JoNova
A science presenter, writer, speaker & former TV host; author of The Skeptic's Handbook (over 200,000 copies distributed & available in 15 languages).
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Statistics
I know most of the contributors on this blog will already have read this 🙂 But I think it’s well worth reporting on …
“China set to introduce mandatory national standards on e-bike batteries.
According to statistics from the National Fire and Rescue Administration, there were 21,000 reported cases of electric vehicle fires nationwide in 2023, an increase of 17.4 percent from 2022. In 2022, there were 18,000 reported cases of electric vehicle fires nationwide, a significant increase of 23.4 percent from 2021.
On Friday, a fire broke out in a residential area in Nanjing, East China’s Jiangsu Province, resulting in 15 deaths. Preliminary analysis indicated that the fire started in the area where electric bicycles were parked on the ground floor of six buildings. On Sunday, separate electric vehicle fires occurred in Beijing and Shanghai. The frequent occurrence of e-bike-related fires after the Spring Festival has further raised the Chinese public’s concern about the safety standards for electric vehicle batteries.”
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202402/1307713.shtml
China again takes the lead, when will our governments provide regulation ?
90
Mmmm taking the lead after the horse has bolted and there are millions spread worldwide. More like trying to catch up and do damage control. In a society that isnt rife with fakery and workarounds this would be good nes, guess we will see what actually happens.
70
Took the liberty of transposing this posting by Tony from Oz from yesterday’s comments @jo Nova to today so no one misses it.
‘During this past week, I was asked a series of questions in a Comment at my weekly wind Capacity Factor (CF) Update Post about the data I ‘come up with’.
Once you see that list of questions, you’ll see that there was no easy (short) way I could respond in a comment in reply.
So, what I did was to make a Post about the whole process I use to come up with those ‘seemingly simple’ data points, the Weekly CF percentage, and the two long term CF percentages, both for the full (now) five and a half years and the most recent 12 Month yearly percentages.
By its very nature that is a long Post, just to address the questions asked.
However, what this new Post does is explain, not just to the person who made the comment, but to anyone who wants to see just how I do it.
It will always be there now at the top of my home site.
The link below is to that Post.
Wind Generation Capacity Factor Calculations Explained.’
90
Hey thanks Beth, and Ossqss as well.
It always sort of niggled at me that people might not understand how I came to that figure, and what was behind it all.
I mean, everywhere you look, it’s (that CF percentage) rarely even quoted at all, and if it is, they hide it by saying X number of homes etc, and no one knows how to work it out from that anyway, well, the general public anyway.
Then if it is even mentioned at all, it’s usually always inflated.
So, I’m the ‘outlier’ and because of that, wherever I do make a comment about, it’s either ‘anecdotal’ or something I’ve just made up.
So, I’m glad I actually did the exercise of writing it up.
Anyone can do it, just that ….. no one ever has actually done it, just believed the rhetoric.
I even saw an article that said that, hey, CF doesn’t really matter.
Huh, if you have a Nameplate of 11,409MW, and all it actually delivers is an average of 3420MW, that, umm, sort of DOES matter, actually.
Tony.
50
Thank you ever so much for this very valuable work that you do that so few bother with. It must be of use some day when somebody decides to research the scene. I worry that it could fade away with us.
There is a number of contributers on and about this blog who do such work. Is anything being done to preserve the records when the current custodians have moved on?
10
Here is the link that didn’t transfer in Beth’s repost.
https://papundits.wordpress.com/2024/02/26/wind-generation-capacity-factor-calculations-explained/
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Thx for sharing the link I couldn’t find clicking on the commentators name !
10
Thanks Ossqss.
I get by with a little help from my friends. 🙂
50
If you think the Liberal Party’s (fake conservative) Snowy Hydro II project is an A$12 billion+++ dollar engineering folly, here’s a strong competitor.
Its is a US$8 billion (A$12 billion) ship or “terayacht” shaped like a turtle that is 550m long and 610m wide and carries 60,000 guests.
It is to be built in Saudi Arabia, home of another bizarre engineering project, a 170km city building called “The Line” and costing US$500 billion. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Line%2C_Saudi_Arabia?wprov=sfla1
At least the terayacht is just wasting private, not taxpayer, money, like SH2 and at least it has some use if it’s ever finished, unlike SH2.
https://www.pangeosyacht.com/projects
51
‘at least it has some use if it’s ever finished, unlike SH2.”
Hey, don’t knock Australia’s up and coming ‘largest mushroom-growing tunnels’ project!
30
“The Biggest Scandal in the History of America”.
Why they are out to get Donald Trump.
Try to watch it before YouTube/Goolag censor it and download a copy if you can.
https://youtu.be/klSzIK4KJFs
61
So the raid on Mar-a-Lago was to get the binder which is Trump’s insurance policy. Thought so.
10
Just watched it; confirmed my (admittedly wanting to be confirmed) existing views. But how can “we” win? “They” have control of all the big levers, especially in the US, but here as well. Read The Australian – Paul Kelly, Greg Sheridan, the Editorials etc – there is never any “evidence” of what we just saw and know to be true. If what we believe to be true is true, then ipso facto, Trump cannot be allowed to win. “They” have far too much at stake and it is their narrative, their oligarchy. Even worse, the bureaucracy is full of sometimes well-meaning types who lean hard Left. At all levels they make the decisions that matter and at all levels, they will not subscribe to the narrative we just saw. This is the Swamp, the Deep State and it’s bloody powerful. Short of storming the Bastille, I cannot see any way out of this – well not any way that I want to see.
80
‘Storming the Bastille’ is just one of their angles in play to justify jailing the Donald.
30
And being re-used in Brazil against Bolsonaro.
10
The “big levers” involve Corporatist influence, in the US through the twenty-odd agencies of US Intelligence Community, the military, the corporate media, the civil service and both major political parties, but also in China where that corporatist enterprise plans to extend its power beyond the limits possible in the US.
The US-China connection has been seen in the Covid/Vaccine enterprise and in the cooperation of US agencies in facilitating the US Fentanyl “epidemic”.
I suspect that the campaign to destroy Trump indicates that the corporatists are still opposed by other groups within the IC who fear Trump will strengthen those groups.
30
Interesting, thankyou David.
40
Word of the Day spuddle.
-to work feebly and ineffectively, because your mind is elsewhere or you haven’t quite woken up yet.
Late 17th century, still in use in parts of the West Country.
60
” spuddle.”
Could we use this word to describe Dr. Twiggy Forrests claims at yesterdays press club that coal and gas fired power stations were unreliable and expensive ways of producing electricity?
How can we get the good (honorary) Dr. to simply look at the first 100 odd years of coal fired power stations running continuously for decades and, in Victoriastan at least, when controlled by one body, the State Electricity Commission, produced some of the cheapest electricity in the world.
WAKE UP TWIGGY, your having a bad dream.
150
Twiggy has mastered spuddling
https://www.lethalhumidity.org/
30
As far as I know Twiggy received his doctorates from Course work like normal. They received honary doctorates in 2014. However, he received a doctorate from his thesis. Palergic ecology and Solutions for a Troubled Ocean around 2019.
20
What do our bureaucrats use for the same thing?
20
Working From Home (WFH).
10
Used to this day in Devon as can be seen in this promotion for a holiday property where you are invited to ‘ spuddle in the rockpools’
https://www.sleeps12.com/content/barricane-beach-woolacombe-devon
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China’s demonstration HTR-PM enters commercial operation
The world’s first modular high temperature gas-cooled reactor nuclear power plant has entered commercial operation, China’s National Energy Administration has announced.
https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/Chinese-HTR-PM-Demo-begins-commercial-operation
20
Huh,
one of the contributors at my ‘home site’ (authors from other sites whose articles we are allowed to ‘cross post’) is Dr, Kelvin Kemm, a Nuclear Physicist. (he contributes article at the CFACT site, and our site has approval to copy these CFACT posts)
Two years ago, he wrote an article where he discusses and explains ‘Pebble Bed Reactors’.
These type of reactors cannot melt down, and are ‘walk away safe’, and that is explained at the article.
It would seem that type of reactor is what has been installed here in China.
Small Modular Reactors Advance In The Nuclear World
It’s good reading actually.
Tony.
50
The Fukushima incident was not a failure of nuclear engineering but rather a failure of civil engineering.
https://carnegieendowment.org/2012/03/06/why-fukushima-was-preventable-pub-47361
30
So there IS a commercial SMR operating? Then why do other press articles say that China only recently dropped the core into its FIRST SMR?
10
This one was going through commissioning a year ago
https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/China-s-demonstration-HTR-PM-reaches-full-power
00
Yes, but it is never referred to in press releases as an SMR. I thought any reactor with an output<1GW could be termed an SMR.
00
You would have to ask them. I notice often that things I read on independent sites like this one often take weeks or months to appear in the MSM as “breaking news” usually with some spin.
00
Example getting closer?
“The UK is much closer to blackouts than anyone dares to admit”
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/02/25/the-uk-is-much-closer-to-blackouts-than-anyone-dares-to-admit/
30
Could be the plot of the next James Bond movie and who could be have for the Villian?
30
I read this little gem from Bloomberg this morning.
“Australia faces unique challenges in electrifying its heavy-vehicle fleet because of its vast geography but a futuristic new technology may be a solution: roads that can wirelessly charge electric trucks as they drive. In an Australia-first trial, a research group from Melbourne’s Swinburne University will embed dynamic wireless charging technology into a 1.5-kilometer (0.93-mile) stretch of road as part of a broader bid to accelerate lagging EV uptake.”
Now i believe that it can take quite a long time to charge these batteries so this so called cable would theoretically have to run very long distances if truck travelling at 100 klms/hr.
My mind boggles.
70
I smell a taxpayer funded grant up for grabs
90
Enjoy Dave Jones (EEV Blog) take this scam to the cleaners:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sisD61ohzK0
10
Mmmm vast distances are a problem so a solution is to embed charging wires in the road. The combined forces of academia and Bowens intelligence should see this deployed on highways quite soon.
10
Mercedes-Benz Scraps Plans to Make Only Electric Vehicles Due to ‘Market Conditions’
30
Evidence of a Fire No Sales
The business model change comes after multiple highly-publicized instances of Mercedes-Benz electric vehicles catching on fire and causing massive damage.
An EQB model caught ablaze while being charged in a car showroom in Malaysia on New Year’s Eve 2023, with video footage showing the terrifying moment a portion of the building went up in flames.
The fire destroyed “about 90 percent of the car, five percent of the showroom building structure, and 20 percent of the electric vehicle charging bay” the local fire and rescue operation commander told the Star.
Earlier in the year, a new Mercedes-Benz EQE350+ electric vehicle spontaneously caught fire while parked in a Nocatee, Florida home garage, causing an estimated $1 million in damage to the house.
The car wasn’t even charging when it caught fire, Breitbart News reported.
40
They tried it. One unforeseen problem was that the tyre rubber made the road dirty.
40
And battery powered vehicles shed much more tyre rubber don’t they? Compounds the problem somewhat.
20
And they cannot carry an equivalent “payload” to the ICEV
10
Do they ?…… any valid references for that comment ?
( and if you think itis weight related, ..remember ALL trucks have a maximum axle load limit !)
00
Heavier, more torque, how could they not?
10
Trucks cannot be heavier..weight limits.
Torque has little to do with tyre wear ,..its mostly braking and cornering that wears tyres.
If truck tyres wear quickly, it is a major cost impact on operating costs.
00
Chad – you’re right.
But, where trucks are operating close to their maximum axle limits, the payload of an BEV truck will be less.
So needing more trucks for the same volume of goods.
Even if each truck – ICE or BEV – sheds the same amount of rubber – there need to be more BEV trucks.
So more rubber shed.
Unless
– every yard [metre if you prefer] of the road is ‘electro-fied’ so the truck doesn’t need a battery, but that’s like building a light railway to every address in Australia [or the UK, or wherever] … which will have extra costs, you will agree.
Auto
10
Yes i do agree..
..further , i seriously doubt that the technology to allow 100 kW + of “contactless inroad charging” is viable or ever likely to be..!
….a heavy haul truck would need upwards of 50-75 kW just to maintain speed on a flat road, ..so for useful charging a power charge of 50kW above that would be necessary …for hours of driving distance !
Just another grant harvesting scheme ?
00
The magnetic field must be intense… that will do a lot for the proteins in the driver’s body!
Maybe if they ran overhead wires like trolley buses it would work.
00
Investors skittish on REZ.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-27/illawarra-renewable-energy-zone-fails-to-attract-investment/103511724
10
West Antarctic ice sheet collapsed 8000 year ago and it wasn’t caused by CO2.
https://notrickszone.com/2024/02/26/the-elevation-of-the-early-holocenes-w-antarctic-ice-sheet-once-plunged-480-meters-in-200-years/
00
So China is the world’s main supplier of wind turbines and solar systems.
Look what I found accidentally, the future of electricity generation and China is working hard to become top supplier.
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/02/01/climate/nuclear-small-modular-reactors-us-russia-china-climate-solution-intl/index.html
10
Well, given the opportunity, why not sell wind and solar systems for whatever price the gullible are willing to pay and use the profits to develop SMR’s?
20
I’m not a China shill, in fact I think they are the pits, but if they can make a safe product cheaper, why not? Just be careful to use western command and control.
00
Nothing wrong with supplying these things so long as you don’t intend to use them extensively yourself.
It’s unlike us, supplying some of the coal and metal to get them back as panels and turbines to help destroy ourselves. China’s economy is said to be in the doldrums so Xi wants to maximise his sale of these things to help us along. He and Modi – and their ~3B people – are too smart to fall for the climate scam.
00
With due respect David but the Word for the Day is – U N L A W F U L
This word was used this morning by the judge when he delivered his verdict on the case between a group of brave Queensland Police Service personnel (who said no to a brand new untested and untried inoculation and were cast out from their jobs AND in some cases their friendship groups and even relative groups) and the head of the service who said you WILL accept this liquid into your body.
The court has suggested a meeting this Friday for discussion on costs in favor of the group etc.
The judgement was delivered at 9:17am this morning and I have traveled home by bus to purposely put some distance (thinking time) between it and writing this. A quick review of online news sites uncovers….. nothing in the nationals (DM, Newsdot, Guardian).
There is a headline on the Couriermail site but paywalled.
It is worth drawing a comparison with Margaret Thatcher’s Falklands War when back then in the age of satellite communication the first photos of the conflict made it back to Britain one day less than the time it took for the news of the Charge of the Light Brigade at Balaclava to reach Britain some 100 years earlier.
As it is said “The first casualty of war is truth”. Never forgive. Never forget.
70
Michael {Michelle) Obama tops Kamala Harris, Hillary Clinton and Gavin Newsom as a replacement for Joe Biden, 81, if he drops out: New poll reveals who Democrats would want on the ticket.
Barack Obama is already pulling Joe Bidden’s strings
11
Tucker Carlson: America Is Following in China’s Footsteps. Here’s How We Stop It.
20
A dictatorship can have a violent cultural revolution but not in a democracy, we enjoy our freedoms too much.
As China goes down the gurgler its only a matter of time before the tyrant is toppled.
20
FWIW
“Old covid mandate ruled unlawful”
Online Courier Mail headlind just now
20
I guess the bus back to the office that their reporter was on must have had more stops (my comment #15 above).
Oh and the Brisbane Times (have to sign up to read easily but paging up lets you read para by para) article states:
“Senior Judge Administrator Glenn Martin said the police and ambulance services were trying to prevent their employees from suffering infection, serious illness and life-changing health consequences.”
What about diabetes (sugar), aids/hiv, drugs etc? Certainly in the case of drugs a place I once worked at was very well aware of that problem as they provided secure cannisters to put your used needles in. Woke but not too woke… yet.
20
My typing and proof reading!
“Old” = “Qld”
00
Mandatory COVID vaccines for police and nurses unlawful, says Qld Supreme Court
Sky News Australia
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VIVFgiw2CmE
30
The Australian Government’s policy is that COVID-19 vaccinations are voluntary for most Australians, although its aim is to have as many people as possible choose to be vaccinated.
However, since vaccines became available, all states and territories have issued public health orders mandating vaccination for certain industries or workers, including residential aged care workers, health care workers, education and care providers and airport workers.
https://humanrights.gov.au/about/covid19-and-human-rights/covid-19-vaccinations-and-federal-discrimination-law
There are exemptions available for workers in particular industries who have a medical reason for not receiving the COVID-19 vaccine. Please refer to your relevant state or territory authorities for more information on where exemptions apply.
Yet government were exempted?
20
The ABC has produced this version:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-27/qld-vaccine-mandate-police-paramedics-frontline-workers/103515692
Cheers
Dave B
00
A different view on LNG –
“Qatar is unwavering in its view that the world isn’t investing enough in natural gas. And the tiny Middle Eastern nation is trying to fix that.
State-owned QatarEnergy said Sunday it will develop a 16 million-ton-a-year LNG export project by the end of the decade. That’s on top of its previously announced record-breaking expansion plans.
Altogether, the Gulf state will boost shipments of liquefied natural gas by more than 80% by 2030.”
https://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2024/02/26/there-is-no-strong-business-case-for-canadian-lng/
10
New hire identifies as a cat and Roscoe aint having it!
Breadstick Ricky & The Boss
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ic9bfODFeA4
A swear word or two.
10
FWIW
“First M1 Abrams Tank Destroyed In Ukraine Shortly After Appearance On Battlefield ”
https://www.zerohedge.com/military/first-m1-abrams-tank-destroyed-ukraine-shortly-after-appearance-battlefield
10
What’s that all about? Leopards and Abrams have been in theatre for many months. No one ever claimed they were invincible but they don’t blow their turrets into near earth orbit so it is more survivable for the crew. Those damaged can usually be repaired.
10
Seems Leopards and M1s have only been in service since “fall” so not as long as I thought. Time flies when you’re having a war.
10
Absolutely and completely expected, by all 3 sides I am sure. No tank is safe these days, loitering drones have seen to that. So that’s the German Leopards, the British Challengers (‘Never lost one of them..’) and now ‘the best tank in the world’, the Abrams, none of which made the slightest difference to the war, but have certainly embarrassed the Western companies trying to sell them.
It a good war for developing new technologies, just a shame that the people making money from it aren’t in the middle of it!
20
24Feb2024. First confirmed report of the M1 Abrams main battle tank in action in battle. One destroyed soon after that report.
31 have been received. They have been in Ukraine for several months.
What is the next ‘wunder-weapon’ that will save Ukraine?
They have tried a new C in C, and boys and oldsters on the front, and women conscripted to the front.
00
Adaptable I think –
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAtoVb_gySZY6TGrpoYjx62tvE0_8osQg6p6MBhxSce5J88CVdxX3CkPVCScd_8X3__1Qc1DK4TM_nMwx52XoVCv7o2XPFV-zW0NNvku6nM2guCqcNOazHtJqIPWDKSQmG-xc3pgtCRfPVo6i8VEQh2p7W9zHQvBO5BaT6YK2LeU07ZHmrW3UXgVOZP3s/w274-h400/Meme%20-%20Pissed%20off%20American%20citizen.png
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