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In a surprise to no one, descendants of plants that survived 350 million years of climate extremes, volcanoes, meteor impacts, mass extinction events and ice ages seem able to cope with moderate modern weather. Not only that, places where the weather varied a lot in the 1960s are still like that, and the plants that liked those conditions still like those conditions. I mean, really, give me your money. Does this mean we can protect forests of the future by creating climate variability now? Exposure to past temperature variability may help forests cope with climate changeRachel Harper Institute of Physics A new study out today in the first issue of Environmental Research: Ecology assessed effects of past and current climate variability on global forest productivity. The work highlights sensitive regions where forests may be most at risk as the planet warms and temperatures become more extreme. The framework can help set conservation priorities, support forest adaptation efforts, and improve carbon accounting. Lead author Winslow Hansen, a forest ecologist at Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, says that “global climate patterns are becoming increasingly variable. This means more extremes, which threaten forest health and productivity. They say adversity makes you stronger. Here, we were essentially testing that adage for trees. Are forested regions that experienced more variable conditions in the past better prepared to tolerate variable climate now and in the future?” Get ready — places that used to have variable weather, still have variable weather, and the plants that live there tend to be the ones that don’t get killed by variable weather: They found that regions where temperature was more variable in the past continue to experience more temperature variability today. Forests in these regions tend to better tolerate this increasing variability. Hansen says that their “findings show that historic temperature variability casts legacy effects on current forest productivity. In places where historic temperature variability was 0.66°C greater than the global average, forests were 19x less sensitive to current temperature variability. This trend was true globally, with important distinctions among biomes.” Someone needed a study to show this? Meanwhile, in things we have known for decades: Sometime around 360 million years ago plants got very good at sucking CO2 out of the sky and they never looked back even though temperatures varied by 7 to 15 degrees Celsius. Tell the children…
REFERENCE Winslow D Hansen et al, Global forests are influenced by the legacies of past inter-annual temperature variability, Environmental Research: Ecology (2022). DOI: 10.1088/2752-664X/ac6e4a
A new paper shows in Germany excess deaths seem to mysteriously hit the working age crowd harder than the old and the young in 2021, which defied the textbooks, and also broke the pattern set in 2020. The Delta variant arrived in 2021 with a higher mortality rate but that still doesn’t explain the strange age pattern. In 2020 Germany had about 30,000 deaths officially due Covid, which rose to 80,000 deaths in 2021. But something else was going on because Covid doesn’t hit working age people harder than senior citizens. This sort of actuarial data is notoriously complicated to unpack. But there is a clear rise in unexpected deaths at the same time as the medical experiments that also peaked in April, June, and December of 2021. As Kuhbandner and Reitzner point out, excess deaths appear to rise with the timing of vaccination doses, especially the first and the third.
Furthermore, peak vaccinations for the under 30s was delayed til June, which is when their excess deaths peaked For most of the first year and a half of the pandemic the excess mortality in the youngest cohort aged 0-29 was so low it was negative. They died less often than expected. But their vaccination program didn’t peak until June 2021, which was the same month that excess death in young people rose to 13% higher than expected (see table 8.5 in the paper). Wrapped under those numbers are the awful losses of people taken far too young. Of families with empty spaces that can’t be filled. Where are the government reports and the media grillings for starters? This fits with data we saw from the UK in December last yearThe German graphs look eerily similar to the Neil and Fenton et al study in the UK: The Neil and Fenton study would still be my Go-To study for the cause-effect link. It was more detailed, had higher resolution data and could be analysed in ten year age-grouping. It had vaccination rates and dates for each group and on a high resolution weekly spacing where the lags after vaccination rates peaked were spookily clear. (Remember that in the UK data people don’t count as “vaccinated” until two weeks after their injection, and so we see the mortality peak hit the “unvaccinated” people hardest just after vaccinations peaked in their age group. It was kind of like a quantum entanglement effect in medicine.) Most lamentably, what this really means is that the German data is just confirming what we’ve known all along now since before Christmas. Namely that there was something very risky potentially about that mass medical experiment. But the government hasn’t put a halt to it. The drugs were not withdrawn. Warnings were never issued and nobody even bothered to just raise a red flag and make sure everyone knew what happening. Stillbirths up and fertility down?For most of 2021 there were possibly 100 more stillbirths each month than might have been expected based on data from 2019 and 2020. There was a definition change in stillbirths data in Germany in 2018, so these are only three year trends — and a bit too short to be meaningful. It works out to about a 10% rise, but (thankfully) only a tiny fraction out of nearly 200,000 live births each month. What’s more concerning is that total births fell by 15,000 or so in Quarter one of 2022, which would be nine months after the vaccination campaign began. Here’s hoping that is just a temporary drop. REFERENCE Christof Kuhbandner and Matthias Reitzner (2022) Excess mortality in Germany 2020-2022.See ResearchGate, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/362777743 The UK “Price Cap” and forecast keep outdoing even the worse case scenarios, but finally the crisis is so calamitous that the UK Conservative Party are even talking of allowing fracking. As the Wall Street Journal puts it: Household energy bills were expected to rise 40% this autumn, but on Friday the government regulator announced they’ll leap 80% in a single bound. (Who would have guessed that socialist price fixing would fail to cap the price?) The current energy costs have just risen again, now “capped” at £3,549 per household, a horrible $4,200 USD or $6,000 Australian. But the future cap is headed for the mesosphere boundary layer at a shocking £7,000 by April. It’s so blisteringly bad that it’s being described as “worse than the GFC” in terms of its impact. It’s so bad, two out of every three Pubs say they are likely to close this winter, with the “monster hikes” to energy prices. That’s despite the Christmas season rush, and hopes that it will be finally free of Covid restrictions. The whole social care system is using the word “collapse” given that the price of a care bed will rise by seven fold thus wiping out their profit margins. It’s only a half a million bed industry… At this rate there are estimates “half of British households could slip into energy poverty ” in less than six months. (Presumably someone will have to change the definition of “poverty” or it will be a real crisis.) UPDATE: Things are finally so bad that the PM-in-waiting, Liz Truss, has said she will lift the Fracking Ban. Wow. It’s probably not a coincidence it happened on the same day the shocking new price rises were announced. One fracking company even say they could be pumping gas by January (if given a license immediately). But this move could signify hope that the NetZero serpent will lose some venom. If the UK starts fracking soon and discovers that houses don’t collapse in earthquakes and there are no rivers of fire, it will be impossible to put this genie back in the bottle. h/t to NetZeroWatch Look at those prices lift offEven middle income earners are going to need government help to pay their energy bills:Daniel Martin, The Telegraph “We are in a national economic emergency,” Mr Zahawi said. “This could go on for 18 months, two years, if Putin continues to use energy as a weapon.” Dear Mr Zahawi, Putin has been using energy as a weapon for decades and you have only just noticed. Putin didn’t force Britain to stop fracking gas and build windmills, he just paid green groups to trick you into it... The Quickening is here. Things are suddenly already at the point of second level consequences where the whole of the economy starts to unravel. There is now an expectation that small businesses will go bankrupt over winter so that means the energy companies are demanding small businesses pay steep deposits in advance for energy, which will break some of those businesses sooner. Net-Zero Emissions Policy Bankrupts BritainWall Street Journal And that’s merely what households will spend directly on energy. Britain is also in the grip of an energy-price crisis for businesses, whose rates aren’t subject to a cap. Some small businesses report they can’t get any utility to supply them without paying a steep deposit up front, because energy companies are concerned that high prices will push more small firms into insolvency. To adapt Hemingway, net zero drives you bankrupt gradually, then suddenly. Worse than the GFC: UK Household Energy Bills Will Triple On New Price Cap“The impact to society will be higher than the 2008 crash in terms of the impact on households,” James Cooper, partner at consultancy Baringa, told Bloomberg a day before the Ofgem announcement. “We’re now moving into territory where a majority of households are placed into debt or a very fragile financial position.” Earlier this week, French utility EDF warned that as many as half of British households could slip into energy poverty by the start of 2023. All profit margins in the care sector are wiped out by energy price increase which makes the 450,000 bed industry “insolvent”. Presumably these sort of calculations apply to many industries and prices will rise accordingly. Energy inflation will become CPI inflation: Social care faces collapse as soaring energy prices push up costs almost tenfoldThe entire social care sector faces collapse in the wake of soaring energy bills with the cost of running care homes rising tenfold, experts warned. The chief executive of Care England said providers faced a staggering 683 per cent increase in energy costs during the past 12 months, with bills expected to rise again early next year. For gas and electricity, the costs were £660 per bed, per year, this time last year; this week, care providers have to pay an astonishing £5,166. With research from the Centre for Health and the Public Interest (CHPI) estimating the sector’s total pre-pandemic profits before tax, rent payments, directors’ remuneration and repayments on loans at £1.5bn per year, and the rise in energy prices will eradicate profit margins generated across the sector, driving many providers into insolvency and eliminating scope for investment. Real change coming — Fracking ban to lift soon?There is hope. Liz Truss pledges to overturn ban on fracking in bid to end reliance on foreign energy importsTom Witherow, DailyMail Liz Truss will end the ban on fracking as part of a plan to make the UK an ‘energy-secure dynamo’, she writes in the Daily Mail today. The Foreign Secretary said Britain cannot be ‘held hostage’ by authoritarian regimes and must end its reliance on foreign imports within a decade. She pledged to win the support of local communities for fracking by ‘ensuring’ they see the benefits, and said new projects will only go ahead if there is a ‘clear public consensus’ in their favour. It came as one fracking company in the North of England claimed, in a letter to the Treasury, that it would be likely to be able to inject shale gas into the energy market by January if it were granted a licence immediately. Support for fracking has grown as soaring gas prices have hit household budgets, with Tory members voicing their support for new drillings in leadership hustings. A mining engineer, speaking at the hustings in Manchester, said: ‘You cannot run, you cannot grow, you cannot progress a modern economy without a secure supply of cheap, abundant, readily available energy. ‘Right below our feet is the largest energy bonanza this country has ever discovered, bigger than coal and bigger than the North Sea.’ Most of the other solutions on offer by UK politicians involve printing more money, not finding more energy: Mr Zahawi [UK Chancellor of the Exchequer] has drawn up a menu of options for the next Prime Minister amid calls from Ofgem for urgent help. Options under consideration include freezing the price cap as suggested by Labour, increasing benefits, handing extra support to small businesses and a loan scheme for suppliers that could shave £500 off bills. As we discussed a few days ago, printing money from nothing is what got us into trouble in the first place, creating inflation, feeding sharks and corruption and punishing prudent savers. The Government can “cap prices” but someone somewhere always has to pay the bill. As the bad news piles up about vaccines, the people who pushed them relentlessly are preparing their exit route. If and when the moment comes to throw the saintly-vaccines under a bus, the side effects and high risk injections will be all Trump’s fault. He rushed them, and pressured them. Distorted the science. The FDA needs excuses to cover their appalling misjudgment and corruption and Trump is the perfect “get-out-of-jail” card. (Apart from 300 million people who remember Biden saying the vaccines were safe.) Good-vaccine was Biden’s work. Bad-vaccine is Trump’s failure. Here it comes: Trump White House exerted pressure on FDA for Covid-19 emergency use authorizations, House report findsSomebody at Politico The Trump administration pressured the Food and Drug Administration, including former FDA Commissioner Stephen Hahn, to authorize unproven treatments for Covid-19 and the first Covid-19 vaccines on an accelerated timeline, according to a report released Wednesday by Democrats on the House Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Crisis. Senior Trump administration officials fought for the reauthorization of hydroxychloroquine… “The Select Subcommittee’s findings that Trump White House officials deliberately and repeatedly sought to bend FDA’s scientific work on coronavirus treatments and vaccines to the White House’s political will are yet another example of how the prior Administration prioritized politics over public health,” House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.), who also chairs the subcommittee, said in a statement. This narrative is used as another reminder that all cheap antivirals are bad, bad, bad, and early treatment only works with custom designer drugs that also happen to be protected by patents. I’m sure Big Pfizer is happy with this angle. The old vaccines would have been good if only Trump had not rushed them, but repeat after me girls and boys, the new vaccine is 100% safe and effective.
These people have no shame. UPDATE: Qld Doctors Against Mandates are trying to get funding for their case. Great to see medico’s fighting back against the tyranny of APHRA. Queenslanders may want to sign this petition (closes today!)When government bureaucracies need to legally force “public confidence” in themselves over patient health, we know the health system is already so decrepit, dishonorable and corrupted no one should have any confidence in it at all. So if a doctor raises any concerns about government health policy they will be undermining “confidence”? Public confidence in health servicesTO: The Honourable the Speaker and Members of the Legislative Assembly of Queensland
Queensland citizens draws to the attention of the House the threat of Health Practitioner Regulation National Law and Other Legislation Amendment Bill 2022 (Reference No. 2) is that it seeks to make “public confidence in health services” as the paramount principle of all our healthcare. This is a radical departure from the previously well-established and respected principle of patient-centred care. The RACGP and AMA have expressed concerns over this refocusing of healthcare, and professional indemnity insurance companies like MIGA and the Insurance Council of Australia have agreed that the term ‘public confidence’ lacks a clear definition and scope and have raised concerns about how courts and tribunals would interpret the term. The Queensland People argues strongly that the passing of this legislation will end the practice of medicine as we know it and will result in the death of informed consent, medical ethics, and the very lives of many Queenslanders and Australians. Your petitioners, therefore, request the House to vote against the bill lest all our medical freedoms are eroded and unimaginable patient harm occurs to you or your loved ones. The only “public confidence” that is worth anything is that which is earned and given freely. h/t another Ian Keep reading → The Queensland government will allow unvaccinated teachers to return to work, but at a lower pay rate for 18 weeks. It has also sent them nasty letters to make sure they feel intimidated. There are only so many words for vindictive, spiteful tyrants. Do the vaccinated realize that this will bite them soon too? Once bureaucrats can inflict penalties retrospectively, capriciously and with no possible reasoning (they don’t even try) — then anyone can be the next victim. John Ruddick (@JohnRuddick2) What’s happening to the unvaxxed Queensland teachers is the opening salvo in a Beijing-style ‘social credit’ system in Australia. The govt is pointlessly persecuting a minority to enforce conformity. https://t.co/y03tR08oGI
Meanwhile, the CDC says you can’t have the new omicron vaccine unless you take the old out-of-date vaccine firstNot that anyone is hankering to try another round of medical experiments, but in what immunological world does that make sense… The old vaccines prime immune systems to respond to a virus that hasn’t been seen for 18 months. Using an out-of-date vaccine increases the risk of Original Antigenic Sin and Antibody Dependent Enhancement where our bodies make antibodies that aren’t as effective or which help the virus infect our cells. It’s playing with immunological fire. It’s so stupid it’s getting spooky. Here’s the CDC: Omicron-specific Covid booster shots are just weeks away. Here’s who will—and won’t—be eligibleNewly updated Covid booster shots designed to target omicron’s BA.5 subvariant should be available within in the next three weeks. That begs an important question: Who’s going to be eligible to get them? The short answer: anyone ages 12 and up who has completed a primary vaccination series, a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention spokesperson tells CNBC Make It. It’s unlikely to matter whether you’ve received any other booster doses or not before, the spokesperson says — but if you’re unvaccinated, you won’t be eligible for the updated formula until you complete a primary series with the existing Covid vaccines. It’s like their main aim is to clear the superseded floor stock, or make more sales for Mr Pfizer, not your health. Or are they really afraid there are still people around who can act as a control group? What is it with these people?
The rise of the tech giant billionaires, the crime, corruption, wokery, war, inflation, climate witchcraft, and the Big-Pharma reckless experiment — is all made possible by the same thing, and it’s been coming for fifty years. Everyone under 40 has lived their entire lives in the fairy-land-of-plenty borrowed from the future. But all bubbles come to an end. The rot started with a corrupted currency, and now infects every corner of the world — weakening markets and minds and concentrating power obscenely. When our medium of exchange is undisciplined, everything else is too. There is injustice built right in to Fake IOU’s made from thin air — especially when some can borrow big and early and at low cost, while others have to wait to earn them slowly an hour at a time. In the inflation race, speed is everything. They devalue the incentives that drive people to make things better, faster, and stronger. It punishes the prudent hardworking savers, and feeds speculative greed. This is what BlackRock’s influence came from, and Gates, Zuckerberg, Dorsey, and the WEF. All of them rode the wave of easy money and easy loans. Through predatory purchases on credit, they were able to buy out competitors or grind them down. What’s left are mega-glomerates of media, pharmaceuticals, and a sea of dark influence so vast that BlackRock commands more money than the GDP of every country bar China and the US, and Bill and Melinda Gates are the second largest “nation” funding the World Health Organization. The New Oligarchs speak with forked tongues, then crush the people who complain. This is a graph of the US “money base” — the supply of US dollars created by the US Federal Reserve since 1960. Those base dollars are then amplified by the commercial banking system, by a factor of ten or twenty. We could label the left axis “The Global Crazy Index” and it would look just the same. Funny money feeds crazy behaviour. The galactic bubbles in wokery, inflation, crime, and corruption need money to levitate above reality, so it’s no surprise that the more free money there is, the more crazy the world gets. Governments only get absurdly obese when they get access to new cream-puff-dollars created out of thin air. If western governments were stuck with just taxing the voters they wouldn’t get away with bloated welfare and bloated bureaucrats. The current everything-bubble started in 1982, after the previous inflation was wrung out of the US economy. But the signs of trouble were there in the seventies. To fight this dark bubble, I could use your help. Thank you. ________________________________________________ 1971 was the tipping point where all the trends bentGraphs thanks to WTF Happened In 1971? Many of these graphs don’t include the last year, so things may be even worse than they look in the rear view mirror… This fall of Rome type stuff. The USA was intrinsically wealthier until the end of the 1950s. Then its gold was quietly frittered away for $36 an ounce. By the late 1960s, France and others realized the fixed price of gold was absurdly low and called the bluff, asking for delivery of the gold instead of the dollar. At that point the game was up, and it all came to a crunching end in 1971. The US just didn’t have enough gold left, and President Nixon suspended the fixed price deal, and the world was then on a purely paper currency. Starting in 1971, the US dollar — and every other official currency — was no longer backed by anything. Without the constraint of needing to buy more gold bars, the printers at the US Federal Reserve were free to unleash as many dollars as they could get away with. Free money — printed in paper and then with binary code in bank accounts began to blink into existence, and so did inflation. Dollars are just another commodity, where supply and demand matterGrowth of money supply = inflation: To put things in proportion — this is The American Century. This is also a graph made in Feb 2020. There was still inflation on the Gold Standard, but nothing like what followed:Income inequality goes hand in hand with inflationThe left rail indignantly against income inequality but apparently don’t have any idea what causes it. Inflation is the invisible thief that steals from the poor and gives to the rich. The elite Chosen Ones get fast access to new “free money” while the workers have to earn it at yesterday’s hourly wage rate. The social pain that arises from extreme income inequality is a direct consequence of Reserve Bank policies. If only the Occupy crowd could figure it out. The criminals followed the money: Lo and verily the lawyers did too: There is no free lunch and no free houses eitherPrinting fiat dollars didn’t print more houses, but it did make housing less affordable — as real productivity ground to a halt, and cushy luxuries and inefficiencies bled through the system. It now takes a much larger slice of household income to buy a house than it did in 1971. Houses are bigger, true, but blocks are smaller, and now it takes two incomes and years longer to pay it off. Are those kids still at home? When housing and cost of living becomes unaffordable, where else are they going to go? So much of our life’s track depends on the luck or lack thereof, of where we are born in the boom and bust cycle: Prices back in 1971: The power of single men like Larry Fink to control national energy policy with the bizarre aim of “changing the weather” could only happen in fantasy booms created by bubbles. The reckless and corrupt thrive on the easy money wave. And the world’s reserve currency, the US dollar, has been undisciplined and corroding for decades. The free ride on easy borrowed money has fed the corrupt oligarchs, the hedge fund takeovers, the super multinational conglomerates, the tech giants, and the wars. It is as it always has been. The question is not whether the bubble will collapse, but how much it will take with it in the process. See all the graphs at WTF happened in 1971. h/t Scott of the Pacific Blistering high prices flow through the interconnectors too.The energy price cap in the UK is now predicted to reach the £6,552 in April. Pretty soon only the Royal family will be able to afford electricity. If this continues, inflation in the UK may hit 18% by January. As Javier Blas says: Day-ahead electricity prices in Europe are eye-watering, with lots of countries setting record highs for today. Notable to see the Nordics close to €400 per MWh, and Germany at €600. Before 2020, anything above €75-100 was considered expensive It doesn’t matter who has the wind turbines, and who has the coal or nuclear power, everyone connected to junk generators gets expensive electricity. Denmark has more “free” wind power than nearly anywhere in the world but they are still paying €600+.
Meanwhile the German Energy Minister has decided he really should close the last three nuclear plants. Apparently it would only save 4% of their total gas bills, he says, not the 15% they need — like turning down a jerry can of fuel because it won’t fill the whole tank. I guess he’s not the one having cold showers. Imagine how different it would be if low carbon fuel sources could actually save the world? All the countries around Germany are feeling burned: Andreas Kluth, Bloomberg: The EU’s eastern members, from Poland to Romania and Slovakia, are especially annoyed. They spent decades urging Germany not to make itself dependent on Russian gas and vulnerable to Putin’s blackmail. The Germans either ignored them or smugly lectured them on Kremlinology, refusing to acknowledge any connection between their policies on Russia, gas and fission. Let’s hope it’s just a cult, and not a plan: What many foreigners don’t appreciate, however, is that the German controversy is less a policy debate than a religious war — not unlike the American debates about guns or abortion, say. Many Germans have spent their entire lives protesting against the splitting of atoms. Meanwhile gas is setting new price records (again)It sure has that historic-international-crisis feeling: From the Daily Mail: “‘The nervousness of the market appears to increase day by day as we edge closer to winter delivery, now just five weeks away, and no big positive news on the horizon,’ Auxilione said.” “A spokesperson for the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy said the UK has ‘one of the most reliable and diverse energy systems in the world’.” It’s a Woke grid. Who wants “diverse” energy? h/t MrGrimNasty Some days, we need some good news. Never underestimate the power one strong man can have.
Never ever give upWe must fight the Woke in our schools, fight the Woke in our businesses, We must fight the Woke in government agencies. We can never ever surrender to government agencies.
While limp conservative parties in Europe, the UK, Canada, New Zealand, and Australia paint themselves green and pick up the cross of Marxist ‘struggle’, DeSantis rests on the premise that fighting for traditional values is right – presently, historically, and for the future. On stopping the Woke wave in schools: If an eco-cult entered the classroom and began telling children that they were ‘all about to die in a fiery apocalypse!’ because their parents engage in a capitalist economy – persisting with their preaching until those children were literally in tears, gluing themselves to the street, and developing severe mental illnesses due to the terror – well, oh. Okay, bad example. No matter how much the activist class complain, it is Ron DeSantis who receives standing ovations and the support of fed-up parents. His Stop the Wrongs to Our Kids and Employees Bill cleverly acronymed to Stop WOKE has infuriated Marxists because it prevents them from telling children they are ‘victims’ or ‘oppressors’ based on their skin colour, or inherently ‘sexist’ because they are boys. It outlaws teachers suggesting that people are: ‘Inherently racist, sexist, or oppressive, whether consciously or unconsciously; that people are privileged or oppressed based on race, gender, or national origin; or that a person “bears personal responsibility for and must feel guilt, anguish, or other forms of psychological distress” over actions committed in the past by members of the same race, gender, or national origin. The law defines such training as discrimination.’ Well, it’s about bloody time… If only schools could teach science instead. h/t Stephen Neil, John Connor II For most things that kill us there is a clock like regularity with deaths in a province as big as Alberta. Year after year dementia kills about 2,000 people, for example. But then there was Covid-19 and a disease called Unknown Causes. Wow. Unknown causes of death killed more people in Alberta than anything else didDespite billions of dollars in spending, somehow modern medicine is seven times less likely to know what someone died of than it was two years ago. Does anything else capture just how far medicine has advanced during the pandemic (all the way back to 1910?). That’s a pretty significant signal there in 2021. In the world we thought we lived in, governments would have arranged a SWAT team of medicos to investigate, the opposition would be baying from the side and the media would be all over it. And the rollout of new experimental medical interventions would be halted immediately. Sometimes things are so crazy-strange that satire makes more sense. Here’s the excellent JP Sears: ““Good Evening. People are dropping like flies from a mysterious killer called ‘unknown case of death.’ So tonight we’re bringing you a special report on this unknown case of death killer so we can steer your thinking in the right direction. “ Via the GatewayPundit. Laugh til we cry. Also known as SADS and The Crime of the Century h/t ColA and David Maddison, Scott of the Pacific. *Unknown deaths in 2018 were not listed as “unknown”. There was a (blank) category of 550 deaths which I presumed was “unknown” but which may or may not apply. Prior years didn’t even have a “blank”. There’s been a transformation in the last 6 years — the polarization between attitudes of young men and women is expanding like a bubble. The new Gallup results suggesting the suddenly as many as 44% of young women identify as liberal but only 25% of young men do. It’s a gaping 19% maw. Eric Kaufman shows that its not because more women are going to university now, but mostly because more young women are Woke. The most important predictive factor in a thirteenfold (wow) kind of way, was simply whether they opposed controversial speakers on topics like BLM, abortion and LGBTQ-etc. In other words, it’s expanding like a designer fashion trend. And one so weak it has to hide the competition. It’s not a generational shift when half the generation is avoiding it. That’s good news. Bubbles will pop. Wokeness targets women — offering them victimhood-candy and someone to blame, but almost always at the expense of men. Not surprisingly men are not turning up for their lecture on toxic masculinity. Think Gillette. Young men still want to impress young women, and being “Woke” can get the girl, but even that’s not enough to adopt the ideology. Spread the word. Once the news gets out that political correctness is a girlie thing, and strong men stand against it, the pendulum will swing. Why is the political gender gap growing?Eric Kaufman, The Post Recently, the centrist pundit Matthew Yglesias tweeted the historic time series of Gallup surveys on political ideology among Americans aged 18 to 29 (shown below). The graphs demonstrate a growing ideological gap between the sexes, with a rapid increase in the share of “liberals” among women but not men. As polarisation deepens, fewer young people are calling themselves centrist or “don’t know” and picking an ideology, but only among women are they disproportionately moving Left. By 2016, a record 42% of women identified as liberal, versus 28% for men. I lack access to the raw HERI data for subsequent years but the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education (FIRE) surveys of 55,000 undergraduates in the top 150 colleges in 2020 and 2021 show that 61% of women lean liberal compared to 44% of men, a whopping 17-point gender gap. …what underlies the astounding gender divergence in youth attitudes? Essentially, it appears to stem from a wokeness divide. In the FIRE survey, when you control for opposition to allowing controversial speakers (on BLM, abortion and trans rights) on campus, the statistical effect of gender on ideology collapses thirteenfold in statistical power. Political Correctness is for girls:Kaufman points at a 2020 survey which shows how strong the effect is in teenage girls and women up to age 25. Once young women settle down with a man, the fashions change. |
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