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By Jo Nova The UN is morphing into the New World Eco-Cathedral and the first commandment is “Give Us Your Money”Antonio Guterres opened the Working Group Chapter on Fire and Brimstone and dug deep: [AP News] “Humanity has opened the gates to hell,” U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres said Wednesday, opening a special climate ambition summit with yet another plea for action. “ Horrendous heat is having horrendous effects. Distraught farmers watching crops carried away by floods. Sweltering temperatures spawning disease. And thousands fleeing in fear as historic fires rage.” In a reversion to the medieval era of microbiology, apparently heat itself spawns disease from the ether. We know heat is the devil itself, the source of all evil, as the IPCC has not found one single good thing that might happen with more hotness. No one is even pretending this is science anymore, are they?Once equilibrium climate sensitivity is at the Gates of Hell level, where can it go next? Magma level? And is that better or worse? The developed world was put in the naughty corner, and not allowed to speak, so they didn’t turn up, or perhaps it was the other way around. Those [major emitting] nations remained silent. They weren’t allowed to speak because, organizers said, they had no new actions to take. Heads of state from China, the United States, India, Russia, the United Kingdom and France all skipped the summit. The 32 national leaders who did qualify represent only 11% of the world’s carbon dioxide pollution. Guterres was apparently performing for a different crowd — whipping up the poor brethren nations to ask God for money, or failing that, the European Commission, or John Kerry which is nearly the same thing. Guterres called on “major emitters — who have benefited most from fossil fuels — to make extra efforts to cut emissions, and on wealthy countries to support emerging economies to do so.” They were silent. There’s some ceremonial ritual at work here, where rich nations are banned from talking then blamed for not saying anything. Ultimately, the main point of the summit was to feed from the trough: He called on wealthy nations to fulfill their $100 billion pledges to help poorer countries deal with climate change. The United States is one of the countries that hasn’t done so. The U.N. chief also pushed for countries to spend even more than they’ve promised and put in money to a “loss and damage” fund agreed upon last year that are sort of payments to help nations harmed by extreme weather from global warming. There was a call to the promised land: Africa “can leapfrog into a fully green industrial paradigm,’’ Kenyan President William Ruto said. “Yet we cannot and must not do this on our own.” Little does the Kenyan President know that if Kenya gets there, to the green industrial paradigm, they will be on their own, because no one else has made it. The promised land doesn’t exist. The Green Industrial Paradigm is a the place where modern economies go to die. Photos from David Neuvere and the EU mixed by Jo Nova, and UN logo by Sshu94
By Jo Nova Was this the “Peak NetZero” moment for the British Isles?Perhaps the threat of jailing people for owning the wrong fridge was a step too far? On Monday the UK government was insisting the ban on petrol cars by 2030 would still go ahead. Today, in a rush, it’s been delayed 5 years, along with slowing down the forced push to get rid of gas boilers. About a fifth of all householders apparently won’t ever have to buy a wildly expensive heat pump they could not afford. (Shame the other four fifths will). People won’t be getting seven different recycling bins, taxes on meat, flying and new rules on car sharing, at least not yet. Here’s hoping they’ll get delayed forever. Naturally the PM is insisting this is “not a short term decision aimed at winning the next election” — because in a democracy, that would be a terrible thing, right. Imagine trying to appeal to voters. The Sin of it! Labor immediately promised to undo this travesty of allowing the public to choose whatever kind of car they want for another five years. Which is good news. If Rishi Sunak really does this, and the election becomes “a climate vote”, the people of the UK might get a choice. We know this is step in the right direction because Al Gore, Greenpeace and the Grantham institute people have already said they don’t like it. h/t MrGrimNasty, and NetZeroWatch Rishi Sunak takes axe to Tory net zero plans warning current 2030 target would cost families £15,000:PM waters down ban on gas boilers and petrol and diesel cars, scraps plans for seven bins per home and says there will be no extra tax on flights or meatThe Prime Minister hosted a Downing Street press conference to confirm plans to delay a ban on new petrol and diesel car sales by five years to 2035. And about a fifth of all households will be covered by an ‘exemption’ from ever having to remove their gas boiler and replace it with a heat pump. ‘We are not going to save the planet by bankrupting the British people.’ — Home Secretary Suella Braverman, Sky News NetZeroWatch welcomes this and points out it was inevitable given the retreat in other nations and the impossibility of it all: Net Zero Watch has long warned that current Net Zero plans are astronomically costly, technologically impossible and politically unsustainable. As European governments have begun to retreat from their own Net Zero plans, it was just a question of time before the UK, which has even more utopian targets, had to make a U-turn, and return to the path of economic and technological realism. A few small truths come out… ‘Unacceptable costs’: Britain delays petrol car ban, weakens net-zero targetsSydney Morning Herald Sunak, who said governments “of all stripes” had not been “honest with the public” about the costs of net-zero… He said the debate around climate change had been charged with “too much emotion and not enough clarity” and that the approach should shift to “consent, not imposition, honesty not obfuscation, pragmatism not ideology.” “If we continue down this path, we risk losing the consent of the British people and the resulting backlash would not just be against specific policies, but against the wider mission itself,” he said. What consent do they risk losing? The fake one created with ambiguous polls, loaded questions and by calling people “deniers”?
By Jo Nova It’s like the bushfires and baking heat are already here (in your mind, if not in reality)It’s as if we’re preparing for Pearl Harbour or something — and if you are not scared, you should be, and even if this summer isn’t that unprecedented, you will feel like it is, and if the hellfire doesn’t eventuate, there’ll be no headlines saying “Oops. We panicked for nothing!” After 150 years of Pacific Oscillation, the Pacific has oscillated again. An El Nino has been declared, and like the last 27 El Ninos since Federation, it will probably be warmer and drier “than average” in Australia. But the Merchants of Panic are already calling it a summer of severe wildfires and droughts. There’s no flames yet, but Reuters is wheeling out the photos of burnt out wrecks. SBS found experts to badger us into making a “heat wave plan” — like seriously, as if Australians need three months to remember what summer is. No really — The Executive Director of Sweltering Cities (whatever that is), says you should buy up those extra ice cube trays now and learn the signs of heat exhaustion. Prepare your home — like what, find the air conditioner remote? Even in France, apparently the risk of an Australian bushfire and drought that might, maybe potentially happen is now worth a headline. See how this works? Even if the world were cooling, there’s always someplace that might have a hot summer coming, and when all the world shares headlines of hellfire, people will feel like climate hell is truly here, even if the weather was just exactly what it has always been. For perspective, here are the last 147 years of Pacific variation, just so people can appreciate how extraordinary this isn’t. This is a BOM graph, made by an agency that gets a million dollars a day from Australians to understand our climate, but somehow our billion dollar public news agencies can’t find it, and the BOM forgot to mention it in the press release. It’s just another day in the land of droughts and flooding rains:What matters is that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation is the largest short term driver of Earth’s climate, and we have no idea what makes it tick; we can’t predict it more than a few months in advance, and we have no clue at all about what it will do this time next year. (If we did, the BoM could tell our farmers useful things, like what kind of rainfall they’ll get before they put the seed in. ) Hidden in the small print on the ABC site, but not mentioned on the nightly news, is that El Nino’s don’t always create widespread drought, and that the models are sometimes wrong, and the slow development of this years event “might limit its strength”. How to manufacture climate anxietySBS News really takes the cake today. The new normal is a world where you practically need a roster on the fridge to plan who does the 3pm check to see if Nana had her glass of water. The Executive Director of Sweltering Cities, Emma Bacon, says people should have a heat wave plan. “That means looking at our homes now and saying ‘how can I make it easier to keep cool inside? Do I need to get an extra fan? Do I need to get more ice cube trays? How can I block the heat from entering the house with extra awnings or things like that. So that’s one of the big things. it’s familiarising ourselves with the symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke to make sure if we need medical care, then we know when that needs to happen. And what we also can do is we can figure out who we’re going to check in on during a heatwave that could be a colleague, it could be grandma, it could be you know a family member who’s pregnant, you know, people who might be suffering in the heat, who we are going to check in on and let’s make a plan to do that because community connection is one of the best ways to keep safe during a heatwave.”
It’s almost like prepping for a summer blackout without saying the word “blackout”? But, silly me, in the Renewable Crash Test Zone, being NetZero or living in a blackout are nearly the same thing.
By Jo Nova Greens destroying nature againSome experts think there may be only 1,000 of these eagles left, our largest bird of prey, and yet in the last 12 years some 272 of them have been killed or injured in the vicinity of Tasmanian wind towers. That’s at least as far as the maintenance crews have noticed, and not that they were specifically looking… So the number can only go up, and other types of birds are getting the chop too. The Tasmanian Wedge-tailed eagle has been known to have a wingspan as large as 2.8m (9ft 3in). They mate for life, and a single nest can be 1 – 3 meters across. Tasmanian wind rush ‘may push eagles to extinction’, says studyBy Matthew Denholm, The Australian Tasmanian wind farms and transmission lines have killed or injured 321 threatened eagles in 12 years, but the real figure is likely far higher, a new study finds. The peer reviewed study, published in Australian Field Ornithology, uses data from wind farms, TasNetworks and eagle rescuers to identify the death or injury of 272 endangered Tasmanian wedge-tailed eagles and 49 vulnerable white-bellied sea eagles. It found that from 2010 to 2022, 268 eagles were recorded killed and 53 injured by wind and transmission energy infrastructure, with the state’s four wind farms reporting 38 deaths, TasNetworks 139 deaths and raptor rescuers 91 deaths. Mr Pullen’s study points to estimates from some of these experts that less than 1,000 Tasmanian wedge-tailed eagles remain … Ornithologists and conservationists (but not the Federal Greens) are calling for a moratorium on new industrial wind plants. Apparently the Australian government will try to protect migratory birds but it’s bad luck for the local residents. Some wind farms are not even required to monitor and report bird deaths anymore. For the unwashed masses though, killing a wedge-tailed eagle is illegal. Things just aren’t going well for the windfarms (or the eagles)Tasmania is theoretically going to be home to the largest wind plant in the Southern Hemisphere, the Robbins Island Mega Wind Factory — but it only got approval to operate if it shut down for five months of the year so it didn’t hurt the Orange Bellied Parrot. The other bright idea was to use a high-tech detection system to spot the eagles and shut the turbines down when birds approached. (Imagine if we had to turn off the coal plants every time an eagle visited?) But last month the news came out that the bird avoidance system at Cattle Hill Windfarm had still killed eight endangered wedge-tailed eagles in less than four years (plus some other birds too). It may not sound like much but there are plans to build nine or ten new sets of turbine “parks” across Tasmania, and if one tower misses, the next one will get them… It’s not about the environment is it?
By Jo Nova News is just a non-stop Psy-Op nowSydney is getting five warm days in a row and the Sydney Morning Horror is warning that it could be deadly. Even newspapers in Belgium think their readers need to know there’s a warm spring in Australia — 10 – 15 degrees above average. It’s not even a record. Not even “the hottest in history” — just by golly, a bit warmer than a similar September heatwave, you know, nine years ago. It was 35.6 degrees in September 2000 — so after 23 years of global warming, it’s not even hotter. Sydney is due to hit 30 degrees on Sunday and Monday, but will reach new highs of 32 on Tuesday and Wednesday. The city hasn’t experienced consecutive days of 30-degree-plus weather in September since 2014. This week will be 10 degrees hotter than Sydney’s August average. Driving a car could be deadly today too, but we don’t put it in a headline. The psychological effect is to generate fear of warm weather. What is exciting is that Sydney didn’t even reach 32C last summer, at all, so after one of the least warm not-hottest 12 months on record, Sydney is finally getting some beach weather. But don’t mention that in 163 years there has not been a longer period where Sydney didn’t break 32 degrees C. In Belgium “Australia is holding its breath” in fear of summer:In the capital Canberra it can reach 28 degrees on Monday. There the record for September is at 30 degrees. According to the meteorological institute, it is very exceptional that a heat wave is observed so early in the year. Summer is expected to be the hottest since 1996. Australia is therefore holding its breath for a summer like the one from 2019-2020. Then large parts of the country were burned to ashes by forest fires, killing some thirty. The biggest killer in Sydney is moderate cold:The Sydney Morning Herald is a bigger public danger than the heatwave because they only report the half of the news that suits them: Western Sydney University senior researcher Thomas Longden said short sharp heatwaves, like the one Sydney is experiencing, are the most dangerous because the body struggles to acclimatise and people are less likely to change their behaviours to stay cool when the weather shifts suddenly. His work has found about 2 per cent of deaths in Australia each year are heat-related. Even in sunny warm Australia about six times as many people die of the cold as of the heat. (Cheng et al) When will the Sydney Morning Herald point out that expensive electricity in winter kills far more people than a warm week in Spring? Indeed, the best cure for heat deaths is air conditioning. What we need is the cheap coal fired power grid we used to have (the one without all the unreliable expensive generators added on). The number of people killed by 30 degree days in Sydney is almost nothing. (Gasparrini et al). When will “journalists” do some research instead of phoning up the local tame professor of global nonsense? The news has become a gaslighting advert to justify more subsidies and profits for industrial giants, the deep state and asset managers with $9,000 billion dollars to buy media companies. Good friends don’t let good friends read The Sydney Morning Herald without a health warning. REFERENCESCheng et al (2019) Impacts of heat, cold, and temperature variability on mortality in Australia, 2000–2009, Science of The Total Environment,Volume 651, Part 2, 15 February 2019, Pages 2558-2565, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.186 Antonio Gasparrini et al. (2015) Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multicountry observational study. The Lancet, May 2015 DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)62114-0. Full PDF. h/t David of Cooyal in Oz, and Bella [*Typo “trillion” corrected to billion, dang – Jo].
By Jo Nova Apple aims at customers with too much money and a desperate need to feel smugYou too can save the world, by spending two-grand on the latest tech-wear — not because it’s lighter, better, faster, bigger, or more useful, but because you want to look like you care about stopping bad weather and bush fires. Signal your virtue to the world! Wear your smug-watch and smile. It’s carbon neutral, and you are the leading carbon-show-off in the class. (Pretend you care about the kids mining cobalt in the Congo, or the Uighur camps in Xinjiang. Oh nevermind.) There is a spiritual void out there in 2023 and Apple wants to fill it. But this religion is a world of shallow consumerism and point-scoring, pretending it is deeply philosophical and generous. Apple are this close to turning their brand into a teachy-preachy pagan apostle of Gaia. And did Mother Nature say she controls the weather? Oops. What are all the windfarms for? Mother Nature is a bossy black woman, wouldn’t you know, and the word for the advert is “cringeworthy“. This adverts sums up everything about the motivations of the average climate acolyte. Like a Gucci handbag, it’s all for show but who cares what it can carry? Will solar panels stop the storms or wind turbines hold back the tide? Doesnt matter, as long as you can fake it. As Heel versus Babyface says: “Best advert for android I’ve ever seen.”
By Jo Nova For most of our lives, scientists have been among the most trusted community leaders. But not any more.For nearly fifty years, more than four out of ten Americans said they had a “great deal of confidence” in the people running our institutions of science. This was the strongest possible answer people could give. But all that has changed in the last few years with public opinion on science now splitting along political lines. Faith in the institutions of science has collapsed among conservative voters. The goodwill, the trust and esteem built by things like The Manhattan Project and the Moonshot carried on for decades, but when Covid arrived, and science was the number one public topic of debate, many scientists sat silent on the sidelines. The lab leak theory came and went and then turned out to have been true all along. When ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine could have saved lives, scientists said nothing. When vaccines were sold as “safe and effective”, researchers who knew there were risks, sat on their hands. When borders could have been shut to stop bioweapons, Trump was left on his own. When universities failed the nation, scientists mostly sided with the academics. The price for spineless silence is that now among Republicans, half the confidence is gone. It was the greatest hour of need, and scientists were missing in action. Wait til the public finds out about climate science… It’s a remarkable fall among conservative voters in the US: dropping from 45% in 2018 to just 22% in 2022 who still “have a great deal of confidence” in the scientific community. Major declines in the public’s confidence in science in the wake of the pandemicJune 15, 2023 While Democrats were more likely than Republicans to trust science before the pandemic, what was a 10% point gap in 2018 is now a 31% gap between different groups of voters. During the pandemic Democrat voters briefly became more confident in the scientific community, but that returned to the baseline the following year. The fall in Republican faith shows no sign of leveling off. It’s hard to believe the effects of this will not translate to other areas like climate change. Once people have admitted scientists can be politicized, bought, blind, or wrong on one topic, it’s hard to see how “Trust the Science” rings true in any other arena. The General Social Survey was started in 1972, is run by NORC at the University of Chicago every year, and surveyed 3,500 people in 2022. For fifty years, science was trustedWhile faith in medicine, education and “the press” had been eroding over the last fifty years, science had maintained its position. The latest collapse in trust is a marked change from the long term steady trend line. Faith in medicine also fell, and a partisan gap emerged:While Democrats confidence in medical institutions did not change, Republicans saying they had a great deal of confidence dropped from 40% to 26%. For most of the years of the survey there was no political divide. This is a new phenomenon. Confidence in the media, which was almost non-existent, still fell:It’s been more than 20 years since Republican voters had as much confidence in the media as Democrats. What happened in 2017? Presumably the bump in democratic faith in the media was due to the election of Donald Trump and partisan attacks on him. All in all, it’s a sad, sad story when the nations institutions are not worthy of trust, and are so obviously politicized. Keep reading → By Jo Nova Earth’s Blood Pressure is too high nowModern Science looks more like a Medieval Guild every day Back in May humans did the first ever study quantifying Earth System Boundaries, which was incredible luck. After two hundred thousand years of homo sapiens stretching the bounds of the planet, we barely discovered “Earth System Boundaries” in time to find out we hit the limit 12 weeks later. What are the odds? It’s almost as if a whole twig of science was invented in order to write scary press releases? It’s another unauditable, unaccountable collective of Experts who can never be wrong, only “useful” to the bureaucratic machine. They call themselves scientists but their predictions will never be tested, only marked against the Department wish-list. We can all appreciate the talismanic symbolism (and marketing value) below, where segments of the sacred arcs are tainted blood red, as Earth progressively descends into the anthropogenic abyss year upon year. Red Agate pendants cut-to-match will no doubt be ready for Christmas. Meanwhile the same climate models that can’t predict any of the last two thousand years, or next months floods, droughts and rains — can somehow tell us exactly what the limits are on these complex systems. Only 7,000 years ago humans survived sea levels that were one to two meters higher than today, and they did it all without a single satellite, iphone or Planetary Boundary Advisor. It’s all about respect apparently — pretty soon we’ll be carving Venus figurines to protect us. Six of nine planetary boundaries now exceededUniversity of Copehagen, Phys.org A new study updates the planetary boundary framework and shows human activities are increasingly impacting the planet and, thereby, increasing the risk of triggering dramatic changes in overall Earth conditions. For over 3 billion years, the interaction between life (represented by the planetary boundary, Biosphere Integrity) and climate have controlled the overall environmental conditions on Earth. Respecting and maintaining interactions in the Earth system so that they remain similar to those that have controlled Earth conditions over the past ~12,000 years are critical for ensuring human activities do not trigger dramatic changes in Earth conditions—changes that likely would decrease the Earth’s ability to support modern civilizations. The Earth’s ‘blood pressure’ is too highThe trend of increasing transgression of the boundaries is worrying explains Katherine Richardson, professor at Globe Institute, Leader of the Sustainability Science Center at the University of Copenhagen, and leader of the study, “Crossing six boundaries in itself does not necessarily imply a disaster will ensue but it is a clear warning signal. We can regard it as we do our own blood pressure. A BP over 120/80 is not a guarantee of a heart attack but it increases the risk of one. Therefore, we try to bring it down. For our own—and our children’s—sakes we need to reduce the pressure on these six planetary boundaries.” Like some people with high blood pressure, human civilization needs to go on a diet: we need fewer bureaucrats, and less government funded witchcraft. REFERENCEKatherine Richardson, Earth beyond six of nine Planetary Boundaries, Science Advances (2023). DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adh2458. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458 Venus of Willendorf — Wellcome Collection Gallery. CC4.0
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