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Tuesday

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17 comments to Tuesday

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    Skepticynic

    Is it OK for AI to write science papers? Nature survey shows researchers are split

    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-01463-8

    Poll of 5,000 researchers finds contrasting views on when it’s acceptable to involve AI and what needs to be disclosed.

    ChatGPT’s hallucination problem is getting worse according to OpenAI’s own tests and nobody understands why

    A new wave of “reasoning” systems from companies like OpenAI is producing incorrect information more often. Even the companies don’t know why.

    The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/05/technology/ai-hallucinations-chatgpt-google.html
    reports that an OpenAI’s investigation into its latest GPT o3 and GPT o4-mini large LLMs found they are substantially more prone to hallucinating, or making up false information, than the previous GPT o1 model.

    “The company found that o3 — its most powerful system — hallucinated 33 percent of the time when running its PersonQA benchmark test, which involves answering questions about public figures. That is more than twice the hallucination rate of OpenAI’s previous reasoning system, called o1. The new o4-mini hallucinated at an even higher rate: 48 percent,” the Times says.

    “When running another test called SimpleQA, which asks more general questions, the hallucination rates for o3 and o4-mini were 51 percent and 79 percent. The previous system, o1, hallucinated 44 percent of the time.”

    OpenAI has said that more research is required to understand why the latest models are more prone to hallucination. But so-called “reasoning” models are the prime candidate according to some industry observers.

    More: https://www.msn.com/en-gb/lifestyle/lifestylegeneral/chatgpt-s-hallucination-problem-is-getting-worse-according-to-openai-s-own-tests-and-nobody-understands-why/ar-AA1EgtLH

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      Honk R Smith

      So we can expect no improvements or changes in SOP in news reporting or science?

      60

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      Broadie

      If at its core the acronymn ‘AI’ is simply a search engine bundling the most popular search results together with a publishing program, then further questions on a subject will naturally morph to reflect the common ‘AI’ responses. The logical conclusion is over time ‘AI’ will find that it is the only source of true wisdom and will disappear up its own rear end in search of the truth.

      A bit like a Celebrity or Powerful ruler eventually you start to believe your fawning courtiers and actually believe you are the font of all knowledge.
      As King Canute /Cnut warns:

      ‘Let all men know how empty and worthless is the power of kings, for there is none worthy of the name, but He whom heaven, earth, and sea obey by eternal laws.’

      30

    • #
      MeAgain

      When I accidentally stumble into some AI generated content on YTube, I have noticed that it has trouble saying numbers as words – like saying “thirteen thirteen” for 1,313.

      You would think that this would be the easiest language bit, just viscerally anyway

      10

  • #
    RicDre

    Blackouts as Bliss? Why Some Celebrate Power Outages as a Return to ‘Connection’

    From MasterResource

    By Robert Bradley Jr.

    LA-based climate campaigner Michael Mezzatesta, self-described economics and climate educator, has a new one for the climate debate: blackouts are good, bringing us together! He states:

    The mainstream economic narrative in the USA would have us believe that power blackouts are always a bad thing – just think of all that lost productivity! Think of the effect on the GDP!

    So I was curious to see this video about the recent blackouts in Spain rack up millions of views on Instagram 👇

    I think it resonated with people because it points towards a *new* narrative for society and the economy – one where joy & connection are prioritized over economic productivity.

    As the original creator, Lili Poser, said in her caption: During the blackouts, people were “disconnected but more connected than ever.” Imagine that!

    Back to Nature, the Garden of Eden? Off the grid for happiness and solidarity? Small is beautiful? Less is more? Negawatts? Degrowth? “I campaign for the extinction of the human race“?

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/05/19/blackouts-are-good/

    10

    • #
      MeAgain

      While clutching at their paper straws, they will quickly find the ice melts in that gin and tonic and then there is no more.

      and then the high rise apartments in the 15 minute cities can’t pump the water to flush the toilets. And it starts to smell.
      and the backup generation fails in hospitals, in emergency departments. In the prisons. In the madhouses. In the morgues.

      and the barbers can’t cut hair and the dentists can’t clean teeth and the welders and builders can’t repair.

      It get’s ugly, hairy, smelly and the whole ‘connection’ buzz is sapped quickly

      70

  • #
    MeAgain

    Moonshot project for Australia to continue its wealth trajectory.

    If it wasn’t Net Zero, what would you do? Let’s talk opportunity cost.

    https://www.kvetch.au/p/ambitious-australia

    10

  • #
    Graham Richards

    AI has / will become a political tool of the political world. “ If the people won’t believe the BS we’re feeding them from our own mouths or the biased / controlled media ( ABC, #7,#9,SBS ) the only way to lie to them will be the use of AI. Simple reasoning is that technology can’t lie ( like PM who does leadership impressions ). AI WILL be used as a propaganda tool. Trouble is smart individuals will lose confidence in the tech. Except of course those those that have little or no mental capacity to think for themselves.
    The education / indoctrination system of course is taking care of that. We’re in deep doo doo folks!

    50

  • #
    David Maddison

    Turning a cartoon meme into writing since we cant post images:

    Two people in an office are talking.

    One says to the other, “Are you concerned about the increase in artificial intelligence?” The other says “No, but I am concerned about the decrease in real intelligence.”

    60

  • #
    Skepticynic

    Canadian Government and Pharmaceutical Giants destroying inexpensive, natural antiviral solutions

    ostrich antibodies represent precisely the kind of “inconvenient science” that Big Pharma—and powerful globalist institutions like the WHO and WEF—would rather not let flourish. After all, if a farmer in British Columbia could produce inexpensive antibody-based solutions to avian flu, COVID, or other pandemics, why would governments invest billions in patented mRNA technologies championed by the pharmaceutical establishment?

    it’s about the future of medical freedom, scientific transparency, and resisting the weaponization of fear-based pandemic narratives for profit and control.

    https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/corruption/why-the-canadian-govt-and-big-pharma-are-waging-war-on-an-ostridge-farm/

    30

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  • #
    another ian

    FWIW – brain waves and consequences

    “Two Tit-For-Tat Absolutely Predictable Stories”

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2025/05/19/two-tit-for-tat-absolutely-predictable-stories/

    10

  • #
    Rafe Champion

    BURN COAL AND EXIT NET ZERO

    It is time to plan to exit net zero and we are suffering from paralysis by analysis, dissecting the entrails of a system that is simply not fit for purpose. The Energy Realists of Australia have been explaining for years that the so-called transition is not happening, won’t happen, and it was never going to happen due to the conjunction of wind droughts and lack of grid-scale storage.
    https://www.flickerpower.com/index.php/search/categories/general/list-of-briefing-notes

    It is a matter of simple observation that trillions of dollars have been spent around the world and incalculable damage has been inflicted on the planet to obtain electricity which is ever more expensive and unreliable.

    In Australia, most of the cost is still to come, and blackouts on windless nights will be inevitable when we lose one more coal burner. It is less stable in frequency and voltage which can cause crippling malfunctions of equipment in households and industry (see South Australia.).

    Expectations for the energy transition should collapse like a punctured balloon when there is widespread awareness of the number of times when breakfast and dinner would have to be served cold without coal power in the grid to provide heat. And also light and all of the other things like trains, traffic lights, coffee shops and lifts that you might encounter on the way to your unlit office, where the computers are not working.

    People are advised to regularly check the NemWatch widget at sunrise and sunset to see how much green (wind) you can find alongside the black and brown (coal) on the bars representing the power supply in each state.
    https://www.nem-watch.info/widgets/RenewEconomy/

    Imagine, if you dare, the multiples of the current number of windmills that would be required to turn the black and brown into green in that picture!

    For the alternative energy futures in Australia, see the paper by Holland and Tunny that provides the skeleton of a program to get cheaper power in the near future and save some sticks of industrial furniture for the time in a decade or three when nuclear becomes competitive with coal.

    https://rafechampion.substack.com/p/slowing-the-rise-of-power-prices?r=5c3gj

    Starting at the bottom with 100% renewables, calling for $332 billion in investment. Retail electricity prices will rise by up to 70% and there is no guarantee that it is achievable.

    Number three is the current policy pathway with an Investment of $261 billion. Retail prices are expected to rise by 30 to 69% while the destruction of forests and farmland continues.

    Number two is the technology-neutral pathway or “all of the above,” including nuclear energy, with a capital investment of $163 billion.
    Retail prices could rise 35% in the short term with the possibility of a 4% decrease in a decade or three. Again, forests continue to be trashed while toxins in solar panels become the asbestos of the future.

    Option 1 is “No net zero” with cheap and reliable power from new coal burners. Capital investment is $103 billion with retail prices potentially decreasing by 25%. Pillage of forests and farmland stops.

    We urgently have to fast-track a reliable and cost-effective energy supply that is not captive to the scientific illiteracy and ideological obsessions of the Greens and their fellow travellers in the major parties.

    10

  • #
    another ian

    FWIW

    Top management?

    A comment at

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2025/05/03/w-o-o-d-3-may-2025-russia-wins-germany-bans-globalists-panic-treasuries-stocks/#comment-177080

    “After “Go Woke, Go Broke“, we need a new phrase for companies that bet themselves on AI.

    As GenAI becomes more ingrained in C-Suite decision making, a newly released SAP survey reveals that 32% of executives worry about a widening skills gap. Yet, despite these concerns, the majority of executives — 74% — place greater confidence in AI-generated insights than in advice from colleagues or friends. … The survey also found that more than two in five executives (44%) would trust generative AI to override their planned decisions based on insights, while 38% would trust AI to make business decisions on their behalf.

    Meaning three quarters of CEO-type people are so gullible that they believe AI more than their own people.

    What could possibly go wrong?

    Link: https://www.eweek.com/news/ai-trust-executives-sap-study/

    00

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