Tuesday Open Thread

9.1 out of 10 based on 8 ratings

Tweets and Free Speech, also Far right extremists turn out to be BLM, Antifa fans

The biggest problem science and civilization face is free speech.

Tonight the ABC tells us (with a straight face) that the leader of the free world’s words were too dangerous for the public to read. The Gods at Twitter have determined what The Truth is. Funnily enough, the ABC gave us his message then used the Twitter censorship as a way of “proving” Trump lies, or is still infectious. The ABC weren’t bothered (10 mins) with the Twitter totalitarianism, they obviously didn’t think the public would be harmed either, because they read the message out. Instead this was “Proof by censorship”.

The fact that Twitter objected was all the “proof” the ABC needed. Dr Twitter said so.

Media, Twitter, Censorship. Donald Trump

Given that there are scores of papers saying that Covid survivors have antibodies that last for a few months, it’s quite believeable that DJT was right. Who is running the country? DJT or an unnamed Twitter list?

In deleting it, Twitter have probably promoted it far beyond anything they could have arranged deliberately.

The Media IS the problem

The media memory-hole becomes the decision making process. The most important message to share right now is not the intriciate political details but the message — that it’s all propaganda.

Far right extremists turn out to be BLM, Antifa fans

Australians watching Their ABC heard how the FBI arrested six far right extremists who planned to kidnap the Michigan Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer. She blames “Trumps hateful rhetoric”. But according to PJ Media, at least three of the six are BLM, Antifa, anti-Trump radicals.

Yet another one of the conspirators indicted in the plot to kidnap Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer has turned out to be an anarchist and this time is an identified Black Lives Matter, Inc.™ supporter.

If you’re keeping book, that now means at least three of the six men indicted by the federal government for the frightening conspiracy to kidnap the governor from her vacation home are avowed anti-Donald Trump anarchists and at least one is a BLM protester.

The ABC didn’t mention that tonight.

Keep reading  →

9.3 out of 10 based on 88 ratings

Covid tricks — spikes block pain pathway — hiding the infection

 Another day in the strange world of Covid

A new finding suggests Covid-19 doesn’t just bind to the ACE2 receptor, it also binds to a key pain receptor called neuropilin-1 receptor (NRP-1). This could explain why some people with a high viral load are asymptomatic  and infectious but unaware they are unwell. It’s like the virus is arriving with it’s own morphine. In theory this might be a successful adaption from the virus’s point of view as it may increase the spread of the disease if infected people wander around able to shed virus for longer.

Despite being fed up with the WuFlu, the efficient perfidy is something to behold (at  least to a microbiologist). It’s like a pocketknife.

On the down side,  the virus may still be damaging tissues in this painless state, which might explain some of those findings of lung and heart damage even in mild or asymptomatic cases.

There is at least one potentially very nice payoff. The finding from the University of Arizona, may lead to the design of whole new painkillers based on the coronavirus spike that is “better than opioids”.  The lead author says he has been contacted by people who had chronic pain, but noticed it disappeared while they were infected. The pain returned later as they recovered.

Perhaps we can dose people up on little parts of Covid spikes and stop a whole lot of pain and suffering in other diseases. We will get the better of this box of malware.

COVID-19 causing virus blocks the pain receptors

Neuropilins (both NRP1 and NRP2) are also associated with one of the pain pathways of the body.

According to the study published in Pain, the journal of the International Association for the Study of Pain, on 1 October 2020, the spike proteins of SARS-CoV-2 also bind to the neuropilin receptors exactly at the same spot as VEGF-A, thus interfering with the pain pathway.

To confirm their finding, scientists conducted a series of experiments on rodent models in the labs, where they used VEGF-A as a trigger to provoke the excitability of the nerve cells, thus creating pain. Following that the scientists injected the rodents with SARS-CoV-2 spike protein.

The scientists concluded that by designing small molecules against neuropilin receptors, they would be able to form a pain-relieving medication better than opioids.

Keep reading  →

8.8 out of 10 based on 60 ratings

Weekend Unthreaded

9.8 out of 10 based on 8 ratings

Extension cord to rescue renewable South Australia will now cost $2.4 billion

It’s another hidden subsidy for “Green Power”.

Interconnector, NEM, Australia, Photo by Jo Nova

Big-Bandaid: Unreliable generators need thousands of kilometers of extra transmission lines.

The totally non-essential new interconnector between NSW and SA will now cost nearly a billion more than was expected. It will add no new baseload generation but allow the random energy surges from South Australia to interfere with New South Wales supply. Surges of subsidized energy will break the balance sheets of cheap baseload infrastructure in NSW, making them less profitable, and driving them out of business unless they charge more for the fewer hours they operate. Both states will spend more on electricity but be less self sufficient, and more dependent on other states.

Why aren’t NSW generators complaining? Because they know prices will rise, not fall. Ask AGL — the more coal plants it can close, the more profits it can make from the gas and unreliable generators.

South Australia, SA, MapThe extra interconnector won’t solve the real issues — it “probably” won’t change the massive high pressure weather systems that stop wind towers working in both states simultaneously. The magical transmission lines “probably” won’t stop the sun setting in Adelaide one hour after it sets in Sydney either. But it will make some property developers rich.

The $2,400 million dollars won’t fix the real problem which is that low density energy sources are inefficient and intermittent, and productivity gains from the generation of green electrons are zero, or less. It’s just physics.

But that kind of money would pay for a lot of HELE Coal power. A gift for generations to come.

Project EnergyConnect SA-NSW interconnector to cut $100 off power prices, says ElectraNet

Chris Russell, The Advertiser

Opposition Energy spokesman Tom Koutsantonis said the increase in costs was “staggering”.

He was concerned the interconnector would force SA’s gas-fired generators to close, losing the state’s capability to power itself.

The death of the entire Australian Aluminium Smelting industry is a mere sideline in the modeling:

Revised modelling has taken into account lower projected energy demand, including assumed closures of the Tomago, Boyne Island and Portland smelters.

The economic comprehension of electricity markets is childlike:

Increased generation from more renewable energy projects would lift supply. Less demand and more supply would lead to lower wholesale prices.

If only electrons were bananas, it might be true. But the last decade in Australia shows that electrons are not priced like tropical fruit. In the last ten years Australian demand for electricity has declined while renewable generation has been added like fairy floss, but prices went wildly up, not down.

The modelling suggests SA households would pay $10/year to fund the interconnector but receive $110/year cheaper power – delivering a net $100/year benefit.

The modeling will deliver whatever the modeler wants.

As usual, the Labor Party gets it exactly backwards.

In a Budget reply speech on Thursday night, Federal Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese said if the ALP was elected it would invest $20bn on creating a Rewiring the Nation Corporation which would build national transmission lines.

“As more renewable energy gets built, we need the transmission network to support it,” Mr Butler said.

To which, Jo Nova says: We don’t need the transmission lines at all. The renewables industry needs them.

When will the Labor Party start acting like they serve the people instead of the Renewables Industry? When will the ABC?

When will the Liberal Party grow a backbone and say the obvious?

Photo: Interconnector, La Trobe Valley, Victoria, Australia, Photo by Jo Nova

9.8 out of 10 based on 77 ratings

Media Criticizes Trump For Downplaying Virus Threat By Not Dying

Close to the bone:

The Babylon Bee

WASHINGTON, D.C—President Donald Trump is once again under fire from the media for recklessly downplaying the danger of COVID by refusing to die. As the president begins to show signs of recovery, many worry that this sends the wrong message about the seriousness of the global pandemic.

“His defiance is going to get people killed. Dying like he’s supposed to would be the most patriotic thing he could do,” complained CNN correspondent Adam Pelot. “If he lives, how will the people be able to trust science?”

Tagged: satire and parody

The disappointment this week in news rooms was palpable.

In other news, Biden may be far ahead in the polls, but  Gallup Polling shows 56% think Trump will win, and only 40% think Biden will win.

According to David Catron, this is a more useful indicator than asking people “who they’ll vote for”:

July 17th 2020: The American Spectator

Lately, pollsters and pundits have been nervously pondering the following question: “If Trump is behind in the polls, why do most voters say, in the same surveys, that he will win the upcoming election?” As Harry Enten recently noted at CNN, “An average of recent polls finds that a majority of voters (about 55%) believe that Trump will defeat Biden in the election. Trump’s edge on this question has remained fairly consistent over time.” This is far more than mere statistical curiosity by number nerds. Several peer-reviewed studies have shown that surveys of voter expectations are far more predictive of election outcomes than polls of voter intentions.

 h/t David E

 

9.3 out of 10 based on 66 ratings

Worlds “Largest Shadow Bank” wants Australia to shut coal plants faster

 Because Big Bankers really want to save the Earth, right?

Carbon credit, climate-change, carbon market, 2016.
BlackRock, the 10 trillion dollar “global investment fund” is urging the Australian company AGL to shut Bayswater and Loy B Yang Coal Plants much sooner than planned. BlackRock is a NY based  and as wikipedia says “Due to its power, and the sheer size and scope of its financial assets and activities, BlackRock has been called the world’s largest shadow bank.”

The move only got 20% support from investors. Australian investors largely said “no thanks”. Where are The Greens in exposing multinational powers that want to influence Australia — they’re part of the Big Banker Promotion Team.

BlackRock turns up the heat on AGL’s coal exit plans

Nick Toscano, Sydney Morning Herald

AGL faced an investor revolt on Wednesday, as more than 20 per cent of the company’s shareholders backed a resolution for the board to align the retirement of the Loy Yang A power plant in Victoria and its Bayswater station in New South Wales with a strategy to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees.

This would mean shutting Loy Yang A, the largest brown coal fired power plant in Victoria, at least 12 years before AGL’s planned 2048 closure.

While prominent local superannuation funds including Aware Super declined to support the motion, the $10 trillion BlackRock, which ranks as one of AGL’s top shareholders, voted in favour of it.

 AGL is responsible for 8% of Australia’s emissions (an extraordinary thing in itself — why was one company allowed to own so many generation assets that it could become a predatory capitalist at the expense of Australian electricity consumers?).

It’s all about “embarrassing” people into following the Paris 1.5C accord. The resolution was lodged by a group called Australasian Centre for Corporate Responsibility (ACCR). That in turn gets about a million dollars a year from a bunch of foundations and community groups (which in turn get various millions and also promote “climate action”). There is obviously plenty of money for people to work in full time paid jobs to “embarrass” boards and write press releases promoting the same aims as “The largest Shadow Bank ” in the world. Coincidence?

Banks love to save the world

Banks are very very keen to get “climate action”:  Goldman Sachs pledged $750 billion on climate change. Bank of America spent $50 billion to save the world. Citigroup committed $100 billion to “climate change”. A Spanish Bank spent €100 b on Earth’s weather, cos they are nice people. Deutsche Bank write 50 page scientific reports on climate change. They don’t do that to save whales. There’s something different about “climate action”.

Banks, financial institutions, carbon trading.

Banks with “carbon trading desks”

There are a few big profit making reasons Big Banks want “carbon action”. Many of their other investments in Renewables Corporations are completely dependent on Big Government artificial anti-market rules. Ultimately Big Bankers also want a Global Carbon Trading Scheme — potentially the largest “commodity” market in the world which banker-brokers would cream instant profit from, if only anyone wanted to buy the product (worthless paper certificates) which they don’t — unless Big Government forces them to. Carbon credits are just another corrupt currency, but one that would, in theory, not be “controlled” by any democratic government. Once it starts, how would it ever by unwound?

But there is another benefit here for Big Bankers, who depend on Big Government to protect their monopolies and existence. Coal mines and coal generators are in theory, highly competitive profit-making machines that have no need of Big Government protector or subsidy. As such, if they were independent voices in Australia they would have enormous power to speak up and criticize Big Government (coal is our largest export item, and coal fired power is our cheapest electricity generator). Renewables, on the other hand, are utterly dependent on Big Government to protect them and become part of the Big Government cheer squad.

Hence, it’s in the interest of Big Parasites to buy up, subsume and control the independent voices that don’t benefit from Big Government. As Malcolm Roberts and Alan Moran showed, right now the parasites get about $1,300 per household in Australia thanks to Big Government rules that force consumers to buy a product which will never be delivered, and can’t be measured. How many consumers would voluntarily spend $1,300 a year to get “nice weather” in 2100?

BlackRock backs AGL coal closure bid, against Aus investors

 Sarah Simpkins, Investor Daily

Dan Gocher, director of climate and environment at the ACCR said BlackRock’s support “embarrasses Australian super funds and asset managers who voted against the resolution”.

“It demonstrates an increasing trend that European and US investors are more prepared to take critical action to address climate risk,” Mr Gocher said.

Keep reading  →

9.9 out of 10 based on 56 ratings

There’s no such thing as clean energy

 All good environmentalists detest renewables and are appalled at the money wasted on the industrial renewables corporations.

All the rest are unwitting marketing agents who provide free advertising for banks and multinational conglomerate profits. In the process they hurt the poor and scorch the Earth.

In short: The world spent $3.6 trillion dollars over eight years, mostly trying to change the weather. Only a pitiful 5% of this was spent trying to adapt to the inevitable bad weather which is coming one way or another. Both solar and wind power are perversely useless at reducing CO2, which is their only reason for existing in large otherwise efficient grids. Wind farms raise the temperature of the local area around them which causes more CO2 to be released from the soil. Solar and wind farms waste 100 times the wilderness land area compared to fossil fuels, and need ten times as many minerals mined from the earth. Biomass razes forests, but protects underground coal deposits.

The role of large wind and solar power in national grids is to produce redundant surges of electricity at random or low-need times. They are surplus infrastructure designed in a religious quest to generate nicer weather. They always make electricity more expensive because the minor fuel savings are vastly overrun by the extra costs of misusing and abusing perfectly good infrastructure, which has to be there to provide baseload and backup, and yet is forced to run on and off, sitting around consuming capital, investments, labor and maintenance. It is simply impossible to imagine a situation where unreliable generators have some productive purpose on major grids other than to generate profits for shareholders or their mostly Chinese manufacturers.

Despite the extortionate, futile mountain-of-money paid to wind and solar parasites, they produced a pitiful 3% of all the energy needed on Earth, while fossil fuels produced 85%.

Everyone who loves renewables should be asking themselves how much they hate the poor.

— Jo

h/t to Willie Soon.

___________

Surprising science – There’s no such thing as clean energy

 

Meticulous Research Review Questions Environmental Impacts and Feasibility of “Green Energy” Transition

Spending on Climate Change, Graph. 2020

Spending on Climate Change, Graph. 2020

A meticulous new review published in the scientific journal, Energies, conducted by a team of Irish and US-based researchers including CERES researchers, raises surprising and unsettling questions about the feasibility and the environmental impacts of the transition to renewable energy sources. Concern for climate change has driven massive investment in new “green energy” policies intended to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and other environmental impacts from the fossil fuel industry. The world spent US$3,660 billion on climate change projects over the eight-year period 2011–2018. A total of 55% of this sum was spent on solar and wind energy, while only 5% was spent on adapting to the impacts of extreme weather events.

Surprising environmental impacts

The researchers discovered that renewable energy sources sometimes contribute to problems they were designed to solve. For example, a series of international studies have found that both wind and solar farms are themselves causing local climate change. Wind farms increase the temperature of the soil beneath them, and this warming causes soil microbes to release more carbon dioxide. So, ironically, while wind energy might be partially reducing human “carbon emissions”, it is also increasing the “carbon emissions” from natural sources.

Wake Effect of Wind Turbines, photo.

Wake Effect of Wind Turbines, photo.

Photographs showing two different kinds of “wake effect” at off-shore wind farms off the shores of Denmark. (a) Photograph by Christian Steiness shows the wake effect of cold humid air passing over a warmer sea surface, adapted from Figure 2 of Hasager et al. (2013), reproduced under Creative Commons copyright license CC BY 3.0. (b) Photograph by Bel Air Aviation Denmark – Helicopter Services shows the wake effect of warm humid air passing over a cooler sea surface, adapted from Figure 2 of Hasager et al. (2017).  Reproduced under Creative Commons copyright license CC BY 4.0.

 

Green energy technologies require a 10-fold increase in mineral extraction compared to fossil fuel electricity. Similarly, replacing just 50 million of the world’s estimated 1.3 billion cars with electric vehicles would require more than doubling the world’s annual production of cobalt, neodymium, and lithium, and using more than half the world’s current annual copper production.

Solar and wind farms also need 100 times the land area of fossil fuel-generated electricity, and these resulting changes in land use can have a devastating effect on biodiversity. The effects of bioenergy on biodiversity are worse, and the increased use of crops such as palm oil for biofuels is already contributing to the destruction of rainforests and other natural habitats.

Perplexing financial implications

Surprisingly, more than half (55%) of all global climate expenditure in the years 2011‒2018 was spent on solar and wind energy ‒ a total of US$2,000 billion. Despite this, wind and solar energy still produced only 3% of world energy consumption in the year 2018, while the fossil fuels (oil, coal and gas) produced 85% between them. This raises pressing questions about what it would cost to make the transition to 100% renewable energies, as some researchers suggest.

As lead author Coilín ÓhAiseadha says: “It cost the world $2 trillion to increase the share of energy generated by solar and wind from half a percent to three percent, and it took eight years to do it. What would it cost to increase that to 100%? And how long would it take?”

World Energy Consumption, Oil, Coal, Gas, renewables, Graph, 2018

World Energy Consumption, Oil, Coal, Gas, renewables, Graph, 2018

World energy consumption by source, 2018. Data from BP (2019).

Daunting engineering challenges

Engineers have always known that large solar and wind farms are plagued by the so-called “intermittency problem”. Unlike conventional electricity generation sources which provide continuous and reliable energy 24/7 on demand, wind and solar farms only produce electricity when there is wind or sunlight.

“The average household expects their fridges and freezers to run continuously and to be able to turn on and off the lights on demand. Wind and solar promoters need to start admitting that they are not capable of providing this type of continuous and on-demand electricity supply on a national scale that modern societies are used to,” says Dr Ronan Connolly, co-author of the new review.

The problem is not easily solved by large-scale battery storage because it would require huge batteries covering many hectares of land. Tesla has built a large battery to stabilize the grid in South Australia. It has a capacity of 100 MW/129 MWh and covers a hectare of land. One of the papers reviewed in this new study estimated that, if the state of Alberta, Canada, were to switch from coal to renewable energy, using natural gas and battery storage as back-up, it would require 100 of these large batteries to meet peak demand.

Some researchers have suggested that the variations in energy production can be evened out by building continental electricity transmission networks, e.g., a network connecting wind farms in north-west Europe with solar farms in the south-east, but this requires massive investment. It is likely to create bottlenecks where the capacity of inter-connections is insufficient, and does not do away with the underlying vulnerability to lulls in sun and wind that can last for days on end.

Hurting the poorest

A series of studies from Europe, the U.S. and China shows that carbon taxes tend to lay the greatest burden on the poorest households and rural-dwellers.

Although the primary motivation for green energy policies is concern over climate change, only 5% of climate expenditure has been dedicated to climate adaptation. Climate adaptation includes helping

developing countries to better respond to extreme weather events such as hurricanes. The need to build climate adaptation infrastructure and emergency response systems may conflict with the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, because fossil fuels are generally the most readily available source of cheap energy for development.

With regards to indigenous peoples, the review highlights the fact that all energy technologies can have severe impacts on local communities, particularly if they are not properly consulted. Cobalt mining, required to make batteries for e-vehicles, has severe impacts on the health of women and children in mining communities, where the mining is often done in unregulated, small-scale, “artisanal” mines. Lithium extraction, also required for manufacturing batteries for e-vehicles, requires large quantities of water, and can cause pollution and shortages of fresh water for local communities.

As lead author, Coilín ÓhAiseadha, points out: “There was worldwide coverage of the conflict between the Standing Rock Sioux Tribe and the Dakota Access Pipeline, but what about the impacts of cobalt mining on indigenous peoples in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and what about the impacts of lithium extraction on the peoples of the Atacama Desert? Remember the slogan they chanted at Standing Rock? Mni Wiconi! Water is life! Well, that applies whether you’re Standing Rock Sioux worried about an oil spill polluting the river, or you’re in the Atacama Desert worried about lithium mining polluting your groundwater.”

Overview of the paper

The review, published in a Special Issue of the journal Energies on 16 September, covers 39 pages, with 14 full-color figures and two tables, detailing the breakdown of climate change expenditure and the pros and cons of all of the various options: wind, solar, hydro, nuclear, fossil fuels, bioenergy, tidal and geothermal. For the review, the researchers searched meticulously through hundreds of research papers published throughout the whole of the English-speaking world, in a wide range of fields, including engineering, environment, energy and climate policy. The final report includes references to 255 research papers covering all of these fields, and it concludes with a table summarizing the pros and cons of all of the various energy technologies. Research team members were based in the Republic of Ireland, Northern Ireland, and the United States.

The review was published as an open-access peer-review paper and can be downloaded for free from the following URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/18/4839 .

The full citation is as follows: ÓhAiseadha, C.; Quinn, G.; Connolly, R.; Connolly, M.; Soon, W. Energy and Climate Policy—An Evaluation of Global Climate Change Expenditure 2011–2018. Energies 2020, 13, 4839.

Funding: C.Ó., G.Q., and M.C. received no external funding for works on this paper. R.C. and W.S. received financial support from the Center for Environmental Research and Earth Sciences (CERES), while carrying out the research for this paper. The aim of CERES is to promote open-minded and independent scientific inquiry. For this reason, donors to CERES are strictly required not to attempt to influence either the research directions or the findings of CERES. Readers interested in supporting CERES can find details at  Link.

 

10 out of 10 based on 83 ratings

Thursday Open Thread

9.5 out of 10 based on 8 ratings

Magically correcting Australia’s thermometers from 1,500 kilometers away

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology uses “surrounding” thermometers to adjust for odd shifts in data (caused by things like long grass, cracked screens, or new equipment, some of which is not listed in the site information). The Bureau fishes among many possible sites to find those that happen to match up or , err “correlate” during a particular five year period. Sometimes these are not the nearest site, but ones… further away. So the BOM will ignore the nearby stations, and use further ones to adjust the record.

These correlations, like quantum entanglements, are mysterious and fleeting. A station can be used once in the last hundred years to “correct” another, but for all the other years it doesn’t correlate well — which begs the question of why it had these special telediagnostic powers for a short while, but somehow lost them? Or why a thermometer 300km away might show more accurate trends than one 50km away.

One of the most extreme examples was when Cobar in NSW was used to adjust the records at Alice Springs –almost 1500km away (h/t Bill Johnston). That adjustment was 0.6°C down in 1932 (due to a site move, we’re told). This potentially matters to larger trends because Alice Springs is a long running remote station — the BOM itself says that Alice Springs alone contributes about 7-10 % of the national climate signal.[1] Curiously Cobar itself was adjusted in 1923 by a suite of ten stations including Bendigo Prison which is another 560 km farther south in a climate zone pretty close to Melbourne. In 1923 Cobar official temperatures were adjusted down by a significant 1.3 °C. No reason is given for this large shift — a shift larger than the entire (supposed) effect of CO2 in the last hundred years.

Ken Stewart reminded me of these extreme records because he’s been hunting this week, and found some even longer ones.

 Mount Gambier, in South Australia, has been adjusted with the help of Lismore in northern New South Wales, 1,526km away.  (And it’s not as if there is a shortage of sites in this well populated part of South Australia.)

But the gong, the gold medal, the record breaking achievement for the Bureau, goes to…….

Alice Springs, in the Northern Territory, which has been adjusted using data from Collarenebri in New South Wales,  1,590 kilometres away.

See below on the map, the smattering of sites used to “correct” four different records in Australia: Albany, Alice Springs, Adelaide, and Gabo Island.

For foreign readers, bear in mind that it’s 4,000 km (2,500 miles) from one side of Australia to another.

Australia, Bureau of Meteorology, Temperatures Stations, Adjustments, homogenization. BOM.

Figure 5: A map of sites used to homogenize thermometer data in Albany (red), Alice Springs (purple), Adelaide (light blue), and Gabo Island (yellow). Obviously distances are very large and sometimes comparator sites are on the far side of mountain range

 

TonyfromOZ points out that the scale is easier to understand in this sort of map:

Map comparing the size of Australia to the USA.

Australia and contiguous USA are roughly the same landmass. From truesize.com

While Alice Springs involves the most ridiculous distances, there are plenty of freakishly odd entanglements — like Hay, and Gabo Island. The latter thermometer is on an island in the Bass Strait, but the former, in Hay, is nearly 600km away, over the water, on the other side of the Great Diving Range, and far off, in a hot dry plain. Yet Hay in NSW was used to adjust the Gabo Island lighthouse data in 1920 and 1927 – but not in other years when the “teleconnection” between them apparently broke.  Pfft. Just like that.

Gabo Island, Map, SE Australia, Thermometer, Bureau of Meteorology

The climate can be really very different on either side of the Great Dividing Range, yet all these stations were used to correct Gabo Island.

We’ll be revisiting the joys of continental thermometer correction and the many permutations and combinations of statistical fun that can ensue. Because the BOM doesn’t have good metadata and isn’t starting with a full documentation search (like skeptics do) they don’t know which sites are good sites, (or were good sites) and can use bad data to ruin good data.

If you got a million dollars a day to study Australia’s climate, and you cared about it, you might think that getting all the historical documents in order would be your first priority. Others however, prefer to use statistical analysis and search for teleconnections in the data.

Many thanks to Bill Johnston who explained how homogenization works (inasmuch as anyone outside the BOM can know) and Ken Stewart, Siliggy, Chris Gillham, and the rest of the BoM unofficial auditors for their unpaid excellent help. And to Jennifer Marohasy who keeps doggedly asking about homogenization.

 



Image Wikimedia copy from NASA Earth Observatory

 

9.9 out of 10 based on 75 ratings

€225,000 reasons mammals need a 1km exclusion zone from wind towers

 Another cost of wind towers

Laura David and Jack Kelleher had to leave their family farm at Gowlane North, Donoughmore, Cork, four years ago after a shuddering, flickery 10-turbine wind farm began operating a bit more than 700 metres from their home.

They suffered from “nosebleeds, ear aches, skin rashes, swollen and painful hands, loss of power in their limbs, sleep disturbance, and headaches.” Naturally, they moved into a hotel, and then found a new home eight miles away, and took it to the High Court.

Family in Cork win a €225k payout:

by Ann O’Loughlin, IrishTimes

Two brothers and a sister from the same family who claimed they suffered illness as a result of noise, vibrations and shadow flicker from a Cork windfarm have settled their High Court actions for a total of €225,000.

The settlements which were without an admission of liability were approved by Ms Justice Leonie Reynolds and occurred after mediation.

The defendants had denied all the claims they had been allegedly negligent resulting in the siblings becoming ill. They also denied that noise, shadow flicker and vibration from the windfarm had intruded onto the family’s farm.

The rest of the family have other claims still outstanding.

If industrial infrasound has this effect on people what does it do to the endangered Red Deer, Squirrels, or Pine Martens of Ireland?

We’re waiting for the Green screams of protest outside wind farm developments in 3…2…1…  or does no Greenie care because it’s not about homeless furry critters, and never has been — it’s just about impressing their friends at dinner parties? And right now, apparently nothing impresses friends at dinner more than acting as a blind marketing agent for multinational renewable corporations.

If wind turbine operators must pay out people within a 1km radius (or more), and if turbines aren’t too good for the cows, sheep, deer, whales, or bats either, then these charges are just another hidden cost of wind power. Wind power consumes more land, and more legal funds.

Since wind towers threaten electricity prices, all electricity grids should have a 1km exclusion zone to keep wind turbines out too.

h/t Jim Simpson

 

9.9 out of 10 based on 78 ratings

Banned by ANU! So join Geologist Howard Brady’s on Zoom Tuesday 2pm

Sorry that this is very short notice! This is today at 2pm EST, Australia. All Welcome. 

Howard Brady

Howard Brady in Antarctica c 1970s

Dr Howard Brady is a geologist who has done four expeditions to Antarctica. He won the Distinguished Scientist Alumnus of the Year Award for his contributions to Antarctic research. He has been published in journals like Nature and Science.  He was to do a seminar at ANU today, but it has been cancelled. This upset people in the department at ANU, who may have thought they could write freely. So now its going ahead as a Zoom ANU meeting:

2 pm Tuesday 6 October 2020

Venue: Online via Zoom (link)

All welcome; no registration necessary.

Dr Brady writes:

ATTACK ON ACADEMIC FREEDOM

Professor Ross McCleod was ordered at the Australian National University (ANU) by higher authority – Professor Paul Burke – to withdraw my ACDE (Arnt-Corden) seminar for the Crawford School of Public Policy next Tuesday at 2pm as an official event.

This upset many in that Department as an attack on academic freedom..it seems that some in the faculty are receiving funds with regard to carbon emissions and climate change etc. (including Professor Burke)!! The excuse was that the paper was not on economics!!  Farcical considering the billions of dollars being spent on climate change.

Despite this it was decided to go ahead with my lecture anyway as a private ANU zoom meeting under Professor Ross McCleod.

The actual paper is attached and I invite you to read it beforehand. I reduced the size of the file to under I megabyte, so it should be easy to upload. The paper is a detailed academic paper that was reviewed before submission.  The physics section was aided by world famous Professor Will Happer of Princeton who was on the Security Council of the USA last year and climate advisor to POTUS.

Any of you are welcome to join on the day with any other interested parties AND to log into the zoom event by simply clicking on the INVITE (it was always on Zoom due to ANU Covid protocols at the moment). You can log in at 2pm next Tuesday as below.

Join our Cloud HD Video Meeting

Professor McCleod and others at the ANU who backed me and even sent emails of encouragement should be thanked for their courage and academic independence in the face of the pressures that are everywhere in the University environment  at the moment.

The more people that join in — the better. Censorship doesn’t seem so appealing if more people see a message after the axe falls.

Keep reading  →

9.4 out of 10 based on 88 ratings

Tuesday Open Thread

I’m back. Apologies that the Weekend Unthreaded didn’t make it…

9.3 out of 10 based on 11 ratings

Living By Lies — America Can’t Breathe

Guest post by David E.

Since the 1990s, political correctness has grown stronger. The penalty for contradicting the political left and their fantasies used to be just social opprobrium in certain circles and not being seen as the trendiest at certain dinner parties. But now it can get you fired. You are free to speak, but the leftists are free to be rude, yell at you, deny you service on their platforms, and bar you from the many institutions they control.

Daniel Greenfield is a rising independent US journalist with a fearless eye and a clever turn of phrase (emphasis added):

A Soviet citizen goes to the dentist. He lies back in the chair. The dentist tells him to open wide.

“But I’m afraid to open my mouth,” he replies.

The old joke has a new resonance in the age of lockdowns and masked pedestrians, cancel culture and self-criticism sessions when Americans are the ones fearful of opening their mouths. Fear is the common denominator. A nation has spent the year holding its breath. And waiting.

Americans used to laugh at Soviet anecdotes without really understanding them. Now Americans are too afraid to laugh because they are coming to understand them all too well. …

Woke dystopia rising:

2020 is one long Soviet anecdote in which the only people allowed to disregard social distancing by gathering to protest in the thousands and tens of thousands do so to complain about their oppression. It’s a mock dystopia in which corporate CEOs berate their employees about their privilege and fire anyone who won’t confess their privilege, and government officials and agencies lecture the people they rule at length about the terrible evils of systemic racism.

Speech is violence and violence is speech. Throwing firebombs is in the First Amendment, but saying All Lives Matter is literally killing people. The only people who don’t have privilege are the ones who have special privileges. Criminals have a right to be safe from the police, but people don’t have a right to be safe from criminals. Public safety is now about keeping criminals safe from the police by defunding the police so that no one except the criminals can be safe. …

Living by lies:

The real news is what’s read between the lines of the lies. What people say is the opposite of the truth. At struggle sessions, academics and executives confess that they’re racist to prove that they’re not racist. The only people who can safely claim not to have privilege, have that privilege. No one at work will admit to voting for President Trump, but someone must have.

The more speech is banned, the more worthless is the speech that is still allowed.

Polls become useless when people are too afraid to tell partisan pollsters the truth. Democrats and their media demand censorship of social media to protect the integrity of democracy from the speech of the demos, and then are caught by surprise when they suddenly lose elections. …

Did the Soviets somehow win the Cold War?

American tourists visiting the USSR noticed the tension, the invisible weight, the closed faces of the people they met. To the Russians, Americans seemed an open and free people. Freedom was not just a legal condition, a matter of elections and constitutions which on paper the Russians had. Being truly free meant not even being able to imagine the loss of freedom.

Now it’s Americans who walk the streets, when they dare, their faces closed off, invisible weights bowing them down, wary that anything they say might end their careers and lives. Hundreds of millions of people have been cut off from their families and thrust into a national conversation mediated by giant monopolies set up to enable the informants of cancel culture. …

Your masters are whomever you are not allowed to criticize:

Everyone, from top athletes to corporate executives, knows that they have to kneel and mouth the words. And the little people holding down jobs at some Fortune 500 company that assigns Robin DeAngelo as mandatory reading know it better than anyone else.

The danger of course is that if the US Democrats — who are currently more politically extreme than ever before — regain power in the US, they will change the system so they will be entrenched in power for the foreseeable future. This happened in California in the 1990s. As the saying goes, what happens in California spreads to the rest of the US, then to the rest of the West.

Climate skepticism is already banned from polite discourse among the ruling class. On current trends, it will soon become socially unacceptable everywhere, then illegal.

Is this the last time we are going to hear anything like this from a US President? (Be sure to stay right to the end.)

 

9.5 out of 10 based on 56 ratings

Is Tucker Carlson Becoming the New Trump?

Guest post by David E.

Tucker Carlson is now the most popular talk show host in America. His nightly show on Fox News, which has been running since 2016, now draws around four million viewers per night, more than anything else on Fox, CNN, or MSNBC. So why are people tuning in?

Jason Hill has written an insightful article, from which we’ll quote extensively (emphasis added).

A friend of mine last week said to me, wide-eyed and indignant “Did you hear all the horrible things Tucker said about black people? He’s such a racist.”

“No,” I responded, “I didn’t hear about them because I’m pretty sure he never said them. He’s not a racist. He’s a diehard American patriot.”

This, I think, is the real place to start regarding why the left-wing media and their herd-like followers who have never watched an episode of Carlson’s show hate him so much. Above all, Carlson loves America. He’s a patriot who hates to see the way in which cancel culture, woke fascists, crazed left-wing cultural post-modern Marxists and socialists are destroying this country.

Carlson is able to see with great lucidity the connection between what happens in the classroom and how it translates with lightning speed into the boardrooms and corporate offices and mainstream culture in general, into toxic policies that undermine the existential and moral health of American citizens. He sees that our universities are transmission belts of culture, and he spends a lot of time as a news person on intellectual issues.

Carson functions like a wholesaler as opposed to a retailer in the realm of integrating seemingly disparate phenomena in our culture. The Left will always hate him for that, for the simple reason that they navigate themselves through the world by two forms of disingenuous behavior: stealth and obfuscation.

Carlson just has a way of shredding the hypocrisy and unexamined narratives under which so many conversations are conducted. He dares to name the consequences of nefarious actions taking place. He justifiably points to the looters, rioters, vandals and Black Lives Matter advocates who are breaking up the USA economy and whose organizers are all openly admitting that they are trained Marxist social disruptors. …

This leads to perhaps the most important issue for why Carlson is hated. He is a brilliant man. He’s not only the smartest man on television, he’s an intellectual in his own right. He asks smart questions, he thinks in terms of fundamental principles, his analyses, if not always correct (who among us is infallible?), do not stem from piecemeal thinking, but from a consistent and well thought-out philosophic and political ideology.Unlike many television personalities who are mere talking heads and pundits, and who rant and shout and emit emotional vibrations, Tucker is an advocate of reason and logic; he knows like a good moral persuader when to judiciously use rhetoric and emotional appeal to buttress his points. But the thrust of his positions starts from basic premises and he works his way down to an often apocalyptic conclusion.

In today’s culturally bankrupt environment, Carlson comes across as close to a moral Olympian pugilist as we are likely to see on national television. …

If you claim to be a moral foundationalist as Carlson does, holding that there exists an objective sense of right and wrong, leftists will label you an imperial fascist, and a purveyor of racist tropes. Yet these same leftists are the first to declare with absolute certainty, while hiding behind relativism, that slavery is responsible for every problem black people experience today, from obesity to hypertension; that gender pronouns are oppressive and discriminatory; and that failure to support “sex-reassignment” in children from as early as thirteen years of age is conclusive proof that one is a transphobe. …

There was a time as an independent conservative when I held out hope that there was some semblance of rationality left in the left-wing factions of this country.

Today, when a conglomeration of left-wing voices can lump Black Lives Matter adherents as the moral equivalents of Martin Luther King Jr., when it can authorize the dismantling and defunding of the police — law enforcement that protects safety and individual rights — there is no hope any longer for reasonable people to have so-called reasonable disagreements.

When Rutgers and the University of Chicago have declared essentially that grammar is racist, that English as a discipline has had a long history of providing aesthetic, rationalizations for colonization, exploitation, extraction and anti-Blackness, there is no lower rung in education hell to sink into.

The collapse of our civilization is all but imminent. …

Doesn’t this sound like Trump?

Tucker does not yield one inch to his adversaries. He is confident, indignant, incendiary for the cause, and he does not care what people think of him. People, in general, will hate you for possessing these traits.

Progressives will always hate Tucker Carlson because they and Tucker hold irreconcilable moral positions. The latter is the bearer of moral values, the other of anti-values. Tucker loves America, reason, capitalism and the self-sufficient human being who assumes responsibility for his or her life. Leftists just downright hate America and will poison it with every anti-American, anti-reason philosophy they can excavate or create.

Tucker Carlson is today’s media prophet who sees the existential wasteland ahead of us filled with rotting corpses — and the best among us struggling on the dustbin of history to rebuild what the destroyers and looters, long dead, left in their wake.

The polarization is near total now, led by the media. A new Gallup poll reveals the media’s increasing partisanship through the responses of its consumers:

  • For Democrats, a near record high 73% have a great deal, or fair amount of trust in the media.
  • For Republicans, an all-time low of 10% trust radio, TV, and newspapers. Just 3% of the GOP has a “great deal” of trust in media institutions.

Media trust in the USA https://mediadc.brightspotcdn.com/dims4/default/1230797/2147483647/strip/true/crop/720x452+0+0/resize/720x452!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmediadc.brightspotcdn.com%2F24%2Fcd%2F7318b0824ebc8b50e2ba3f225524%2Fx3qix28kk06n7trrie-vja.png
As the media increasingly says things only lefties want to hear, the left trust it more and the right trusts it less.

In this political climate of fantasy versus reality, are the political establishments really going to interrupt their carbon dioxide fantasies with truths about the climate models?

9.6 out of 10 based on 104 ratings

It’s Trump versus The Swamp

Win for Trump’s enemies would cast pall over democracy

Chris Kenny, The Australian.

If Trump’s enemies succeed, especially when their critiques are often so deceptive and dishonest, and after they have trashed processes and natural justice through episodes such as the Russia collusion hoax or the assassination of Brett Kavanaugh’s character, it will leave a dark pall over the world’s pre-eminent democracy. And it will leave a mass of disaffected mainstream voters feeling that even a democratically elected President promising to “drain the swamp” can fall victim to the ­revenge of the political, bureaucratic, academic and media establishment — the deep state.

We know he is unorthodox, ­polarising and crass, yet so many players and commentators never tire of pretending these observations are still worth fussing over.

If Trump’s enemies succeed, especially when their critiques are often so deceptive and dishonest, and after they have trashed processes and natural justice through episodes such as the Russia collusion hoax or the assassination of Brett Kavanaugh’s character, it will leave a dark pall over the world’s pre-eminent democracy. And it will leave a mass of disaffected mainstream voters feeling that even a democratically elected President promising to “drain the swamp” can fall victim to the ­revenge of the political, bureaucratic, academic and media establishment — the deep state.

We know he is unorthodox, ­polarising and crass, yet so many players and commentators never tire of pretending these observations are still worth fussing over.

Ultimately, The Democrats have become The Swamp. They oppose Trump so viscerally because he threatens their money stream and pops the fantasy bubbles that make their voter appeal. The Swamp makes their living off Big Government. The Business Swamp profit from the complexity of regulations to benefit from their own personal loopholes and deals. The Monopolist Swamp use their close relationship with politicians to keep their monopoly. The Welfare Swamp  just want more welfare, and The Washington Swamp depend on Big Government for their creamy rich salaries and two week long junkets to foreign holiday destinations like the COP Climate conferences. The Medical Swamps are battling now for expensive drugs against the cheap out-of-patent unprofitable treatments.

Then there’s the Republican Swamp — they don’t want small government either.

And now, success is partly in the hands of a virus.

 * * *

I’ll be away from the desk for a few days. Apologies in advance for late replies to emails. David Evans will be posting while I’m away.

 

9.5 out of 10 based on 88 ratings

Trump tests positive for Coronavirus, goes into quarantine

In news just in, Donald Trump and his wife Melania have both tested positive for Covid-19. So in the last four weeks of campaigning for the US election he needs to quarantine for two weeks, will most likely survive but faces significant odds of impairment and fatigue. How convenient for Biden-Harris?

The Trumps went into quarantine and got tested today after one of the President’s closest advisers, Hope Hicks, contracted the infection.

Ms Hicks, a former White House communications director who returned to the administration as a counsellor to Mr Trump earlier this year, travelled to and from this week’s presidential debate in Cleveland, Ohio with him.

She was also aboard the President’s helicopter, Marine One, for a trip to Joint Base Andrews yesterday. And she was aboard Air Force One for Mr Trump’s visit to Minnesota, where he held a political rally.

–news.com.au

With luck, he gets the asymptomatic kind of infection, (as his wife does too). We hope his doctors are fully up with things like the Florida ICAM treatment regime.

She said ICAM works by reinforcing the immune system and protecting the lungs from inflammation.

“We had no need for mechanical ventilation and the patients all survived the discharge regardless of age and regardless of past medical history,” Norwood-Williams said.

Since April, they have seen a 96.4 percent survival rate for COVID-19 patients admitted at AdventHealth Ocala.

ICAM is an acronym for the types of medications used: Immunosupport such as Vitamin C and Zinc; Corticosteroids to control inflammation; Anticoagulants to prevent blood clots; and Macrolides to help fight infection.

The fatality rate for ICAM is still 3.6% — but it’s not clear who this applies too.  (where is that data?) It appears to relate to people who are hospitalized and across all age groups, if so, it’s probably a great result. (Bear in mind though that Case Fatality Rates (all deaths divided by all positive tests) is running at 2.9% in Australia, and 5 – 6% in countries like France and the UK. (h/t OriginalSteve for the ICAM tip, and I’m sure there is another that I can’t find. Apologies.)

Looks like the next two debates are off. — What should happen (if only)  — are written debates. It’s the best way to get to the truth and cut out the theater of “live” performances. The notion of cutting off a President while he discusses national election issues was a fantasy gift for the Trump-haters.

This will also slow down people within his core team:

According to US media, the list of people potentially exposed includes: Ivanka Trump and her husband Jared Kushner, Donald Trump Jr and his girlfriend Kimberly Guilfoyle, Eric Trump and his wife Lara, Tiffany Trump, White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany, adviser Stephen Miller, former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani, White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows, Congressman Jim Jordan, Trump campaign manager Bill Stepien and criminal justice reform advocate Alice Marie Johnson.

According to the American Council on Science and Health, the odds of death of those infected who are over 65 is 5.6%. Trump is 73 and overweight.

7.8 out of 10 based on 57 ratings

A miracle? CO2 at record highs but Australia’s risk of Megafire Summer reduced

Global carbon dioxide levels hit record highs in 2020. But through incredible luck, or perhaps a Pacific La Niña event, Australia is now less likely to get massive bushfires this summer.

Looks like carbon dioxide will now cause more floods and cyclones, not fires and droughts.

It’s just physics, you know.

La Niña set to bring cooler weather, more rain and cyclones to Australia

Lisa Cox, The Guardian

The last La Niña occurred from 2010-2012 and brought widespread flooding and record rainfall. The Bom said its modelling currently suggested the latest event would be strong but would not reach the same intensity.

[Andrew] Watkins said La Niña would likely bring increased rainfall in both northern and eastern Australia and increased risk of flooding. It also raises the chance of increased cyclone activity during the tropical cyclone season, with a typical season being nine to 11 cyclones.

He said an active La Niña would also reduce the bushfire risk this season slightly, but would not eliminate it.

Dr Joelle Griggs, a climate scientist at Australian National University, reminds us that even in La Niña years sometimes early rain produces bulk grass which, if things dry out, can still feed a good inferno (like Black Saturday in 2009 and Black Friday in 1939). But despite then hinting that “hottest ever La Niña’s” might still cause bushfires, she understands what matters:

The horror bushfires of last summer have already burnt a lot of fuel which should shield them.

“It’s the areas spared during our Black Summer that we need to worry about,” said Dr Griggs.

With uncanny accuracy that no global GCM’s can manage, even a climate scientist knows which exact regions are at risk of turning into incendiary events. But only because it has nothing to do with CO2.

Spin the wheel

What effect will CO2 have in Australia. In blue years of the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) CO2 causes floods. In red years, droughts and fires. Adjust your press releases accordingly.

Keep reading  →

9.1 out of 10 based on 63 ratings

Yet more footage of Great Barrier dying reef not dying

Jen Marohasy went hunting for bleached coral:

What is the true state of the Great Barrier Reef? … In January 2020, Emmy Award winning cameraman Clint Hempsall, and IPA Senior Fellow Jennifer Marohasy decided to find out. They spent a week exploring the Ribbon Reefs 250kms to the north east of Cairns in search of coral bleaching – the process of corals turning white as a result of warmer water temperature, which climate scientists say is being caused by climate change. Some argue 60% of the coral at the Ribbon Reefs was irretrievably bleached in 2016.

Somewhere among 350,000 square kilometers of coral reef, Jen Marohasy had no trouble finding some happy corals,  giant cod, and cute nemo fish.

The IPA and the B. Macfie Family Foundation supports and publishes the video:

Colorful corals of the Great Barrier Reef

Don’t believe your lying eyes. Incandescent light globes are killing the corals one by one, air conditioners cause fish to act reckless, and only more solar panels and windmills can save them. You know it makes sense.

Corals, Great Barrier Reef, Ribbon's Edge, IPA, photo 2020.

Living coral.

..

Many of the corals grow on vertical formations which are not visible on aerial mapping, which supposedly tells us how much of the reef is bleached.

 

Corals, Great Barrier Reef, Ribbon's Edge, IPA, photo 2020.

More living coral.

..

Corals, Great Barrier Reef, Ribbon's Edge, IPA, photo 2020.

Still more living coral.

..

Corals, Great Barrier Reef, Ribbon's Edge, IPA, photo 2020.

A Potato Cod, not acting much like a potato.

This was filmed at Ribbon’s Edge north east of Cooktown. Shot in January while the Unprecedented Apocalyptic Australian Fires were raging.

Someday Jen is going to have to take me diving.

 Jen Marohasy’s Blog

10 out of 10 based on 75 ratings

A car boot full of ballots — bought for $800 a vote (or for nothing at all)

Things the ABC might not tell you:

Project Veritas has an insider, they have footage of a man bragging that he has a car full of empty ballots. They have an insider explaining how the system works for mass ballot harvesting.

VictoryGirlsBlog:   This is just as terrible as you think it will be. Project Veritas has thrown quite a hand grenade straight into the Minneapolis area, bringing the receipts to prove ballot harvesting.

It seems that Congresswoman Ilhan Omar, along with other connected politicians in the Somali community, have quite an expansive ballot harvesting operation going on – so much so, that one of their operatives actually bragged about it on Snapchat. And not only are they going around collecting ballots, especially from the elderly, but they are paying for the ballots in cash.

Between video evidence and insider interviews, the picture being revealed is a system of ballot harvesting and payoffs so corrupt and entrenched that it might not be salvageable.

“Numbers don’t lie. Numbers don’t lie. You can see my car is full. All these here are absentees’ ballots. Can’t you see? Look at all these, my car is full. All these are for Jamal Osman… We got 300 today for Jamal Osman only,” said Liban Mohamed in a series of Snapchat videos posted July 1 and July 2 on his own Snapchat profile.”

Mohamed said he was collecting the ballots to help his brother win the city’s Aug. 11 special election for a vacant Ward 6 city council race—which was held the same day as the primary for Omar’s MN-05 congressional seat. Ward 6 is the heart of the city’s Somali community and the Omar’s political base.”

“The only way you can win is with money”.

“They have perfected this system”

As soon as voting opens, that’s when ballot harvesting occurs.

Great Civilizations don’t run elections like this

Welcome to Minnesota?

The immigrants mostly are first generation. They are still emotionally connected to where they came from. They  don’t know how elections work, … they came from a military government,… Sometimes they think it’s legal.

Ihan Omar is exploiting members of her own Somali Community.

It’ s an alliance between the clan and the progressive left.

Ihar Oman appears to have hundreds of people involved.

But remember there is absolutely no evidence of mail-in voter fraud. Rinse, and repeat after me. 😉

9.4 out of 10 based on 71 ratings