Monday

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175 comments to Monday

  • #
    RicDre

    “Southern Australia is freezing. How can it be so cold in a warming climate?”

    Essay by Eric Worrall

    Southern Australia is freezing. How can it be so cold in a warming climate?

    Published: July 5, 2024 2.34pm AEST
    Andrew King
    Senior Lecturer in Climate Science, The University of Melbourne

    People living in southern Australia won’t have failed to notice how cold it is. Frosty nights and chilly days have been the weather for many of us since the start of July.

    As winter continues, we are left wondering how unusual the cold is and whether we can expect several more months of this. Warmer conditions are in the forecast but winter has a long way to go. Further cold snaps could occur.


    What’s causing the cold?

    A persistent and strong high-pressure system has been hanging around over southeast Australia. The atmospheric pressure was so high it approached the Australian record of 1,044.3 hPa set on June 7 1967. An initial observation of a new record has since been disregarded, but nonetheless this is an exceptional, near-record high-pressure pattern.

    Climate scientist Andrew King, who wrote the article above, thinks the answer to Australia’s future energy needs is renewables. In 2022 Andrew King channelled Greta Thunberg with a demand for a faster energy transition.

    But renewables have not been a lot of help during this year of wind droughts. Not only are they subject to prolonged outages during unfavorable weather conditions, King himself admitted his own science suggests storms might get worse – which begs the question of why people who think the weather might turn nasty would even consider advocating for solutions which are profoundly vulnerable to bad weather.

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/07/07/southern-australia-is-freezing-how-can-it-be-so-cold-in-a-warming-climate/

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    • #
      David Maddison

      Cold is the new hot.

      The Left still demand we dismantle our energy supply.

      It’s not about the weather or climate.

      And as we come to the end of a rare, short interglacial, how are people meant to keep warm and keep civilisation running without coal, gas, nuclear or real hydro power (not SH2)?

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    • #
      TdeF

      You have to love the use of traditional scientific meteorology to explain why the fantasy science of increased CO2 driven warming is wrong. The absolute prediction of steady warming is not wrong. It just wrong this season because of El Nino, the Indian Dipole, High air pressure, Jet stream, excess water, …. There is always an excuse for being completely wrong. The dog ate my warming. Some day my heat will come , probably in mid summer and a record will be set. Then you will be sorry for heating your homes in winter.

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      • #
        David Maddison

        I can’t wait for a true headline that reads:

        Scientists have found a variable star at the centre of our solar system which is the main influence on the weather and climate.

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        • #
          Greg in NZ

          Having just observed this variable star arising from behind the watery eastern horizon – banishing the dark chill of night & bringing forth light! warmth! and expectations of another beautiful winter’s day – I do wonder at the term ‘climate scientist’ … is it some kind of dis-ease?

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          • #
            Alby

            What indeed is a ‘Climate Scientist’? Who can claim to be a qualified expert in Meteorology, Climatology, Geology, Vulcanology, Biology, Cosmology, Oceanography, Geomorphology, Glaciology, Atmospheric Physics, Mathematics, Advanced statistical analysis, Computer modelling, and, and, and all those other disciplines which have some connection to climate shifts but none of which can be said to be entirely responsible for them. They just don’t exist.

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            • #
              Kalm Keith

              🙂 “Computer Modelling “.

              Proper modeling has never been applied to climate science to the best of my knowledge.

              At the beginning of this scam the manipulators claimed that they needed BIGGER computers to get there.

              Of course, the whole thing has just been showmanship and advertising to justify the extra taxes needed to save d’planet.

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        • #
          Broadie

          What’s causing the cold?

          A persistent and strong high-pressure system has been hanging around over southeast Australia. The atmospheric pressure was so high it approached the Australian record of 1,044.3 hPa set on June 7 1967

          Possibly the 1967 record high pressure was related to the variable star and its variations.

          Low sunspot activity in the 1970s and again now. Could this be that our atmosphere was slightly more spherical with a tall column of gas particles resting on the column of mercury or was the reduction in the strength of solar winds somehow responsible. I am sure there are scientists who could explain this phenomena and possible correlations. Maybe the same guys predicting the coming ‘Ice Age’ in the 70’s.

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          • #
            Graeme#4

            It was interesting that the late climate “scientist” Stephen Schneider first became all hot and bothered in the 1970s, and claimed that we were heading for disaster and another ice age.
            Then as the earth began to warm again, he switched sides and joined the global warming alarmists, claiming that we were warming far too much.
            Won’t be missed.

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            • #
              Leo G

              the late climate “scientist” Stephen Schneider … switched sides and joined the global warming alarmists

              Overheating climate change science needs a chill pill.

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          • #
            el+gordo

            Strong blocking high pressure is related to a meandering jet stream and sudden stratospheric warming.

            https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2024/03/06/one-in-250-year-event-underway-high-in-the-atmosphere/

            Not sure if we can point to our variable star for the answer.

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          • #
            Ted1.

            I have always wondered at the connection between atmospheric pressure and wet weather.

            Is it because water vapour has a lower molecular mass than nitrogen and oxygen that wet weather is associated with low atmospheric pressure??

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            • #
              Broadie

              My understanding is the water vapour condenses from a gas to a liquid and falls. We call that rain unless it cracks your solar panel “hail’. Hence a lowering of pressure drawing in more of surrounding gases. A movement of gases commonly called wind. In North Queensland we used to call those things cyclones when they managed to reach a certain intensity. Now cyclones, as they appear in the media, are any old tropical low between July and the June of the following year. needless to say there are lots of those new cyclones.

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        • #
          RickWill

          There is an interesting phenomena with this particular star due to the presence of a very large planet and a couple of other large planets more distant. The gravitational force vector acting on the sun has an average rotation that results in its full orbit of the sun being 31 days shorter than the velocity vector. The sun sometimes takes a shortcut and does not orbit the barycentre of the solar system. This last occurred in 1998.

          The intertesting result is that the power transfer from and to the sun through the gravitational field has a 1600 year cycle with absolute power peaks 800 years apart. Corresponding with the power transfer, the sun surface tidal pressure exhibits significant peaks that are approximately 800 years apart. That means that the so-called climate optimums are 800 years apart. The sun is near the peak of the present optimum.

          So the big climate driver is the 23kyr precession cycle that drives glaciation but there is also a solar forcing that has an 800 year cycle. The next minimum is 300 to 400 years away and that will mark the end of the present interglacial because we can already observe the northern hemisphere ocean surface temperature increasing from the precession cycle that increases atmospheric water causing increased NH snowfall.

          The Southern Hemisphere is in a long term cooling phase but the lower latitudes are more influenced by the increasing atmospheric wateri from the NH. Inland Australia will benefit significantly from the rising atmospheric water.

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          • #
            Kalm Keith

            Thanks Rick.
            A lot to take in, but it sounds logical and interesting.

            The 23,000 year cycles are now a solid part of our knowledge that has shown up as CO2 variations during the roughly 100 to 110 thousand year cycles seen in the ice cores.
            El Gordo hinted in a recent comment that maybe the Sun wasn’t involved in the recent weather; just Earths chaotic atmosphere.

            This post now points to smaller Solar inputs showing up here: a lot to look at.

            Hopefully the big freeze won’t start for a while yet.

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          • #
            el+gordo

            ‘The next minimum is 300 to 400 years away and that will mark the end of the present interglacial …’

            Looking back to the Eemian Interglacial, it ended 115,000 years ago, so I’ll focus on that period to test your theory.

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            • #
              RickWill

              Thee is no reconstructed data that will give better resolution for termination of an interglacial than the precession cycle. You would not be able to wind back solar gravitational power curve 115kyrs to see how the solar output impacted back then. However I have already looked at the conditions needed for glaciation.
              https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/05/16/cycles-in-earths-climate-part-1-the-trend-setters/

              I show the strong precession cycle signal in glaciation. And I also determine that Earth is presently in a window to enable glaciation. But I wanted to better pinpoint the timing.

              I have looked at 4,200 years of solar ephemerides starting -2000BC to get the 1683year major solar cycle. The sun is in similar conditions now to what it was 300AD just after the peak of the Roman Empire. Like now, the gravitation energy transfer from planets to sun was near a peak. The maximum transfer from sun to planets was around 1100AD.; noted as the medieval warm period.

              I have grappled with the fact that the average rotational speed of the gravitational force on the sun is faster than the rotation of the velocity vector, which is, in turn, faster than the position vector. But it gets resolved once you realise the centre of the sun short cuts the barycentre occasionally.

              The Roman Empire collapsed around 500AD; about 300 years after its peak. I think climate science has already reached peak stupidity and the whole climate edifice will be history within 300 years as termination of the present interglacial becomes obvious.

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              • #
                el+gordo

                Going back a little further to the early Holocene, how does the 8.2 kiloyear event fit in?

                https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/8.2-kiloyear_event#/media/File:Greenland_Gisp2_Temperature.svg

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              • #
                David Maddison

                Rick, the following paper looks at the effect of a hypothetical planet 9 on solar cycles.

                Do you care to comment on that?

                https://www.researchgate.net/publication/363276290_Including_Planet_9_in_the_Solar_System_Increases_the_Coherence_between_the_Sunspot_Number_Record_and_Solar_Inertial_Motion

                Abstract

                The Sun would be subject to a significant variation of orbital motion about the solar system barycentre if a small planet is orbiting at a very large dis-tance. This paper assesses if the Planet 9 hypothesis, the existence of a ninth planet, is consistent with the planetary hypothesis: the synchronisation of sunspot emergence to solar inertial motion (SIM) induced by the planets. We show that SIM would be profoundly affected if Planet 9 exists and that the hypothesised effect of SIM on sunspot emergence would be radically different from the effect of SIM due to the existing eight planets. We compare the fre-quency and time variation of Sun to barycentre distance, RB, calculated for both the eight and nine planet systems, with the frequency and time variation of sunspot number (SSN). We show that including Planet 9 improves the co-herence between RB and SSN in the decadal, centennial and millennial time range. Additionally, as the variation of RB is sensitive to the longitude and pe-riod of Planet 9, it is possible to adjust both parameters to fit the variation of RB to the SSN record and obtain new estimates of the period and present lon-gitude of Planet 9. Finally, we develop the hypothesis that planetary induced solar acceleration reduces meridional flow and consequently sunspot emer-gence thereby providing an explanation for the observed coincidence of grand solar minima with intervals of extreme solar acceleration.

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              • #
                RickWill

                There are quite a few large bodies of water that have narrow entrances. I do not know which one contributed to the fall in temperature 8.2ka but you have to think in terms of perched water in the form of glaciers well above sea level behind an ice wall.

                The three big ones that come to mind are the inside passage of Vancouver island, Hudson Bay and the Baltic Sea. These current ocean connected seaways would have been glaciers up to 2km high at the depth of glaciation. They break up as the sea level rises but can be grounded for centuries until they melt enough to wander over the oceans. The sea floor around Greenland is scoured by glaciers to current depth of 700m so there were very large lumps of ice being intermittently set free; entering the ocean and cooling the ocean surface periodically. These are far more likely than the small changes due to changes in solar intensity but the change in solar intensity could accelerate or reetard the release of ice as was observed during the little ice age of recent times.

                The change in TSI due to the solar dynamics is quite small compared with charges due to precession. The top of atmosphere average TSI has increased from proxy data of 1360.1W/m^2 in early 1700 to as high as 1361.8W/m^2 in recent years. So small in relation to the changes due to precession but it increases globally rather than just the shift caused by precession.

                The solar variation is a 800 year cycle that occurs globally but the change is quite small. The precession cycle is much longer term but is balanced across the globe such that the current increase in the NH is offset by the reduction in the SH. The temperature increase is simply due to the fact that the NH has a higher thermal response than the Southern Hemisphere. In fact parts of the SH are still warming because more of the heat coming into the SH is being retained rather than being transp[orted into the NH. The rising water vapour in the northern hemisphere is also reflected in the SH apart from the high evaporation zone in the South Pacific:
                https://i0.wp.com/wattsupwiththat.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/image-104.png?ssl=1

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              • #
                RickWill

                Do you care to comment on that?

                The gravitational power transfer based on the 8 planet ephemerides that JPL produce gives good correlation with the observed climate optimums and cold spells. There is also a very sharp peak in the absolute power transfer at 19.5 years. So this is not far off twice the 10.7 year period of the sunspots.

                I can reproduce the shape of the monthly sunspots by looking at the change in surface pressure of the sun due to what could be termed tidal influences but I cannot produce the correct freequency. I have given a lot of thought to the sunspots being observed from Earth that is circling the sun but that would produce a yearly spike in the sunspot data and that is not present.

                I looked at a circular orbit of the sun just taking derived 8 planetary forces to produce a circular orbit around the barycentre but that does not work unless there is a very high torsional component which would require a significant shift in the second moment of the sun relative to the first moment. Essentially the axis of the sun would have a slight arc rather than being straight

                Using the JPL ephemerides, the sun gets and induced spin from the gravitational force vector leading the velocity vector and we know the equator spins faster than the higher latitudes so there could be phasing lags based on this latitudinal shift in tidal forces, which I am yet to investigate.

                I have not looked at a 9th planet but something that takes a long time to orbit will punch above its weight in terms of its mass and influence but I cannot see how it would cause a frequency increase that reduces the 11.8 year force vector down to the 10.7 year sunspot cycle. The gravitational power transfer gives reasonable correlation with the reconstructed TSI.

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          • #
            el+gordo

            Correction, according to Dansgaard the deterioration began 120,000 years BP.

            https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1502-3885.1981.tb00483.x

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            • #
              RickWill

              You will see the 120kyr reflected in graph H of panel 2 in the link I gave: This is a direct link to the panel of graphs:
              https://i0.wp.com/wattsupwiththat.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-69.png?ssl=1

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              • #
                el+gordo

                Sea level fall is not accompanied by temperature, which appears to be buoyant.

                On the ground in south east Australia, the aridity spike was pronounced at the termination.

                ‘McGowan et al. infer drier conditions in southeast Australia as indicated by higher magnesium concentrations from 120 800 to 118 500 years before present sustained regional mega-droughts across this period with associated wind erosion contributing to increased dust flux at Dome C, Antarctica such as between 119,050 to 120,300 years before present.’
                (Joe Bauwens 2020)

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              • #
                RickWill

                Sea level fall is not accompanied by temperature

                The sea level follows the temperature down because falling sea level requires ice accumulation. Most of the land north of 40N is ice before the sea level starts coming down. The oceans remain warm enough to keep moisture in the air but it predominantly ends up as snow falling on ice in the NH.

                Once the amount of ice reaches the land holding threshold, the glacier calving cools the oceans. Atmospheric water reduces such that melt overtakes snowfall.

                The last interglacial actually followed the precession cycle for two cycles before it went into deep glaciation around 70ka. This was a period of high orbital eccentricity and very large swings in solar intensity in both hemispheres – observable in this chart:
                https://i0.wp.com/wattsupwiththat.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-57.png?ssl=1

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          • #
            Lucky

            #1.2.1.3
            This is very interesting, thanks Rick.
            The cycle lengths remind me of the work of David Evans last mentioned 3/4 years ago. He found cycles from Fourier analysis of data but did not go on to suggest physical mechanisms for the cycles.
            Your post picks that up!

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      • #
        Jon Rattin

        “Someday My Heat Will Come”. Sounds like the title of a ballad for climate change advocates. Maybe Greta Thunberg could belt it out in a video clip with a backdrop of flowing lava, landslides and floods.

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    • #
      el+gordo

      From the original story by King, global warming by humans is still the main game.

      https://theconversation.com/southern-australia-is-freezing-how-can-it-be-so-cold-in-a-warming-climate-233977

      Not a word on Hunga Tonga Hunga.

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      • #
        Greg in NZ

        As we continue to warm the planet…” [sic]
        Climate Science-Fiction author, A King.

        -13 C Greenland Summit Camp (summer)
        -59 C Amundsen Base, Antarctica (winter)

        Heard another of your country’s kooks, playwright David Finnigan, lose the plot while discussing his latest act, ‘Scenes from the Climate Era’, where he used the term ‘climate denier’ so often I had to change stations after his TENTH REPETITION of the holy, yet nonsensical, religious phrase.

        How does one ‘deny’ climate(s) anyway?

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        • #
          Leo G

          How does one ‘deny’ climate(s) anyway?

          On the other hand, when referring to a climate dementer, we do not imply they madden climate(s).

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    • #
      GlenM

      some people should be assessed for conflicts of interest – especially when it comes to investments and funding. what is the point of being a scientist when all that you espouse is baseless and without any disciplinary rigour.

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  • #
    tonyb

    According to the exit polls it looks like the Le Pen Extreme right have been beaten into third place by the Extreme left with Macrons centrists in second position.

    Some commentators appear to be cheering this but why is the extreme left any better than the extreme right?

    https://deadline.com/2024/07/france-elections-2024-exit-polls-results-1236002816/

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    • #
      David Maddison

      Too bad she never went to school.

      There’s nothing like the ignorant uneducated preaching to other ignorant uneducated.

      It’s dangerous too when you motivate ignorant uneducated people with scary thoughts of imminent catastrophe.

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      • #
        RickWill

        Too bad she never went to school.

        You do not need to go to school to learn. In fact schools can be as much a problem as a benefit.

        It will be interesting to see what becomes of Greta because she is getting a lot of experience and education is mostly a matter of learning from experience. So it gets down to her ability to learn from her experiences and how she applies that learning. Terrorists mostly learn through experience given that very few schools have torrorism as a subject.

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      • #
        Ronin

        There’s school and education, school is more about indoctrination.

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    • #

      The WEF have plenty of our money. Just use theirs which is ours.

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    • #
      Graeme No.3

      I will pay everybody’s contributions providing I can get change from a Zimbabwe One Billion Note.

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  • #
    David Maddison

    Here are some videos of a single-person walking around the streets of Pakistan cities observing life.

    It’s remarkable that the people don’t appear happy, there is no music, there seems to be no one having fun, there are not many bright colours, there is no one laughing.

    Most importantly, there are almost no women to be seen because they arent allowed outside without being escorted by a close male relative. It must be OK because you never hear Leftists complain about that in such countries, you just hear them complain incessantly about the supposed “misogyny” of Western men.

    https://youtu.be/4vOa7rMghaU

    https://youtu.be/Z9Oxvuib9z4

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  • #
    tonyb

    A bit concerning that under pressure from a grandmothers activist group that a German bank has told German’s second biggest party that they have been debanked

    https://dailysceptic.org/2024/07/06/major-political-party-debanked-in-germany-following-campaign-by-grandmothers-against-the-right/

    Sounds a bit like some of the things that went on in Canada during Covid.

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  • #

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/ck7gydwgvy8t
    Monsieur Macron has invited the Extreme-Left bear in through France’s Front Door.

    “Je ne regrette rien” ??
    Piaf IIRC – ‘I regret nothing’

    Auto

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  • #

    Looking now at what in the Euromomo graphs looks normal.

    After 3 years with the COVID-19 pandemic, data from spring 2023 and onwards are now included in the estimations of the expected mortality

    That from the main page.
    The blue yellow and grey lines for the “0-14 years” age group section here don’t hide it.
    https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps
    That after seeing the reinfection charts presented here. Dr Philip McMillan
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JsuGQR_GoBE

    Looks like the kids pay for the vaccine herd immunity delusion.

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  • #
    David Maddison

    Video: Liberal Hivemind (YouTuber) video looks at how the racist Biden totally ignores a black girl when he met his supporters and her huge disappointment apparent when her hero ignores her. Democrats, the party of slavery and the KKK.

    https://youtu.be/cGjoVGooHIk

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  • #
    David Maddison

    The war against the food supply continues.

    In NZ, extreme measures are being demanded of bee keepers to burn all their hives to combat American foulbrood disease.

    But there may be less extreme measures possible.

    It’s like when they demand slaughter of millions of chickens for bird flu when most will probably survive.

    The bureaucrats don’t care about the farmers or the food supply.

    https://www.1news.co.nz/2024/05/16/under-threat-of-jail-beekeeper-burns-2m-of-bee-boxes/

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    • #
      Yarpos

      They just like tidy, easy to administer, one size fits all solutions. Kill the bees, kill the chooks, vaccinate evryone because sniffles, raise taxes.

      Its easier than thinking or reducing the public service.

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      Ronin

      Watching Landline yesterday and mention was made of the amount of bees killed because of Varoa mite, so this is the ‘scientific’ way of dealing with a pest outbreak, marvelous.
      The segment was about trialling flies to act as pollinators to cover for all the slaughtered bees.
      The beat goes on.

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      Broadie

      And here is me believing ‘Manuka’ honey cures everything. Evidently not American foulbread disease.

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      • #
        beowulf

        Beware “Manuka” honey — especially the unaccountably cheap stuff sold by Australia’s biggest honey producer, who shall remain nameless.

        I don’t know if it’s still the case, but during the 2018 Australian honey substitution scandal it was revealed that about ten times more “Manuka honey” was sold than was actually produced.

        Nothing to see here. This is not the fake Manuka honey we’re looking for. Move along.

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      KP

      If bees were to go extinct from a disease or a parasite surely they would have done so by now.

      If bees were to go extinct from a newly evolved virus or version of a bacteria, surely they would have done so by now. There is always a balance between parasite and host.

      So, have we introduced new factors into the bee’s environment that may be changing those two conditions? I can see we over-crowd chickens and most domestic animals, and try to kill them with disease, but bees have always lived in hives.

      Surely not microwaves for mobile phones, the latest 5G rollout, even if Marconi did wipe every bee of the Isle of Wight when he started radio transmitting from there…

      As radio transmission spread around the world, so did bee colony collapse, but scientists looked at parasites and disease for blame. It ran from 1901 until now, coming and going in waves as we introduced new EMF wavelengths and blamed new diseases, and it still goes on.

      Burning beehives hasn’t worked in 120years, maybe THIS time it will. Isolate! Mask up! Stop the spread!

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        Philip

        If bees were to go extinct from a disease or a parasite surely they would have done so by now.

        Would have done so by now, is the answer to all environmental questions. The experiment has been done.

        Environmentalist arguments always start from point zero, that they have a theory of how to affect the future to avoid catastrophe. Ignoring that the environment and man’s interaction with it has existed for a long time.

        If it was going to die it would have done by now.

        Take Koalas for example, the endless prediction of extinction unless you do as we say. Ignoring that the forest near me has been logged for over 200 years now, and the koalas still exist in it, robustly. Their chances of extinction are next to nil. A very robust experiment in real time has been done, but the results completely ignored.

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          Earl

          Take Koalas for example – or closer to home take humans lol. According to AI the answer to the question “when did humans become extinct”:

          According to the search results, there were several instances where human ancestors nearly became extinct. Here are the key findings:

          930,000 years ago: Researchers in China found evidence suggesting that the ancestors of modern humans suffered a massive population crash due to a drastic change in the climate.

          70,000 B.C.: By some counts, the number of humans on Earth may have skidded so sharply that we were down to just 1,000 reproductive adults, possibly due to a supervolcano eruption.

          900,000 to 800,000 years ago: A study suggests that our ancestors may have come close to extinction during this period.

          Around 900,000 years ago: Genetic studies indicate that the breeding population of our ancestors in Africa dropped to just 1,280 and didn’t expand again for another 117,000 years, which would have had an impact on human genetic diversity and may have driven the evolution of important features of modern humans.

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            Philip

            Indeed. Life was tough without fuel energy. You are extremely vulnerable to climate without it. This is what environmentalists do not comprehend, that the natural world is not quite good enough and it needs to be altered.

            Again, if we were going to go extinct, we would have by now. But get rid of energy to see just how vulnerable humans are to climate. I wonder if AI recognises that?

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          Sambar

          “Take Koalas for example”

          These sleepy tree wombats are so likely to go extinct that in many places where they have been introduced, like French Island, King Island, Kangaroo Island have suffered population explosions to the point of starvation. It would appear that they are quite capable of going from low numbers to high numbers with ease.
          I have trouble buying the “locally extinct” argument, another relatively meaningless term. If the population as a whole has sufficient numbers to be viable then it will be.
          I think it was King island a few decades ago that wanted a koala cull due to the damage they where causing to the trees and subsequent health issues to themselves brought on by slow starvation. The “environmentalists” and “preservationists” would not allow this to happen. As a result not only Koalas suffered but a host of new environmental issues were caused by “do gooders”.
          I think the problem resolved itself in the short time by some large bush fires.

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          • #
            KP

            Yes, we’ve done that many times, introduced a species to a new area and completely failed to anticipate the consequences.

            Deer into NZ, the population exploded until, as usual, it outgrew the food and a particularly cold winter came to clean them out back to a level of balance. Same with possums introduced over there, an exploding population in a short time. Both had terrible effects on the local flora.

            The flora suffered also with blackberries, a very expensive mistake, gorse and hawthorn, and probably hundreds more introduced plants that have exploded outwards and are still being introduced.

            I figure we are homogenising the world’s life faster than the WEF can do it with humans!

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      David Maddison

      I think even Elon Musk realises he makes toys for rich people and virtue signalers.

      Real people want ICE cars

      Trump will make sure there’s no compulsory purchase of EVs in the United States.

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      Stanley

      Curious as to the choice of words. What does “stall out” mean? In the article it reads “stall progress”. In this context, “stall” means “halt” or “slowed down”. So what does “halt out” mean?
      It’s not in the Giles & Pfitzner Latin Primer that used to clock my head.

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  • #
    David Maddison

    False advertising of unreliables.

    I’m sick of hearing statements such as some new wind or solar plantation can power “200,000” homes etc..

    They can power ZERO homes most of the time because 70% of the time the wind isn’t blowing and there is only enough sun for five or six hours per day even if there’s no cloud or it’s not winter.

    Unreliables should only be allowed to be advertised on the basis of the 24/7 dispatchable power they can deliver.

    That means that the capacity of an unreliables plantation must only be advertised and costed on the basis of its associated battery capacity (to ensure dispatchability) and transmission lines required to connect the plantation and battery to the grid.

    Please, no more false advertising!

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      Yarpos

      You must like the major supermarkets claim that are are powered by “100% renewable” electricity. If the ACT can say it , I guess they can too. Truth and reality dont come into it.

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      • #
        Sambar

        Supermarkets are a pet hate of mine. While shopping at the first major supermarket over the hill noted the “made in Australia” logo on bacon. A slightly closer read,
        “Made in Australia from at least 18% Australian ingredients”. So the question is how do you get 18% “ingredients” into a simple product like bacon which is about 95% pork and the remainder curing chemicals?
        At a guess I would say its the labour component required to unpack the shipping container then a delivery component and finally someone putting it in the display cabinet.

        As you have so rightly noted: Truth and reality don’t come into it!

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          Earl

          I would guess the 18% Australian content is what they mix into the other (overseas sourced) chemicals that make up the 5% that does the curing.

          The enduring question of course is if ham IS cured…. what is it cured of???

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      Ronin

      The whole thing’s a hoax, fake.

      60

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      David and everyone,

      that statement of this (wonderful, most beautiful, scenery enhancing) wind power generating plant can provide power for “X” number of homes was a device (read ‘trick’) that was used (it now seems most effectively) to hide Capacity Factor.

      I have been explaining it in Posts at my home site since I started doing ‘all this’ back in early 2008.

      If they were to state up front the (actual) Capacity Factor (CF) of 30%, (here using a wind plant as an example) then people might wonder why it was so low.

      So, knowing the Power Plant’s ‘theoretical’ total yearly output (calculated arbitrarily at a CF of 38% from Decades old ‘modelling’) and the average household power consumption, they then divide the output by average household consumption, and round it up to the next ten thousand or so.

      Using this ploy, they can also ‘artfully’ claim to have mentioned that, umm, low, CF right up front as well, even though no one in the general community knows how to extrapolate one from the other.

      I have (just one of many) of my older Posts I can link back to which gives better detail, and that’s at this link, dated January of 2012, and just scroll down to the second image for the explanation.

      Incidentally, that 38% CF rating for wind plants was universally used as the standard, and in NOT ONE CASE has that inflate figure ever been achieved.

      Tony.

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        CO2 Lover

        Instead of just quoting “Capacity Factor” as just the AVERAGE it would be more informative to quote three numbers such as (CPL:5%, CPA:30%, CPH:80%) which relate to the Bell Curve of weather dependent variable energy generation so the CPL might be the Capacity Factor for the days of wind generation for the lowest decile of wind generation and CPH is the Capacity Factor for the highest decile of wind generation).

        The Capacity Factor for Nuclear Energy would be say (CPL:75%, CPA:81%, CPH:85%) across all nuclear power plants when compared to variable wind generation

        In 2022 the global average capacity factor was 80.5%, down from 82.3% in 2021, but still continuing the trend of high global capacity factors seen since 2000. Capacity factors in this section are based on the performance of those reactors that report electricity generation in any one calendar year.

        https://world-nuclear.org/our-association/publications/world-nuclear-performance-report/global-nuclear-industry-performance#:

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          RickWill

          it would be more informative to quote three numbers such as (CPL:5%, CPA:30%, CPH:80%

          More data but no more information. ALL you need to know is that guaranteed output is zero.

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      TdeF

      Play the game. Fact check windmill power generation capacity. 70% wrong to 100% wrong

      60

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    Robber

    Early this morning in NSW, coal providing 90% of electricity supply, 80% in Qld and Vic.
    While in SA 75% gas.
    Can’t keep warm without reliables.

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      David Maddison

      It’s hot. It’s in the desert. It must be summer over there.

      Besides, Palm Springs doesn’t have much of a temperature record. The current station was installed 1998.

      https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datasets/GHCND/stations/GHCND:USW00093138/detail

      And the station looks well placed, centre stage at the airport. It’s almost as though they want jet blasts and hot runways to artificially boost the temperature.

      https://goo.gl/maps/cffBu9B8iGLwdazx5

      Never believe a weather “record” from a woke organisation or Lamestream media.

      If Tony Heller is reading this, please look into it.

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      TdeF

      “What is the hottest degree in UAE? 52.1ºC/ 125.8F
      While these temperatures might have you mopping your brow, they’re still a few degrees from the hottest temperature ever recorded in the UAE. That accolade still stands with the summer of 2002, during the July of which temps hit an eye-sweating 52.1ºC”

      It’s the miracle of air conditioning.

      “With its scenic coastlines, majestic mountains, and sun-drenched skies, California has long been a popular choice for retirement. Palm Springs, in particular, is a major draw for retirees.15 Mar 2024

      So who cares? It’s a retirement village where people go to live out their years in warmth and luxury. Like Surfer’s Palestine in Australia.

      This is NOT GLOBAL warming. It’s very desirable living.

      10

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        TdeF

        And you don’t mop your brow in these locations. In UAE it’s 0% humidity, so no one sweats. You do have to drink a litre of water an hour though.
        This also makes the airconditioning very efficient, especially evaporative cooling if you have enough water.

        10

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          TdeF

          And it’s not as if these people are worried about their Carbon Footprint. Surfer’s Palestine is also known as “God’s waiting room”.

          10

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          Graeme#4

          Evap coolers, or “swamp coolers”, worked very well on the Nullarbor. Used to work ok in Perth, but it now seems that we have a higher average humidity in summer, so most houses are switching to air conditioning.

          10

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    David Maddison

    Outstanding 6.5m video on Twitter by John Stossel talking about domesdayers like Paul Erlich and the modern Left vs optimists.

    https://x.com/JohnStossel/status/1809979688728600724

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      It’s the same with Economists trying to predict interest rates and the value of the $A. Consistently wrong, wrong, wrong. And like the Alarmists, they still get paid. The BOM are just as bad as well.

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        TdeF

        And they write with such arrogant certainty about the future. Exactly like the BOM and Climate Change Scientists. The fact that they are universally and consistently wrong never bothers them. Like the 2008 GFC, no one predicted it but when it happened they could tell you exactly why. Prior to that no one could see that trillions of dollars in fake government guaranteed mortgages would collapse. Firstly because they were to people who could not possibly pay the money back. And secondly that they were not in fact government guaranteed. There was no secret in this.

        I wonder when carbon credits collapse how many people will be caught with useless forests instead of farming land? In Europe thousands of years of forest clearing for crops undone in a few decades by growing trees never to be cut down is suddenly seen correctly a total loss of arable land. And a million rusty windmills across the planet just falling apart forever, a monument to the greatest scam in human history. Our Easter Island statues, our Pyramids. The relics of an incredible religion pushed by self appointed high priests to the God of Climate Change. Such monuments exist through the Americas too relics of ancient civilizations which vanished overnight when the rains failed.

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    another ian

    A German’s view on EV’s

    “I heard a German joke (reported by a German): “If you get an electric vehicle, you may as well get a dog as well. That way you don’t have to walk home alone.”

    It refers to the availability of charging stations.”

    Via a comment at WUWT

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      TdeF

      I wonder if you could setup a private diesel powered charging station? Costs + margin. Expect to see many of these.

      You can buy 20KVA for $10,000. That’s a few hours for a Tesla. I think these will proliferate. People who can afford Teslas can afford to pay. Besides in most locations they will have no choice.

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    Richard C in NZ

    A viral photo identified as Biden’s speechwriting team explains so much
    By Andrea Widburg
    https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/07/a_viral_photo_identified_as_biden_s_speechwriting_team_explains_so_much.html

    We know who these young people are. They’re college graduates with degrees in journalism, political science, communications, or some sort of “studies” (e.g., gender, womyn’s, etc.). They are committed to open borders, DEI, CRT, BLM, LGBTQ+, climate change madness, a government-controlled economy, Ukraine, socialized medicine, unlimited abortion, and “Free Palestine.” And the women are crazy. Yes, maybe that last sounds like a stretch, but we’ve seen what leftism does to women, and it’s not pretty.

    These people are the ones putting words in Biden’s mouth. They are both foot soldiers and, at a guess, policymakers. I say the last because they are the living embodiment of the modern Democrat party: shiny pretty Marxists who are mostly cat ladies.

    15 people in the selfie, 2 guys at the back actually working intently – at least that’s what it looks like they’re doing.

    As many on X remarked – “Explains a lot”.

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    Richard C in NZ

    A viral photo identified as Biden’s speechwriting team explains so much
    By Andrea Widburg
    https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/07/a_viral_photo_identified_as_biden_s_speechwriting_team_explains_so_much.html

    We know who these young people are. They’re college graduates with degrees in journalism, political science, communications, or some sort of “studies” (e.g., gender, womyn’s, etc.). They are committed to open borders, DEI, CRT, BLM, LGBTQ+, climate change madness, a government-controlled economy, Ukraine, socialized medicine, unlimited abortion, and “Free Palestine.” And the women are crazy. Yes, maybe that last sounds like a stretch, but we’ve seen what leftism does to women, and it’s not pretty.

    These people are the ones putting words in Biden’s mouth. They are both foot soldiers and, at a guess, policymakers. I say the last because they are the living embodiment of the modern Democrat party: shiny pretty Marxists who are mostly cat ladies.

    15 people in the selfie, 2 guys at the back actually working intently – at least that’s what it looks like they’re doing.

    As many on X remarked – “Explains a lot”.

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      Steve of Cornubia

      I wonder how long it took that team to come up with the rather brilliant strategy, “We’ll say he had a cold.”?

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        Richard C in NZ

        Back when Biden was preparing to take power the saying going around, that I can only attribute to CNN, was “The adults are back in charge”.

        A variation used by Biden supporters was ‘Adults in the room’. Check out this from Robert Reich:

        Thank God for Joe Biden—the Adult in the Room
        – Robert Reich

        https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/thank-god-for-joe-biden-the-adult-in-the-room-opinion/ar-AA1iHHWQ

        Turns out to be a Kiddies Section just along from the Geriatric Section of the White House.

        We can jest but as Andrea Widburg says:

        As you can see, the image is dated March 7. As it happened, March 7 was Joe Biden’s State of the Union address, something that a speechwriting team would celebrate.

        Transcript next.

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          Richard C in NZ

          Here’s the transcript:

          Full Transcript of Bidenʼs State of the Union
          Speech

          Not since President Lincoln and the Civil War have freedom and democracy been under assault at home as they are today. What makes our moment rare is that freedom and democracy are under attack both at home and overseas at the very same time. Overseas, Putin of Russia is on the march, invading Ukraine and sowing chaos throughout Europe and beyond. If anybody in this room thinks Putin will stop at Ukraine, I assure you, he will not.

          And,

          Many of you were here on that darkest of days. We all saw with our own eyes. The insurrectionists were not patriots. They had come to stop the peaceful transfer of power, to overturn the will of the people.

          Jan. 6 lies about the 2020 election, and the plots to steal the election, posed a great, gravest threat to U.S. democracy since the Civil War.

          But they failed. America stood. America stood strong and democracy prevailed.

          We must be honest. The threat to democracy must be defended. My predecessor and some of you here seek to bury the truth about Jan. 6.

          I will not do that.

          https://www.congress.gov/118/meeting/house/116942/documents/HHRG-118-JU00-20240312-SD001.pdf

          A whole screed of BS follows but that’s enough.

          Apparently the hopelessly corrupt State of Ukraine – that bans opposition, media, religion, etc – is the prime example of “freedom and democracy … under attack … overseas”. I don’t think so.

          And mild misdemeanors that on any other day are just tourist excursions deserve imprisonment without trial for periods contrary to the Constitution’s Sixth Amendment that “guarantees criminal defendants nine different rights, including the right to a speedy and public trial by an impartial jury” (Wiki).

          Not to mention the torture of same and subsequent harsh sentences, and Democrat “Lawfare”.

          This is what the “shiny pretty Marxists” subscribe to.

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            Richard C in NZ

            Biden’s “State of the Union” address invokes Ukraine.

            Does the USA “Union” now include Ukraine?

            Or just the Biden Clan Union?

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            Leo G

            ”The threat to democracy must be defended” – Joe Biden

            The time has come for all Biden partisans to fight in defense of the threat to democracy.
            The Big Cheat must be protected.
            Carthage Constitutional Government must be destroyed!

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      Gary S

      I don’t know about speechwriters, but he certainly would benefit from a speech therapist.

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        TdeF

        No matter how great the disability, the press will never notice. He has spent 50% of his presidency at this beach house. It is never mentioned. But when Donald Trump played a game of golf, he was derelict in his duty.

        And listening to Biden murder the language, fake words, meaningless mumbles are interpreted as oratory. Imagine Biden delivering the Gettysburg address as unintelligible gibberish.

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    Neville

    We’ve been told that the global cost of toxic W & S would be 234 trillion $ and Australia about 2 + trillion $.
    So why would any sane country waste trillions of $ when toxic Wind is only generating or available for about 3.6 months of the year and toxic Solar is only generating or available for about 1.8 months?
    Anyone got any ideas or can they tell us where we’re wrong? Then tell us the cost of batteries for the rest of the year? And then tell us how the batteries will be charged?

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      Neville

      Perhaps I should’ve explained that I’m using Australia’s CFs of 30% for wind and 15% for solar in the above example.

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      Philip

      But that 2 trillion has to be done again every multiple years. It is a disposable energy system. Like replacing cutlery with plastic.

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        TdeF

        Endlessly renewables. Mathematically we will get to the point where the rate of decay will match the rate of installation and from that day onwards, wind and solar cannot be increased.

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      CO2 Lover

      The costs for batteries alone at A$750 kWh (estimate for Liddell BESS) installed to fully back-up current generation of wind and solar generation without any fossil fuel back up comes to around A$10 Trillion – that is before replacing remaining coal and natural gas and allowing for growth in electricity demand for EVs and Data Centres!

      When Eraring closes on 19 August 2027 expect the East Coast grid to go down.

      Origin has given notice it now expects to close Eraring on 19 August 2027

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      Graeme#4

      Most of that cost would be from storage batteries. And I don’t believe that they will ever be used in those numbers.
      The 82% renewables by 2030 figure means wind at $200bn, solar the same, transmission lines $137bn.

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        Graeme#4

        I meant to also add that if you read GenCost, which isn’t a big document, and didn’t have any technical knowledge or a good BS meter, you could be easily fooled that renewables are much cheaper.

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    CO2 Lover

    The Wall Street Journal just recently noted the phenomenon: “The owners of roughly a third of U.S. nuclear-power plants are in talks with tech companies to provide electricity to new data centers needed to meet the demands of an artificial-intelligence boom.”

    Here’s Amazon Web Services in action. AWS is building the Cumulus Data Assets center, a 1,200-acre campus co-located with the 2.5 GW Susquehanna nuclear plant in Pennsylvania. The data center is expected to consume 960 MW, or about 40 percent of the nuclear plant’s output, reliable, baseload, clean power that will become unavailable to the grid.

    What makes this new AI demand so concerning from a grid perspective is that demand can co-locate with power facilities, and potentially bypass the entire transmission/delivery system (if regulations allow), meaning that critical power supplies might not ever even make it to the grid. Users and generators generally prefer that scenario since it cuts out a middle participant, and the pie gets shared only two ways instead of three.

    A lack of faith in “renewables”!

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/07/07/energy-notes-from-the-edge-ai-latest-the-energy-beast-is-fully-unleashed-and-when-a-bee-gets-an-a-an-insect-skill-set-could-benefit-humans-in-an-incredible-way/

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    OldOzzie

    Building The Case For Rate Cuts

    BY TYLER DURDEN

    By Peter Tchir of Academy Securities

    A month ago we published our Updated Rate Outlook. As we start turning our attention to the Fed announcement on July 31st, we wanted to reiterate our view (I still think that there will be 2 to 3 cuts this year, for a total of 75 bps), and update some other thoughts given recent events. 2s and 10s are more in our year-end range than our end of summer range, and other yields are a touch lower than expected (but given recent volatility, that could change in a day).

    Basically, 75 bps by the end of January 2025, which I expect to be pulled forward.

    No Cut in July?

    We have argued, quite aggressively, that the Fed should make their first cut in July. Partly, because the economic data supports it (more on that in a minute), but it also takes the spotlight off of the Fed in the heat of the election.

    Using the Bloomberg WIRP (World Interest Rate Probability) function, we see the market has moved a touch in our direction on Fed probabilities.

    Speaking of Rules…

    Ok, I’ve already admitted that I don’t like the term “rules” as they are applied in economics, but the devil can quote scripture for his own purpose, so let’s look at the Taylor Rule.

    The Atlanta Fed Taylor Rule Calculator lets you estimate the Taylor “Rule” rate. Using three pre-filled scenarios, the calculation came up with estimates of 4.61%, 3.91%, and 3.79%. All of which are below today’s rate of 5.375%.

    Again, definitely not a “rule” (and looking at some historic charts, I’m not sure why it maintains that label as the deviations between the so-called “rule” and actual policy are often quite large), but it likely comes up in the conversation about appropriate monetary policy.

    Using ChatGPT I got the answer to the question of “using only the Taylor Rule, what should the fed funds rate be?”

    “According to the Taylor Rule, the federal funds rate should be approximately -1.165%. This negative rate indicates that the current economic conditions might call for an expansionary monetary policy, but in practice, rates are usually adjusted to be positive.”

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    Steve of Cornubia

    I see that the Democrats and their media mates are deviously re-framing the whole Biden problem, so as to avoid accusations that American voters have been hoodwinked and lied to. He is more and more being described as “unwell” and having a problem with his “health”. See what they’re doing? The guy was suffering severe, obvious age-related cognitive decline even before he was elected, which typically accelerates as the person gets older.

    By calling it a “health problem” rather than continuing, age-related cognitive decline they can justify choosing him as their candidate – twice – because, “Who knew?”

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      Honk R Smith

      It is a strange situation.
      A great many of the hoodwinked are willing participants in the hoodwinking.
      It is a weird aspect of TDS.
      Most of the media establishment is willing to blatantly lie to the point of embarrassment.
      Bizarre alternate realities are being crafted with sophisticated psychological warfare.
      How do we counter a vastly rich wealthy elite that is willing to go the the ends that they have already demonstrated with climate, epidemic, and racial divisive, factional scaremongering?
      I see no indications of limits.
      Only diminishing rationality.

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      Philip

      I think he might ride it out though. Yesterday I was accepting he was being replaced. But now I am not so sure, he seems very stubborn and perhaps has more power than I give him credit for.

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        Steve of Cornubia

        Stubborn, yes. Powerful, not really. That’s not to say that the ‘Biden Team’ isn’t powerful however, which amounts to the same thing it seems.

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      yarpos

      Not all old people get dementia. Biden obviously has health issues which have been hidden. I notice his Dr has been summoned for a please explain sessions. The issue isnt really word gaming age vs illness , its the fact that his disability has been hidden and the US population of MSM consumers gaslit bigtime.

      50

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        Earl

        Not to mention the 4 shots (in his arm not his glass) that acted as a possible accelerant but we don’t talk about that so has to be normal aging or bad day.

        30

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        Steve of Cornubia

        Some medical ‘expert’ suggested weeks ago that Biden has age-related cognitive decline, plus a form of Parkinson’s.

        But whatever it is, it most assuredly ISN’T a new “health issue”.

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      Dave in the States

      I heard a (conservative) radio host talking about Biden’s incompetency today. He was saying how its very scary, he being the man with the launch codes, and he should for the good of the country give way to Kamala.

      He doesn’t get it. Biden isn’t a decision maker or a policy maker. Neither would be Kamala. The real movers and shakers in a Democrat controlled, and often in a Republican controlled, administration are behind the scenes. They are not elected and continue on with a change of name of the place holder.

      The agenda rolls on. If a chief executive deviates from that, then it’s a battle brewing (TDS) or they are gone within weeks (T May).

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      RickWill

      It is a case of the emperor has no mind. So his disciples have to create this image of actually being able to think when he has no ability to do that.

      Biden is a farce that has gone too far. He is a legend in what remains of his mind and believes he is the global ruler. It is now bordering on a dangerous farce with people around him needing their job and not willing to put their job on the line to tell the truth.

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    YYY Guy

    Ah, NAIDOC week. As off duty police are attacked and hospitalised in Alice, as yoof crime hits the regions, I listened to a tortured interview on the wireless this am as a proud woman said they mustn’t be held responsible for the crimes because communities and elders have the answer, all they need is a lot more $$$ over a long period. Try as I may I can’t find her salary for this gig
    She is, of course, Stolen Generation, which explains her inability to succeed

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    YYY Guy

    ASIO knows who Dan Andrews called after the accident.

    100

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      David Maddison

      It is beyond belief that Andrews received Australia’s highest civilian honour, his only “achievements” being bankrupting the state plus turning it into a dystopian police state during massive covid mismanagement, making it a laughing (and crying) stock of the entire world.

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    David Brown

    A new crop of EV’s from China, the BYD or burn your driveway.

    60

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    John Connor II

    Monday wisdom

    Growing up is realising how many things don’t deserve your time or energy.

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    David Maddison

    I just heard some Leftist Elite on Their ABC (Australia) complaining about “populist” movements like Trump’s or Le Pen, the implication being those ignorant masses are too stupid to know what’s good for them, which would be Leftism of course.

    60

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    Neville

    BTW the Wiki Wind capacity factor for Australia has now increased by 4% to 34%. And dated May 2024. And world wind CF is 27% at Wiki.
    I’ll have to check with other sources.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_by_country

    40

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      Kalm Keith

      🙂 that makes three fifths of five eighths of FA difference.

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      Graeme#4

      That’s the Wikipedia number. I believe that Anton’s records, collected over more than six years, show 30%. Somehow I believe Anton’s number than the Wikipedia figure.
      Most likely the Wikipedia figure was used by govt organisations such as CSIRO.

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    Vladimir

    About unmanned submarines: two very different but excellent movies – ten year old Ex Machina and recent The Artifice Girl have all the answers.

    10

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      Vladimir

      One unbeatable argument for u/w drones – they can be of nearly solid-state construction, ie operating at a kilometre or two depth.

      Ordinary in the West, the approval of new technology takes years, often it requires the change of government.
      Except for a noble goal of Defending The Country it might shrink to nothing and a couple of mid-rank officers to convince their admiral.

      So we might see AUKUS drones much sooner then 2030.

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    another ian

    FWIW

    “HUGE: New right-wing alliance Patriots For Europe growing massively”

    https://petersweden.substack.com/p/huge-new-right-wing-alliance-patriots

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      Kalm Keith

      Sounds interesting.

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      TdeF

      It is fascinating to think of the communists who now control nuclear capable France in total conflict with the EU. The EU is just the recreation of the Napoleon/Hitler empire or (French/German). And the enemy is always Russia and the UK/America. The old empires of Spain/Italy are gone now.

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    KP

    Comment on Moon of Alabama, worth a read-

    “”There was a time, in some cultures where “warrior” was tightly bound with “ego”, and men would commit suicide or choose death over shame of capture, but those times are long gone, as for most men in war, it is a period of time they wish to survive, not a way of life.

    What you are referring to is called honor culture, and indeed it is quite alien to many in the West now. Many in western societies have “transitioned” to something called victim culture. To people who have embraced victim culture, the abstract notions that motivate people living by the principles of honor culture make no sense, and vice versa.
    Whats the difference? It is about what earns one status in a society other than the typical material accoutrements. In honor culture, one’s honor is an intangible characteristic that must be nurtured and defended at all costs, even one’s life. In contrast, in victim culture, that intangible social status is apportioned according to one’s apparent victimization. The more victimization one can claim, the greater the intangible social status. The current biggies here are racism, sexism, and sexuality discrimination, but one can also earn victim points by being the adult child of an alcoholic, being obese victimized by a large discrepancy between calories consumed and burned, and things like that. This need for victimhood points to attain status in societies in which victim culture predominates is why you sometimes see straight, white men claiming “reverse discrimination”, and likewise why such claims are resoundingly rejected by other victim types. After all, if everyone is a victim in a society where status is allotted by victimhood, then what values has that status?
    While many in the West have “transitioned”, don’t assume everyone has, or even wants to. When whole societies come to be dominated by victim culture, they become something quite ugly and lose their appeal to many looking in from the outside. Societies where honor is lacking or discouraged have big problems. China, for example, never embraced victim culture, and Russia rejected it after briefly experimenting with it. Western Ukraine “transitioned” hard, and fixates on their victimhood, even if it is just imaginary.
    By the way, victim culture plays a big part in recruiting participants in color revolutions. For individuals who have squandered their honor, a society where they can achieve social status on the “merits” of their butthurt alone holds great attraction. Furthermore, it is easy artificially amplify butthurt in individuals who have no honor, thus building armies of committed “victims” for your color revolution. Most well-funded NGOs are nothing more than butthurt amplifiers and organizers: getting people to fixate on their butthurt and make it the principal characteristic of their being, and then telling them their butthurt is the evil government’s fault. Basically, it is a mistake to assume honor culture is a bad thing.”

    The current situation neatly explained I thought.

    [Some obese people are victims of a SickCare system. They did everything their doctor told them. Took all the antibiotics, ate the margarine and the wholegrains… – Jo]

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      “Western Ukraine “transitioned” hard, and fixates on their victimhood, even if it is just imaginary.”
      OK! Seems like Ukraine might be giving victims a good name! How much alcohol does it take to find your honour?

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    Richard C in NZ

    June sizzled to a 13th straight monthly heat record, but July might break string

    https://www.npr.org/2024/07/08/nx-s1-5032616/june-13th-straight-monthly-heat-record-climate-warming

    Earth’s more than year-long streak of record-shattering hot months kept on simmering through June, according to the European climate service Copernicus.

    Lots of hand wringing and pearl clutching (“climate chaos”) but 4th 5th and 6th paragraphs from bottom:

    Copernicus hasn’t computed the odds of that yet, [Copernicus senior climate scientist Nicolas] Julien said. The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration last month gave it a 50% chance.

    Global daily average temperatures in late June and early July, while still hot, were not as warm as last year, Julien said.

    “It is likely, I would say, that July 2024 will be colder than July 2023 and this streak will end,” Julien said. “It’s still not certain. Things can change.”

    2023 July 6th was “hottest day” at 17.08. 2024 July 6th ERA5 data (Copernicus) is out tomorrow. Given July 5th was 16.19 vs 17.06 there’s no chance the 2023 record will be broken.

    Even 2nd place for July 2024 isn’t guaranteed. July 10th 2019 was 16.76.

    No Antarctic boost this year. No El Nino. Tropics cooling. Dwindling Hunga Tonga effect at surface.

    Maybe the climatistas will be able to relax, take a break, breathe, abstain from hyperventilating for a while.

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      Richard C in NZ

      NPR article previous:

      Most of this heat is from long-term warming from greenhouse gases emitted by the burning of coal, oil and natural gas, Julien and other meteorologists said. An overwhelming amount of the heat energy trapped by human-caused climate change goes directly into the ocean and those oceans take longer to warm and cool.

      They claim the oceanic heat sink even though the IPCC discarded the concept of ‘surface forcing’ in AR4.

      The ocean attribution is NOT fact, merely speculation. The IPCC has no physical proof of this whatsoever.

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        TdeF

        Its a characteristic of so many organizations and writers. They makes statements as factual, when they are not. At best wild speculation. But the writing tone is that mankind has long known that tennis balls evolved from billiard balls due to natural selection. And when I write on Quora, people start with what you do not understand or fail to realise or are fixated upon. And then pronounce on their profound truth which is arrant rubbish.

        A man I met in the street claimed to be a Climate Scientist as in passing we discussed the weather. It seems anyone feels free to call themselves a Climate Scientist. Or quote Laws of the Universe like Conservation of Energy when they have absolutely no knowledge of these things. I would like Science to be a popular subject, but not like this. This is Peppa Pig teaches string theory.

        The funniest are the Computer Scientists who take the title seriously. You do not need any science to be a Computer Scientist.

        And the IPCC is a political organization, not a scientific one. It’s an intergovernmental panel.

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      Philip

      Problem with Piers is he clearly has mental health issues. Doesn’t mean his science is poor, I wouldn’t know. But he is a nutter. Look at his site and you see his mind, messy.

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    KP

    ..and Pravda says NZ is training Georgian mercenaries to fight in Ukraine. Looks like everyone has their orders from the Pentagon.

    https://pravda-en.com/world/2024/06/15/577003.html

    “The Georgian Legion mercenaries were trained by instructors from NATO countries and New Zealand in Ukraine, said a legion soldier who was captured.”

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    John Connor II

    Australia’s judicial integrity under fire after judge in COVID vaccine case is accused of failing to disclose links to Pfizer

    As recounted in a detailed article by eminent law Professors Augusto Zimmermann and Gabriël Moens, in ‘Re Dr Julian Fidge v Pfizer Australia Pty Ltd & Anor’, injunctions were sought in the Federal Court against Pfizer and Moderna on the basis that they failed to apply for necessary licences to deal with Genetically Modified Organisms (GMOs) in Australia under the Commonwealth Gene Technology Act 2000 (GT Act).

    Dr Fidge sought to present evidence showing the mRNA vaccines produced by Pfizer and Moderna objectively satisfy the legal definitions of GMOs, pursuant to section 10 of the Act.

    If this were the case, the court then had to consider the question whether Pfizer and Moderna had knowingly breached the GT Act.

    If the court so found, then Pfizer and Moderna would be prevented from further using their mRNA COVID vaccines in Australia.

    The judge hearing the matter, Helen Rofe, found in favour of Pfizer and Moderna, dismissing Dr Fidge’s case on the grounds that it had no prospects of success since he is not an “aggrieved person” for the purposes of section 147 of the GT Act.

    However, the law firm representing Dr Fidge alleges that at no stage either prior to or during the hearing of the case, did Justice Rofe disclose that, while practising as a barrister, she seemingly both directly and indirectly represented Pfizer in at least five separate and long-running matters.

    https://www.skynews.com.au/insights-and-analysis/australias-judicial-integrity-under-fire-after-judge-in-covid-vaccine-case-is-accused-of-failing-to-disclose-links-to-pfizer/news-story/351ec5bbb7879797a7f30f47980383a8

    I’m shocked, shocked I say!
    /not

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      TdeF

      This man has the strangest and most annoying hi pitched voice. Otherwise a good video. Silly machine. Not a truck at all. No ground clearance. And the huge critical battery is of course on the very bottom to teach the rocks a lesson. The load area is smaller than any ute. And little electric motors for everything. How long will they last?

      What sort of ‘truck’ is it? It seems completely useless for any real building or farming task a truck would have. I would love to know the planned area of application of this huge specialized vehicle. The only sheep you could fit in this are in the front seats. It doesn’t fit any truck market segment I know.

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    Bodge it an Scarpa

    I Read a few years ago about a British Political jounalist came to Australia on a study tour, observing how politics and the Judiciary operate. He wrote an article upon his return to the UK stating that “ From the outside looking in Australian Politics and the Judiciary would be the most corrupt in the Western world. That’s really saying something coming from a Brit.

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    Dave in the States

    It’s morning in America now and the narrative about biden has changed a bit over night with increasing calls for biden to step aside, from both political sides, and from both the Marxist and supposedly conservative media. He has sent a letter to Democrat law makers that reads he will not step aside. But the calls are getting louder.

    The real reason apparent is not because biden is incompetent but because he can’t beat Trump. It’s about Trump returning not about biden’s competency. It’s the Never Trumpers who are getting desperate.

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