By Jo Nova
Almost none of their sacred 30 year trends panned out, so they’re now inventing spooky new forecasts (right after they happen). Any old weather permutation, any random coincidence is fair game. So somewhere on a continent 5,000 kilometers across, there were floods and fires on the same day, and somewhere else, the weather changed from hot to cold. Yeah, verily, as Scorpio crosses through the House of ARC Grants, you will definitely get some weather…
Like unfalsifiable prophets of voodoo, we don’t know whether this exact same “whiplash weather” occurred 1,000 times before in the last 10,000 years, because there are no proxies for daily hot-n-cold flips or simultaneous fires and floods. There are no diatoms, or pollens or Beryllium isotopes that capture the flip. And there are no daily weather records from neolithic Australia.
Ergo — the smug curmudgeons of science can say whatever they feel like — knowing that no one can prove them wrong, and no journalist at the Sydney Morning Herald will ever ask them a hard question:
Fires, floods, swimsuits and jumpers in one day: ‘Climate whiplash’ is our new normal
By Samantha Selinger-Morris, The Sydney Morning Herald
Bowman: We’re seeing this extraordinarily unstable climate … [what] we’re learning as we’re going is that the Earth system and the climate system is really very complicated.
When you start putting more energy into the atmosphere … the energy expresses itself in extraordinary ways. So we have, as we know, these extraordinary downpours and flooding events, we have these periods of just amazing rain.
We’re seeing this as well in California. So you get these very wet periods, you get flooding. You can get an interaction of the flooding with burnt areas. And then before you know it, you can switch back to drought … and then, to add insult to injury, we’ve been getting these incredible windstorms, and windstorms go with wind-driven fires, and wind-driven fires are just the worst because they move so quickly.
Rather than ask “how do you know this didn’t happen in 5,000 BC”, Ms Selinger-Morris asked the most leading and obvious question she could:
“How is climate change causing or driving this? You know, fires in one part of the country, floods in another. What’s happening here?”
Which was the cue for Mr Bowman to tell her how complex it all is again. (Like a sacred guild.) And to seed an excuse for when they screw up the next forecast. Astrologers always have a fallback plan:
Bowman: What’s happening is basically that the old weather patterns are breaking down … one of the reasons it’s going to become increasingly difficult to forecast weather is because we’re getting all of these complex interactions between sea surface temperatures.
…what we’re really describing is what’s being called in fire science “hydroclimatic whiplash”, this climate whiplash where we’re … going from wet to dry, wet to dry. So we’ve got this flickering between these states.
Melbourne was always supposed to have “four seasons in one day” — which is why Crowded House wrote a song about it 30 years ago before humankind emitted half our emissions. That sounds like pretty flickery weather.
Image by Gordon Johnson from Pixabay
Then, within our fire seasons, we’re seeing extreme heat waves, extreme wind events, and then you get the conjunction of an extreme heat wave and extreme wind event. We’ve just seen what happens. It’s just absolutely horrendous.
Horrendous indeed, but also handy — if they are wrong about the weather, remember, it’s because they were right about “climate change”. Excuses, excuses…
And that is a really important point … it’s not a criticism that this terrible fire season wasn’t adequately forecast … what we know from the past isn’t necessarily scaling well into the future.
So even though they sort of predicted this, and were right except when they were wrong, now the climate has changed, and they have to learn how to predict it again? So fossil fuels cause bad forecasts too?
Climate astrology might be the new normal, but climate science died a long time ago.
Ram Image by MythologyArt from Pixabay
Zodiac image by MythologyArt from Pixabay