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The world has not warmed since 2001.
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July 19th, 2009 | Tags: Clusters, Evidence, Global Temperatures, Little Ice Age, The Skeptics Handbook | Category: Global Warming, The Skeptics Handbook |  Print This Post | | Part I was posted in The antidote to 150 million quadrillion joules.This is the updated and revised calculation. Michael Hammer previously calculated that if the IPCC were right, the oceans should have absorbed a lot more heat, but just how much? He has revised his previous calculation after discovering an error. Now instead of oceans missing as much as 90% of the heat capacity, they are missing less, but it’s still around two-thirds. Its a lot of energy that somehow, somewhere, is not being absorbed. Where is the energy that greenhouse gases are supposedly ‘trapping’? Not in the air, and not in the water. What sort of radiative imbalance is this? Not one to get scared of. Naturally, as always, Michael is keen for people to check his numbers and give us feedback. Here is another example of a skilled expert doing pro bono work because he is concerned at the state of the science and the unnecessary damage to our society that it will bring. Michael Hammer has around 20 patents in the field of spectroscopy, that means he’s produced work that’s so useful and original that his employers have shelled out hundreds of thousands of […] July 14th, 2009 | Tags: Evidence, Hammer (Michael), Oceans | Category: Global Warming | Print This Post | | Have you noticed, the scaremongers are being boxed into reusing the same graph over and over. We sceptics are not afraid of any graph, but alarmists just don’t want to look from too close or too far away… When skeptics debunk a graph we show the graph we debunk. Not so the carbon-is-a-crisis crowd. The latest trend in graphology-PR is to debunk sceptics graphs by ignoring the graph itself and putting up an entirely different graph. 7.8 out of 10 based on 8 ratings […] July 7th, 2009 | Tags: Debunking, Deltoid, Global Temperatures, Lambert (Tim), Steve Fielding, Temperature trends | Category: AGW socio-political, Global Warming, Logic & Reason | Print This Post | | History will record that a dedicated team of experts offered their services for free to help rescue science from the coming of a second dark ages (or at least from the clutches of politicians pursuing Nobel peace prizes). Here’s another example of people wanting to do their part to spread the word. 8.8 out of 10 based on 4 ratings […] July 6th, 2009 | Tags: The Skeptics Handbook, Translations | Category: Global Warming | Print This Post | | Oceans are critical to proving that humans are having an impact on the climate. The big scary number of the week is 15 × 1022 (or 150 million quadrillion). It’s the number of Joules the ocean has apparently heated by since 1961. But convert it to degrees per year and suddenly the big scary 15 × 1022 becomes three thousands of one degree per year. Unmeasurably small. So realists everywhere, lets check the math, and get ready to spread the word. Everywhere you see the ocean heat capacity argument or graph, let people know the numbers just don’t add up. THIS POST HAS BEEN UPDATED SEE HERE FOR THE LATEST FIGURES. … 6.8 out of 10 based on 5 ratings […] July 6th, 2009 | Tags: Hammer (Michael), Oceans, Steve Fielding, William Kininmonth | Category: Global Warming | Print This Post | | Released today. Four independent scientists respond in detail to the evidence that government scientists claim shows that carbon dioxide causes significant global warming. The real debate continues. After the return fire from the skeptical experts, there was not a single point left standing. 10 out of 10 based on 3 ratings […] July 3rd, 2009 | Tags: Climate Sceptics (in Australia), Steve Fielding | Category: AGW socio-political, Global Warming | Print This Post | | There are 2014 updates on this topic: Ocean temperatures – Is that warming statistically significant? IPCC in denial. “Just-so” excuses use ocean heat to hide their failure. There has been a change in direction by the alarmists, as shown by their new “Synthesis Report.” The independent scientists noticed it during the Wong-Fielding meeting. The alarmists have abandoned air temperatures as a measure of global temperature, because the air temperature graphs are just too hard to argue with (like the second figure below, from the Skeptics Handbook). Instead they’ve switched to ocean temperatures, which they often disguise as ocean heat content (a huge number like 15×10²² Joules sounds much more scary than the warming it implies of 0.003° C/year). All three pages of the Synthesis Report that deal with ‘evidence’ are about factors or trends that tell us nothing about whether or not the warming is due to carbon emissions. If God put the galaxy in a toaster, sea levels would rise, ocean heat content would increase, and ice would melt. Notice how the graph above from the Synthesis Report that came out this month doesn’t include the last six years of data? Carrier pigeons from the remote worldwide […] July 1st, 2009 | Tags: ARGO, Evans (David), Evidence, Global Temperatures, Loehle (Craig), Oceans, SPPI Original Paper, Temperature trends | Category: Global Warming | Print This Post | | Professor Matthew England The debate that Senator Steve Fielding started continues, this time between heavyweights in Australian climate science. Yet again, the side with the funding, the power, and the large claims is unable to answer basic polite science questions. The pompous arrogance is evident. Why not just answer the question? Professor Matthew England’s research teams have received nearly $2.5 million in funding from the Australian government, much of it for studying oceans and climate change. So when we need good answers on the topic, he would be the man. If a school student asked for help, we might expect only a two line reply passing on a link. But when the question comes from one of the most informed climate scientists in the country, with 12 years as head of Australia’s National Climate Centre, and it’s about a graph at the centre of legislative negotiations, it’s inexcusable that the reply was vague, poorly reasoned and didn’t answer the question. All this, in a conversation that England himself started. 10 out of 10 based on 2 ratings […] June 30th, 2009 | Tags: Argument by Authority, England (Matthew), Oceans, Penny Wong, Steve Fielding, William Kininmonth | Category: AGW socio-political, Global Warming, Logic & Reason | Print This Post | | More muddy thinking. Once again, a politico-journalist writes about science and misses the point. Science is not like law, politics or sport: there is no umpire, no judge, no boss who sets the rules (at least not one you can interview). Opinions don’t control the climate, yet Mike Steketee makes the basic error of elevating opinions above The Real World. Steketee is The Australian newspaper’s National Affairs Editor. He’s even won a Walkley award for journalism, yet somehow, the rules of engagement for science writing are so lax he can get away with a commentary which fails the basic test of logic. He pays lip service to the benefits of scepticism in journalism, while he simply repeats official PR from international committees. This is not investigative journalism, or even informed commentary. “We have the illusion of ‘free press’, but when the press is untrained in logic and reason, free press is just free propaganda.” What’s so comi-tragic about Steketee is that he’s so sure he ‘understands’ science that he can patronisingly imply that Fielding-the-engineer, might be ‘influenced’ by a contrarian (god forbid, a person who thinks)—all while Steketee is clearly not just influenced, but beholden to group-think. Yawn. There goes […] June 24th, 2009 | Tags: Journalism, Logic & Reason, Science Communication | Category: Global Warming, Logic & Reason | Print This Post | | Finally, the question we’ve all wanted to ask of the people in power: Where’s the evidence? Senator Fielding holds a crucial vote on the proposed Emissions Trading Legislation. Fielding and four independent scientists faced the Minister for the Climate Change and Water, Penny Wong, The Chief Scientist, Penny Sackett, and Professor Will Steffen, director of the Climate Change Institute at the Australian National University. Read what happened from someone who was there. Joanne Nova Guest Post by Dr David Evans 8.8 out of 10 based on 10 ratings […] June 19th, 2009 | Tags: Climate Sceptics (in Australia), Emissions Trading Scheme, Penny Wong, Steve Fielding | Category: AGW socio-political, Global Warming | Print This Post | | In a spot of unwitting self-parody Michael Kundu states: “…we need to have the ability to tell fact from fiction. This last mailing is an excellent example of ‘fiction’.” Thus Michael Kundu, whale photographer, pronounces the data from NASA, Hadley, UAH, CSSP, IPPC, as fiction. […] June 10th, 2009 | Tags: Censorship, Coercion, Education, JoNova's Favourites, Logic & Reason | Category: Global Warming, Logic & Reason | Print This Post | | This is a big step. Steve Fielding in Australia holds a crucial senate vote on the proposed Emission Trading Scheme (ETS). Astonishingly (for a politician) he stands out from the crowd for simply saying the obvious. He wants to “hear from both sides of the debate.” A simple statement like this should not be remarkable—but it’s so rare. Steve Fielding assumed the mainstream thinking was right, but is now doing what anyone who hasn’t looked at the debate in detail ought to be doing. Some research. It’s a rare occasion when you can see the good side of democracy and free speech in action. He paid for himself to fly to the far side of the world to attend Heartland’s 3rd conference on Climate Change to hear from scientists who are not convinced carbon has a large role to play in our climate. The Australian newspaper covered it. And Steve expanded today in the Australian on why he went to Washington. His visit to the Heartland conference has given the Australian ABC enough reason to bother sending a journalist to it (unlike the two previous conferences). See their short coverage from Washington. (Look out for the glimpse of The […] June 8th, 2009 | Tags: ABC, Fielding (Steve), Jones (Tony), Journalism, Science Communication, Steve Fielding | Category: AGW socio-political, Global Warming, Science Communication | Print This Post | | Undoubtedly the best summary of the current state of affairs is the SPPI monthly CO2 report. The April report contains news that—if there was a free and high quality media—would have generated headlines like these (well, sort of—you get the idea). Any investigative journalist who was doing their job only had to Google for the other side of the story. I’m not saying those journalists have to agree with us, just that, at the moment most environmental writers think ‘balanced’ means saying, “The world will cook: the question is, lightly toasted OR totally pan-fried’. Here’s the counter summary of the headlines we didn’t see, accompanied by an analysis you probably won’t see anywhere else. Planet Unmoved by IPCC Forecast Despite the power of the authority vested in the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), The Planet appears to be unswayed by the large well funded international bureaucracy, and is similarly immune to following the collected wisdom of the software engineers who compress it’s 1100 billion cubic kilometers of complexity into a PC. 7 out of 10 based on 3 ratings […] May 26th, 2009 | Tags: Climate Models, Oceans, Satire & Parody, Sea ice | Category: Global Warming | Print This Post | | Parlez Vouz Francais? The French version of The Skeptics Handbook is released! Send it to your friends who speak French; send it to your friends who don’t speak French but would like too, and send it to schools in the hope that students might learn logic and reason in their language classes, because they probably won’t learn it in science*. […] May 21st, 2009 | Tags: Paris, The Skeptics Handbook, Translations | Category: Global Warming | Print This Post | | Good news! The Skeptics Handbook has been translated into German and now you can email all your German speaking friends (or enemies 😉 ) with a link to this page or the German site it’s on. It’s a first. Thanks to the power of the internet, and the passionate international resistance to propaganda in science, I’ve now written a book I can’t read. (No seriously, it’s a measure of just how dedicated are the army of unpaid volunteers willing to donate time and effort to spread the word. Thanks!) 10 out of 10 based on 4 ratings […] May 16th, 2009 | Tags: The Skeptics Handbook, Translations | Category: Global Warming | Print This Post | | The rise in global temperatures since 1880 closely correlates with increases in postal charges, sparking alarm that CO2 has been usurped as the main driver of climate change. Ominously, US Post is set to raise the charges 2c to 44c on May 11, 2009. Postal Action Network (PAN) has already sprung into existence this afternoon and plans to produce a boycott campaign of the new 44c Homer Simpson stamps. […] May 3rd, 2009 | Tags: Correlation Is Not Causation, JoNova's Favourites, Satire & Parody | Category: Funny stuff, Global Warming, Logic & Reason | Print This Post | | Just as the great bull run that could have no end, ended, another unthinkably big bubble quivers. Technical indicators are quietly being tripped that suggest the bull run in global temperatures may be toying with a reversal. Could another large human institution dependent on complex models be headed for it’s ‘Lehman Bros’ moment? […] April 12th, 2009 | Tags: Evans (David), Little Ice Age, Satire & Parody | Category: AGW socio-political, Global Warming, Monetary History | Print This Post | | This is a Guest Post by Dr David Evans
The big temperature picture. Graph and insight from Dr Syun Akasofu (2009 International Conference on Climate Change, New York, March 2009). The global temperature has been rising at a steady trend rate of 0.5°C per century since the depths of the little ice age in the 1700s (when the Thames River would freeze over every winter; the last time it froze over was 1804). On top of the trend are oscillations that last about thirty years in each direction: 1882 – 1910 Cooling 1910 – 1944 Warming 1944 – 1975 Cooling 1975 – 2001 Warming In 2009 we are where the green arrow points, with temperature leveling off. The pattern suggests that the world has entered a period of slight cooling until about 2030. 8.7 out of 10 based on 19 ratings […] April 3rd, 2009 | Tags: Akasofu (Dr Syun), Evans (David), Evidence, Little Ice Age | Category: Global Warming | Print This Post | |
DeSmogBlog could’ve flattened The Skeptics Handbook in just one sentence. All they had to do was point to empirical evidence that more CO2 forces temperatures up. They can’t and everything else is bluster and bluff. The question of evidence is on the front page; the book is built around it, and billions of dollars hinges upon it, on this topic, “nothing else matters…”. Yet Jeremy Jacquot’s sole attempt at evidence only shows he doesn’t know what evidence is. Even a bright junior high spark could prove him wrong with a 20 year old encyclopedia. Jacquot uses 3000 words to NOT answer that question, he confuses himself, resorts to cut-n-pasting from the site that does his thinking for him, and makes at least 9 errors of logic and reason. Jacquot complains that I’ve rehashed and repeated old arguments, which only makes it all the more embarrassing that he still hasn’t got any good answers. But the part I like best was the way he jumps through the hoops just as I predicted. The Skeptics Handbook says when you poke a believer they will bark ‘Santer’, ‘Sherwood’, and ‘amplification’ and he does, right on cue. Yap Yap Yap. DeSmogBlog […] March 22nd, 2009 | Tags: Debunking The Skeptics Handbook, DeSmog Blog, JoNova's Favourites, The Skeptics Handbook, Venus | Category: Global Warming, Logic & Reason, The Skeptics Handbook | Print This Post | | Party Party Party! A donor in the US felt The Skeptics Handbook was so worthwhile that they have paid to print and post 150,000 copies of the booklet. Just soak in that number. A “bestseller” only has to notch up 5,000 copies… […] March 22nd, 2009 | Tags: JoNova's Favourites, The Skeptics Handbook | Category: Global Warming | Print This Post | | |
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