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Alarming Arctic heat waves look a lot like the last alarming heat waves in 1940s

The Arctic is the most sensitive place to man-made emissions on Earth, which is why it has barely warmed since 1944? Well, it makes sense if CO2 is largely irrelevant. Humans have made 90% of all their CO2 in the last 70 years and nothing much happened in the place where it was supposed to hurt the most.

The WMO apparently missed the first 30 years of data.  But Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt are here to help them out. : -)

“Heat waves in the Arctic – climate scientists sound the alarm

HADCRUT, Graph, Arctic temperatures, 2017

Area weighted Arctic (70-90N) monthly surface air temperature anomalies (HadCRUT4) since 1920 in relation to the WMO normal period 1961-1990. Fig. 2: Arctic temperature since 1920. Data: HadCRUT4, Chart: Climate4You.

These heat waves look a lot like the last heat waves.

Read it all thanks to Pierre Gosselins translation:

Learning from the climate’s history: the Arctic heat waves of the 1930s and 40s

 

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Rating: 9.4/10 (70 votes cast)
Alarming Arctic heat waves look a lot like the last alarming heat waves in 1940s, 9.4 out of 10 based on 70 ratings

Tiny Url for this post: http://tinyurl.com/n2tg66t

122 comments to Alarming Arctic heat waves look a lot like the last alarming heat waves in 1940s

  • #

    The WMO and IPCC are gradually becoming laughing stocks.

    364

    • #

      Gradually? To those who understand how physics constrains how the climate operates, they’ve been a laughing stock since their inception.

      334

      • #
        Oliver K. Manuel

        Public deception by the WMO, the UN’s IPCC and the UNAS (United National Academies of Sciences) is very close to criminal.

        274

        • #
          Dennis

          And the Australian government agencies and politicians who have joined in the deceit.

          153

        • #

          Whether or not it’s criminal depends on whether the many egregious errors are intentional and they know how wrong they are or the errors are the result of incompetence. Although, this particular brand of incompetence can also be considered negligence.

          Having interacted with many of the so called ‘scientists’, incompetence whose flawed results are blindly accepted by confirmation bias seems to be the most likely reason.

          103

          • #

            To the red thumbs:

            It’s like what Nikki Haley said about the Russians and Assad. Either, consensus climate scientists are complicit, incompetent or being made fools of by the IPCC.

            81

          • #
            Ted O'Brien

            There are primary liars and there are secondary liars who have believed them. The primary liars driving AGW are surely criminal.

            40

        • #
          Radical Rodent

          It would be interesting to hear the views of the random red-thumbers. A pity they do not have the courage to engage…

          21

          • #
            Oliver K. Manuel

            They did not engage earlier because they knew they were winning;

            They do engage now because they fear they are in fact losing!

            11

            • #
              Oliver K. Manuel

              We must avoid the same pitfall and only rejoice that once again, Truth is victorious, never untruth.”

              00

          • #
            Oliver K. Manuel

            CORRECTION:

            They do not engage now because they fear they are in fact losing!

            20

    • #
      Rereke Whakaaro

      Yes, but political organisations, like the IPCC, and WMO, see things through a political lens.

      To them, the laws of Physics are just laws, in the same way as the laws by which society functions. They are therefore amenable to being changed by political will, and international agreement.

      Like any good lawyer, the IPCC and WMO will present evidence that supports their case, as in using 1900 (as a nice round number) as the base point of their argument for warming during the 20th century.

      Couple that, with the fact that a compliant education system no longer teaches subjects that train students in critical thought, then there is little to stop the political classes from being able to control the perception of climate change, or the perception of anything else, for that matter.

      There are purple dragons, you know? But you have to be a Professor of Dubious Substances, working for the IPPD*, to be able to see the evidence in the data.

      * IPPD: International Panel for Purple Dragons.

      203

      • #
        OriginalSteve

        I suspect a lot of them know puffvthe manic dragon quite well…it would certainly explain a lot anyway….

        52

        • #
          OriginalSteve

          Bah…fat fingers….magic dragon, although manic has possibilities too….

          Mods, why are my harmless posts in moderation?

          20

      • #
        Allen Ford

        There are purple dragons, you know? But you have to be a Professor of Dubious Substances, working for the IPPD*, to be able to see the evidence in the data.

        Just as there are wondrous textiles visible only to the pure of heart, as chronicled by renowned textile historian, the late H C Andersen

        41

    • #

      I think the Age, their ABC and all warming worriers are becoming a laughing stock. This article from the Age: http://www.theage.com.au/business/energy/a-sustainable-future-is-possible-if-politics-gets-out-of-the-way-20170406-gvf2gm.html, is a classic example of complete tosh. The one thing I do agree with totally is:

      A sustainable future is possible if politics gets out of the way

      Once the government ends all subsidies to renewables etc ie, ‘gets out of the way’, only then can the industry show its true colours. Make it happen.

      253

      • #
        el gordo

        ‘Over lunch this week he dropped the fact that half our energy costs are in the poles and wires.’

        I was talking to an Ag fella the other day and he said much the same thing, so is there enough room for compromise?

        20

        • #
          Dennis

          Would that be poles and wires to link wind and solar farms to the electricity grid?

          141

          • #

            I suspect that this means transmission costs, which on average for an efficient fossil fuel plant is about half the cost of generating the electricity (about 6-7% is lost on transmission). This comes from IR, corona and radiative losses and the rest is the amortized costs of the poles, wires and transformers as well as maintenance.

            Radiative losses are small, but significant given that long transmission lines act as antennas. If 1% of the loss is radiative for a 100 Mw transmission line, 1 Mw of power is emitted into space. To minimize this and and prevent standing waves, they flip the phases periodically for long transmission lines.

            Global production is about 1 Pw, so at 1% radiative loss, the planet would be emitting a 1 Tw 50/60 Hz signal. This should be detectable light years away.

            Does anyone know if a 50/60 Hz signal can be picked up on the Moon? That is, if you touch the input of an audio amp on the Moon, will you hear a 50/60 Hz buzz? I’ve often thought that this kind of signal may even be detectable from distant planets and could be an indication of technology within a few centuries of our own. The sweet spot for AC transmission is between about 50 Hz and a few hundred Hz. Above that, radiative losses become too large and you would need to have coaxial/shielded transmission lines and lots of sound suppression. Below that, the magnetics required for transformers gets too big.

            50

            • #
              MPH

              “This should be detectable light years away.”

              Actually, no. The power “at the antenna”, if we pretend the earth is a point source emitter (it isn’t; for instance, all the signal emitted from the USA would be shielded from detection unless the USA was on the same side of the planet as the receiver), might be 1 Tw. But the power at the receiver would be based on the formula for the surface of a sphere: 4PiR^2. So at one light year, which is 9.5 trillion kilometers, or 9.5 quadrillion meters, that 1 Tw is spread evenly over that surface. So you get 1,000,000,000,000 / (4 * 3.14 * (9,500,000,000,000,000 ^ 2)) watts per square meter. To simplify it, round the 9.5 to 10 and Pi to 3, and you get 1,000,000,000,000 / 1,200,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. That simplifies to 1 / 1,200,000,000,000,000,000,000 watts per square meter. Or a value that is essentially, zero. You’d need a 1,200,000,000,000,000,000,000 square meter dish to gather in 1 watt of that signal. That’s about 40,000,000 kilometers in diameter, or an antenna that’s about 30 times the size of the sun. It’s well below the ambient electromagnetic noise.

              10

              • #
                KinkyKeith

                Interesting run down MPH.

                00

              • #
                Will Janoschka

                “9.5 trillion kilometers, or 9.5 quadrillion meters, that 1 Tw is spread evenly over that surface. So you get”

                Not ever! the only EMR flux in that direction is limited to the cross sectional area or PI r². Everything else goes in a different direction. All such flux in each direction at every frequency is strictly limited by any opposing ‘radiance’

                10

              • #
                KinkyKeith

                Will, MPHs assessment must be better whatever else was put up.?

                00

        • #
          Rereke Whakaaro

          Well I suggest that Ross Garnaut has been very badly misinformed.

          The poles and wires are part of the network asset base, and are therefore capitalised, and depreciated. This remains a constant, irrespective of how much, or how little, energy the network carries, up to the rated design limit.

          Aluminium does not wear out, when hanging from a pole. I suggest that the quotation refers to losses, which are proportional to the amount of energy carried. But I have never heard of losses being anywhere near as high, as 50% of the energy produced. It would be very poor network design, if that were the case.

          161

          • #
            el gordo

            Garnaut is an economist and Finkel an electrical engineer (not that there is anything wrong with that), both were chosen because they don’t have a clue about climate change.

            Thanks RW for the insight.

            81

          • #
            KinkyKeith

            Well put RW.

            31

    • #
      Sam Pyeatte

      The thing about the 1940s is the event that upset a lot of stuff…WWII…Caused a lot of pollution.

      00

  • #
    stan stendera

    JoNova, WUWT, and notrickszone are my go to sites for climate news.

    172

  • #
    Leonard Lane

    Nice graph. Shows that there was warmer period before rise in CO2.
    Another slice at the veracity of the CO2-Global Warming simple model. We may be about through with all this nonsense as soon as the funds dry up.

    153

  • #
    Oliver K. Manuel

    Recycled false science propaganda from the 1940′s may be all the UN/NAS alliance has to distribute until their March for Science in Washington, DC on Earth Day!

    30

  • #
    KinkyKeith

    Funny that for the CAGW alarmists there is no reality, but that which shows their truth.

    So in their view we could say:

    And in 1958 God created the Earth and all living creatures, and on the seventh day he rested.

    And lo, the UNIPCCCC and Michael Mann, we’re wondrously amazed and began to record Arctic temperatures for the very first time.

    And all was well in the land of make believe.

    KK

    163

    • #

      “And in 1958 God created the Earth and all living creatures, and on the seventh day he rested.”

      The local GOD is ALL POWERFUL, but not so ALL KNOWING! Hence The Earth is recreated each morning at 5am with a slightly different history! This explains why the past has cooled so much! The local GOD just loves to kick back after several drams and wonder what will they come up with next? :-)

      50

    • #

      OR And in 1958 God created the Earth and all living creatures, and on the seventh day he rested. But first fired General Dynamics and Areojet General(low bidder), hired Lockheed and JPL, telling them not to worry about that six days nonsense; (I gets to decide dat time interval after yous all finishes da job)

      20

      • #
        TedM

        Talk about waffle

        20

      • #
        sophocles

        Have you been reading too much Heinlein again, Will?

        10

        • #
          Will Janoschka

          “Have you been reading too much Heinlein again, Will?”

          Glenfiddich works much better then Heinlein anything! Ask Keith. :-)

          10

          • #
            Will Janoschka

            Only to keep dis wonderful (full of wonder) ‘sincere’ thread alive!

            10

          • #
            KinkyKeith

            I finished the bottle. Good.

            Now I have another brand at half the price but it has that sharp metho taste.
            I guess you only get what you pay for.

            00

            • #
              Will Janoschka

              “I finished the bottle. Good.” Pour some of your new crap into the Glenfiddich bottle. Take that to the rare shops in Tasmania! If you are lucky the clerk with no talent will trade you for 1/2 dram of good stuff. If unlucky the owner will beat you severally about the head and shoulders, before throwing you out the door. As in Scotland, home of scotch, some are proud of their very best! ;-)

              10

              • #
                KinkyKeith

                What is the name of this very desirable Tasmanian Scotch?

                I was given some White Heather about 10 years ago but it isn’t sold here any more. It tasted very nice.

                00

            • #
              Will Janoschka

              “Sullivan’s Cove, distilled on the Australian island, ranked number one at the World Whisky Awards.”
              There are others. Your taste may vary as you appear to be not particularly ‘elite’! Go describe to the owner what would be better! Off you go to the competitor that may let you taste! That competitor does the same for anyone that wants the taste\flavor\delight of Sullivan’s Cove! Take lotsa money. As you say you only get what you pay for.
              If you have offsprouts, clearly inform them, “if you even think of coveting this You die a horrorible death”!Otherwise love them lots!

              20

    • #
      Oliver K. Manuel

      God DID NOT create the arrogance of modern “scientists” who chose consensus models of reality over scientific measurements of reality.

      20

      • #
        Will Janoschka

        “God DID NOT create the arrogance of modern “scientists” who chose consensus models of reality over scientific measurements of reality.”

        Agreed! However Raytheon bought General Dynamics, whose headquarters are near the fake center of the planet! Add a couple of adjacent Fibonacci’s and what is the result? Etcetera, etcetera! :=)

        10

  • #

    Troll gets up at about 7 am. Joined by another at about 7:20. Or maybe same one via a different IP address.
    They have no problem with Oliver’s comment at #4. Possibly the bolding of the science march silliness is approved of.

    82

    • #
      Rereke Whakaaro

      It’s the same one. But he is lonely, and cold, and has nowhere else to go, poor thing.

      63

      • #
        David Maddison

        The troll is cold because of his beloved renewable energy and lonely because he’s and id1ot.

        61

      • #

        That troll would have been lovely and warm if he/she had come to help me collect nearly a tonne of wood this morning. And I guarantee that they would be extra warm trying to split this bloody hard wood in readiness for winter. But I will be a happy chappy emitting those carbons once the wood starts to burn in our fireplace, and it should burn really well. If blackouts happen during winter, at least we will be warm.

        71

        • #
          Geoffrey Williams

          Tut tut bemused it’s not a fireplace but a ‘biomass heater’
          Bye the way I have one also – wouldn’t be without it
          GeoffW

          30

          • #

            Maybe it should be called a ‘biomass converter’. Now where are my taxpayer subsidies?

            30

            • #

              “Maybe it should be called a ‘biomass converter’. Now where are my taxpayer subsidies?”

              More subsidy for “ultra Super Critical biomass converter”! Such eliminates inefficiencies like conversion to CH4 and then conversion to ‘electricity’! OTOH hard-woods make the best staks for pounding into the hearts of politicians\warlocks. Silver bullets are too spendy!

              20

            • #
              Geoffrey Williams

              I like it!!
              GeoffW

              10

        • #
          Rod Stuart

          Wood warms the body many times.
          When you fell it.
          When you buck it.
          When you split it.
          When you haul it.
          When you stack it.
          And then when you burn it.

          30

          • #
            Will Janoschka

            Makes it difficult to determine the energy content of a tree! Especially if not yet felled. Old Karl (neighbor) could always tell if ‘that’ tree is worth felling. :-)

            10

      • #
        Ted O'Brien.

        Perhaps you should invest in a camp oven.

        00

    • #
      Oliver K. Manuel

      Yes, Martin, the troll gets angry when reminded that “Public deception by the WMO, the UN’s IPCC and the UNAS (United National Academies of Sciences) is very close to criminal.

      “97% consensus scientists” desperately hope the “March for Science” on Earth Day will save them from legal liability.

      40

    • #
      Ted O'Brien.

      Any troll who visits, you know, is part of the family.

      00

  • #
    Peter C

    These heat waves look a lot like the last heat waves.

    Mean Temperatures in the 1930s and 1940s may have been similar to today but the extremes seem to have been greater. The winter of 1941-42 is reputed to have been particularly severe in Europe.
    http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0477(1989)070%3C0271:TSWIET%3E2.0.CO%3B2

    61

    • #
      Lindsay

      Yes Peter C this aspect of the graphed data is certainly interesting. Data variability is significantly reduced and it would be useful to know whether this was an artifact of the data capture such as systemic changes to the siting parameters of the weather stations. Or whether there is something actually happening with temperature (and hence heat energy at the surface) in the Arctic latitudes.

      20

  • #

    Yep. And it’s well known that there was an Arctic temp plunge in the 1960s before the ice increase and Global Cooling scare of the 1970s.

    However, like a lot of well-known things these days, these well-known things happened without actually happening.

    There was no Global Cooling scare back in the 1970s…and we have always been at war with with Eurasia.

    73

    • #
      • #

        I think the climatariat is going to need a bigger memory hole, big enough to fit the whole Holocene, with space for BoM predictions-gone-wrong.

        52

        • #

          MUCH bigger…The Black Hole of Falsified Predictions.
          !970′s coming Ice Age! The doomsayers were all there, John Holdren, Paul Ehrlich, Stephen Schneider et al.

          50

          • #

            The young Stephen Schneider didn’t think they should nuke the ice to warm the planet because, well, you just never know. Similarly, proposals to soot the poles were rejected because, well, you just never do know.

            So even in the 70s they had great climate scientists looking out for us! (Pity about the flared jeans and paisley bodyshirts.)

            42

            • #

              The wise Socrates says
              ‘I only know I do not ‘know’,
              and Hamlet to Horatio
              per favore the bard, says likewise.

              Oh ye doom-sayers
              and conn-sen-suss-ites,
              blind-siding black-swan events,
              you’d have us sacrifice

              virgins,pay costly carbon-tithes
              based on bird-entrails
              and mutterings by priests
              concerning fear and guilti-ness.

              30

    • #
      sophocles

      I lived through that “New Ice Age” scare. And a scare it was. Connelly and crew may have tried to eradicate all mention of it from Wikipedia, but it can’t be erased from published books nor from magazine issues of the day.

      A book or booklet was even commissioned, supposedly by the CIA, (yeah, right) from a group called The Weathermen about the climatic disturbance “caused by mankind’s burning of fossil fuels” which was supposed to bring this disaster down upon our heads.

      Whatever. I note it was so accurate … we’re still waiting.

      52

  • #
    Mark M

    Warmist in Arctic: Without [fossil] fuel, “I wouldn’t survive up here for long”
    http://www.2dgrees.com/a-little-green-sledge-is-my-life-support/

    41

  • #
    King Geo

    DECEPTION DECEPTION DECEPTION!!! The IPCC modelling of AGW “crashes & burns” because it is based on GIGO computer modelling, in reality there is effectively no Global Warming since the “1997/1998 Super El Nino Warming event”, ie no GW for nearly 20 years but rather “flat-lining” – of course this is based on the “golden standard” UAH & RSS Global Satellite data of the Lower Atmosphere. So how do the “Warmists” address this problem? – simple – either hide the vintage “warm periods” or simply “adjust the vintage temp data”. Yes as many are claiming in this blog – DECEPTION DECEPTION DECEPTION!!! The important question is – “when is this deception going to be legally brought to account”?

    83

  • #
    Shauno

    That Newscientist magazine has become a joke these days full on global warming enthusiasts they had an article recently about increased C02 will cause extra air turbulence for aircraft passengers.

    92

  • #
    • #
      David-of-Cooyal-in-Oz

      Thanks for that link. I’ve not seen this argument before, and particularly like it:

      ” Real scientists look for “ceteris paribus” situations, and one exists between the poles. Both the North and South Poles have 400ppm CO2, but the atmospheric water vapor is much different. As the Nature article highlights, warm moist air, air with 400 ppm CO2, is pumped into the Arctic. The Arctic is also ice floating on water, so ocean currents can also import extra heat. The same isn’t true about Antarctica. Antarctica is a continent and has very very very dry air. Water vapor is a non-issue in Antarctica, but, like the Arctic, has 400ppm CO2. Because both poles have 400ppm CO2, the Arctic isolates the impact of water vapor, ocean and wind currents. The result is that Antarctica, impacted only by CO2, shows no warming at all, and has gained ice. The Arctic, impacted by water vapor and other natural factors shows sea ice loss and a slight temperature gain. To any real science, the loss of Arctic sea ice, and gain of Antarctic sea ice rules CO2 out as the cause. ”

      Cheers,
      Dave B

      43

      • #
        KinkyKeith

        Sounds good.

        10

        • #
          KinkyKeith

          Sounds good but is there another larger factor at play.

          Could someone with a bit of understanding of the orbital mechanics of the situation comment.

          Is one of our poles presenting to the sun more than the other?

          There is a huge ice mass covering Antarctica but during the last big ice age the southern hemisphere was not as severely iced up as the North.

          Any comment.

          10

          • #
            Harry Twinotter

            KinkyKeith.

            Which ever pole gets more sunlight in summer in what part of the Milankovitch Cycle is a factor. But it does not quite work, there are other complicating factors. I recommend the “Two-mile Time Machine” by Dr Richard Alley if anyone is interested in this sort of thing, it is a short book.

            From memory when the cycles increase or decrease the warming in the northern hemispshere it has a big effect globally. When it is the southern hemisphere’s turn the effects are not as great. One of the reasons the northern hemisphere gets iced up is because there is more land there – the southern hemisphere does ice up in New Zealand and South America during an Ice Age.

            20

            • #
              KinkyKeith

              Thanks.

              Am broadly familiar with the Milankovic cycle but it needs interpreting by an astronomer.

              The period of presentation, angles etc make it fairly tricky.

              KK

              00

      • #
        Harry Twinotter

        David-of-Cooyal-in-Oz.

        “Rules CO2 out as the cause” :-) The Antarctic rising or falling in temperature or land ice is ambiguous, you can find studies that say one thing, and others that say another. The “gain” in sea ice extent is a red-herring, it is seasonal and the trend can turn quickly as this summer has demonstrated. The Antarctic peninsular is getting warmer as would be expected as it extends north and is surrounded by a warming sea.

        I read years ago the climate scientists were not expecting much of a global warming signal from the Antarctic, not enough warming yet. But the real issue is the undermining of some of the ice sheets by the rising and warming sea.

        The CO2 greenhouse effect is actually enhanced over parts of the Antarctic due to less water vapour. This is because water vapour is not saturating some of the radiation spectra, allowing the radiation window to be filled by CO2 instead. But the CO2 also scatters some of the radiation to space, causing cooling. So the balance between the warming and the cooling will have to be worked out by some smart climate person.

        20

  • #
    Kevin Anderson

    ‘Child Refugees’ Rampage, ‘Demolish’ Housing Over Lack of Game Consoles
    http://www.breitbart.com/london/2017/04/07/child-refugees-rampage-game-consoles/

    30

  • #
    BobC

    Jo, your last line
    Learning from the climate’s history: the Arctic heat waves of the 1930s and 40s
    should use the link -
    http://notrickszone.com/2017/04/04/the-wmos-dubious-omissions-arctic-of-the-1930s-and-1940s-just-as-warm-as-today/#sthash.Hy2i5vE3.9uyOUKVm.dpbs

    30

  • #
    Andrew McRae

    Arctic heat wave?
    Time to cool off in the bath then!
    http://i.imgur.com/J2Pgyk3.gifv

    10

  • #
    el gordo

    March temperatures are in and its easy to see how the recent El Nino made a big impact on Arctic sea ice.

    http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_March_2017_v6.jpg

    10

  • #
    pat

    from Climate Depot:

    6 Apr: EneergyInDepth:Fake News: #ExxonKnew Campaign Claims Global Warming Caused Exxon Valdez Spill
    by Katie Brown, PhD
    How irrelevant and desperate has the #ExxonKnew campaign become? Well, they’re now claiming that global warming caused the 1989 Exxon Valdez spill, and that Exxon should have known it would happen. The claims were made in yet another article written by graduate students at the Columbia Journalism School, which was published today in the Los Angeles Times.
    The article – fit more for The Onion than the LA Times – claims that ExxonMobil had evidence that the Columbia Glacier was calving due to climate change, but allowed one of its tankers to put itself in the way of the icebergs anyway.
    Anyone who has ever followed the story knows that the only ice responsible for the Exxon Valdez spill would be the ice cooling the captain’s many cocktails that night. But for anti-Exxon campaigners, no alternate theories (or should we say alternative facts?) are too outrageous to publish.
    For background, this is the LA Times’ latest installment of a series authored by graduate students at the Columbia School of Journalism, who were bankrolled by wealthy anti-fossil fuel foundations such as the Rockefeller Brothers Fund (RBF) and Rockefeller Family Fund (RFF)…
    https://energyindepth.org/national/fake-news-exxonknew-campaign-claims-global-warming-caused-exxon-valdez-spill/

    ***Marc Morano notes Soros connection.

    6 Apr: LA Times: The role a melting glacier played in Exxon’s biggest disaster
    By Dino Grandoni, Asaf Shalev, Michael Phillis, Susanne Rust
    Katie Jennings contributed to this report.
    The Energy and Environmental Reporting Project at Columbia’s Graduate School of Journalism is supported by the Blanchette Hooker Rockefeller Fund, Energy Foundation, ***Open Society Foundations, Rockefeller Brothers Fund, Rockefeller Family Fund, Lorana Sullivan Foundation and the Tellus Mater Foundation. The funders have no involvement in or influence over the articles produced by project fellows in collaboration with the Los Angeles Times.
    http://www.latimes.com/projects/la-na-exxon-valdez/

    21

  • #
    pat

    read all:

    7 Apr: Canadian Press: Chinta Puxley: Freezer malfunction melts arctic ice samples used in climate change research
    A freezer malfunction at the University of Alberta has melted some of the world’s largest collection of Canadian Arctic ice core samples.
    The university says about 12 per cent of the collection was damaged when temperature in the storage freezer soared to 40 C over the weekend. The ice samples were immediately moved to a working freezer on Sunday but the damage was already done.
    Andrew Sharman, vice-president of facilities and operations, said the freezer’s cooling system malfunctioned and the monitoring system also failed due to a computer glitch…READ ALL
    http://www.news1130.com/2017/04/07/freezer-malfunction-melts-arctic-ice-samples-used-in-climate-change-research/

    21

  • #
    pat

    Mann–made gloBULL warming:

    7 Apr: Guardian: John Abraham: New study links carbon pollution to extreme weather
    Human activities are altering the jet stream, which leads to extreme weather patterns getting stuck in place
    It was only a few weeks ago that I wrote about changes to extreme weather in a warming world. That prior article dealt with the increase of extreme precipitation events as the Earth warms… But extreme weather can also occur because of large-scale changes to the atmosphere and oceans. This issue is the topic of another just-published paper (LINK) that makes a convincing case for a whole new type of influence of humans on extreme weather…

    As humans emit greenhouse gases, the planet warms. We know that, we predicted it, and it is occurring. However, the warming is not uniform. The Arctic, for instance, is warming more rapidly than the rest of the planet. As a result, the temperature difference between the Arctic and the rest of the world is reducing. It is this temperature difference that maintains the jet stream patterns. As stated by lead author, Michael Mann:
    “The warming of the Arctic, the polar amplification of warming, plays a key role here. The surface and lower atmosphere are warming more in the arctic than anywhere else on the globe. That pattern projects onto the very temperature gradient profile that we identify as supporting atmospheric waveguide conditions.”
    The authors compared the observations to computer models and they found similar patterns. The authors went on to say in a press release:
    “Using the simulations, we demonstrate that rising greenhouse gases are responsible for the increase … We are now able to connect the dots when it comes to human-caused global warming and an array of extreme recent weather events.”…
    These authors have concluded a convincing study that connects the dots. Perhaps the study is best summarized by Michael Mann, who said:
    “We came as close as one can to demonstrating a direct link between climate change and a large family of extreme recent weather events.”
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/apr/07/new-study-links-carbon-pollution-to-extreme-weather

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    pat

    well, these ships did get there 170 years ago:

    7 Apr: NYT Book Review: Ian McGuire: The Hunt for Ships Trapped in the Canadian Ice Nearly 170 Years Ago
    ICE GHOSTS
    The Epic Hunt for the Lost Franklin Expedition
    By Paul Watson
    Illustrated. 384 pp. W. W. Norton & Company. $27.95.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/07/books/review/ice-ghosts-franklin-expedition-paul-watson.html?_r=0

    a little background about the above author, Paul Watson:

    Jul 2015: Globe & Mail: Simon Houpt: Dispute erupts over credit for finding Franklin flagship
    Paul Watson, a Toronto Star journalist based in Vancouver who had been on the lead exploration ship, CCGS Sir Wilfrid Laurier, last September, said that when he attempted to ask Mr. Geiger in May about his involvement in the search, his editors began asking questions and throwing up roadblocks. In an interview with The Globe on Wednesday, Mr. Watson said a Star editor sent him an e-mail in late May that read, in part, “We require you to cease all reporting related to John Geiger.”
    “I knew I had a story when they ordered me to stop reporting,” said Mr. Watson, who won a 1994 Pulitzer Prize for photography…
    On Wednesday afternoon, a Star spokesperson disputed that notion. “There is no truth whatsoever to the suggestion that the Toronto Star was constraining his reporting or refusing to publish a story of significant public interest,” Bob Hepburn said…
    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/journalist-accuses-toronto-star-of-suppressing-franklin-expedition-story/article25358228/

    ***following mentions “No sea crossing was successful until Roald Amundsen of Norway completed his trip in 1903-06″:

    Sept 2016: news.com.au: AP: Arctic searchers find second ship from doomed British expedition, HMS Terror
    The wreck of the Erebus was found in 2014…
    Canada announced in 2008 that it would look for the ships, and the Canadian government has poured millions of dollars into the venture, with former prime minister Stephen Harper himself taking part in the search. It was all part of Mr Harper’s plan to boast Canadian nationalism and a sense of ownership of the north.
    Mr Harper’s government made the project a top priority as it looked to assert Canada’s sovereignty over the Northwest Passage, where melting Arctic ice in recent years has unlocked the very shipping route Franklin was seeking. Canada says it owns the passage. The US and others say it is international territory…
    Dozens of searches by the British and Americans in the 1800s failed to locate the wrecks, and some of those expeditions also ended in tragedy. But they opened up parts of the Canadian Arctic to discovery and ultimately found a Northwest Passage, though it proved inhospitable to shipping because of ice and treacherous weather…
    ***No sea crossing was successful until Roald Amundsen of Norway completed his trip in 1903-06…
    http://www.news.com.au/technology/science/archaeology/arctic-searchers-find-second-ship-from-doomed-british-expedition-hms-terror/news-story/94674800dc58481908cc714f72e2c00d

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    el gordo

    Off the coast of southern NSW and eastern Victoria there has been a cold upwelling, accompanied by algae, which has caused a large fish kill. No need for alarm, it should soon settle down.

    http://oceancurrent.imos.org.au/news.php

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    AndyG55

    Current Arctic sea ice levels have probably only been as high, or higher, than now, over the period of the Little Ice Age.

    Maybe 400-500 years.

    That means that Arctic sea ice levels have been LOWER than now for some 90-95% of the last 10,000 or so years.

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    Dave

    Way off topic but alarming also
    Barramundi
    Now DEADLY!
    Just a few days after the pond starts cooling
    EPA Victoria announces only one 150g serve per week

    I bet next week it will increase to ZERO serves!
    The fish are nearly all dead
    Some rotting already!

    Instead of coming out and stating:

    “Hazelwood has shut, the ponds are no longer heated, the fish are dead!”

    Why involve all this deception about
    Polyfluoroalkyl &
    Perfluoroalkyl toxicity levels which is garbage?

    This is a ABC, ALP big brush over of the facts!

    What about telling people the dangers of eating ROTTEN dead fish!

    Histamine number one problem

    Why the cover up?

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    Mark M

    One for the red thumber …

    Over at 97% doomsday central, hotwhopper, Sou, (the doomsday seer who sees all), slavishly posts:

    Coral reef bleaching with world-renowned expert Terry Hughes – and a Gish Gallop from “science” quack, Jim Steele

    “Some years ago I visited the Great Barrier Reef offshore from the resort town of Port Douglas.
    Later I had the privilege of swimming over part of the Great Barrier Reef again from the seas around the Whitsundays, staying at Airlie Beach.
    Apart from some snorkelling over coral reefs in a few other places, such as Bali, and doing some work with the fishing industry …”

    (Gee, I hope they weren’t fossil-fuelled privileges, Sou … )

    > That would be the same Terry Hughes, who thinks a fossil-fuelled flight over coral, taking photos, is 97% evidence it’s all your fault?

    Meanwhile, in the real world, where physical observations count …

    Ch9: “Free-diver Audrey Buchholzer, of France, aboard the Spirit of Freedom, told the Post she was stunned by the “flashy” colours and ­kaleidoscope of marine life on the outer reef.

    “I had to see it with my own eyes,’’ the 24-year-old said.

    “I’d heard negative reports the reef was dead.

    That’s not true.

    There are patches of dead and bleached coral, but so much of it is alive and thriving.

    “It is an underwater wonderland,” she said.”
    . . .
    It needs to be a wonderland under there because above it’s a 97% doomsday bizarro world @hotwhopper.

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    ren

    MASIE Time Series Plots

    Below are time series plots of the comparison of sea ice extent for the last four weeks for this year and the previous four years for the MASIE regions. Click on the image for a larger view.
    https://nsidc.org/data/masie/masie_plots
    http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/icecover/osisaf_nh_iceextent_daily_5years_en.png
    http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php

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    ren

    The DMI ice temperature product (IST) uses three thermal infrared channels from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) on board the Metop-A satellite to calculate the surface temperatures in the Arctic.
    http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/ice_temp/index.uk.php

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    Roy Hogue

    About alarming heat waves — yawn… …and wake me when it’s over.

    Thanks

    A. Skeptical

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    Harry Twinotter

    Good to see something interesting.

    Taken at face-value, the Arctic curve is a lot noisier before 1945, and does not show a clear trend. The noise is evident by the magnitude of the monthly fluctuations.

    There is an issue with taking temperature readings over ice. In general temperature rises until the ice starts to melt which then limits further temperature increases due to the latent heat of the ice. So what would be interesting is a chart of temperatures broken down by season ie averages taken before the ice reaches melting point. I will see if I can find any.

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    • #
      Harry Twinotter

      NASA temp data is different for the Arctic.

      https://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2016/12/nasa21.jpg

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      • #
        Dave

        Do they sell

        Homogenisers

        Twinutter?

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          Will Janoschka

          The nice Dariy farm, with kids playing in the barn, 1/3 mile North sold (on the side) both Whole pasteurized milk and homogenized milk. I could only bicycle home with ‘whole milk’, with noticeable butterfat. Sometimes mom sent me back with the note ‘Where is my cow’??

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          • #
            KinkyKeith

            The first bit of the bottle was always the best, if you could get to it first.

            We were supposed to shake the bottle to give everybody a fair share but that didn’t always happen.

            Now we only get the homogenized stuff and it tastes as though it has a lot of water added.

            Why can’t I buy real milk anymore.

            KK

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              Will Janoschka

              “Why can’t I buy real milk anymore.”

              Gosta hab own Cow for actual milch! OTOH one cow remains more of a pain in the Assad, than one sailboat!!!

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              • #
                KinkyKeith

                Will, here in Australia we have a “minimum” standard for butterfat content.

                If you were a milk processor what would you do.

                Of course, add water so that you just make the specification and pocket the extra cash.

                Tastes poorly.

                KK

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              Will Janoschka

              Yes! It is always ‘your’ cow that you fed the best daisies, and her children also, (she notices), A nice Cow that gives you a whole gallon of ice cream, because you were also being nice! :-)

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      Harry Twinotter

      It depends if you trust the Climate4You interpretation of the HadCRUT4 gridded data or not. Climate4You appears to have just taken the gridded data for the Arctic. It’s probably OK for a quick analysis. NASA and Hadley Centre use different methods to interpolate sparse station data. The Hadley Centre method is more conservative.

      I could not find a season breakdown and separate max/min figures to have a look at.

      http://climate4you.com/Polar%20temperatures.htm#Arctic monthly surface air temperatures north of 70N

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    • #
      AndyG55

      The ONLY period that Arctic sea ice has been above the current level was the 400-500 years of the Little Ice Age.

      That means that Arctic sea ice extent has been BLOW the current level for some 95% of the last 10,000 years.

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    el gordo

    Its not generally known that the subtropical ridge in the southern hemisphere intensified in the early 1940s.

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      KinkyKeith

      If I was a meteorologist I might understand the significance of that.

      KK

      :-)

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        Will Janoschka

        “If I was a meteorologist I might understand the significance of that.”

        Keith,
        If you found yourself a meteorologist, you would immediately terminate yourself!
        All the best! -will-

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    ren

    Map of the accumulated surface mass balance (in mm water equivalent) from September 1st to now of the Greenland.
    http://www.dmi.dk/uploads/tx_dmidatastore/webservice/p/a/m/d/e/accumulatedmap.png

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    Mikey

    Interestingly, the rate of sea level rise picked up around the same time, higher than “now”, (it’s a 50 year centered mean), as witnessed by many tide gauges around the world such as NYC – https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/50yr.htm;jsessionid=CC51995138E22FE8A9481B48FD9DD7B9?stnid=8518750

    (Notice that they have mysteriously hidden showing 1900 to 1920 despite the fact that the only missing data is 5 months in 1920 – https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/downloadMeanSeaLevelTrendsTEXT.htm?stnid=8518750 )

    And another thing …. whenever the arctic waters get warmer and melt sea ice the temperature never gets higher during the summer, it ALWAYS happens in the darkness of winter letting heat OUT – not in. Choose any year you wish and whenever there are elevated temperatures they are happening in the dark. http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php

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    [...] Nova montre sur son blog la courbe des températures de l’Arctique (HadCRUT4) couvrant la période [...]

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