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Yesterday we were invited to a sailing yacht for a day cruise outside Los Angeles on Sunday. It’sa friend who recently was in China. Three weeks ago. But to get out he had to travel to Japan first, stay one week before travel to USA. May I add, unnoticed. I will not go.

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So: to mention 15% of people 80 and over dying is worse that stating, say, 2% overall. Are these seniors more likely to be reported for mild symptoms, or less likely? As long as we know many of them who have the virus are not being reported at all, we know that 15% is much too high. The clearer news, so far, is that people who are not 80 and over are at little risk of death, even if they are tested and found to have the virus.

More infectious than SARS. Far less virulent than SARS. Of course it makes a less dramatic story to say that.

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At 7 day doubling rates, it only takes 7 weeks for the world ex-China to become today’s official China size: from 1,000 to 64,000. And only another 7 week of weekly doubling to reach 8,000,000. With merely 6 more weeks (ie, week 20), we reach 1 billion cases.

Thus, in less than two months, a head steam starts, and in less than another two, 8 million cases in East Asia? China’s harsh 5 weeks quarantine is coming to nearby nations to try and slow the mighty train of infection.

How will summer slow this fierce and impossible freight train of infection? We hope tropical Singapore show us some differential evidence in the next month. We need time to improve near real time infections tools to sort people and contain the threat. We need more time to prove the effectiveness of anti-virals and produce and distributee both of these tools.

Life will go on after Covid19 pandemic. But it will be demographically changed with big consequences to the age pyramid.

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Another item said that if you got Winnie the Flu and recovered, then got it again some weeks later, it was worse and more likely to kill you.

I don’t remember when SARS was in the headlines, but perhaps younger people are less likely to die because they didn’t have the SARS vaccine.

One more thing I saw is that Wuhan was the test bed for 5G, which many are saying is more harmful to humans than its predecessors.

I watched 10 or 12 videos from China today that showed the authorities attacking people walking the streets, beating them up, and hauling them off. Some of the descriptions said the victims suddenly took ill and had to be “assisted”, but it occurs to me that since food is so scarce, people who collapse on the street might simply be starving.

I’m inclined to believe that, most of the time, the “treatment” is worse than the disease.

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Sure, given time a normal novel virus will mutate to a form less lethal to its host.

But if that virus was bioengineered, then there are two directions mutations could take it in the first few months/ years.

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That red thumb is a historical marker. A permanent record of how some respond to the truth, no matter how politely minimized.

Let’s focus. We do have a serious problem, and no amount of lying is going to solve it.

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Unfortunately all dead in China from “Winne the Flu” are being immediately cremated. No autopsies are being done.

With 40 mobile furnaces, each with a capacity of 5 tonnes of “material” per day, recently being trucked into Wuhan, we’ll have to wait on scientific data on those that have “recovered”.

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