contacts has doubled from 7000 to 14,000 in the past 24 hours. Premier Gladys Berejiklian said the lockdown was likely to be extended beyond Friday, July 16, unless there was a “dramatic turnaround” in coming days. Antiviral hesitancy could be costing the state billions. What if an antiviral trial were offered to anyone who tested positive and their contacts, subject to medical advice (approved by their doctor)? It would be a great reason to go get tested. Got symptoms? — We may be able to help you and your family. Some antivirals and vitamins like D3 appear to prevent the spread if given early enough — even by 80%. Calculate the obscene cost of every days delay. Australia must have kilotons of some pharmaceutical grade drugs we could test, adapt and move quickly at costs of cents per dose. If it doesn’t work, we’ll know we tried. The trust factor is going to shot to pieces when people find out. Essential reading Perhaps solve the other pandemic: Vitamin D deficiency — to help beat Coronavirus? The Big Ivermectin Reviewe Ivermectin may prevent 86% of Covid cases Hydroxychloroquine, a year later, 3 times higher survival rate. Trump was right. (183) While ice skating, slender left wrist successfully stopped ice rink from bruising hip. Now temporarily a one handed blogger. But grateful — thinking how different it would be in hunter gatherer days without handy people with xray machine. Wondering how well bones healed while wandering savanna fighting off snakes with sticks. (Yay, civilization).  Distal radius now has exoskeleton.  Like someone else’s arm As a long time veteran of leg fractures in youth of both skiing and car accident kind, this is not unfamiliar territory. Blogging will be more concise for a while. A good challenge … … Israel is one of the most vaccinated countries in the world, but having dropped restrictions, they are picking them up again only one month later as the Delta variant spreads. In Tel Aviv, 75 students got infected at one party from a vaccinated person who had caught the virus from another vaccinated person. And though the UK data is better than the Israeli data, Kate Middleton, the Duchess of Cambridge, has had both of her vaccine doses but still has to self isolate for two weeks due to a “near exposure”. How confident are the UK health experts? Not very. With the UK only weeks away from the so-called Freedom day, will double vaxed people have to self isolate for two weeks each time they are exposed? This belies the key point about “getting vaxed for the nation”. If being vaccinated is about keeping you out of hospital, not so much about infecting your friends, then getting vaxed is more for self protection. The cost-benefit equation might look good for high risk people, but changes dramatically for healthy young people. We need to know how much vaccination slows transmission yet it’s barely a part of the national conversation. A month is a long time in pandemic world  Photo by Hakan Nural on Unsplash In May the Pfizer vaccine was working respectably well against Covid cases in Israel, and the government relaxed the rules. Then the Delta strain arrived with plodding predictability, and suddenly the efficacy against infection fell from 94% to 63%. (Though the numbers are small). Like every other country it arrived in, the Delta variant (formerly known as the Indian double-mutant) rapidly outpaced the other variants, and is now responsible for 9 out of 10 cases of Covid in Israel. On the plus side, the Pfizer vaccine was 98% effective against being hospitalized by the UK Alpha strain, and it’s still 93% effective against the Delta strain. On the down side, the next mutants are coming. They might be nicer, but they might not. The scandalous risks with leaky vaccinesWith vaccines that are this leaky, we’re running the risk of creating nastier variants through a process called “immune escape”. That’s the selection path that converted a 1% chicken killer called Marek’s disease into a 100% killer. It took decades to do that, but it’s not a road we want to travel. The post I wrote on the danger of leaky vaccines was one of the most important on this site (in case you missed it). If you know where to look, you’ll find experts often talk in medical code about “immune escape” but rarely spell out how bad this could be. The solution is so obvious we already did it years ago: use antivirals. Antivirals are the antibiotics of the viral world. When we couldn’t find a vaccine for AIDS, we used a cocktail of antivirals. We’ve already got a suite of candidates against Covid: like Ivermectin, HCQ, EXO-CD24, Bromhexine (cough syrup), Budesonide (used against asthma). Not to mention all the vitamins and minerals that might give us a boost too like Vitamin D, C, B6, B12, etc, etc. If we want to stop lockdowns, we need to get antivirals approved and stop the new mutants coming in until we do. Unlike leaky vaccines, antivirals should also prevent the development of nastier mutants. Do antivirals stop most vaccinees catching and leaking the virus? Why the heck don’t we know that already? Looks like someone is afraid the trials will show the antivirals work so well we don’t need vaccines. h/t Serp, Raving, Ian. Dave B. So much for the mass speedy vaccination in IsraelOfficials to weigh reimposing some virus restrictions as Delta variant spreadsThe Times of Israel, July 3, 2021 75 pupils contract COVID-19 from a vaccinated person at school party in Tel Aviv; former Health Ministry deputy director calls to bring back ‘Green Pass’ system This week, at least 75 high school pupils were confirmed to have contracted the virus at a Tel Aviv end-of-year party, after a student was infected by a vaccinated relative. That relative contracted the virus from another vaccinated individual who had recently returned from London, according to Channel 13 news. Unfortunately Times of Israel was slightly ambiguous. Was the superspreader at the party vaccinated, or were they a student who was infected by a vaccinated person a day or two earlier? This matters. Can vaccinated people still be superspreaders? We need to know! A whole vaccination campaign that bought four weeks of freedom? The Times of Israel, July 3, 2021 Former Health Ministry deputy director-general Itamar Grotto said the country should consider returning to the “Green Pass” system that differentiates between vaccinated and non-vaccinated citizens regarding access to certain venues and activities. The Health Ministry expects daily coronavirus diagnoses to jump to 500-600 next week, according to media reports Wednesday. According to the ministry, over 5.62 million people — out of Israel’s population of more than 9.3 million — have gotten at least one vaccine shot. Of those, close to 5.2 million received a second dose. We’re in an arms race with an inanimate chemical code Image: Scientific Animations The UK has a lot more data than Israel, and in the UK Pfizer has only fallen from 90 to 80% efficacy at stopping symptomatic infection. The UK data is probably much closer to the truth than Israel’s is, but the point that matters is the trend. With each mutation we can expect the vaccines to get less effective. We’re in an arms race with an inanimate chemical code that is running experiments currently in 11 million bodies (plus cats, ferrets, mink and any other mammal it can infect). Will we ever catch up? Each new vaccine still needs time to be developed and tested. Even in the experimental mRNA vaccines, where substituting snippets of code can be done faster, there is still a need to test to make sure the antibody response does not trigger an autoimmune disease, or accelerate the next infection, or send the body off making less effective antibodies. How long does vaccine protection last …?Why is Israel as low as 63%? As usual in biology, there are many possibilities: the people may have different genes, diets, deficiencies, past infections, and it may be a different age group infected. The vaccines were given six months ago to some people in Israel. One expert in Israel wonders if they are already starting to wear off? Israel was one of the fastest countries to vaccinate, with 60% of the population had already had one dose by the end of March. And 80% of adults having 2 doses now. Note that 80% of adults is not 80% of the population. The OWID data suggests hardly any vaccines have been given in Israel in the last two months. Hmm. That’s another question. Why — we wonder did vaccinations hit “a wall”? For the record, Israel used the Pfizer vaccine initially, as well as Astra Zenica and Moderna. If two rounds don’t work, let’s do three? The former Israeli Prime Minister wants to rush in the third round of booster shots: Netanyahu said in a video released on his social media channels that “from conversations I’ve had with some of the best experts in the world, I believe the third vaccine [dose] should be given to the over-50 population starting in August, in order to finish the task by the end of September.” He said that no one currently knows when a drop in immunity will leave the population susceptible to infection once again. If any lives actually mattered to our health authorities they’d be reassessing the antivirals and giving people and their doctors the choice of medications instead of pushing and pumping only one solution in a non-stop advertising campaign.
July 7th, 2021 | Tags: Antiviral, Coronavirus, Israel, Pfizer, Vaccine | Category: Medicine, Microbiology | Print This Post | | … |
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