JoNova
A science presenter, writer, speaker & former TV host; author of The Skeptic's Handbook (over 200,000 copies distributed & available in 15 languages).
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Statistics
It’s the second Tuesday in September so obviously anyone who is anyone has headed for Widecombe fair set in a tiny village on majestic Dartmoor, Devon. So that’s where my wife and I have been today, as we do every year.
https://www.widecombefair.com/
It’s a deeply traditional country fair. If you get the tv series “All Creatures Great and Small” in Oz, set in the 1930’s, that would feature a fair such as this. Maypole dancing. Morris dancers, sheep and cattle judging. Food and produce tent. Dog shows (wildly popular) Ax men chopping wood quickly, horse show. vintage tractors, steam engines, Classic cars, all sorts of stands selling all things of country things, town criers, all overlooked by the steep hills and with sheep and Dartmoor ponies-an endangered breed whose lineage can be traced back 4000 years . Plus of course Uncle Tom Cobley and his grey mare;
Tom Pearce, Tom Pearce, lend me your grey mare.
All along, down along, out along lea.
For I want for to go to Widecombe Fair,
With Bill Brewer, Jan Stewer, Peter Gurney,
Peter Davy, Dan’l Whiddon, Harry Hawke,
Old Uncle Tom Cobley and all,
Old Uncle Tom Cobley and all.
And when shall I see again my grey mare?
All along, down along, out along lea.
By Friday soon, or Saturday noon,
With Bill Brewer, Jan Stewer, Peter Gurney,
Peter Davy, Dan’l Whiddon, Harry Hawke,
Old Uncle Tom Cobley and all,
Old Uncle Tom Cobley and all.
plus numerous other verses shown in the link.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Widecombe_Fair_%28song%29
Everyone of our generation in Britain would have learnt this song at school and therefore the fame of Widecombe and its fair, far exceeds its actual size. It is the furthest village that coaches can get to on the moor before it becomes a mass of very narrow lanes. The Beatles got stuck in a coach in one of them in 1967 on their way to the fair when making “Magical Mystery Tour”. As a result, Widecombe is a popular place to show Dartmoor off to tourists. They get off their coach and start looking round for what they expect to be a large town full of shopping opportunities. They walk round shell shocked for a couple of hours perusing the three small gift shops, the pub, village green, a few charming houses, a tea shop and …..that is basically it. So they will clamber back on their coach clutching an Uncle Tom Cobley Tea towel-wandering where the rest of the town is hidden having experienced quite a culture shock .
The village does have one other claim to fame, its magnificent 14thC church, known as the Cathedral of the moors. Inside, the ceiling is decorated with a large number of decorative roof bosses, including the tinner’s emblem of a circle of three hares (known locally as the Tinners’ Rabbits). Tin was much sought after and it is said that it was one of the reasons the Romans invaded Britain 2000 years ago, so they could procure a supply.
The church is also famous for the huge thunderstorm in Oct 1638 which caused the first known instance of ball lighting that hit the steeple and passed through the church. The plaques commemorating this event-which was attributed to the devil-are in the church to this day
https://www.devonheritage.org/Places/Widecombe/Wideombe-TheGreatStormof1638.htm
So a delightful day out at any time of the year but if you are ever in the west country in early September, Widecombe fair is well worth a visit to evince the nostalgia of times past. See you there!
240
And Scarborough Fair –
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Jj4s9I-53g
30
And then there is this –
Barnet Fair – Hair
Ever wondered why hair is sometimes referred to as a barnet? Well, stop it.
Although it’s almost always shortened to barnet, this is one of the staples of cockney rhyming slang, and is one of the most widely used in modern slang.
20
>Widecombe fair
Australia’s wide comb shearing dispute became one of the most violent chapters in Australian rural history.
Three Steel Teeth: Wide Comb Shears and Woolshed Wars
30
It was bizarre and extremely destructive.
The shearers, by keeping productivity low by banning the use of a more efficient shearing comb for 50+ years, ultimately reduced productivity in the industry and thus the number of their own jobs.
This led to increased efforts to develop chemical or robotic methods of removing wool from sheep, although none have been particularly effective to date.
The sooner Australia has governments that are prepared to stand up to feral unions, the better everyone will be.
260
My mother recalled (in pre WW 2 times) watching one of her shearer brothers “pulling combs”.
That was bending the outer teeth to widen the cut
70
I haven’t read it yet, but as I remember it it was the graziers who demanded the narrow combs because that reduced the second cuts, which improved the processing yield of the wool.
Then it was the graziers who demanded the wide combs, because that increased the number of sheep shorn per hour.
Why the difference? The price of wool and the overall costs of shearing.
And the disputes? That was mostly done by people who like disputes.
00
i hadthe fortune once to travel in a noddy type bus around 2 fairs, many years ago,in the south of england, on our bus where, jugglers, stillt walkers, who played flutes, hammered dolcemer, a fire eater etc, me I was just good at tying knotts so nothing strapped to our bus dislodged, in another bus where some girls from oxford, accrobats calleed themselves cunning stunts!! your post has brought back memories, it was 1978, I was living in Italy, next trip over the chanal I went and road bicycles around Ireland. Thanks for bringing back the memories
50
Ball lightning. True or false? I’ve heard of it but not seen it.
Bernard O’Rielly wrote of it in his books Green Mountains and Cullenbenbong. Green Mountains is the title of his story of his rescue of two survivors of a plane crash in the rain forested mountains of the Lamington National Park in about 1933. The plane went missing in cloudy weather, people were searching other places, he had heard a plane. so packed his swag and set off alone into the mountains. From a high point he saw a dead tree, which signified to him a fire, and there he found that three people had survived the crash, one with a broken leg. One, a young Englishman set out for help but fell down a cliff and died. The other two survived.
An aunt, my father’s eldest sister, was supposed to have seen a fireball during a storm drift in one window of the house and out another without touching anything. She never completed school, leaving as the eldest child when their mother was diagnosed with cancer, but she would have been well read. Multiple teachers lamented her loss of opportunity, declaring that she was the most brilliant pupil they had ever had. But that would not I think guarantee that the memory didn’t come from a dream.
10
This writer is certainly very unhappy at what he saw going on in Australia during Covid
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/all-aboard-the-gravy-train-covid-criminals/
I must say I was shocked by some of the things coming out in OZ during that time, especially the police brutality.. Have lessons been learnt? I doubt it
180
Desperate Dan the so called Man Andrews got pushed down a flight of stairs. Some justice but not enough of course.
140
I have seen the ‘stairs’, but that’s unlikely. Officially the one wooden step on grass outside the rented house. More likely a baseball bat. Then driving into the cyclist. And the unexplained solo trip to Beijing. The cancelled Commonwealth Games. The cancelled Eastern Link tunnel. And resigning suddenly without notice or explanation. The full Daniel Andrews story will come out one day. And it will be shocking.
270
At 1.30 AM tomorrow one of our TV channels will be carrying the Trump/Harris debate
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/kamala-harris-secluded-hotel-trump-impersonator
I doubt I will stay up to watch but it will no doubt be carried on the BBC World service radio so I might listen in to that.
Harris is a lightweight and shallow, but a smile, being the right sex and ethnicity, not shouting and especially, not being Trump, is likely to get her a long way with the media and some of the audience.
I don’t think Trump will win too many new fans if he is too belligerent.
This election is Harris’s too lose, so it will be interesting to see how she does in this debate.
133
I don’t think so.
40% are die hard DemoRats. 40% are die hard Republicans. 20% are the floaters/undecided. Win most of them over and you win. I do believe that Trump can do it IMHO.
130
But big shifts in the Black and Latino communities. The police. And workers/unions who were Democrats. The mining communities. People who just cannot afford to live in Harris’ America let alone without cheap gas and affordable groceries. The government is printing trillions and inflation is killing everyone as is cheap illegal alien labour. As intended.
Harris’ enormous advantage is the big increase in the women’s vote, as with Hillary. Women really want a woman President. It is her Trump card. And DEI anti family Hollywood.
Some of the slander against Trump is absurd, but sticks. Which is amazing considering you have the previous President against the current Vice President. How can he be the enemy of democracy if it is still there?
And senile beach bum Biden is still at the beach without explanation so Harris/Obama are running the place as they have for 3.5 years.
Harris now claims to be the person behind the stampede in Afghanistan where everyone in the services ran away in less than 24 hours, abandoning their allies and all supporters and tens of billions of dollars of the latest weapons, leaving the Taliban as one of the world’s best equipped armies. No planning at all. No consideration for anyone. It was not a planned fighting withdrawal. Only the Commander in Chief can order such an uncaring disaster.
And Harris says she was ‘the last person in the room’ with the authority of the President. They had to send thousands of soldier back just to evacuate their own people and families. Thousands of Afghans died. There is no comparable military disaster in American history and it has remained unexplained.
The debacle of the 13 Gold star families is painful for all Americans. And they are very vocal. Harris openly does not care. That will cost her with patriotic Americans and all ex service people. Harris and Obama are with the Iran/China axis, setting out to drive the United States into history, enemies of the state. Why is the only question, but as both are first generation migrants there are lots of ideas.
270
Pondering?
The dems have all ready pulled the Pelosi “To find out what is in the legislation you’ll have to vote for the legislation”
So are they going with the Harris “To find out what is in my policies you’ll have to elect me”?
90
“And Harris says she was ‘the last person in the room’ with the authority of the President. They had to send thousands of soldier back just to evacuate their own people and families. Thousands of Afghans died. There is no comparable military disaster in American history and it has remained unexplained.
”
That should be one of the first questions asked of the Hyena, when are you going to explain this to the American people.
50
The moderators asked Donald Trump about one of his most controversial statements of the election campaign: his false claim in July that Kamala Harris only recently began to identify as a black woman.
Seems as if the moderators are aware of Trump’s claims of fraud in the 2020 election, claims that could never be substantiated in the more than 60 court cases
here by judges, including judges appointed by President Trump and other Republican presidents, looked at the evidence in these cases and said there is not widespread fraud.”
Trump claimed waves of illegal immigrants entering the country were pushing crime “through the roof”.
The moderator David Muir also called out Donald Trump’s claims of rising violent crime under the Biden administration, citing the FBI, which says it is falling nationwide.
Trump accused the FBI of lying. Yeah right!
214
To add to your comment, The US running away like that leaving behind a well equipped and well trained army of a medieval dictatorship and the abandonment of modern liberal democracy, has emboldened Dictators around the world and has directly led to the current alignment of Iran, China, North Korea and Russia. The invasion of Ukraine would likely never have happened if Russia had believed that there would be decisive NATO action if he invaded.
60
I will not be watching.
Partly because my opinion, along with the opinions of the public, don’t even come into play.
I will pay attention to how the media spins it, because they are the arbiters of socially (and in some cases legally) accepted reality.
Unless Harris massively falters, it will be spun as a failure for Trump.
Harris has not received a single primary vote.
That’s because the people in power consider ‘elections’ as mere theater.
However, making the peasants believe they are ‘voting’ is great for fundraising.
‘Issues’ and ‘policies’, are the overpriced junk food on sale during the show.
Fake impeachments, fake criminal prosecutions complete with crime scene photos faked by the FBI … probably a fake epidemic … a sniper.
I can’t see these people allowing a silly thing like an election stand in their way.
The real unseen battle is within the Intelligence State over how far they will go.
The outcome of this election will be the final realization of most Americans that their Republic is a facade.
260
Depends who you think “the media” really are. What were once considered the leading MSM brands get very low viewership compared to individuals in new media. CNN vs someone like Megan Kelly for example.
100
The move of Twitter to Elon Musk has really changed the media, not just in America. Brazil is trying to ban it.
And the open admiration of Trump as a ‘bad ass’ by Zuckerberg and his own amazement that he was lied by the 50 most senior members of the intelligence community about the Hunter Biden laptop is also significant. Polls show Biden would have lost without that blatantly treasonous Washington disinformation.
The legacy media are treating the next generation as fools and the millenials are getting a different message this time.
And underneath that is the idea that until the debate, Harris and Pelosi and Obama and Schumer claimed that Biden was ‘sharp as a tack’. The fact that he has very serious mental and physical deterioration has been hidden for years.
What we do not know is how accurate the polling is. It may be like ‘The Voice’.
170
I am staggered at the polling itself. If they get 1,000 answers they say the margin of error is 3.16%! This is just the square root of 1000, or a single standard deviation in an entirely random sample.
It does not tell you whether the people are voters, intend to vote or to which age, race, social, economic group they belong. It cannot be an entirely random sample. That is the big lie in polling. 1,000 people in 350,000,000 people cannot possibly have an error of 3%. Even in the state of California with 42,000,000 people. And each state is broken up into counties and cities, each with quite different voter profiles.
As for the media, a review of news items on ABC showed 100% of items were favorable to Harris and 93% were unfavorable to Trump. No bias there.
Expect some very big surprises on election night, either way.
200
There is even a huge bias in telephone polling between those who are anxious to push their opinions often activists in my opinion and those largely conservatives who are angry at the intrusion on their privacy. But you still get this idea that polls are representative. Of whom is the question.
It’s a bit like a Global Temperature. It doesn’t exist anywhere. Or a 3.3 member family. Or a person who is 40% Christian, 40% Agnostic and 20% muslim.
100
“Harris and Pelosi and Obama and Schumer claimed that Biden was ‘sharp as a tack’.”
I often marvel how they could say that with a straight face when it was obvious to anyone that he couldn’t find his way offstage or walk up AF1 steps without assistance.
100
That was the rear steps of AF1. The front steps were beyond him. And the pretend one step jog was exhausting. He obviously has Parkinson’s according to one Parkinson’s expert who said he could be diagnosed from the ‘other side of the mall’.
40
“Depends who you think “the media” really are.”
They are the propaganda apparatus of the Administrative State.
A formerly illegal power made legal by Barrack Obama.
The ASs is typically slow on staying up on things.
They are catching up by either eliminating, and or absorbing the burgeoning independent media sector.
This is done by accusing of Russian influence or buying out (if you’re lucky and lacking principles).
The Democrats are now the McCarthyites the Republicans were in the 1950s.
60
Not the point Honk. There are less and less people influenced by (or even listening to) what the big “they” MSM say. Hence the fear and loathing of X, Telegram, any anything source outside their bubble, including places like this. I have no doubt we are all on various lists.
20
Megyn Kelly@megynkelly
Why did the moderators need Kamala Harris there at all?
20
Robert W Malone, MD@RWMaloneMD
I don’t know who made this cartoon – but it is perfect!
10
Noah Pollak@NoahPollak
Kamala, the proponent of DEI and using skin color as a factor in hiring, admissions, promotion, contracting, absolutely everything, is denouncing Trump for using r@ce to divide us rather than unite us. Incredible.
20
johnny maga@_johnnymaga
A Philadelphia-area bakery not far from where the debate is being held tonight is selling special Trump and Kamala cookies during election season. These are the total sales so far:
Trump: 4,228
Kamala: 369
This is a blue county too
20
Matt Batzel@MattBatzel
Here’s what Trump highlighted -RALPH NORTHAM: “The infant would be delivered. The infant would be kept comfortable… Then a discussion would ensue between the physician and the mother.” #Debate2024
00
Obviously the Trump cookies are bigger.
00
Trump debate performance panned as well-prepped Harris gets help from ABC moderators: ‘3 on 1’
From the Comments
– Why did Mattress sound like she was about to break out crying during the debate? It’s her voice. It’s like the voiceover for that pet rescue tv ad.
– I noticed that too, I could tell she was highly nervous, if they cheat and let her win, she will absolutely crumble under the pressure, there will be no Joe to hide behind. All eyes will be on her. She will never be able to stop those wars.
– she was really nervous.
20
“Depends who you think “the media” really are” Yarpos.
In Australia there is the “Leftist” media. Mostly just that. The “Murdoch media”. And the rest of the “conservative” media, which, though on the right track, are a bit hard to find.
AS I watch this media, it is pretty clear to me that Murdoch has his personal hand on the Murdoch tiller, be that Rupert or the younger generation.
With Murdock almost single handedly carrying the non communist campaign, I have to say Thank God for Murdoch.
It is easy to see why they hate him. He is the only barricade blocking their Armageddon.
10
VILE: The Onion Makes a Joke About Corey Comperatore’s Death
How the Left Think!
The Onion@TheOnion
FACT CHECK
TRUMP: “People don’t leave my rallies.”
TRUE: They’re carried out in body bags.
There are no words.
20
https://twitchy.com/liveblog/2024/09/10/live-blog-twitchy-teams-live-coverage-of-the-trumpharris-debate-n6
00
How horrible.
10
Fox News – Trump spars with Harris, moderators during heated presidential debate: ‘She doesn’t have a plan’
Harris and Trump faced off in their first and potentially only debate ahead of Election Day 2024, which is eight weeks away
PHILADELPHIA, PA – Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris faced off in a heated debate Tuesday night, sparring about ab@rtion, immigration, Israel, the economy and a range of other issues—but Trump also battled the ABC News moderators, who were quick to challenge and “fact check” the 45th president, while leaving Harris’ numerous distortions untouched.
Trump and Harris engaged in their first, and possibly only debate of the 2024 general election cycle at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, Pa. Tuesday night—a highly-anticipated ninety-minute showdown as they traded jabs, and repeatedly, accused each other of lying.
The two met for the first time Tuesday night on the debate stage, with the vice president introducing herself as “Kamala Harris” to the former president as they shook hands–before making it a top priority to attempt to get under his skin and bait him throughout the debate.
The debate got underway with questions from ABC News’ David Muir and Linsey Davis, who challenged Trump throughout the debate.
Shortly after it concluded, Trump told Fox News Digital that he thought it was his “best debate ever, especially because it was three on one.”
Moderators began with the economy—first questioning the vice president on whether Americans “are better off than they were four years ago?”
[SNIP]
00
His minders told Trump not to lose his cool.
‘The Vice President successfully proved sceptics wrong with her performance and enraged Trump’s supporters by making him repeatedly lose his cool. Polls suggest it’s still anyone’s race.’ (Oz)
20
The right ethnicity?
Like your great leader, I think.
00
And the Anniversary of 9/11 or 11/9 as I call it (I use the English English) is today.
By JENNIFER PELTZ
Updated 1:34 AM GMT+10, September 11, 2024
NEW YORK (AP)
A poignant phrase echoes when 9/11 victims’ relatives gather each year to remember the loved ones they lost in the terror attacks.
“I never got to meet you.”
It is the sound of generational change at ground zero, where relatives read out victims’ names on every anniversary of the attacks. Nearly 3,000 people were killed when al-Qaida hijackers crashed four jetliners into the twin towers, the Pentagon and a field in southwest Pennsylvania on Sept. 11, 2001.
Some names are read out by children or young adults who were born after the strikes. Last year’s observance featured 28 such young people among more than 140 readers. Young people are expected again at this year’s ceremony Wednesday.
Some are the children of victims whose partners were pregnant. More of the young readers are victims’ nieces, nephews or grandchildren. They have inherited stories, photos, and a sense of solemn responsibility.
https://apnews.com/article/sept-11-anniversary-ceremony-children-reading-names-ed7dcd42524dca1c5098b6b3364aca91
180
White House Vacant – Biden Absent 40% of Presidency
“The average American will never take a 16-day consecutive vacation from work. Why did President Joe Biden take off for nearly half of August? RNC Research reported that Biden has spent 532 days, or 40.3% of his entire presidency, on vacation. Who is leading the nation?
Many often forget that Joe Biden remains president, commander-in-chief, and leader of the world’s top economy. Kamala Harris is NOT the president, but the news cycle has only spoken of her and how she will repair America if elected president. She is utterly absent from her post but swears up and down that she is dedicated to implementing change. So Joe Biden is on a permanent vacation in Delaware while Kamala Harris is on the campaign trail. The White House has become an abandoned building.”
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/politics/white-house-vacant-biden-absent-40-of-presidency/?utm_source=Newsletter&utm_medium=Email&utm_campaign=RSS
Go the Donald.
240
Barack Hussein is of course the real President.
Barack himself describes this: https://youtu.be/JI2Xtqd4Mts
120
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-trop/gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_ANOM_ALL_EQ_2024.png
We found that water vapor near-UV absorption will significantly affect ozone retrieval from UV measurements, particularly in the tropical region. Incorporating water vapor near-UV absorption cross-section data into a radiative transfer model yielded an estimated energy budget (of additional absorption of solar radiation by the atmosphere) of 0.26 W/m2 for the standard U.S. atmosphere and 0.76 W/m2 for the tropics. Near-UV solar radiation induces photochemical changes in the troposphere and affects pollutant formation and atmospheric oxidant levels. Thus, water vapor near-UV absorption has impacts not only on atmospheric physics but also on atmospheric chemistry. Results of the current study are expected to facilitate field detection of water vapor near-UV absorption, enable assessment of the radiative and climate impacts of this absorption, and improve ozone retrievals.
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019JD030724
30
These are truly trivial numbers. They are insignificant when considering Earth’s energy balance.
The cloud formation over tropical warm pools regulating at the 30C surface temperature limit cause a daily range in OLR from 250W/m^2 down to 135W/m^2 while the reflected short wave ranges from 60W/m^2 up to 300W/m^2. So the cloud causes OLR to drop by 115W/m^2 whole SWR increase by 240W/m^2. Tha clouds control the energy balance.
Atmospheric absorption over a warm pool averages 110W/m^2 with variation from 30W/m^2 to 200W/m^2 from day-to-day. So 0.76W/m^2 is trivial and does not matter because the surface temperature is regulated by the cloud formation.
The whole obsession with minute changes in absorption at different frequencies is misplaced. The notion that clouds can be parameterised without understanding the process of their formation is comically stupid.
Anyone wishing to understand climate needs to focus on how convective instability forms over ocean warm pools. There is currently a convective storm brewing over the Gulf of Mexico. Over the weekend, a convective storm destroyed wind turbines in China. Convective storms get spun up through convective potential and no one has a deep understanding of how convective potential is created. So the cause of the most powerful atmospheric phenomena. that will unleash hundreds of kilowatts per square meter is not understood but we fiddle with fractions of a watt per square meter.
The role of radiation in creating convective potential is what needs understanding. And that centres on the formation and melting of ice that we observe as cirrus cloud. The formation of ice is inevitable and not influenced by trace anything. Clouds are an inevitable consequence of water in the atmosphere and the properties of water. Again they are not the result of some delicate distribution of particulates. Clouds form anywhereo in the atmosphere over oceans when cooling below 273K under saturated conditions. A few hundred feet up over Macquyariue Island this morning:
https://www.antarctica.gov.au/antarctic-operations/webcams/macquarie-island/
50
Does increased water vapour in the stratosphere cause global warming?
11
The current level of water vapour in the stratosphere resulted from an unusual event. Its influence on temperature is fleeting so not relevant to climate change. It caused a blip in weather similar to most volcanic eruptions.
Increased water vapour in the troposphere increases the thermal inertia of the atmosphere. Accordingly it tempers extremes over land. It has lifted the average global temperature.
The cause of the increased water vapour in the troposphere is the gradual shifting of peak sunlight from the SH to the NH combined with the lower thermal inertia of the surface water in the northern hemisphere because there is less surface water in the NH than SH. Hence the water vapour is following the temperature rise, which is following the peak sunlight.
Earth’s climate is becoming more pleasant for humanity. This will continue until the land starts storing ice again. That will be when humans will wish CO2 could actually alter the energy balance.
10
The Hunga Tonga blip.
‘As the global radiation budget is particularly sensitive to the water vapor content in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, even small water vapor variations in that region can cause large radiative perturbations and climate impacts.’ (Nature)
00
Woke Australian police assist criminal who mutilated baby with boiling water to flee country because they refused to describe his race thus making it harder to identify him.
Usually when the race of a criminal is omitted you know it wasn’t a “white” person because if it was a description would be provided.
350
Similar to Coulter’s Law
Coulter’s Law states that the longer it takes the news media to identify a mass shooter in the United States, the less likely it is to be a white man.
Also see Colin Jordan’s –
Merrie England 2,000
woke police:
“I was just following orders!
Sieg Heil!”
170
What’s the bet he’s Chinese, can’t lose our trade can we.
Can’t/won’t tell us his name, his ethnicity, where he escaped to, because ‘operational reasons’.
60
At the moment, there is some limited allowance on Farcebook to be critical of men playing in women’s sports or going to female spaces like change rooms or rest rooms.
Farcebook/Meta proposes to add such criticism to its list of “hate crimes” for which proponents will be censored or banned.
Already, in Australia, there is no such thing as female-only sports or spaces because legal precedent has established that “sex can be changed” and a man who “identifies” as a woman is in fact a real woman in every way. No doubt Australia’s e Safety Kommissar will enforce censorship action in relation to that particular thought crime.
Irene BritUSA discusses:
https://youtu.be/knmT4VZGBQk
150
What’s that word which describes an amalgam or merger of government and corporate interests which starts with ‘F’?
NZ’s Inland Revenue Dept (IRD) has admitted selling hundreds of thousands of New Zealand taxpayers’ details to (F)arcebook™️ for advertising and/or profit. Although it’s claimed hashing keeps that info ‘anonymous’, numerous privacy bodies are calling ‘sellout’!
“I’m from the government and I’m here to F you.”
120
My preferred source of Russia/Ukraine war news, ‘warnews247.gr’ has been ‘vanished’ this morning. It happened at the beginning of the year too, it was a couple of months before it reappeared with a slightly different address.
The information war is just as intense as the physical war, and the gap between the sides in information provided is wider than any front in the Donbass. The internet will become famous for what it doesn’t provide to you rather than what it does, an information source as untrustworthy as the mainstream media!
60
All citizens should be educated on how to recognise propaganda.
51
That’s too easy. The difficult job is to teach them to recognise truth – in its original meaning.
40
Too hard, truth is a variable.
Behind the iron curtain the locals would say if you want the truth you have to read between the lines of Pravda.
A criminal psychologist said the leader of the Federation ‘is a psychopath.’ Do you think its true?
00
SITREP 9/10/24: European Antinomy Squeezes Zelensky from Both Sides as Kursk Front Crumbles
Sep 11, 2024 – simplicius
10
Outgunned and outnumbered, Ukraine’s military is struggling with low morale and desertion
By Ivana Kottasová and Kostya Gak, CNN
00
Nobody ever asks where are all the women clamouring to get into men’s sports. It seems a very lopsided syndrome doesn’t it?
Seems to only impact the male>female crowd. Not for physical advantage or lechery of course, but for the joy of competing as equals.
120
Kamala Harris has a major policy priority transgender surgeries for prisoners vs Trump’s priority for families.
https://youtu.be/34VHzOadUbA
101
From the results of the debate it seems Harris has come out on top. Most observers say Ms Harris was the clear winner, repeatedly baiting the former President into angry, rambling answers.
In a poll of CNN viewers after the debate, 63 per cent said Ms Harris won while 37 per cent said Mr Trump won. The same group had been split 50-50 on who they expected to win going in.
A poll by Trafalgar, which tends to lean more Republican, also gave the debate to the Democrat by 55 per cent to 43 per cent.
https://www.news.com.au/world/north-america/us-politics/who-won-the-debate-verdict-on-donald-trump-kamala-harris-showdown/news-story/a9f5a1730f6a4a2c67aa426a05dede70
22
Floating wind is incredibly expensive.
California’s trillion dollars floating wind fantasy
By David Wojick
https://www.cfact.org/2024/09/10/californias-trillion-dollars-floating-wind-fantasy/
“California has adopted a target of 25,000 MW of floating offshore wind generation capacity. Of course, the cost is never mentioned, so here is a rough estimate to get the ball rolling. The estimate begins with the huge Dominion Energy (DOM) fixed wind project currently under construction off of Virginia. Because the regulated utility DOM is its own developer, we get some public numbers, so here is a crude derivation. Big numbers are rounded for simplicity and ease of memory.
A. DOM says the 2,600 MW facility will cost $10 billion to build, which is about $4 billion/GW. But financing and profit bump that to $20 billion or $8 billion/GW, which is called the “revenue requirement” or what rate payers will pay. We will use that number.
B. DOM brags that they are immune to the big cost spike that has swept the industry because their contracts predate it. The costs have increased an estimated 65% industry-wide. That pushes the fixed bottom cost to $6.6 billion/GW construction and $13.2 billion/GW total.
C. Floating wind is generally estimated to be three times fixed wind because that huge floater costs a huge amount more than the single monopile a fixed tower sits on, plus there is a lot of mooring to the sea floor. Off California, the water is around a half mile deep. This gives a construction cost of roughly $20 billion/GW and a total of $40 billion/GW. It could be a lot more as it has never been done.
D. Thus, 25 GW of floating capacity comes to $500 billion for construction and an incredible trillion dollars with financing. Note this does not include 20 years’ worth of expensive operation, maintenance, repair, replacement and decommissioning. That makes it well over a trillion.
This is California’s trillion-dollar floating wind fantasy.
Now, let’s turn this into a possible power purchase agreement (PPA) price. A trillion dollars paid over 20 years is $50,000,000,000 a year. Assuming a 40% capacity factor, that works out to 57 cents a KWh. Given that the average wholesale price of electricity in California is just around 5 cents, this is incredibly expensive. The floating wind startup price is almost 12 times the regular price of electricity. Floating wind is a crazy policy, even by California’s crazy standards.”
More in the article including a request for comments. Please share it.
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And that’s not to mention the environmental and safety hazard of having multiple mooring cables and power lines going to the bottom which is half a mile down.
The cables and the windmill structures themselves will be a hazard to marine life, boats and even submarines.
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… and flying pigs.
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Plibersek admits Labor is considering Greens’ demands for a climate trigger
The Environment Minister has admitted Labor was considering a Greens’ demand for a climate trigger under its new environmental laws in a reversal of an original pledge that will further inflame the mining sector.
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Report details Teals voting with ‘radical’ Greens ‘most of the time’
Sky News host Sharri Markson says a new report details how the Teals have voted alongside the “radical” Greens “most of the time”.
“The Teals have been desperate to present themselves as independent but according to new research they have been voting with the radical Greens most of the time,” Ms Markson said.
“The parliamentary research published by Geoff Chambers in The Aus today shows the seven Teal MPs voted with the Greens between 73 and 81 per cent of the time since the last election.”
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The Australian – Teal MPs accused of aligning with ‘extremist Greens’
Teal independents have been accused of siding with “radical, extremist Greens” and voting overwhelmingly with Adam Bandt’s MPs since the 2022 election, despite the left-wing party’s paltry support in the seven former Liberal-held seats.
Parliamentary library research obtained by The Australian reveals the seven teal MPs voted with the Greens between 73 and 81 per cent of the time over 27 months to August 22.
The analysis also highlights that across 234 divisions in parliament, teal MPs voted as a bloc 83 per cent of the time when all seven were in the lower house.
On substantive bills, which if passed become law, Zoe Daniel voted with the Greens 81 per cent of times, Sophie Scamps 80 per cent, Monique Ryan 78 per cent, Zali Steggall 76 per cent, Kylea Tink 76 per cent, Allegra Spender 74 per cent and Kate Chaney 73 per cent. Analysis of procedural motions show the seven teal MPs have voted with the Greens between 69 and 77 per cent of the time.
The teals-Greens voting patterns, which include votes where major parties have voted alongside independents and Greens, contrast with 2022 election results highlighting low support for the minor party in teal seats.
The Greens claimed 6.1 per cent of the vote in Dr Scamps’ Sydney seat of Mackellar, 6.3 per cent in Dr Ryan’s Melbourne seat of Kooyong, 7.4 per cent in Ms Steggall’s Warringah, 7.83 per cent in Ms Daniel’s Goldstein, 8.33 per cent in Ms Spender’s Wentworth, 8.55 per cent in Ms Tink’s North Sydney and 10.37 per cent in Ms Chaney’s Curtin.
Senior Coalition figures have in recent weeks ramped up pressure on the teals amid hopes the Liberals can win back Curtin in Perth, Kooyong and Goldstein in Melbourne, and Mackellar in Sydney at the 2025 election.
Opposition manager of business Paul Fletcher, who copped a 15.3 per cent swing against him after teal independent Nicolette Boele claimed 20.9 per cent of the primary vote in his traditionally blue-ribbon Sydney seat of Bradfield, said “after more than two years in parliament, Australians can now be in no doubt about how the teal MPs are voting”.
“Many Australians in electorates held by a teal party MP would be quite surprised to know that their representative has aligned herself so firmly with the radical, extremist Greens political party – who of course are well to the left of even the current Labor government,” Mr Fletcher said.
“For example, on October 16, 2023, Kylea Tink and Sophie Scamps voted to support an attempt by the Greens to have the House of Representatives pass a motion accusing Israel of ‘w@r crimes’ and an ‘illegal occupation’ of G@za following the October 7 H@mas terrorist attack, which killed 1200 people in Israel.
“The teal MPs should explain to their constituents why they say one thing locally and vote the opposite way in Canberra.”
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That is what you could call “a re-defining of cheap”!
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Would have liked to see an effort made to quantify the additional costs over the 20 years, including maintenance and decommissioning. Surprised to hear that California’s wholesale electricity cost is only $0.05/kWh – thought it would have been much higher.
Also not sure how these costs relate to the $130/MWh that New York State was going to have to pay for offshore wind power. Unless my maths is wrong, 57c/kWh is $570/MWh, or over four times higher than the New York State price. Why?
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Green subsidy farming works differently in the US.
In Australia subsidies are harvested directly from the consumer electricity bill.
In the US, subsidies are harvested via tax credits, not directly from the consumer.
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Ok, thanks for the explanation David. 5c/kWh wholesale seems a long way down from their average residential consumer cost of 28.9c/kWh (A$0.43/kWh).
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$50 per MWh is well over most State’s $30-40.
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Looking at my info, only Alaska and Hawaii have higher energy costs. California’s energy cost is more than double the western U.S. average price. Robert Bryce’s May WUWT article on California advised that their energy prices have jumped 12% in 2023, and have increased 15.1 times since 2008, while the average U.S. increase was 4.7 times.
Also may I add that the Californian electricity cost is well above our highest state, also a renewables-heavy state.
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A great question: “57c/kWh is $570/MWh, or over four times higher than the New York State price. Why?”
I can think of lots of factors but am going to bed now so will try to list some in the morning.
The point of my crude calcs is to generate more refined analyses.
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Ok thanks David. Would be interested to see a more detailed costs breakdown.
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The NY price includes inflation escalators so that is just a starting price. I have heard one price is $155. What the 20 year average is I have no idea.
The 65% spike number may be inflated, or these bidders might have been hit less hard, including having prespike contracts like DOM.
DOM’s estimate might be inflated especially the financing plus profit cost.
The bidders may use a capacity factor well over 40% and/or financing over more than 20 years or at a lower interest rate.
There are more.
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Ok that’s interesting David. I was aware that the NY “deal” wanted by the contractors was the ability to raise the wholesale sell cost annually for up to 20 years.
While I believe that the average onshore wind CF in the U.S. is fractionally higher than Aust., at around 33%, I doubt that an offshore CF of 40% is possible. The Australian Bass Strait, a supposedly very windy place in the “roaring forties”, has islands where they have to regularly fire up the diesel – their wind turbines cannot deliver sufficient energy.
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California is already a relatively dry location like most continental west coasts. Stilling the onshore wind will have dire consequences for climate of California. It will increasing look like Chile because the onshore breeze that brings the moisture will be reduced dramatically.
Sun is free energy. But Earth’s ability to convert solar power to wind energy is limited. Robbing wind energy along coastlines will desertify the coastal land. Particularly western coastlines that are in the net evap[oration zones of the oceans.
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(POSTED TO FARCEBOOK BY SENATOR BABET, United Australia Party, Victoria)
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Note from above:
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If the data are not a threat to the powers that be, there would be no need to suppress them.
The suppression of data is a confession of guilt.
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FWIW – from another blog
On model railways and modelling in general
“”Hattons Model Railways announces closure after 77 years”
https://www.therailwayhub.co.uk/69117/hattons-model-railways-announces-closure/
The fuel tablets they used got put on the very hard to get list”
Reply
“It’s a bummer that Hatton’s is going under, but…. quite frankly….. there service has gone down hill over the last decade. So, not much of a surprise. There have been major shifts in the modelling industry all around. Even Kalmbach Publishing dumped Model Railroader & every other magazine except Discover, a few months ago.
Apparently science propaganda sells better than trains.”
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Below the superficial reporting of the MSM a short, serious article on Veteran’ suicides.
This book is excellent and exposes some of the other areas of defence leadership failure.
I was a bit surprised to hear over the over-representation of women in the suicides but then I saw spotlights
and diversity
and, of course, the adverts Comments off of course.
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FWIW – if you wat the very latest Swiss Army knife
“A techno-geek’s dream – but will it actually work?”
https://bayourenaissanceman.blogspot.com/2024/09/a-techno-geeks-dream-but-will-it.html
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I noted that its length had to be measured by an external ruler. Surely it should have contained its own tape measure? /s
Used to carry a reduced version in my luggage when travelling overseas. Recall opening a sealed hotel window once with it. Very handy.
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FWIW – in case you wanted to check the official line –
“Safe and Effective®”
“Get them early. Get them often.
New York Times- All Your Questions About New Covid Shots, Answered”
https://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2024/09/10/safe-and-effective-175/
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A cultish obsession that appears to with us for at least generation now.
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When you think about the latest gummint draconian plan, age verification for teens for social media use, bearing in mind it only takes a few minutes to create a whole new profile, it could only work if everybody was surveilled all the time and, behind the scenes, probably through ASIO, all your emails, phone numbers, pictures etc were longed. How do they know I’m not a teen if I went on any of the social media sites? How do they know a teen is not actually old fart me pretending to be a teen. Life will be hell for everybody in every household if teens are banned from social media. Which is the plan. Total surveillance and destruction of the family.
And that’s what politicians employ PR people on massive salaries to do – to use the phrases “protecting from harm”, “keeping the community safe”,
“stop online bullying” and so on. Media complicit and paid to be so.
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They won’t let it become overarching, people luv their freedoms.
‘… the cut-off age won’t be revealed until the government’s trial of age verification technology is completed.’ (ABC)
There are laws against young people drinking alcohol, but some find a way around it, and that is how this restriction will pan out.
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I was going to suggest a new movie be made – Silence of the Athletes. All those talented, hard-working Olympians, winners or not, who, over many years, sacrificed normal lives to get to the Paris Olympics. We’ve already forgotten who they are and they’ve all been completely upstaged by a non-entity who’s raking the money in. But Peter O’Brien beat me to it.
Why the silence Olympians?
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“So, the mystery is, how did one substandard performance in an obscure sport so quickly attract the attention of the world?”
Because she excelled at being worst and scoring a big fat 0.
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The Olympics self-destructed a few decades back when they started introducing all sorts of rubbish as Olympic sports. They just don’t capture the imagination of the average TV watcher like they used to.
They’ll soon lurch to skimpy costumes for women or topless diving to get eyes.
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But according to the impeccable* BBC, an Australian is World Number One!
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cn47e3pgr01o
Perhaps someone who understands ‘breaking’ can comment on
– the sense of the ranking system in use
– the worthiness of the said Australian to be World Number one.
Thanks.
* Impeccable – reference – https://www.spiked-online.com/2024/09/09/the-bbcs-israelophobia-is-even-worse-than-you-think/
Auto
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Vegan cows make the best plant-based healthy steaks.
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I’m liking the Haitian memes.
Shame about the back story.
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yep. Made up nonsense
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So the photo of the gent walking down the road with a duck hanging down wasn’t real?
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wow that’s pretty strong evidence and means that all the other claims are true. Deport them!
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They should remake “Silence of the lambs” calling it “Silence of the cats” or “Apocalypse meow” (I outdid myself with that one!) and screen it in Ohio.
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This is an actual school breakfast schedule in America. No protein, no vitamins, only sugar, sugar, and more sugar.
The school district must follow those requirements to receive federal funding for its food service program.
https://citizenwatchreport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/2024-09-10_09-25-25-768×574.jpg
The providers are just contractors and also do general cleaning.
Look at that menu – just carbs.
Look at the federal meal requirements:
https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-7/subtitle-B/chapter-II/subchapter-A/part-220/section-220.8
Protein? Vegetables? Fibre?
Maybe bugs as food instead.
Across the pond in the UK, Chartwells is there too.
https://www.chartwells.co.uk/primaries/theme-day-menus/
Really?
Cheese and tomato pizza.
Beef burger and chips.
Jacket potatoes.
Southern fried chicken.
Raspberry jelly, ice cream.
Pork sausages.
Chocolate brownies.
High nutrition standards there!
Veggies? Fibre?
Oh but there’s protein too, you say?
Mass produced “catering service” food is reconstituted crud of very low nutritional value, and there’s little of it anyway.
“Beef” or “chicken” can be any part of the animal and is usually the left overs nobody would touch if they knew what it was.
Insulin-spike city.
T2 diabetes, here they all come.
All wrong, even the doctors.
“You need to eat small frequent meals to lose weight” they say.
Wrong! That’s the worst thing you could do as you’re creating insulin resistance.
Me – I only eat one meal a day, of an evening, typically quality grass-fed beef.
No hunger pangs, no energy crashes, none of the sugar related problems.
Global health crisis explained.
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For those interested:
Using a globally harmonised set of age-specific and sex-specific nutrient requirements, we then applied these distributions to publicly available data from the Global Dietary Database on modelled median intakes of 15 micronutrients for 34 age–sex groups from 185 countries, to estimate the prevalence of inadequate nutrient intakes for 99·3% of the global population.
Findings On the basis of estimates of nutrient intake from food (excluding fortification and supplementation), more than 5 billion people do not consume enough iodine (68% of the global population), vitamin E (67%), and
calcium (66%). More than 4 billion people do not consume enough iron (65%), riboflavin (55%), folate (54%), and vitamin C (53%). Within the same country and age groups, estimated inadequate intakes were higher for women than for men for iodine, vitamin B12, iron, and selenium and higher for men than for women for magnesium, vitamin B6, zinc, vitamin C, vitamin A, thiamin, and niacin.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(24)00276-6/fulltext
Eat more bugs!
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Three times I have switched on THE debate, three times I switched it off. My threshold of political pain is too low.
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Got any highlights you can share? Fixing the house water supply (local politics ) somehow has taken precedence over international politics!
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Not a highlight. But I would say that Harris presented very well to undecided voters and did so by sticking to her talking points. Often avoided answering the question directly by giving answers that she wanted to talk about and was prepared to talk about. To me it wasn’t a great performance by Trump for undecided voters. He missed a lot of opportunities and didn’t seem on his game.
I think that Harris would love to bank this and not have another debate. While Trump should be wanting a second chance.
The mods seemed inclined to comment on Trump’s answers or pull him up on not answering the direct question. But didn’t do so to Harris.
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There is not a scintilla of politic there, which is OK.
What my stomach can not hold is absence of sense or reason.
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Actors on the stage.. no idea of what they are talking about, no idea of what it all will cost, no idea on how any of it can be done, but they can fake sincerity and enthusiasm and truthiness, which is all they need to do.
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What would be the side effects of a Replicon + Influenza or a Replicon+ Corona Supervirus?
(Who knows)
Over the past months the Japanese truth community has been sounding the alarm over a new type of vaccine that will be first released en masse upon humans in Japan this fall, perhaps as early as October. The new type of vaccine is known commonly in Japan as a Replicon.
Why was there so much research into this particular family of viruses for self replicating “vaccines”?
It took me over a week to realize that the natural properties of the alphavirus family could have a much more sinister purpose. That is environmental hardiness (ability to survive outside a host for extended periods), and the ability to cross between species made alphaviruses effective candidates for permanently introducing artificial genes into the entire ecosystem.
If less than 1% of Japan`s population, (just 1,000,000 people) take the Replicon injection, that is already over 100 times more people than the Vietnam trial. If those 1,000,000 people become carriers capable of spreading artificial Replicon genes to other people AND the environment that is over 100 times the risk to the entire world compared with what occurred in the Vietnam trial. Every day that patients have functional Replicons alive in their body is a chance for the artificial genetic product to enter the environment.
By the time anyone proves person to person, or interspecies spread of Replicons outside the body, it will be too late. The only way to protect the world would be for Japan to be under complete quarantine. Anyone who goes in, would never be allowed out. No shipping containers with products, materials or anything capable of harboring an insect could ever be allowed out of Japan for decades, maybe even centuries.
https://www.2ndsmartestguyintheworld.com/p/japans-plan-to-destroy-the-world
There are ->2<- things to really worry about: this Replicon shot and AGI.
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The shot itself is a vague worry, as it might just carry a de-population payload, but that pales compared to the millions of natural living organisms that might use that gene and payload something quite different.
Its a shame to think I might see the end of the human race and be murdered by the Govt, but taking all those useless pricks with me does give me some comfort.
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India, China, Russia to jointly build massive nuclear power plant on moon to establish a future human lunar colony
India and China, two historically rival nations, are set to collaborate with Russia in establishing a nuclear power plant on the Moon. This development, reported by EurAsian Times and sourced from Russia’s state-owned news agency Tass, was announced by Alexey Likhachev, head of Rosatom, Russia’s state nuclear energy corporation. The initiative aligns with India’s plans for a manned lunar mission by 2040 and the establishment of a lunar base.
https://citizenwatchreport.com/india-china-russia-to-jointly-build-massive-nuclear-power-plant-on-moon-to-establish-a-future-human-lunar-colony/
There’ll be a nuclear power plant on the moon before Oz gets one.
/LOL
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Fusion power is still a long way off.
‘The energy density of fusion reactions in gas is very much less than for fission reactions in solid fuel, and as noted the heat yield per reaction is 70 times less.
‘Hence thermonuclear fusion will always have a much lower power density than nuclear fission, which means that any fusion reactor needs to be larger and therefore more costly, than a fission reactor of the same power output. In addition, nuclear fission reactors use solid fuel which is denser than a thermonuclear plasma, so the energy released is more concentrated.
‘Also the neutron energy from fusion is higher than from fission – 14.1 MeV instead of about 2 MeV, which presents significant challenges regarding structural materials.’ (World Nuclear Association)
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Yeah, but also , Australian Governments and the CFMEU wont be involved so the one on the moon will be cheaper.
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Meanwhile, traditional allies USA and Europe are following the UN directions to destroy their reliable electrical grids.
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A nuclear power station on the moon …
would be air cooled? water cooled?
perhaps the waste heat would diverted into the ‘seas’.
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Wednesday funny: cats in Ohio
https://x.com/PapiTrumpo/status/1833605627928514875
😆
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That’s about the funniest thing I’ve seen this week.
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China: buying food without power
In the aftermath of a powerful typhoon in Hainan, China, a sudden blackout exposed a major flaw in the cashless society.
With power and water cut off, residents were left scrambling to charge their phones, which held their only access to money.
https://x.com/ShadowofEzra/status/1833479384797229062
😎
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The people most wary of IT dependence for critical services are people who have worked in IT.
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Nanotech in the shots!
What I do criticize are the wild and incompetent interpretations from the internet commentators of what this stuff means.
Lately, John Campbell jumped on the bandwagon gushing about the “nanotechnology” that he thinks is shown in this paper on his YT channel. Let’s remember that this widely popular YT “expert” is consistently many steps behind the non-experts. His video discussing the “nanotechnology” in the paper has now been removed by him (not by YT).
https://sashalatypova.substack.com/p/origins-of-the-nanotechnology-narrative
Like I’ve said all along. Groan.
It doesn’t exist in the macro world so certainly doesn’t in the micro or nano one.
Wanting to believe it’s nanotech doesn’t make it so.
As before, a SEM scan would prove it.
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Trump’s performance was terrible. It was like a duck shooting contest with Kamala the duck strapped to a pole, and he missed every single time.
Absolute disaster.
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I think he listened to too much good advice.
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Watch out! Labor Greens coalition is coming (video)
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Piers Morgan: Eric Weinstein on US Election: “The Entire Political Charade Has Come Crashing Down” (video)
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China’s Too Hot, No Power! 750,000 EV Owners Suffer, Queuing 10 Hours, Can’t Charge (video)
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