The site was hit yesterday morning with yet another DDOS (Denial of Service attack)
If you had trouble accessing the posts, you weren’t imagining it. Yesterday morning tens of thousands of “people” in Brazil all wanted to read this site in the same hour, which crowded out the usual traffic. So we can add that to the previous attacks from Singapore, USA, Vietnam and China.
Someone with control over thousands of computers spread across the world doesn’t like what we discuss here.
Thanks for your patience!
Hopetoun and Walpeup have set new all time temperature records for Victoria of 48.9 °C,beating the 1906 recording of 50.8°C at Mildura!
Please explain!
[ Great minds Dave. I was researching just that. See the latest post. Cheers. Jo]
250
But haven’t the BoM stricken all pre-1910 data from the Official Record, ACORN-SAT?
If it happened before 1910, it didn’t happen.
Thus, the BoM can claim a record simply because they don’t recognise anything before 1910.
Also, is it a real reading or “homogenised”?
And the other problem is mercury vs digital thermometry. BoM never did appropriate side-by-side testing of mercury thermometers vs digital ones, the difference being that with a fast response time, digital thermometers pick up hot gusts from the ground or elsewhere which the mercury ones never did. E.g. ground heated by the sun can exceed the air temperature creating warm pockets of air that might get blown onto the thermometer.
Jennifer Marohasy has looked into the issue of BoM’s temperature measurement methods which enable them to claim new temperature records which might not actually exist. It suits the Official Narrative. See:
https://jennifermarohasy.com/2018/02/bom-blast-dubious-record-hot-day/
Back in the day, it used to be taught in science that measurements done with one method were not generally comparable with measurements made by a different method.
I believe Thomas Kuhn referred to this as methodological incommensurability.
210
Just on the lack of side by side testing, it is too late to do it properly but not too late to do it at all.
It would be a simple matter to retrofit mercury thermometers into retrofitted stevenson screens to perform a comparative real world study. I say retrofitted stevenson screens because the screens are now reduced in size which is another factor which needs to be controlled in a proper study.
Of course it would only be a simple matter if the BOM wants it to happen. Otherwise the re-introduction of the scientific method will be made to be impossible whether it actually is impossible or not.
80
I can imagine that the BOM temperature data is not reviewed adequately before being published. I can imagine the temperature data going along the lines of say, for every second or so, the following readings are reported, 44.4, 44.8, 45.0, 44.9, 46.7 45.0, 44.8
Looking at the data, I’d be thinking that the 46.7 is odd, an outlier, any good scientist would call that one out and not include it in the data set, it’s an anomaly. Does the BOM use that as being the maximum for the day?, if so they shouldn’t. You could of course average out the reported data and you’d get 45.1, but remove the anomaly and calculate the average, = 44.8, and its 0.3 lower. So what is the true reading? I believed that the BOM were going to go the path of averaging the readings over n period of time, and not just the highest reading.
I regularly check my towns local AWS temps and the reported max temps are nearly always higher than the 30 min readings, I rarely see the reported temp on the daily 30 min readings, why? On the 27th the data showed a max of 42.7 at 5.30 pm, and then it dropped to 41.8 at the next 30 min reading, yet the days reported max was 43.3, 0.6 higher, what is going on here?
20
I know you would rather not have it but it is a sort of compliment.
The reason they attack you is because you are effective.
270
Regarding the Denial of Service attacks
Flugabwehrkanone (German) = “flug” meaning “flight,” “abwehr” meaning “defense,” and “kanone” meaning “cannon”: or anti-aircraft artillery = FLAK
“you get a lot of flak when you are over the target”
200
But it may be all those hijacked routers instead…
Probably the CCP or Oz blob, not that there’s much difference.
30
The Germans cheat in the longest-word-by-language competition, because they just run words together. In ionised gas kinetic theory there is the electron velocity distribution function, which in German is the elektronengeschwindigkeitsverteilungsfunktion, which is just the four consecutive English words put together.
10
Trump is great.
Climate Change is hokum.
The truer it is the madder they get.
210
And they are blaming TRUMP for that stupid woke woman picking up that flash-bang fired by federal agents to stop an anti-ICE riot, thus losing several fingers.
Back in the day, children were always taught not to pick up fireworks if they hadn’t gone off. (Australians are no longer allowed to have private fireworks.)
And it seems to be forgotten or not much reported that an ICE agent just before that had a finger bitten off by a rioter.
https://katv.com/news/nation-world/officer-will-lose-finger-after-minnesota-rioter-allegedly-bites-if-off-homeland-security-investigations-attorney-general-pam-bondi-tricia-mclaughlin-minneapolis-shootings
180
Today’s episode of liberals on patrol:
https://va.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_t9h6phsEXm1yvcej7.mp4
😁
30
It has the complete woke package, gender-indeterminate, morbidly obese, blue hair and a septum ring for a leash to be attached to and led by their handler.
51
Steering wheel appears to be on right hand side of car. Talking to nobody.
Real wokeness on display? Parody? AI slop?
So hard to tell.
10
Consider the isolated State protests against ICE rounding up illegal immigrants and the first term President Trump State based protests in Socialist Democrat held States.
According to media the border control enforcement at the borders by Trump has been widely applauded.
I remember border protection in Australia and after the Howard Coalition Government created Pacific Solution deterrents against people smuggling including at first Detention Centres in Australia. The far left of centre and notably Greens and other fringe dwellers regularly travelled to the Detention Centres – not prisons as every detainee had the right to leave as long as they left Australia – and protested, and even talked to detainees and organised for them to protest based on advice as to what they should complain about and demand.
Later offshore detention was introduced to reduce the protest movement access and ensure that detainees could not use the Australian courts system to avoid deportation if their application for asylum and one appeal were lost.
Why does the left side of politics in many developed countries want illegal immigrants accepted just because they arrived?
50
“the madder they get”.
The more we
“keep a smile on our lips , and a song in our hearts”
-Phineas Freak
110
It infuriates me to see the way the Democrats, the media and TDS sufferers worldwide have decided that the two ICE shootings are just what they’ve been hoping for. Much like the way they ‘facilitated’ the assassination attempts on Trump, these shooting are absolutely a direct consequence of Governor Walz’s (and others) inflammatory rhetoric, and they eventually got the violence they hoped for.
Of course the media were already primed and ready to go, as were the talking points and speeches. In the usual fashion, the reaction has been massively over the top, hyperbolic and coordinated. They think that they might actually have found their silver bullet. They just have to keep everybody hyped up and enraged. Needless to say, the Never Trumpers (RINOs) have jumped aboard, making it look like EVERYBODY now wants Trump out.
The talks with Walz and co were a mistake, IMO. He and his party will not stop inciting violence, and if any sort of agreement to better organise the ICE operations is made, Walz will claim victory – the very same creature who whipped up the ‘resistance’ that got two people killed.
I hate politics.
181
It has been said that every time we vote we end up with a politician
70
Mr. Cornubia,
of possible interest.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wSsUgThhF9A
Newly surfaced vid of Alex Pretti in previous kinetic altercations with ICE.
His last was not his first rodeo.
40
Climate Change™ is a scam. Climate change is real. The climate is always changing. It has to because there has never been any two days in the long history of Earth with exactly the same sunshine. Some changes are imperceptible but small changes add up over time.
160
A purposely vacuous political label.
Commercial political branding.
Warming could be debated.
Change cannot.
Do you ‘believe’ in Climate Change?
What is a woman?
Same playbook.
Risen only form anti-truth (truth being mankind’s innate and just spiritual pursuit) banality.
The origin point of science.
Currently in mortal danger.
60
In my recent WUWT article I pointed out that there are significant seasonal changes occurring in the Northern Hemisphere. Specifically summers will get warmer and winters will get more snow. The increased snow is a consequence of the warmer oceans. There was some discussion on climate change in the comments.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2026/01/26/changing-sunlight-weather-climate/
It was stated that the accepted definition of climate change is a trend in 30 year averages. So if you only look at temperature. Warmer summers and cooler winters is not climate change if they average out.
Also, by the IPCC definition, climate change is something caused by humans.
Essentially Climate Change™ is straight out of Alice in Wonderland. It is only what the authorities say it is – nothing more, nothing less. Thank God for Trump who knows it is a scam and often points that out.
110
I appreciate and admire your comments and work.
My knowledge of the alleged science of CC is limited.
I’m more interested in the cultural politics.
(Which are friggin’ devastating IMHO.)
And for me, educating myself about the science just became a morass.
But warmer oceans? Really?
Since when?
Since barely calibratable ARGO buoys started bobbing in tiny areas of this great big ol’ planet?
Since the US Navy started sending 18 year old sailors out on the deck to toss buckets overboard and stick a thermometer in the them?
70% of the planet that we only very recently began to observe much less understand.
Don’t get me started on GAST.
One of the most self destructive behaviors of ‘science’ is its’ over selling of its’ capabilities.
70
The NH ocean surface warming is the most important aspect for increasing atmospheric moisture. Mediterranian has warmed the most because it is getting more intense sunlight and no where for the heat to get out of the basin except up. There is some deep currents out to the Atlantic that gets replaced with cooler top hat from the Atlantic but essentially bo latitudinal loss.
And the NH summer warming is only 300 years into a 9,000 year upswing.
00
Here are some more reviews of Starfleet Academy.
https://youtu.be/c7KT4N75AJw
https://youtu.be/L3h_30RxDeE
The series is absolute woke garbage.
I haven’t even see a wokester praise it.
Clearly, its only purpose was to participate in the endless propagation of the woke agenda, no matter what the financial and reputational cost to the studio or the actors involved.
The woke are fighting back harder than ever now.
80
They even got basic Star Trek lore stuff wrong, like having Betazoids be empaths rather than telepaths. For hardcore Star Trek nerds, that kind of mistake is unforgivable, because it means the writing team doesn’t understand the fundamentals of the franchise.
The woke stuff, while unbearable at times, is at least true to the original ethos of show, which was incredibly ‘woke’ for 1960s America. But getting the fundamentals wrong (like the characteristics of each fictional species) shows a lack of respect for the franchise itself, and that they are just using the ‘Star Trek’ brand name to market a generic ‘teenage high school drama … in space’ show.
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S01e04’s out today DM, so something to look forward to! 😁
10
Have you heard of the Buga Sphere?
Its supposedly a mysterious artefact discovered in Buga, Colombia in March 2025 and is in the form of a basketball-sized sphere that supposedly emits a 2.3Hz tone, changes weight and vibrates or glows in response to Sanskrit mantras and also flies.
It’s claimed to be either from an advanced ancient civilisation or an alien civilisation.
It sounds like a hoax to me but lots of people are taking it very seriously.
Here is a sceptical video:.
https://youtu.be/VNZgMTvGadY
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Yes, it is a hoax
31
MIT released an X-Ray scan of the Buga Sphere and its alien.
11
Yep. Heard of it years ago, and seen videos evaluating it. All the markings look like they’re done with an engraving machine, not exactly advanced alien tech.
30
Perhaps not years ago because it was only “discovered” March 2025 but agreed. And the “electronics” resembles 1980’s style, when CAD-designed circuit boards tended to have 45 degree tracks rather than rounded ones (at least for high frequency designs) due to software limitations of the time.
31
Err…March 2025, yes. Just seemed longer ago…
The other 2 spheres were newer too.
I must have been thinking about the PNG spheres.
My bad on timeline.😎
10
The full history of this is fascinating …
The Pushpaka vimana flying in the sky. Vimāna are mythological flying palaces or chariots described in Hindu texts and Sanskrit epics. The “Pushpaka Vimana” of Ravana (who took it from Kubera; Rama returned it to Kubera) is the most quoted example of a vimana
11
As Australia continues to shut down its energy supply, Victoriastanis don’t forget that gas hot water heaters will be banned from 1 March 2027, including replacement of existing systems. Plus from 1 Jan 2027 all new homes and commercial buildings must be all-electric, meaning no gas connections for water heating, cooking or space heating.
I’m not sure where all the electricity for electric replacements of gas appliances is going to come from as more power stations get destroyed.
I hope the Chicomms are enjoying our gas supply, much of which Howard gave away at world’s cheapest prices on a bizarre 30 year contract with no provision for inflation or market price.
https://www.smh.com.au/opinion/how-australia-blew-its-future-gas-supplies-20170928-gyqg0f.html
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And bear a thought for us poor South Australians.
Last Monday electricity price ran hot – I’d say devilously hot for 3 hours because the State had run out of electricity as batteries were drained and local diesel couldn’t cope.
Since we are having another 2 months of electoral nonsense leading up to an election, no-one in either main parties will explain what happens when Vic and NSW shut down their coal fired power stations.
130
Unless One Nation is running in every seat, there is no choice for SA. The future is bleak and load shedding on the horizon because both Victoria and NSW are short of dispatchable generation so there is no point SA relying on getting dispatchable power from the interconnectors.
120
When the Tomago aluminium smelter inevitably closes down, because it is no longer viable despite taxpayer subsidies and no longer has access to cheap electricity, that will liberate a further 950MW from the grid. It already does that on demand because the government pays a further taxpayer subsidy for the right to be load shed, as reported by Jo.
When that closes down, that will be almost like a whole additional power station added to the grid and it will keep the whole mess going for a bit longer.
50
And electricity was again imported via the interconnector from brown coal (lignite) burning power stations in Victoria
Also the wholesale price went sky high as the intermittent sources failed to meet the needs
50
What did Howard have to do with the gas contracts? They were commercial arrangements between gas companies who needed long term “take or pay” contracts to finance billion $ liquefaction trains [double that today] and China/Japan who had the foresight to sign such contracts.
Gas and coal royalties are all that keeps Qld sorta solvent.
If “you” were guaranteed access to Gladstone gas, how would you take delivery of it? You don’t have a receiving terminal and the maritime unions would make domestic shipping prohibitively expensive. After all these years of whinging the pipelines to handle volumes don’t exist.
If you want gas but refuse to develop Gippsland fields, build the terminal and buy out of Singapore.
30
The more they tighten their grip, the more star systems will slip through their fingers.
70
It appears that AEMC has now seen the obvious and is preparing to increase connection charges so those getting a free ride hanging off the grid for insurance will be required to pay more for that insurance.
The local area fault we experienced yesterday only took out one phase meaning some houses still had power while others did not. The phase fuse probably blew on restart after a wider area outage. Because there is so much load being fed from solar panels and batteries, when the solar panel are not producing and batteries flat, there is a lot more load than average.
40
FWIW – starts here
“You’re probably as tired of AI stories as I am. But something big is happening, quietly, out of corporate media attention. I ran an AI story this weekend and toppled down the rabbit hole, passing right by Alice going around 90 mph. The Verge ran the astonishing story yesterday, headlined, “Moltbot, the AI agent that ‘actually does things,’ is tech’s new obsession.”
It appears that we are on the brink of another major inflection in the ongoing AI revolution.”
“he new feature is simple but profound. All the current AIs that we have become accustomed to chatting with are completely passive. You ask a question, and they respond. They don’t remember things between chats. They don’t do anything on their own. They have no initiative. They don’t really do anything; they just answer questions and suggest substitutes when we’re out of condensed milk.
Moltbot is completely different. It isn’t an AI itself; it uses AI. It remembers everything and eventually learns users’ lives. It runs on a standalone computer of its own, 24×7. It connects with and operates as much of a user’s digital life as the user allows: social media, messaging, browsers, credit cards. Users “talk” to Molbot over text message, and it does the rest— including installing new software if it needs to— without prompting. Here are a few remarkable use cases that people claim about Moltbot:”
More at
https://open.substack.com/pub/coffeeandcovid/p/just-ribbing-wednesday-january-28?
Concludes
“Get ready, here we go again. Nobody saw this coming. Again. All of the big AI companies have been caught flat-footed. The active AI agent is out of the barn, down the hill, and running up the expressway. I don’t think I’m exaggerating when I say this could be bigger than the original passive-AI revolution.
Thanks to the debut of active-AI, every essay and projection on how AI will affect the economy instantly became obsolete. I’m astonished at how the corporate media outlets are completely ignoring this story (tech media isn’t, that’s for sure). It’s weird, and I don’t have any theory yet. The omerta can’t last long.
Change is undeniably uncomfortable. But this is nothing to be anxious about; it was baked into the AI recipe from the start. The shocking part is only how quickly it has arrived. Marvel at the time we’re living in.”
Other things there too
30
Is this the same as Microsoft’s Copilot?
Although that seems to forget everything.
00
Just a flashy paperclip helper… So its the same junk with a hard drive so it can remember what it lied to you about last time. I still don’t see anything worthwhile in AI at all, it certainly not worth the money being poured into it, just like ruinables. I’m certainly not shocked by the shocking part.
10
Price inflation up 3.8% on average through 2025. Mostly driven by the inflation in cost of electricity of 21%. If only we had more “renewables” to put downward pressure on electricity prices!!!! What a joke played on gullible, poor educated voters.
The only way grid electricity prices will come down is to run the coal plants flat out all the time and let batteries charged with wind and/or solar do peaking duty when they are needed.
Of course those with their own batteries can still scam the grid. At least for now.
It must dawning on a few by now that all the new jobs in the “renewables” industry are lowering productivity because the.effort produces no value. In fact, it should be obvious it has negative return overall because costs just keep going up and living standards declining unless your income is not linked to any productive output.
Here is a thought. Link politician and government employees to the inverse of the inflation. Inflation goes up by 3.8%, they all get a pay cut of 3.8%. Let them experience some pain for the mess they are creating.
100
Imagine the number fiddling and manipulation that would go on there. Including putting subsidies on some household cost items like the electricity rebate to artificially lower inflation.
You’d have to at least exclude the ABS staff from that requirement and hope they didn’t have mates in other departments.
Would they all get a pay rise for deflation?
We can’t even get politicians to be honest about the effects of their decisions and actions.
30
Just happened to see on the morning news, inflation is up 3.8% but like average world temperatures mean something, standardised inflation also means “something”.
The news then flashed up a few commodities that had actually risen by 25%. Just as David Maddison has been hammering. No idea how to make the tele run backwards so from memory meat 14% electricity 21% coffee 20% etc.
Oh well the average is only 3,8 % don’t worry that the stuff that most households need, like food and power forms the above average part, she’ll be right.
50
Inflation must continue to rise because of the create accounting Treasurer Chalmers and Albanese Labor Government have been using since they revised the Morrison Budget for 2022/23 in October 2023, four months into the new financial year, and produced a budget surplus from what had been forecast as deficit. Windfall tax receipts from the recovering from pandemic economy was an important factor, cuts to defence budget expenditure another example.
Inflation must continue to rise because the Government will not accept the advice of many economists that government spending is far too high. The spending includes all the rebate-subsidies on net zero politics related items etc. So the underlying rate of inflation must soon be included in the official statistics. Remember the discussion about per capital recession not long ago?
For 2025/26 the Treasurer has forecast a return to deficit and worse, since then has admitted to errors in estimates of financial positions. And forecast nothing but budget deficits for another ten years at least.
50
It’s not looking very promising is it?
30
I was managing director for about thirteen years of a large manufacturing company and wholly owned by a publicly listed company, when the 1990 recession started that Labor Treasurer Keating claimed we had to have blaming international pressures and diverting attention from our over heated economy that was started by Cain Kirner Labor State Victoria mismanagement and by the late 1980s, Victoria was often referred to as being Rust Belt of Victoria. Another factor was deregulation of banking and finance sector starting from 1985, floating the Australian Dollar and other economic reforms but Labor failed to establish an industry specific government watchdog, that was established much later in 1998 by the Howard Coalition Government and called APRA – Australian Prudential Regulator Authority – after the end of the years of 1990 start recession.
Now in 2026 and noting the 2025/26 financial year budget back in deficit and forecast for another ten years minimum, admissions of errors in figures relating to deficit later announced twice, the many economists questioning excessive government spending, and other fiscal and economic factors, I believe that the next recession is not far away, and noting the played down per capita recession that has been underway.
50
Needs an explanation as you have no doubt installed >$50,000 dollars worth of complex technology that can go Fzzttt at any moment or may last ten years. So you are paying at least an extra $5K a year plus the extra insurance and compliance costs that will be hot on your heals as surely as day follows housefire / lightning bolt.
You are only ‘scamming’ your neighbours or the taxpayers, yet still paying more than what was likely only 13 cents per kWh when this bollocks first started to complicate your life. Think of the hours you have spent researching and installing when you could have been fishing or doing community service with some mates.
40
I have spent nothing like $50,000. To replace what I have now would cost under $10k without subsidies.
00
Just a brave browser search Rick. I have no doubt you could go to the Tip Shop or Gumtree and replace most equipment for next to nothing. I do not know what equipment you are running and I do not doubt your ability to carefully and cleverly replace most equipment, though your time & your thirst for knowledge does have a cost.
00
FWIW – Chiefio has a look around
“My POV has The EU Making Exactly Wrong Decisions”
https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2026/01/28/my-pov-has-the-eu-making-exactly-wrong-decisions/
30
Man leaves Kiribati (Kiribas / Gilbert & Ellis) for the safety, and work opportunities, of New Zealand to escape rising sea levels and the inherent dangers of living on a sinking island…
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/585273/family-found-body-of-tekanimaeu-arobati-man-swept-away-by-mahurangi-river
Last week we had some big rains up north and along the east coast, which were well-forecast and occur frequently this time of year, however due to poor decisions – and a complete lack of decisions in the case of the landslide at Mount Maunganui’s campground resulting in six people losing their lives – Mr Arobati’s wife is now bringing up their children on her own.
A very sad story for these God-fearing people, yet instead of authorities and useful idiots blaming you-know-what (hint: CCC) perhaps the blame should be placed on the profiteers, the irrational fear-mongers, snake oil salesmen, climate conmen & women (yes, you, Greta), and a host of deluded zombies staggering lock-step towards their own self-imprisonment for no reason whatsoever. Amen.
R I P
51
Sad tale indeed.
20
Oh frabjous day! Such wonderful news.
The ABC, oh, sorry, the University of Southern Queensland has found a ‘potentially habitable’ planet candidate, with a fabulous image showing this new planet is just the same size as Earth.
Such amazingly incredible news, and I surmise the ABC will be sending a reporter there in the near future.
New Planet found article in ABC Media
Blah blah blah! Read the article and the last line says this…..
Bewdy! Let’s leave as soon as possible eh!
And to top it off, it’s pretty close too!
Only 150 Light Years away.
So, umm, let me see now, at escape velocity of 25,000MPH, if we were to leave now, it would only take us, umm, 400 Million years, give or take to get there.
Or, as that erstwhile ABC reporter tasked by the boss to undertake the journey might ask in reply.
“Can I pick up the internet all the way. I need to blog my journey on facebook!”
Umm, please excuse my cynicism.
I wonder how many readers got all excited.
Perhaps Elon might help us out here.
Or as Albo might say at the ‘presser’, “We choose to do these things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard.”
Stop it!!
Tony.
101
Simple reason why no UFO not any other evidence of extra terrestrial life has been found – the interstellar travel is impossible.
Communication may be another matter.
Which does not make it possible per se.
40
I sometimes wonder how extraterrestrials can navigate the vast intergalactic space with pinpoint accuracy to get here and then be careless enough to crash into Area 51.
90
Hanrahan,
Hmm! Someone as cynical as me. Plus 100 green ticks.
Tony.
40
Maybe said aliens are nearby but ‘stealthed’ so we can’t detect them, and the “ufo” crashed into a private ranch NEAR Area 51 (where they test weather balloons).
Galactic navigation isn’t the problem. Making the trip in a lifetime is.
100 years worth of food, water and TP must weigh a bit too!
20
Huh! Even our Earth’s closest star (after our own Sun) the Triple Star System referred to as Alpha Centauri, well, even that is 4.37 light years away, or at the same escape velocity, a travel time of 122,500 years.
Umm, having just stated that, Cicin Liu considerably reduced that specific travel time in his novels.
It’s an odd thing really. I see or hear of a TV series, so I immediately go out and get hold of the books. Did it with the Three Body Problem trilogy from Cicin Liu, and also the Silo trilogy from Hugh Howey. Books are so much better than the TV series.
Still, nothing beats the original Foundation trilogy, and Doc Smith’s Lensman seven book set.
Tony.
30
This is an interesting theory.
https://avi-loeb.medium.com/was-the-wow-signal-emitted-from-3i-atlas-d18d4f0d1f1e
00
“Bewdy! Let’s leave as soon as possible eh!”
Start loading Spaceship B… Politicians, lawyers, management consultants and public relations executives to the front…
10
And hairdressers and telephone sanitizers!
20
FWIW – Canada
“The Libranos: Fertile Soil”
“Money, grown on trees: Cabinet’s failed Two Billion Trees Program cost nearly a half billion dollars before it was wrapped up last November 4, documents show. The program fell 89 percent short of its tree planting target.
Then delivered in paper bags. Count on it.”
https://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2026/01/28/the-libranos-fertile-soil/
10
FWIW – More native title in Canada
“Canada’s Constitution Doesn’t Protect Property. Now Homeowners Are Paying the Price”
https://www.newenglishreview.org/canadas-constitution-doesnt-protect-property-now-homeowners-are-paying-the-price/
Via https://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2026/01/28/wednesday-on-turtle-island-185/
00
May I ask a simple question – is the knowledge of yesterday’s precise air temperature necessary to predict tomorrow’s one?
Precise, that is – over and above primary school averaging rule; and yesterday – in a wider sense.
I mean, with TBs of satellite and terrestrial physical data amassed hourly can they (BOM?, WMO?) just ask their favourite AI is it time to plant crops ? Or collect ?
Would not be less accurate than at the moment.
10
‘ … just ask their favourite AI is it time to plant crops ?’
Seasonal change is natural and AI should be able to predict shorter growing seasons.
Cyclic seasonal changes are real over the long term, but variability might make it harder to pin down.
Its not generally known that from 900 to 300 BC it was particularly cold in the Northern Hemisphere, then replaced by the Roman Warm Period, Dark Ages and Little Ice Age, each of these epochs lasted around 600 years.
So fed this information AI would probably say global warming has a long way to run.
02
I left out the MWP because it was cut short by volcanic eruptions.
01
FWIW
Re “… just ask their favourite AI is it time to plant crops ”
Not their favourite AI but it was around 1980 that China gave away farm level cenrtalised agricultural planning decisions and let farmers decide. The communes still owned the land.
Now they export –
“DDG Search Assist
China is a major player in global agricultural exports, with significant products including soybeans, seafood, and fresh fruits. In 2024, China’s agricultural imports totaled $237 billion, reflecting its strong demand for various food products.
International Trade Administration USDA”
10
That is the big picture and here is another.
Australian farmers can see El Nino forming in the east Pacific, but it looks weak so no worries.
Of greater interest is the marine heatwave in the south east Pacific. I fully expected it to jump on the Peru Current and send hot water up the west coast, creating a severe El Nino.
https://classic.nullschool.net/#current/ocean/surface/currents/overlay=sea_surface_temp_anomaly/orthographic=-89.36,-28.89,526/loc=-106.579,-34.690
Reasonably good growing season coming up.
20
“Of greater interest is the marine heatwave in the south east Pacific. I fully expected it to jump on the Peru Current and send hot water up the west coast, creating a severe El Nino.”
Yes, did anyone think the good rains since the drought broke in 2019 would last forever? I’m happy they have lasted this long, some new trees have got themselves well-established and we have had some good crops in the last 5 years.
10
And in comments there
Via https://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2026/01/28/wednesday-on-turtle-island-185/
“Re California’s billionaire tax, which would tax unrealized gains of stocks held but not sold.
Apparently the state’s tax authority will determine the fair market value of the stock. They may decide that the stock market price is too low, and doesn’t reflect the true value of the company. In other words the tax authority will determine the price a motivated third party would pay for the company, and this is the value they’ll tax.
https://x.com/shipwreckedcrew/status/2016542413322646003 ”
Highlighted in “Elbow’s Ideas List”?
10
FWIW – reading for “Elbow & Co”
“Carney’s Cardboard Belt”
https://pjmedia.com/david-solway-2/2026/01/27/carneys-cardboard-belt-n4948801
Via https://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2026/01/28/wednesday-on-turtle-island-185/
00
FWIW – latest Kunstler
“Had Enough?
“Minnesota Democrats hate ICE because they’re deporting their voters.” —Gunther Eagleman on “X” ”
https://www.kunstler.com/p/had-enough-9ec
10
New York’s Hudson River has a layer of ice:
All NYC Ferry service was suspended starting 2 p.m. on Tuesday, Jan. 27 due to thick ice in the East River and the Hudson River, the agency announced just before 1:30 p.m. By the time the announcement was made, final trips on all routes had already set sail.
https://www.brooklynpaper.com/nyc-ferry-service-suspended-rivers-freeze/
10
FWIW
“Feminism Gone Wrong”
https://newcatallaxy.blog/2026/01/10/feminism-gone-wrong/
30
If we follow the trend, NEM will reach 100% “renewable” energy in 2048. The wholesale volume will be 144TWh; down somewhat on the current 188TWh as electricity intensive businesses disconnect from the grid.
By 2048, rooftops will be pumping out 88TWh for internal and external consumption. So total electrical energy 232TWh; somewhat higher than the 2025 218TWh.
The cost will be de-industrialisation and total reliance on China for manufactured goods. Unlikely I will be here to witness it.
And as the last few days highlighted, getting 144TWh from hydro, wind and solar will require a LOT of batteries. Even if Snowy 2 is operating by then.
30
FWIW
“When Pretending Just Won’t Do”
“Lifted from the comments, on a theme we’ve touched on many times – namely high-trust societies and those who struggle with the concept:”
https://thompsonblog.co.uk/2026/01/when-pretending-just-wont-do.html
Via https://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2026/01/28/when-pretending-just-wont-do/
00
And – long
“Stone Face”
“As we’ve talked about before, one of the left’s strengths, perhaps its last remaining strength and the one that’s hardest to break is that for so long being a leftist was a positional good.”
Much more at https://accordingtohoyt.com/2026/01/27/stone-face/
“So, if you find yourself in a situation where they make it obvious that you have to say something lefty to position yourself as “once of us” refuse it. Give them nothing but the stone face.
This is all they have now. And if we neg it enough, they have nothing.”
10
Gold bugs rejoice, just don’t put yourself into a spot where you need to cash out.
The market ATM is a mess – Refiners are flat out and even though they have weeks of forward sales the new, high cost of inventory and price volatility means they are limited in the amount of metal they can buy. If the refiners aren’t buying your dealer can’t either.
I was offered melt less 3% for Perth Mint proof coins in mahogany box with certificate. If I were buying now it would be an ETF which holds physical or maybe Sprott SLVR.
10
How is the Netherlands (or any) Government meant to stop “climate change”?
In any case, the average elevation of Bonsire is 1m. A stupid place to live. Not really appropriate for human habitation.
20
The Neanderthals had a Government?
~
~
😃
10
Humans are limited in our perspective, that which is beyond what we can see is hard to imagine, so scale beyond three zeros is beyond the normal brain. Ergo billions and trillions are non-conceivable [is that a word?] and US$8 bill fraud is dismissed with a shrug and a “Sheet happens”. To be meaningful it must be reduced to small multiples of something we understand such as “we could build a hospital with that”.
So Minnesota [pop 5.8 mill] could have paid the acquisition cost of our three squadrons of fighter jets and be no worse off.
Or they could have built four Arleigh Burke-class destroyers, generating massive wages and taxes, benefiting all Americans. No wonder Trump is hissed.
30
‘Inconceivable’ and yes, it’s a crock, especially when the latest slogan/jingo/chant is ‘Nett Zero’, ie. 000.000 – totally gross.
20
FWIW – suprised?
“In other news, 9th Century tribesmen
Are acting like it’s the 9th Century”
https://thelawdogfiles.substack.com/p/in-other-news-9th-century-tribesmen
Via https://instapundit.com/772764/#disqus_thread
00
“No Matter How Much You Hate the Media
You don’t hate them enough.”
https://wlehman.substack.com/p/no-matter-how-much-you-hate-the-media?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email&triedRedirect=true
Via https://instapundit.com/772754/#disqus_thread
No wonder science has a hard time.
00
FWIW
A “Christmas Turkey Memorial” celebration?
“Cruise ship trapped in heavy sea ice is rescued by US Coast Guard vessel
USCGC Polar Star made multiple passes to break up frozen pack surrounding stranded vessel”
A cruise ship was trapped in thick sea ice on Saturday while sailing near Antarctica.
The Scenic Eclipse II became stuck while sailing through the Ross Sea. It requested assistance after it was unable to break through the surrounding pack ice, the U.S. Coast Guard said in a press release.”
https://www.foxnews.com/travel/cruise-ship-trapped-heavy-sea-ice-rescued-us-coast-guard-vessel
10
Trying to emulate the Ship of Fools?
00