JoNova
A science presenter, writer, speaker & former TV host; author of The Skeptic's Handbook (over 200,000 copies distributed & available in 15 languages).
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Statistics
The regulators don’t appear to understand – Risk = Likelihood of an event occurring + Impact should an event occur.
It looks to me that they are only assessing the likelihood in this ‘risk assessment’.
As there are 14 ‘official’ deaths already, the Impact is not ‘some discomfort’ which is the TGA’s definition of ‘Low Risk’.
https://news.rebekahbarnett.com.au/p/bombshell-australian-drug-regulator
50
Again – risk = likelihood + impact – https://declassifiedaus.org/2024/12/16/plans-to-protect-australians-in-nuclear-war-are-classified/ He rates the likelihood of a nuclear attack on Pine Gap or Darwin as low – China could strike using a cruise or hypersonic missile instead but in any case is likely to have higher priority targets, such as Okinawa or Guam, which both also host US military facilities.
However, were such an event to occur, “There is no possible effective defence of the civilian population principally because the thermal wave [of the blast] would so devastate the environment. It would be totally uncontrollable, with wide-band bushfires of great energy and many different fire sources”.
The only effective protection would be “total precautionary evacuation” before the strike. That’s obviously challenging for governments to think about but “if there’s no manageable civil defence response” then that’s an argument for not placing Australia “in a position to draw fire” in the first place,
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We aren’t going to have any natural protein left in Australians soon: https://lettersfromaustralia.substack.com/p/sydney-rna-factory-nearly-finished
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I disagree. There are plenty of kangaroos and rabbits in Australia.
20
Make you right there – more by both numbers and also protein mass in total than people
00
not much good them rabbits
00
Dunno bout that, saw them in a supermarket in Canberra at $31, theiught that maybe I need to go into the rabbit trapping business.
20
The Canberra mob will ban hunting them.
First they took the rifles, now they want to take our electricity so you won’t be able to cook them anyway.
10
Chuck ‘em in the ocean ‘n’ boil ‘em brother, they be done in half-hour at 100 degrees.
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It’s got salt in it, it’s going to be over the 100 mark.
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In response to my questions on the Wednesday thread RickWill provided an explanation of how he thought that the wind and solar scam is so embedded in Australia that electricity will remain expensive in this country for the rest of the century.
This is truly shocking and means that Australia will become a failed state as under TRUMP’s leadership, hopefully the rest of the world will return to sanity and cheaper electricity.
See comment at
https://joannenova.com.au/2024/12/wednesday-86/#comment-2819646
and preceding ones.
There seems to be no way to dismantle the scam.
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Don’t replace the wind towers and solar panels when they wear out.
Then, build more coal/gas fired power stations and nuclear as well.
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The current Dunkelflaute in Europe is causing some anxiety. Enormous jump in electricity prices, industries shutting down (possibly temporarily) and much annoyance with Germany.
The shortage of wind and solar have generated (pardon the pun) caused electricity prices to soar, from roughly $250 to $1500 per MWh although it ‘retreated’ from the high 3 day prices to just below $1200.
I remind you about inter connectors – higher prices at one end from short supply end causes energy flows there, followed by higher prices at the other end. Thus most of upper Europe is getting peak prices from the German Renewables failure. The gas plants in the UK are flat out feeding The Netherlands and Belgium as there electricity goes into Germany. The Norwegians & Swedes are furious as their hydro and nuclear is going (via Denmark) to Germany.
Curiously both Norway & Sweden have 2 separate grids (each) up north with low prices because they are not fully connected to Germany. This highlights the problem but also only that less of the population aren’t suffering (as only a few live northward) but Norway is facing an election next year and popular anger against Germany is rife. Sweden blames Germany for shutting down their own nuclear plants (Sweden is planning on building another 10 units).
And Germany? An election on February 23 with the electorate annoyed with enormous prices, loss of jobs etc. It is unlikely that The Greens will be a major party and certainly not many politicians will want to have them in a coalition. AfD would look far better.
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David Maddison,
I think you’re being a bit too credulous. When it comes to predicting 75 years into the future, I trust RickWill no more than I trust the weather models. Weather is impossibly complex; human actions more so.
75 years? The old expression is a week is a long time in politics. The stories from Argentina are probably a little on the rose-coloured glasses side at the moment, but all the same, Javier Milei’s policies seem to have done quite a lot for Argentina’s “basket case” economy in 52 weeks. Who predicted that? Maybe ask them about 75 years into Australia’s future.
20
This is a repost from yesterday as I posted it late.
I think the TRUMP Revolution and the casting away of Leftist insanity has even influenced the following story.
There is absolutely no way prior to now that the Lamestream Media would have admitted a child undergoing a gender “transition” with possible sterilisation and mutilation would have been a mistake, let alone admitting to someone seeking justice for the crimes done to them.
20
Oh look.
More scary stories.
Just in time for the new Melbourne mRNA “vaccine” factory so the Government can make the covid “vaccines” compulsory again.
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Safe and Effective? Not the ABC. They are toxic.
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JN1 has been around for at least a year in Australia. As a result, many in the community will have probably have immunity.
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Short comments on Phillips, JIS and Posidrive screws.
https://youtu.be/MXWSn8rMeEo
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Thanks – every day is a school day. And I will now know what the right tool for the job is. (while probably still persisting to use the wrong tool for the job being the one you find first, or the one that is closest to hand at the time)
30
Yes. Many people wonder why they butcher screws on Japanese machines not realising the screws are not Phillips but JIS. A JIS screwdriver will work with Phillips but vice versa, not so much. And Posidrive are common in Europe.
10
This World is really screwed up at the moment. Maybe Trump can unscrew it a bit.
40
A hammer would work better.
20
When your only tool is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
Apparently this is not a good policy in a watch repair business.
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When I was in Nepal recently I actually observed somebody hammer a screw into a piece of wood.
And in the regard to the standard of construction of everything I saw there, I didn’t see a single example of quality workmanship. Nowhere. No exaggeration.
00
Here is a paper discussing whether compulsory voting in Australia favours the Left or the Thinking Community.
Both Lib and Lab factions of the Uniparty are committed to it because they think it benefits them but this paper shows it favours the Left by a significant margin.
Frankly, I don’t see why someone who has no interest in voting or no understanding of the political system should be forced to vote.
Sadly, Australia is stuck with it.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1816649
Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 2013, 8:
SEE LINK FOR REST
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I hope that I will be remembered as the man who invented a weapon to defend the borders of his own country and not a weapon for terrorists. The weapon now has a life of its own independent of my will … of course when I see Bin Laden on television with his Kalashnikov, I’m disgusted, but what can I do about it? Terrorists aren’t stupid: they too choose the most reliable weapons! https://quadrant.org.au/magazine/film/ak-47-the-gun-that-changed-the-world/
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It’s a brilliant, low cost reliable design intended to be operated by primitive people although not up to the standards of quality and precision of Western engineering.
Nevertheless, it does exactly the job it was intended to do, very well – spread the evils of Communism, Leftism in general and terrorism and is also particularly favoured by the terrorist followers of a certain 7th century warlord.
I’m not sure if Mikhail Kalashnikov thought he was building a weapon to defend his homeland or to spread evil throughout the world or both.
20
That was a fascinating article in Quadrant. Lithgow Small Arms museum has an AK47 on display, along with the Israeli Uzi and an amazing collection of other historical weapons.
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It’s fascinating observing all those Leftists with TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome).
One day it will be studied by scholars and even incorporated into the DSM.
12
More good news. It wouldn’t leave happened were it not for the TRUMP Revolution.
11
Looks like this year’s Sydney to Hobart yacht race Tasman Low will form earlier than usual, though big southerly swells and a headwind will linger for the start on Boxing Day.
Odd how no climate justice worrier has written a thesis on the consistency, the regularity, the lack of ANY change, in the formation of the southern Tasman’s end-of-year blow… then again, apparently CCC/AGW doesn’t affect wealthy white men.
Gentlemen start your engines – or more appropriately, hoist your sails and head for the Heads!
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